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Fox News: General Keane says US needs to consider a preemptive strike on North Korea

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HStallion

Now what's the next step in your master plan?
I can only imagine what Trump might attempt to do inside the country itself if there was a war. Too many comments from him and his goons that spoke in a not nearly enough negative manner about the internment camps of WW2 and Steve Bannon in the White House things could get real ugly real fast.
 

BlueTsunami

there is joy in sucking dick
They already botched a covert mission. How about scaling that up to a war with an unhinged, nuclear weapons capable country?

Its becoming increasing clear that this desperate admininstration is moving towards a reichstag fire like scenario to bolster support.
 
This is nothing new. It has been "considered" since the Clinton administration, and was very close to happening back then. It was also considered in the late days of the Obama administration.
It is new
It was an option
Now it's being framed as the only option and one that doesn't need approval from china
Meantime tillerson the mute has said he isn't talking.

That's radically different. If you are NK you aren't gonna go "oh well guess we better disarm" you are gonna go "oh shit we better hide some capability in one of 29 mountain tunnels we have secretly dug" (or in a random bunker in a random city). And you are going to push harder on options for a surprise strike to South Korean military bases.
 

Extollere

Sucks at poetry
Does anyone here actually disagree with the statement "Therefore if an ICBM attack was imminent the president would have to conduct a preemptive strike?”

I think it depends on what you consider "imminent". I don't know the definitions, but I take it it could be whatever the administration says it is.

Is testing an ICBM proof of an imminent attack? On what basis do they determine this?
 
It is new
It was an option
Now it's being framed as the only option and one that doesn't need approval from china
Meantime tillerson the mute has said he isn't talking.

That's radically different. If you are NK you aren't gonna go "oh well guess we better disarm" you are gonna go "oh shit we better hide some capability in one of 29 mountain tunnels we have secretly dug" (or in a random bunker in a random city). And you are going to push harder on options for a surprise strike to South Korean military bases.

"Not ruling out" =/= the only option
 

Kuro Madoushi

Unconfirmed Member
South Korea and to some extend Japan will be the victims in this war. North Korea has the capability to launch nukes to those countries and I seriously doubt that Trump knows anything about the complexity of the situation. He has a bunch of generals thirsty for war and to satisfy the arm making industry. Many people will die. I think the best way to approach this to work with China. If north korea loses their support, they can send ground troops to neutralize the government and that will still cause incredible amount of causalities. There is also the fact that there are millions of people living in North Korea. What will become of them? Will the koreas merge? I doubt that will go well considering the difference in wealth. The north Korean people have been exposed to decades of propaganda. I doubt it will go very smoothly.
You're absolutely right that the best way to deal with North Korea has ALWAYS been through China. The only reason NK still exists is that an invasion that close would be deemed an invasion of China itself.

At the end of the day, China doesn't trust any other country to not invade it when there are still fresh wounds and memories of both Japan and other Western powers taking advantage of the country. Should China have anything to fear from the States? I mean, it's not as if America ever started an aggressive war against another country for no reason...🙄
 
Afaik the NKs can't hit America
.

Not yet but the big marker is when they drop a missile a few hundred miles off of California. That happens and game changes because they can threaten America directly.

Hour is coming that something has to be done to keep them from reaching that mark. I don't trust Trump to act with the deft touch and foresight needed to handle that.
 

Woorloog

Banned
Does anyone here actually disagree with the statement "Therefore if an ICBM attack was imminent the president would have to conduct a preemptive strike?"
No, the statement is perfectly sensible.

But. Somehow, i'd imagine China would step in if the NK were serious (ie not just rhetoric) about an attack to the US.
The reason is simple: US retaliation could draw China in a war in any case in some for, and if China were to take over NK, they might be able to keep NK as a strategic buffer in some form, which is the reason for current status quo. At least by acting preemptively they'd have better chance at that than after the US is there.

Ultimately, i don't think NK will really ever attack with nukes, for the current regime will lose its power in the aftermath no matter what (China takeover, US takeover, nuclear obliteration).

EDIT Actually, this is too optimistic. Depending on the situation in NK, they might just decide to go out in blaze of nuclear fire.
 

Cyanity

Banned
Maybe if our administration was willing to work with China to figure out how to take out NK, but hell the fuck no with the Trump administration.
 

