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Crap Another one. Hurricane Ivan (Deserves his own Thread)

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Meier

Member
It's current track is just about perfect for me... we should get TS force winds and a lot of rain so that classes could be cancelled, yet should avoid any major damage.
 

MIMIC

Banned
MIMIC said:
In a few days, we'll be hearing about Jeanne.

Florids needs to have a good cry. :)

BTW, Hurricane Ivan is still a Category 5 with winds clocking in at 160 MPH (914 mb 0_o)
 

GigaDrive

Banned
iv.jpg
 

Celicar

Banned
Meier said:
It's current track is just about perfect for me... we should get TS force winds and a lot of rain so that classes could be cancelled, yet should avoid any major damage.


Don't get your hopes up. It looks like right now Tallahassee is out of the projected path so what reason would the administration have to cancel class if we're just going to get a little rain and wind?

What really pisses me off is that they canceled the career fair on Friday, when the hurricane will be gone by then anyway.
 

DJ Sl4m

Member
OH SHIT!!!!!!!!


I live in Louisiana, and we could feel the winds yesterday, plus it's dropped temps a lil already here.
 

Culex

Banned
By the time it hits the US, the winds should be down a bit. I'm predicting around 130-135 mph when it hits the coast, as there's a lot wind sheer going on in the gulf right now.
 

Miguel

Member
Uh...I'm starting to doubt (well, more than usual) these "weather/hurricane experts"
They've been saying it's gonna go north for a better part of a week now.

Exhibit A:
path1.jpg

No north..right?

So...uh...?
Exhibit B:
projection.jpg


Um...I think not.

*finds a hole to hide in for the next 2 weeks*
 

MIMIC

Banned
They keep saying, "We're waiting for it to turn north."

*cue Sonic's "I'm waiting" stance*

I wouldn't be surprised if it slammed into Texas or makes a turn toward the Florida peninsula.
 

pestul

Member
It dropped to 140mph winds just recently.. so it definately doesn't like the gulf. I think it's actually the shallow waters that are a problem.

EDIT: Problem.. as in a good thing for people.. :p
 

Miguel

Member
MIMIC said:
They keep saying, "We're waiting for it to turn north."

*cue Sonic's "I'm waiting" stance*

I wouldn't be surprised if it slammed into Texas or makes a turn toward the Florida peninsula.

Welcome to my post 1 hour and 24 minutes before.
 

Ripclawe

Banned
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/surge/new_orleans.shtml


- St. Louis Cathedral, New Orleans, Louisiana

The following is an example of possible water heights for a slow moving category 4 hurricane. This image is an approximation of how high the water could rise. - Simulations courtesy of Mark Sudduth.

St. Louis Cathedral Quicktime movie of simulated water rise during a slow moving Category 4 Hurricane (1.7 mb)
If you need Quicktime you can download it here.

NO Storm Surge
New Orleans, Louisiana
cathedraldry.jpg




Category 4 Hurricane Storm Surge Simulation
New Orleans, Louisiana
cathedralwet.jpg
 

Phoenix

Member
Not quite sure how that image is generated, but Jackson square is not at 'street level' so I think that simulation is a bit off.
 

DJ Sl4m

Member
GigaDrive said:
People Leaving New Orelans

top.leaving.no.ap.jpg

story.causeway.tues.jpg


the worst thing that could happen is Ivan making a direct hit on the Big Easy

The vehichles in that photo show them all driving west.... as in Baton Rouge, where I live.

Right now it's been reported on the news almost every single hotel room is booked up untill the end of the weekend here.


Traffic is insane and forget buying gas or water at this point, the flood of people from new orleans has left most gas stations and stores bare for the needed items.
 

Phoenix

Member
DJ Sl4m said:
The vehichles in that photo show them all driving west.... as in Baton Rouge, where I live.

Right now it's been reported on the news almost every single hotel room is booked up untill the end of the weekend here.


Traffic is insane and forget buying gas or water at this point, the flood of people from new orleans has left most gas stations and stores bare for the needed items.

FYI, the picture at the bottom is from people heading east over the lake ponchatrain bridge. I was watching feed of that from WDSU earlier today. The traffic was unreal. People sitting in place literally for over an hour.

New Orleans is emptying. People who left early went east and are headed to Atlanta and TN. People headed west are headed to Texas and parts of Arkansas.

I've been on the phone with refugees headed towards Atlanta and I expect to have quite a few by tomorrow. The ones who were unable to leave due to work, transportation, etc. are headed to the hotels downtown as they should be fairly well able to withstand anything Ivan has to throw at them... hopefully.

