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Hurricane Season 2010: Getting a jump on June 1st
- Thread starter Xeke
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perfectchaos007
Member
Relix said:
So it's going to shift back toward the East coast? damn. I see Earl is still moving west but they still expect that system to turn NW soon sending it well north of Puerto Rico and toward Bermuda. Now time to watch Fionna. Its going to form soon off Africa.
perfectchaos007 said:
Nah as of now Danielle will be a non event for anyone, not even Bermudas. It sped up a bit and will soon move N away from Bermudas and EC. As of now I declare it a fish storm =P. Something could happen but it's quite unlikely. Earl should be a USA player. I don't see it fully pursuing Danielle's path. It's moving west and it reformed the center to the southwest but doesn't seem like an Antilles event.
97L just got declared off the coast of Africa. This will be Fiona. It looks GOOD. We should have a storm in 48 hours or less. Models once more want to put it recurving. I don't buy it yet. Next wave off Africa has a good chance as well. Let's see how it goes. CV season is in full gear.
perfectchaos007
Member
Relix said:
lol if Danielle slows down, maybe we could get 4 systems in the Atlantic at one time!
perfectchaos007
Member
Did Earl track a little more south recently? PR back on alert perhaps?
perfectchaos007 said:
Yeah it dropped from 15.9 to 15.7. Now seems to be back on course with the center around 15.8. A MLC is to the north so maybe the COC will relocate. Trust me I am on watch XD. Not expecting anything direct TBH, (25% chance at the moment IMO), but some gusts and good rain are very probable.
Yo PUERTO RICO FOLKS
Expect a close brush (100 miles or less) or even a direct impact from Earl as a Hurricane. There's the possibility of it being a major by then as well. No alarm, it's a 50/50 chance. Things are panning out bad for us atm.
NHC says the center is a 16N but... for fuck's sake... there's NO turning at all in 16N. The COC relocated to 15.7 or 15.6
Expect a close brush (100 miles or less) or even a direct impact from Earl as a Hurricane. There's the possibility of it being a major by then as well. No alarm, it's a 50/50 chance. Things are panning out bad for us atm.
NHC says the center is a 16N but... for fuck's sake... there's NO turning at all in 16N. The COC relocated to 15.7 or 15.6
Dead Prince
Banned
what's the eta on when it'll hit?
and Danielle looks lovely from that image :lol.
and Danielle looks lovely from that image :lol.
DMPrince said:
Well I won't say HIT per-se. But close call... or ... probably a landfall. I expect it to be a Hurricane by tomorrow and some models predict it to be Cat 2 or even Cat 3 if it passes sightly north of us. I see the track growing closer to us. At 5AM we will see changes. A HH Aircraft should investigate tomorrow and give us the definite information.
perfectchaos007
Member
Relix said:
eh, at least you guys won't get the dirty side unless it doesn't turn. It is kinda ominous seeing it still going straight west, but I'm sure the NHC got it right. they usually do 2/3rds of the time
perfectchaos007
Member
Relix said:
are you seeing a pocketless high pressure blocking it or something? Maybe the NHC just sees it as a weaker high than you do??? For your sake I hope there is a pocket there
I would hate to live on an island. No where to evacuate to. lol
Dead Prince
Banned
yay.
perfectchaos007
Member
Too early to tell but Earl has potential to be a New York storm! Major hurricane in New York city, thats something you don't see every day.
Well, I'm glad that I'm back home in St. Maarten to help secure things, our house is more than hurricane ready, but we got a LOT of potted plants in our big yard, took hours to move everything into safe places...
Looks like it'll pass either directly over us, or right next to us regardless - yay, it's been like since 1995 or something since I've been in a hurricane...
In Puerto Rico? Man we go vacation shopping there all the time, I can't imagine anything actually selling out there, people would really have to be losing it for that to happen.
Looks like it'll pass either directly over us, or right next to us regardless - yay, it's been like since 1995 or something since I've been in a hurricane...
darksunpr said:
In Puerto Rico? Man we go vacation shopping there all the time, I can't imagine anything actually selling out there, people would really have to be losing it for that to happen.
GregLombardi
Member
Unlikely climatologically.perfectchaos007 said:
However, this one definitely bears watching.
perfectchaos007
Member
GregLombardi said:
well yeah I know it's almost impossible for any northern east coast state to be direct hit by a storm due to the curvature of the north atlantic drift, but this one does have potential
perfectchaos007
Member
Chumly said:
New Jersey and New York City are still in the cone lol
Crap. It's getting pretty bad here. I live in the north coast a few miles west of SJ and a mile or so away from the beach. Fuuuuuck. This is worse than I expected. Heavy squalls, TStorm-like gusts, heavy rain, many places without power, downed trees, flooding. Wow. At least I have power and a generator in case but damn.
Lionheart1827
Member
Shit man I'm on Long Island. Haven't seen a big storm in a long time. Maybe if I'm lucky, work will close down. Unlucky if I have to drive in it. REALLY unlucky if it hits hard and power is out for a few days since I'll be on vacation starting that weekend + a new PS3 to play :lol Damn you Earl.
Dead Prince
Banned
it looks so beautiful *tears*
DarK SouL said:
I have a cell phone vid when I was doing some storm hunting but I missed the best part of the squall =P. Still, metro area of PR is completely frozen and stuck thanks to a useless government who wanted to continue the day as normal. Then when things progressed they canceled everything when everyone was at work or school. Idiotic. People are under tropical storm conditions in a 1 hour long bottleneck in different highways.
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