Iolo

Member
Yes, but Bams was also smart enough to realize that killing millions of Koreans and provoking a war with China might not be the best policy.

Also how can you tell if a strike is "imminent"? They'd detect the launch and it's game over anyways.

One presumes military or political activity indicating a launch will occur shortly, before it occurs. But that's the problem. The timeframes are minuscule. Both sides' plans depend on going first (US preemptive strike, NK strike on US and SK bases and ports), so the threshold for war is greatly lowered, and you may have only a few minutes to decide. The chance for miscalculation is high.

Notice they didn't say anything in the article about the negotiating table being an option. After Bush killed the Agreed Framework in 2002 and then spent a bunch of time trying to get it back, this option has not been attempted, and certainly Trump will not. It's the only option to prevent catastrophe, so we are basically heading into inevitable war, whether touched off accidentally or otherwise.
 

MattKeil

BIGTIME TV MOGUL #2
Not yet but the big marker is when they drop a missile a few hundred miles off of California. That happens and game changes because they can threaten America directly.

Seattle, more likely. California is a pretty distant target. The big splash would be a missile drop off the coast of Seattle or Vancouver as a show of range.
 

Kettch

Member
How is South Korea doing after that weird stuff with their president? They have the most to lose here, so hopefully they can talk some sense into the Trump administration.
 
"Not ruling out" =/= the only option
The language of such things is picked over for very subtle changes of position.
This recent language had moved 100mph towards hostilities.

If they have an actual plan like they have a senior defector that knows for sure where the nuclear part of the NK capabilities are, amd they secretly know china isn't gonna flip out, and all this is 99% certain and there are no other solutions then do it, don't talk about it.

But they're effectively campaign tweeting. They are inept. There hasn't been any high level defection recently in the news and the first Chinese meeting is just getting off the ground. Pardon me if I conclude they have no idea what they are doing and as insular and distrusting as the White House is right now it doesn't matter what experts are saying because trump doesn't listen to anyone but toadies.
So it may really be that big decisions are going to get made by a few people and put to a vote with trump and his toadies pushing hard for a military show, entirely for the benefit of his own skin..
 

theWB27

Member
I don't think they gain any support from going to war. Or am i missing data that suggests people wouldn't mind it?
 

ezrarh

Member
I don't think they gain any support from going to war. Or am i missing data that suggests people wouldn't mind it?

I think you're right. Koreans destroying us at Starcraft 2 isn't enough to galvanize people to support this war.
 
Want to repeat Korean war?
Technically a continuation, war never formally ended.



No, the statement is perfectly sensible.

But. Somehow, i'd imagine China would step in if the NK were serious (ie not just rhetoric) about an attack to the US.
The reason is simple: US retaliation could draw China in a war in any case in some for, and if China were to take over NK, they might be able to keep NK as a strategic buffer in some form, which is the reason for current status quo. At least by acting preemptively they'd have better chance at that than after the US is there.

Ultimately, i don't think NK will really ever attack with nukes, for the current regime will lose its power in the aftermath no matter what (China takeover, US takeover, nuclear obliteration).

EDIT Actually, this is too optimistic. Depending on the situation in NK, they might just decide to go out in blaze of nuclear fire.

China's best play is a coup. They really don't want the masses of hungry, uneducated North Koreans under their care. Neither does SK. Which is why the assassination earlier this year is alarming.
 
I don't think they gain any support from going to war. Or am i missing data that suggests people wouldn't mind it?

They're fucking idiots who don't realize that in order to get a W-type bump from war you need a unifying action like an attack on US soil first. Revenge is the ultimate unifier.

They're literally too stupid to burn down the Reichstag. Not that I'm rooting for that; I'm just pointing out the very very fatal flaw in their plan, here.

Like, I just...

No words.
 
Read this as General Keanu and was wondering why he would need strike North Korea when all he would need is a Pencil. Oh as well as when did Keanu Reeves become a general.
 
Trump's domestic agenda has been a disaster: failwhale healthcare, blocked Muslim ban, and soon to be a failure on tax reform. He's looking to distract with sabre rattling with NK.
 

Beartruck

Member
I can only imagine what Trump might attempt to do inside the country itself if there was a war. Too many comments from him and his goons that spoke in a not nearly enough negative manner about the internment camps of WW2 and Steve Bannon in the White House things could get real ugly real fast.

Considering how he's a massive hypocrite in nearly everything he does, I guarantee he'll try to start a draft. Not succeed, but try.
 
