Bigger fish to fry at the moment. Make no mistake I don't plan on letting nin get to the final three or anything like that ever again.there is a good reason for that Sophia
Plus if ccs flips scum nin is probably my next top read.
Bigger fish to fry at the moment. Make no mistake I don't plan on letting nin get to the final three or anything like that ever again.there is a good reason for that Sophia
Nin is... Nin
Stanley is not pressured enough. In a few hours he should be awake.
I've thought a bit about potential neutrals, but I guess you could put anyone there. Sort of looking like we have a neutral killer as neither target made much sense for town vig and double kill for scum this early feels wrong.
I also currently believe Natiko's claim, though I can see it as an adequate cover to stay alive for a neutral killer. I'm thinking a Archer like SK where the win condition is kill x amount of people.
VOTE: CCS
I decided a while ago tbh. I'm not super hopeful about him flipping scum, but like Kyan said scum aren't going to remove him from the game and I don't trust the potential neutral to do it either. Only way I could see him being cleared at this point is Kawl flipping scum. Meanwhile the conversation is undeniably stuck on him, and day 1 will be easier to analyse when his role is known.
It's interesting because Sorian was killed for no definite reason.
Of the two kills I am more inclined to believe Fran was iced by scum and Sorian by either a vig or 3p. Reason I say that is Fran was relatively quiet and thus unlikely to be protected, yet his strong push for aco would have made it very hard to build a case against him later in the game.
Lol you mean besides being sorian?
CCS is still in his my first mafia diapers.
That was kinda my conclusion too. Lynch scum first.Let's wait for another data point before making assumptions?
Doing a read through:
Was a bit confused by this. Do you mean that Natiko claiming to have lost an item would make it less likely for town to lynch him or for scum to ignore him at night? Just not sure of the what the connection is.
To bring it back, I think CCS is the new guy and Sorian is Kevin Costner. The scum team probably went for fran for the reasons CzarTim gave, while CCS may have been the one to go for one of our most experienced players. If that's the case, he's either a neutral SK or vigilante who's cost us a townie while playing pretty anti-town.
No I mean like let's see if we have two deaths tonightThat was kinda my conclusion too. Lynch scum first.
No what are you doing dude
Bigger fish to fry at the moment. Make no mistake I don't plan on letting nin get to the final three or anything like that ever again.
Plus if ccs flips scum nin is probably my next top read.
Doing a read through:
Was a bit confused by this. Do you mean that Natiko claiming to have lost an item would make it less likely for town to lynch him or for scum to ignore him at night? Just not sure of the what the connection is.
------
So it seems like most of today is focusing on CCS. Lynching him today will resolve the acohrs/CCS discussion, and allow us to look more closely at where everyone's votes were placed at the end of Day 1.
VOTE: CCS
As of right now, Kawl and Splinter are voting for him. On top of that, Bronx had a vote until he moved it to Nin, and Melon has made it clear that she intends to vote for CCS as well. Out of this group, the only new person to vote for CCS who didn't vote for him day one is Splinter.
I'm still getting a bad reading of him, but there's also something else that's kind of sticking in my mind about him. Allow me to quote a few posts....
Alright, so there's this movie called "For Love of the Game", a baseball movie staring Kevin Costner who plays an aging pitcher who is playing in his final game. Over the course of the movie, people realize that he's on his way to pitching a no-hitter. In the final inning, the rival coach sends out a rookie pinch-hitter to bat. The reason for this is because the new guy would be the least likely to be intimidated by either a talented pitcher or the significance of their last game being a no-hitter.
To bring it back, I think CCS is the new guy and Sorian is Kevin Costner. The scum team probably went for fran for the reasons CzarTim gave, while CCS may have been the one to go for one of our most experienced players. If that's the case, he's either a neutral SK or vigilante who's cost us a townie while playing pretty anti-town.
Hmmm. Defending nin seems to be a big point of interest for you. I wonder why that is.
Lol a shit post at youHmmm. Defending nin seems to be a big point of interest for you. I wonder why that is.
