I am guessing Nintendo won't show off the Switch successor until 2025?
- Thread starter Gamer79
- Start date
asdasdasdbb
Member
No. But they could wait until August or September. This with the assumption it will release in March-April.
They could launch around CES but I think that would mean a June-July release. I don't think they can go any later than that.
(Nintendo's been rumored to want 10 million available Day 1, and the announcement has to happen before they go into mass production)
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Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
I hope they show it off this year, but I don't think they will. I don't think they'll want to cannibalize whatever holiday Switch sales they can squeeze out, since this will be the last holiday for the Switch 1.
My guess is that they'll show off the Switch 2 between January-March, with a Spring or Fall release date. I don't think they'll wait until the holiday to sell it, though, because it will invariably sell out no matter when they release it, and I'm sure they'll want to get a good handful of shipments out before Christmas.
Then again, it's Nintendo. They could fuckin' shadow drop the Switch 2 tomorrow for all we know. They be wilin'
My guess is that they'll show off the Switch 2 between January-March, with a Spring or Fall release date. I don't think they'll wait until the holiday to sell it, though, because it will invariably sell out no matter when they release it, and I'm sure they'll want to get a good handful of shipments out before Christmas.
Then again, it's Nintendo. They could fuckin' shadow drop the Switch 2 tomorrow for all we know. They be wilin'
Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
Is that true? I'm genuinely asking. Is that because once mass production starts it invariably gets leaked? Is that how they've done it in the past? That definitely makes the announcement timeline more interesting.
asdasdasdbb
Member
Yeah.
March Climber
Member
This was October 20th, 2016
Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
True. But if Switch 2 has backwards compatibility like we all assume it will, the difference in announcing it before Christmas is that many people might simply wait until the Switch 2 comes out instead of buying a Switch 1 during the holidays.
Then again, I'm thinking more like a gamer, and less like a mom. So who knows.
I do think that if they announce a Switch 2 before Christmas, they will IMMEDIATELY need to lower the price of the Switch 1 in order to capitalize on end-of-life sales.
Robb
Gold Member
I'm hoping for this year, but yeah, I'm not sure after their 13M Switch sales estimate.
I'm not convinced they'll be able to reach 13M if they announce a successor before the holiday quarter, where they make the majority of their sales each year.
Doesn't seem unlikely to me that it could be early 2025.
I'm not convinced they'll be able to reach 13M if they announce a successor before the holiday quarter, where they make the majority of their sales each year.
Doesn't seem unlikely to me that it could be early 2025.
Magic Carpet
Gold Member
I would have traded in my OLED switch the day I learn it has backwards compatibility.
The possibility that it doesn't it too great.
March Climber
Member
The only reason to try and sabotage the reveal, hype, and rollout of a brand new Nintendo console, simply to make sure the Switch sell more units, would be seen a petty reason.
Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
I mean, to be fair, that's the entire point of the business lol. Plus I'm sure that Nintendo wants the trophy of "best selling console of all-time", which they're incredibly close to achieving.
March Climber
Member
I guess time will tell what matters to them more. I'm thinking modern day Nintendo prefers money slightly more than titles.
Jeff Spicoli
Member
They will show It in October, for a March 2025 release.
Same with Switch 7 years ago.
Same with Switch 7 years ago.
Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
Oh I misunderstood what you meant in your first post. Yeah, I do see your point. Instead of the Switch 2 cannibalizing end-of-life Switch 1 sales, you're saying focusing on Switch 1 for the rest of the year could potentially hurt Switch 2 sales. Yeah, I think that's a possibility. Though I do personally think it's more likely that the Switch 2 will sell out regardless.
apple_of_enlightenment
Member
It can be in mass production and not to be leaked, which is normally the case.
justiceiro
Marlboro: Other M
After the direct, I'm inclined to agree. They have a surprising amount of games for this year and the next. However, would make no sense for them to recognize the switch 2 existence if they aren't launching this fiscal year.
Will they reveal and launch the console on the three first months of 2025? I doubt that.
Will they reveal and launch the console on the three first months of 2025? I doubt that.
Solarstrike
Member
Nobody on Earth or anywhere in the known galaxy can predict what Nintendo will do at any given time. It is theoretically impossible. What might work (and that's a big might) is if one travels into the future to see what Nintendo has done, then return without Nintendo's interdimensional suits of killer hit squads noticing.
Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
Finally, a sane answer to the question.
March Climber
Member
I have picked up on a pattern since 2001. Nintendo likes Spring and Fall/Early Winter more than summer.
Astral Dog
Member
I was wrong, they said "this fiscal year" lol, im still thinking fall since they always show something those months, maybe a teaser with the full presentation early next year
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digital_ghost
I am a closet furry. Don't you judge me.
I predict a fall showing of switch 2 and a release in March.
Robb
Gold Member
No, they've confirmed they'll show it within this fiscal year, which ends March 31, 2025.
blacktout
Member
This.
I imagine whether or not we see it this year is dependent on their planned release date.
If it is next spring, then we'll probably see at least a teaser in September or October, if not a full reveal.
If it's fall or holiday 2025, then we definitely won't see anything until early next year.
If it's next summer, then, I don't know, flip a coin.
Azelover
Titanic was called the Ship of Dreams, and it was. It really was.
It was in the past, but things are different now. Just think of how long it takes to get a smartphone out there after they announce it. We have systems today to control that kind of information.
Azelover
Titanic was called the Ship of Dreams, and it was. It really was.
Just to be clear, Furukawa said the Switch successor would be talked about by the end of the fiscal year. Not that it would be launched by then. So, spring 2025 is still within that.. the product itself could be as far off as two years or more.
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RCU005
Member
That's ridiculous. The Switch 2 will release Q1 2025, or Q2 at the latest in case something happens.
This is definitely the last calendar year of the Switch. By the end of the year we will all be talking about the Switch 2.
DownLikeBCPowder
Member
I wouldn't, if it isn't coming this year then there's no point, would just eat into your Switch hardware sales for the holiday.
Dorfdad
Gold Member
I'm with you I believe they think they can push it till fall 2025. After holidays drop price to 199.99 to clear inventory and push third party and 2 remasters or something.