I would be shitting myself if I lived in S.K. right now. Unless the military managed to knock N.K. out with the opening strike, wouldn't they immediately shell Seoul into rubble as soon as a war broke out?

Not to mention N.K. is backed by China, who is a thermonuclear power.
 
Technically a continuation, war never formally ended.





China's best play is a coup. They really don't want the masses of hungry, uneducated North Koreans under their care. Neither does SK. Which is why the assassination earlier this year is alarming.

I heard some expert saying pfft what's 20m North Korean refugees flooding north that's China's birth rate in one year just put one in every village. Couldn't believe it because USA agonizes and cuts refugee intakes to 50,000 or less and they says china - which is always worried about the people getting pissed and overthrowing the single ruling party - can easily absorb a flood of people who don't speak Chinese, appearing in their southern province.

If trump wants to blow up the state he has to explain to his base that he will take 3m pissed off poverty stricken North Koreans and look after them all.

USA hasn't the money to pay for the destruction they can cause with their military.
 
I would be shitting myself if I lived in S.K. right now. Unless the military managed to knock N.K. out with the opening strike, wouldn't they immediately shell Seoul into rubble as soon as a war broke out?

Not to mention N.K. is backed by China, who is a thermonuclear power.
No

They're are civil defenses and that would obviously be SK number one priority to take out. It's very hard to level a city. And on defense NK would be much more concerned with taking out military assests than indiscriminately bombing.

They're a reason the US and SK do war games every year.

Lots of damage, yes. End of Seoul? Not unless NK nukes it

And China would never back NK with their nuclear power unless the Chinese mainland was threatened. That's part of the reason behind deterrence, it limits actions.
 

DietRob

i've been begging for over 5 years.
This China meeting at the so called 'Winter White House' is going to ignite WW3 isn't it?
 

StoOgE

First tragedy, then farce.
Good idea. It won't create a giant humanitarian crisis and cause a proxy war with China, or any number of other reasons nobody has considered this in the past.


NK is a bad guy. But it has the world by the jewels because of forty years of dumb geopol.

Yeah, it's not like the world's two largest population centers are well within striking distance of NK. Surely nothing could go wrong with this.

And South Korean leadership is really well positioned and steady right now.
 
No

They're are civil defenses and that would obviously be SK number one priority to take out. It's very hard to level a city. And on defense NK would be much more concerned with taking out military assests than indiscriminately bombing.

They're a reason the US and SK do war games every year.

Lots of damage, yes. End of Seoul? Not unless NK nukes it

And China would never back NK with their nuclear power unless the Chinese mainland was threatened. That's part of the reason behind deterrence, it limits actions.

China has a treaty it says they must support NK if it is attached unprovoked
If china tears up that treaty it damages their ability to extend their power as they very much want. They won't be able to just sit and watch. Their own people will demand they get involved somehow, they have an intense nationalism and are right on the cusp of thinking their century has come. Cow towing at this critical stage won't be acceptable,
NK needs to deserve an attack before china can tear up its treaty. Weapon development isn't sufficient.
 
Now is the worst time for the US to go into war. A country divided with a president being under investigation. This might be one deflection tactic that can potentially start a real dictatorship once the war is over.
 

theWB27

Member
They're fucking idiots who don't realize that in order to get a W-type bump from war you need a unifying action like an attack on US soil first. Revenge is the ultimate unifier.

They're literally too stupid to burn down the Reichstag. Not that I'm rooting for that; I'm just pointing out the very very fatal flaw in their plan, here.

Like, I just...

No words.

Pretty much. I have to imagine support would tank. The us loses regardless of the outcome
 

akira28

Member
idiots.

its already understood that a preemptive strike against NK is on the table if necessary. You don't need to go on television and announce it. It only gives them an excuse to act up, or try to seriously act out. Are they trying to cause some pretext for some wag the dog type bs that won't work?
 
Yeah, it's not like the world's two largest population centers are well within striking distance of NK. Surely nothing could go wrong with this.

And South Korean leadership is really well positioned and steady right now.
There is also a possibility or at least was last time I checked, that the new South Korean leadership (president) wants to reduce the power of america. For instance why not let china take over the military side. That would box North Korea in.
So if this is a near term possibility then the orange asshole may actually be racing to get something done before he is told he had to remove assets from the region.
 
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