Yes because waiting for anything non nonsensical to come from nin is bound to be productive for town.I wanted to hear Nin's "good reason" from his own mouth, but it's pointless now that Kawl stepped in and gave Nin an out. :
Yes because waiting for anything non nonsensical to come from nin is bound to be productive for town.
That's a decent point. Maybe it's x-shot and terrified scum decided to use it quickly.No I mean like let's see if we have two deaths tonight
Lol a shit post at you
And a post saying if my preferred lynch is scum nin is next at the top of my list and saying regardless of his alignment I don't plan on letting a nin get to end game.
Yea damn I guess nin doesn't even need to post with me running interference so smoothly.
:lol
All this hostility and defensiveness. It's telling.Yes because waiting for anything non nonsensical to come from nin is bound to be productive for town.
All this hostility and defensiveness. It's telling.
Final vote count for Day 1:
natiko (0)
sorian 244(264)
splinter (0)
melonrabbit 245(756)
sorian (0)
ty4on 246(547)
sophia 323(477)
acohrs 669(889)
acohrs 1018(1091)
melonrabbit (0)
bronx-man 251(491)
cabot 765(811)
czartim 774(903)
kyanrute 931(1089)
sophia (2)
pop-o-matic 253
czartim 364(585)
ty4on 827(1098)
czartim 903(1083)
ccs 991
bronx-man (0)
sorian 264(453)
cabot (0)
ccs 268(377)
kawl_usc 471(751)
*splinter 545(1069)
magnumboy20xx (0)
acohrs 277(388)
czartim 585(591)
acohrs (8)
natiko 362(427)
sorian 456(516)
natiko 590(1099)
franconp 770
acohrs 889(997)
cabot 979(1103)
sorian 1048
*splinter 1069
nin1000 1081
czartim 1083
kyanrute 1089
ty4on 1098
sophia 1101
kawl_usc (0)
cabot 370(612)
sophia 477(693)
sorian 516(583)
kawl_usc 751(865)
absolutbro (1)
ccs 377(658)
cabot 612(765)
magnumboy20xx 664
kawl (0)
acohrs 409(499)
acorhs (0)
sorian 453(456)
pop-o-matic (0)
stanleypalmtree 563(829)
cabot 811(916)
stanleypalmtree (0)
ty4on 564(827)
ty4on (0)
sorian 583(1048)
czartim 591(633)
ccs 658(801)
ccs 830(873)
ccs (6)
melonrabbit 756
stanleypalmtree 829
kawl_usc 865
ccs 873(991)
bronx-man 987
sophia 1007(1101)
ynnek7 1062
acohrs 1091
absolutbro 1092(1106)
nin1000 (0)
cabot 916(979)
lol your desperation it reeks
You gonna take any post seriously or are you just gonna keep deflecting for the rest of D2?
First things first, I want to apologise for not being as active as I should have in this game so far. I probably should have paid more attention to the thread and posted more. With that being said, I will definitely be more helpful as I now have something concrete to work with: final day vote results!
Let's look at the votes that occurred at the end of the day phase. By post 1069, acohrs had 5 votes(natiko,franconp,Cabot,sorian,and *splinter)while ccs had 6(melonrabbit,stanleypalmtree,kawl_usc,bronx-man,Sophia,and ynnek7). As the end of the phase drew near, nin1000,czartim,and kyanrute all voted for acohrs giving him 8 votes to ccs' 6. This is when things get interesting. Acohrs votes for ccs claiming that he is creating a tie, but all his vote does is make it 7 votes for ccs and 8 votes for him. The votes only become tied one post later when absolutbro also votes for ccs. The tie is broken by ty4on,who votes for acohrs, but is restored a post later when natiko unvotes. The tie is then broken for good when Sophia switches her vote from ccs to acohrs at the last second. Both Cabot and absolutbro unvote, but the unvotes wouldn't have mattered since they just cancel each other out.
So what does this tell us? It tells us one detail that I think we would have missed otherwise: The now confirmed scum, acohrs didn't create the tie, absolutbro did!