My parents were unable to get out before the traffic became absolute shit and are going to try to ride it out. Others are heading west to avoid the path of the hurricane along the coast. The absolute worst thing that can happen is for the hurrican to hit New Orleans.... it would be a disaster the likes would make Florida look like a cheap disaster film. Unfortunately the geography of New Orleans makes it poorly suited to absorbing a hurricane (excessive rains in particular).

I just hope everyone who can get out makes it out because just the storm surge alone from this hurricane is more than a match for the levee system.
 
Driving east on I-10 this morning was a slightly surreal experience... sort of reminded me of that scene in 'Independence Day' when Jeff Goldblum's character is driving to the White House.

BTW, they were saying last night that evacuees should drive to Austin, TX if they're looking for hotel rooms.
 

Pimpwerx

Member
Is the Mississippi high at this point? The city has those flood walls that will probably get closed off before the storm. Otherwise, I can imagine most of the city will be under water in no time with the surge. Getting in and out of that city is not gonna be fun today. Oh, and anyone riding it out should probably hit an ATM like today or something. You won't be able to get cash for a week afterwards. I found that was the biggest problem for me. Not gas, not food, but cash. PEACE.

EDIT: Oh yeah, if I was riding out the storm, I'd hit an ATM and withdraw a bunch of cash, then hole up in Harrahs at a blackjack table to weather the storm. :lol
 

Miguel

Member
Heh, traffic reports here in Houston have I-10 packed. Thing is...Ivan could very well turn this way and pound the fuck out of everyone. Allison was a bitch in 2001. ..or was it 02? I don't even remember. It was a BEYOTCH though. City was pwned for about 10 days.
 

Miguel

Member
:lol

*edits Culex's post*

Good news guys. The national hurricane advisory board says it's saved 15% on wind speeds!
 
Spike Spiegel said:
Driving east on I-10 this morning was a slightly surreal experience... sort of reminded me of that scene in 'Independence Day' when Jeff Goldblum's character is driving to the White House.

BTW, they were saying last night that evacuees should drive to Austin, TX if they're looking for hotel rooms.

and if they want to be surrouned by nothing but college students!! austin has become a shithole; a place where the highway was just seemingly invented, thus construction and traffic is a fucking nightmare.
 

Miguel

Member
Haha. Yeah, I always forget Austin is only a "big city" because of the 80,000 students + professors + people who didn't move after going to college + government people.
 

Phoenix

Member
Red Cross makes a statement that anything above a Category 2 hurricane for New Orleans is deemed 'too dangerous' and they will not man shelters.
 

MIMIC

Banned
I posted this:

What I don't understand is why most of the meteorologists have Ivan forecasted to weaken to a Category 3 after it enters the Gulf of Mexico. I'm definitely no expert on the weather, but from what I've learned by just WATCHING the various news reports on hurricanes, the warm waters provided by the Gulf energize hurricanes, causing them to become stronger and more devastating. Although I DO hear a lot of talk about "wind sheer" regarding Ivan...but I wouldn't think that it would be strong enough to eclipse the natural cycle of the Gulf of Mexico, paired with a hurricane.

I was fucking right. Ivan is STRENGTHING! Some newscasters a few days ago had Ivan reduced to a Category 2 at the time of landfall.

They said that Ivan was moving into "cooler water."

Cooler water?! Where was it before? In lava?!
 

Prospero

Member
From weather.com (7:30 p.m., 9/15)

Ivan is expected to make landfall in Alabama or the extreme western Florida Panhandle shortly after midnight and the hurricane is not expected to weaken much before moving ashore. Residents along the Gulf Coast need to take all measures to safeguard themselves from this deadly storm. Be aware of rising water in flood-prone areas. Stay away from windows. Be prepared for long-term power outages. Weather conditions will be most dire from this evening through the overnight hours and no one should venture outside. Ivan is one of the most dangerous hurricanes to threaten the U.S. in recent history and should not be underestimated.

Ivan will continue to roar onshore into Thursday, though it will weaken rapidly after it has made landfall. Expect hurricane-force winds up to 150 miles inland into southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia. Significant rainfall will continue to move northward across the southeastern U.S. over the next several days. A looming threat will be the heavy rainfall across the southern Appalachians through the weekend. Significant flooding is possible across the mountainous areas of Tennessee and the western Carolinas as over a foot of rain is likely for some areas.
 
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