Why did acohrs claim to make a tie when his vote clearly didn't? Did he make a mistake by miscounting? Possibly, but I think that the mistake he made wasn't that but rather posting too early. If he had posted right after absolutbro, he would have caused a tie, just like he claimed he did. If the mafia wanted to cause a tie this should be how it would have gone down, with the shady player seemingly capitalizing on the opportunity to tie. Instead it was the other way around, with the shady player making the opportunity and the player nowhere near the chopping block making the tie. This might be why absolutbro unvoted dispite the fact that it would do nothing to the result, it made it seem like his earlier vote was a accident rather then on purpose. It's because of this that I think absolutbro is mafia.
vote: absolutbro
I know that my vote on him and the reasoning behind it last day phase was weak, even I can admit that. But this time, after going through the vote results multiple times, this is what I found. I know that it sounds like a bluff straight out of Ace attorney, but like those bluffs I'm going to ride this vote out to find the truth!
My thoughts when reading it. Looked to me like Kyan ninja'd him.While taking the time to do this makes me feel a little better about you - I will play devil's advocate by pointing out that kyan's vote on acohrs which created the two vote gap came only two posts prior to acohrs' vote trying to tie it up. I think he just didn't see kyan's vote prior to going in and typing his out. I find that more likely than scum team biffing coordinated votes that poorly, especially since it would draw so much attention to them both.
raid night last night so I didn't really read the thread well. Going to get some breakfast and caffeine and come back. Going to be "awesome" trying to keep up with this thread though.
OK moving on swiftly from my prior mistake, let's try a real prod vote. So who hasn't commented yet? Cabot says splinter, Kawl, and absolutbro. Splinter and Absolut have commented, so just gotta get back on the horse!
vote: Kawl
What are your thoughts on this game? Is ramen a godlike dish?
Isn't his scum play kinda quiet? Last time I saw him scum in forum disguise was Love Boat, but I've played against him in live games where he's more quiet when scum.
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XX:54
XX:56
You're fast
Actually was going to vote absolut and started writing that but it took several minutes since I was on phone. Went back to thread to check the correct names and saw new posts and that absolut had posted. Instead of scrapping the post, just switched it to Kawl without checking for prior prods hence the mistake...
Does anyone recall acohrs' insistence on pushing an inactive lynch D1? While I think one of the scum could fall in that group I doubt there's more than that. I don't think I'll put a vote down in that group today. I'd sooner lynch CCS.
I feel your pain. During my first game in Persona I lost a really long post I had typed due to my phone refreshing out of nowhere. Ever since then I've started copying all of the text anytime I navigate to a different tab on mobile lol
That's what I normally do. But I went completely stupid there. Made sure I didn't make that mistake twice.
For the most part, the two bolded are what really stand out as far as I could tell. He named four people who he kind of threw shade on there in Absolut, Magnum, Ynnek, and Nin, but never really pushed more on them as far as I could tell.
That being said, knowing what we know now this exchange sticks out a bit to me. Perhaps acohrs knew AbsolutBro would be checking in and was already preparing the Kawl push hoping it may catch some steam?
I feel your pain. During my first game in Persona I lost a really long post I had typed due to my phone refreshing out of nowhere. Ever since then I've started copying all of the text anytime I navigate to a different tab on mobile lol
That's what I normally do. But I went completely stupid there. Made sure I didn't make that mistake twice.
For the most part, the two bolded are what really stand out as far as I could tell. He named four people who he kind of threw shade on there in Absolut, Magnum, Ynnek, and Nin, but never really pushed more on them as far as I could tell.
Get auto refresh when scrolling up the fuck out of your browser. There's a Chrome flag for remving it.
I hate Chrome so much for that. Not only on by default, but disabling it is way harder than it should be.
You are really making me rethink if lynching you is truly as much a waste as I think it would be.I have no pride, no shame, no honour. I thought that was clear.
The votes only become tied one post later when absolutbro also votes for ccs. The tie is broken by ty4on,who votes for acohrs, but is restored a post later when natiko unvotes. The tie is then broken for good when Sophia switches her vote from ccs to acohrs at the last second. Both Cabot and absolutbro unvote, but the unvotes wouldn't have mattered since they just cancel each other out.
So what does this tell us? It tells us one detail that I think we would have missed otherwise: The now confirmed scum, acohrs didn't create the tie, absolutbro did!
Why did acohrs claim to make a tie when his vote clearly didn't? Did he make a mistake by miscounting? Possibly, but I think that the mistake he made wasn't that but rather posting too early. If he had posted right after absolutbro, he would have caused a tie, just like he claimed he did. If the mafia wanted to cause a tie this should be how it would have gone down, with the shady player seemingly capitalizing on the opportunity to tie. Instead it was the other way around, with the shady player making the opportunity and the player nowhere near the chopping block making the tie. This might be why absolutbro unvoted dispite the fact that it would do nothing to the result, it made it seem like his earlier vote was a accident rather then on purpose. It's because of this that I think absolutbro is mafia.
vote: absolutbro
He posted, and I am not one for OMGUS votes, so:I will prod though.
Actually what happened was I hit the extra mouse button that's bound to "Go back" and it went back to a version of the post that had basically nothing. And it ate the post when I tried to go forward. ;_;
Stanley: No offense, but you're usually a lot more helpful during games like these. All you've done so far is just post fluff. It's fine to do that at the start of D1 like everyone else, but we're almost at the end of D2 now. If you're not scum, then you're definitely playing as bad town right now.
Seeding the ground for his later vote shenanigans and missing the target.I swear every game I'm in these are the same comments I get. D1 is my weak spot. I don't like going off D1 gut feelings, even though eventually I will get a vote down. It's also the weekend, and I have farm stuff to do that I cannot do when I'm working during the week.
The Stanley read is all fluff. The acohrs one reeks of "Let me throw a few pot shots at my teammate but then not actually follow through on it".I'm having to collect this from reading the .net site, and then posting from mobile so apologies if my quotes break or something. I am back in the office, and have a couple meetings this morning (now over), but will be around until 1530 EST. Will try to be useful. I'm reading the thread from the top and making notes/reads as I go, so apologies if some of this is repetitive. I also can't use the post count/search features, so apologies again if this is scattered.
StanleyPalmtree - Kind of chatty for Stan, actually.
Acohrs - Can't tell if it's new player jitters or just trying to keep up with some of the bigger posters. Random posts all over the place, but nothing that immediately reads "smoke screen" to me.
There were a couple posts pg7/pg14 about my play style and yeah, I am really not great at the early game. I wanted to work on that this game, but with the game starting on a Friday and going over the weekend I just couldn't get here as much as I wanted to.
So you made a mistake by not following the vote count because you had multiple tabs open tracking the thread and missed..the votes..? Perhaps these multiple tabs you were tracking weren't explicitly the game thread.I voted late, and by pure chance voted during Acohrs's vote. I even explained in my vote why I picked CCS over Acohrs, even though I wasn't sure either was scum. My vote and unvote (when I realized my vote caused a mess), were two GAF minutes apart, and given GAF's minute post timer I unvoted as fast as I could.
And before you ask, I unvoted because "Unvote" is faster to type the "Vote: Acohrs" when I was up against the time limit.
FWIW though I agree with you here. I cannot imagine both Acohrs AND CCS are scum, otherwise why discuss Rugby of all things in the game thread and not scum chat?
I made a mistake during end day, honestly. I had multiple tabs open trying to track the thread while I posted. It is how I ended up posting a count that was wrong by the time I posted it.
This post made me townread Sorian a bit, he picked up on Ty's posts in the same way I did.
I think the random Stan read is interesting. I've liked Stan's posts so far (particularly how easily he dismissed my joke vote on cabot) but I don't know if I agree that he's been "normal". Sorian can elaborate on what you meant by that?
Ok so this explanation is sticking out to me a bit because I can't agree with it. I feel like Stan is trying a bit harder than usual. Not so much that I think he's scum but enough that I disagree with you calling him his normal self.
Oh yeah, other reads.
Stan I mentioned yesterday felt a little different to usual, some disagreed but I don't think I'm the only one that noticed it. That subtle change combined with his vote earns him a scumread from me.
Everyone else is varying degrees of null. AB gets a mention for his vote but tbh I'm waiting until CCS flips before I really try and analyse that stuff.
Dude, calm down. Those are the only reads I have right now. Though acohrs is looking pretty fishy to me tbh.
Anyways, onto some reads while I'm 10,000 ft in the sky:
acohrs: Maybe my memory's fucking with me but I don't remember you doing the whole "I'm just a helpless skrub, please take pity on me, fellow townies" schtick during Pop Mafia. Hell, you were probably one of the most cunning scum during that game.
But then that makes me wonder, if he was scum, surely he wouldn't be acting as sloppy as he is right now? Just acting weird in general, gonna have to keep an eye on him.
"Boy this acohrs guy really feels suspect to me, better vote CCS instead for no real reason and then deal with acohrs tomorrow!"Vote: CCS
It's come down to these two, and frankly, acohrs is playing a lot more sloppily here compared to Pop Mafia where he actually was scum. But if CCS flips town, I will vote for acohrs on D2.
Shout out to mentioning AB and then never worrying about it again.AB is someone I've got my eye on for not posting that much. Though if I used "not posting a lot" and "doesn't like D1's" for voting someone scum, I'd probably be a tremendous hypocrite.
What even are these reads. "Here's a few people that I won't assign anything to, but let me throw a few shots out just in case I need to use this as proof later that I wasn't on their side. Oh and here's a few safe town picks." Either those top three reads are garbage or they're your scum reads and you forgot to specify which might be even more suspect given CCS would be in that group and you had the flip flopping incident before.Apologies, apologies for not posting this last night like I wanted to. Reads:
nin: Going back to D1, I remember now that when Sorian came at me for my joke post, he took it pretty seriously. Everyone else saw it as a joke for what is was, everyone except for nin that is. Sorian turned out to be town, but this and the whole "Bronx is usually playing scared" comment don't sit right with me. If he wasn't trying to start a potential train on me, it feels almost like he's trying to signal it for someone else.
Stanley: No offense, but you're usually a lot more helpful during games like these. All you've done so far is just post fluff. It's fine to do that at the start of D1 like everyone else, but we're almost at the end of D2 now. If you're not scum, then you're definitely playing as bad town right now.
CCS: Again, you were one of the two players I had the strongest reads on at the end of D2. I said myself that the odds of you and acohrs both being scum are unlikely, but I won't rule it out entirely.
Lean town: Sophia, Cabot, Ty
Null on everyone else. Though melon is someone I need to study on for a while.
Acohrs? Acorhs? Achtol- dog person is playing the *im new at this and you all sound like crazy people so take pity on me card* (yes, some of that is me projecting) and to be honest i think im buying it, for now at least. most thanks to them continuing to be somewhat outspoken in the face of their mistakes, rather than hiding away.
That looks like "busy work" to me
VOTE: StanleyPalmtree
yeah pretty much
Im finding myself turning around on Acohrs, the many people recounting his apparently strong play in his only previous game has me doubting my initial belief of the whole Inexperience excuse. That and his big accusation against sorian just read like complete bull, not feeling full scum vibes just yet, but it is certainly heading in that direction.
"I don't think acohrs is scum. Actually maybe he is scum..heading that way at least. lol jk super not scum for reasons". Stan manages to get all the way to completely clearing acohrs as scum while ALSO voting for CCS for taking part in a conversation that acohrs ALSO took place in. Boy that sure seems odd.seems like the most suspicion/votes at this point are pointing toward Achors and Ty4on?
with the 'inexperienced' defense kinda shattered, i definitely dont like Achors play very much, only im stuck with the constant thought that it feels way to bad to be scum, like, the big push against sorian earlier was just impotent, seemingly desperate, instincts a yelling at me that it would be a just terrible play for a scum to make.
yeah, shit, 360 time, iv convinced myself i dont think Achors is scum.
looking back over more of Ty4ons posts ......
well i mean the arguments against him make sense, i just dont see it.
gah! duck it, this probably not gona go anywhere but
vote: CCS
painfully noncommittal play the entire day, and that whole rugby thing, has just left me with nothing but the bad vibes.
side note, Fran is getting vague bad feelings about me. now i dont usually like to make calls based on a players previous games, but with Fran this makes me almost certain that he's town.
Stan, could you elaborate on your meta point about Fran? I don't follow.
"Oh silly Fran, of course you get weird feelings from me! I'm town like always! I pinky swear."In the games we have played together fran ended up heavily suspecting me for very weird and illogical reasons, and he was town both times.
it would honestly worry me if he felt i was town.
Good call, got some criticism in on your teammate all while pushing it off for later AND blending him in with someone innocent. Though oddly I wonder if anyone else has done something similar..also Absolut and Magnumboy feel off, kinda like non-presences, however that could likely be down to me just not paying much attention to them earlier, will likely go back through the thread to get a better read of them.
2. Magnum/Absolut/Ynnek/Nin - all have posted enough to be active but just trying to keep head down and stay undetected, my guess is one of them is a scum PR that is a x number of shots killer that wants to keep their head down for a day or two so they can use their PR.
Acohrs never interacted (= never voted / quoted / referenced the following persons): Stanley, Splinter and Pop. In addition to those three, both Ynnek and Absolut got one and only mention and that was Acohrs's scum read post.
Well sorry that took so long (not that much has happened in the meantime), I was playing games on the side and that led to it taking forever.
nin1000 - My second guess at a possible neutral. Just in general seems to enjoy posting fluff. Not sure scum would want this big of a spotlight on them so I'm going null for now.
yeah good luck with that.
also you missed the part where i said that im very sure that Bronx-man is town, im sure you could have a field day with that.
Lots of good stuff I haven't picked up on there, Natiko.
I'd like Stan and Bronx to offer a response to your analysis.
oh like an actual response, not a joke?
alrighty then.
well props to Nat that nothing he has brought up here is a straight up lie, just a whole whole lot of twisting things to suit his narrative, one that requires many significant assumptions to be believed.
the only solid thing he had against me was my town reading of achors, which yeah, i was completely wrong about, but that shit happens.
seems like every other point requires you to believe that at least 1 of his own reads are just blatantly correct.
I mean if you're not playing with the idea that your reads are correct, then what are you doing?
Well, given that the item is beneficial to town, I think we can agree that the person who gave it to Natiko is not scum; they will either be town or a town-aligned neutral. Occam's Razor to me says town.
So we have a town item giver. Why would the thief, then, be town? It would be a town thief stealing from (hopefully) town players, given items by another town player. That makes no sense, as it removes agency from the town item-giver.
The only way a town thief makes sense is if there are scum item-givers or scum players that start with items. Neither of which are likely scenarios given:
1. A scum item giver would not give a town player an item that is beneficial to them. Scum wants to kill town, not help them.
2. A town-thief would have to be extremely lucky to steal from a scum-item-starter. And given the only items I have seen (in Star Wars, granted) were one-shot, it would mean the town thief would have to steal a one-shot item from a scum player before the scum player used it.
So the thief is, at the very least, unlikely to be town-aligned give that there is a far, far greater chance that the item-giver is a town player.
While I think CCS is town, I too would sort of like the logic of the vote explained. Why Sophia?
Sorry, this confuses me a bit. How can you trust that Sorian is right?
Again, all I have to go on is Star Wars, but there were two types of items in Star Wars: Shields (1 shot bulletproof) and Blasters (1 shot kill command). The Shields were passive and presumably would have worked the night they were received. The Blasters required a command to be submitted, so I would guess if an item requires a command there would have been no time to issue the command. (Since commands tend to all be resolved at the end of the phase, rather than as received.)
While I am curious what the item is, I think we also have to consider if the item-giver has other types of items. And whether or not it is worth giving out details of items this early. Scum will get that information also, after all.