Looks like only 1.2 Million of Switch 2 are going to be available on launch day in Japan

Mine has been dispatched but suspect Nintendo will put a hold on it until 5th June with Royal Mail (those fucks cannot deliver 1st class mail on time let alone Tracked 24 stuff so we'll see)

I wish it was DPD but alas, not to be.
 
1.2 millions is already a ton for launch for only Japan.

I think we don't realize how well planed all the logistics and manufacturing of the console are for the launch worldwide.
 
To think we still have people on this forum predicting it's going to bomb and need a 3DS style price drop after the first year.

Just lmao.
To be fair the console costs about the same as the Switch 1 in Japan, which is not the case elsewhere
 
outsell steemdeck in jarpan in a weeks ahahahahoohoh
Steamdeck and pc handhelds popularity is massively overblown.

It's one of the reasons switch 2 will have far more optimised games for it.

We had amphere estimate pc handhelds in total sold something like 6 million+ so far, if that is true nintendo will outsell all pc handhelds withing the first few months.
 
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"only" 1.2mil is crazy
People often overlook just how big the Switch is in Japan. The console sold around 35 million. That means of every 4 people in the country, one has a Switch (I know, it's a simplification).

I was in Japan this April and the Switch was the only system that was everywhere. Don Quixote, non-videogame stores, even konbini sometimes. The other consoles? You would need to go to videogame stores or big places like Bic or Yodobashi and even then they had like 1/4 of the space.

I just read the Switch sold 300k in its launch weekend but I don't know... I think 2 million for the Switch 2 would be achievable
 
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I think the Japanese will find a way out of this situation.
They have experience in solving such problems...
MV5BNjdlYzJlYzMtMWU3Yi00Y2FjLWJhYmUtNjM3YzdjYzZkOWMwXkEyXkFqcGc@._V1_FMjpg_UX1000_.jpg

P.S - Everything will be fine, this amount will be enough for them for the starting week, and then they will bring more.
 
They really could (should) be doing like 4-5 million at least.
I hope you realize that it is a balance of manufacturing and stockpiling. They need to be making a steady amount of units each month because you can't easily add or subtract capacity. It also is very expensive to store units that are not being sold. They are probably also prioritizing getting units shipped to the US to avoid the crazy man's tariff uncertainty.
 
i think Switch 2 will do fine in the first year or so, but I'm really questioning how it will perform in the long term especially if the tariffs do affect the price later on as rumored. I just don't see it approaching anywhere near the sales of Switch even if the price remains the same.
 
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Nintendo declared the war to scalpers.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/corporate/release/2025/250527.html

Translation

Initiatives to prevent fraudulent listing of Nintendo products on flea market sites


Nintendo Co., Ltd. (headquarters: Minami-ku, Kyoto City; Representative Director and President: Shuntaro Furukawa; hereinafter referred to as "Nintendo") has agreed to cooperate with three flea market site operators, Mercari, Inc., LINE Yahoo Japan Corporation, and Rakuten Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as the "Three Service Providers"), in an effort to prevent fraudulent listings of Nintendo-related products, including the Nintendo Switch 2, which will be released on June 5, 2025.

Nintendo and the three service providers will take measures to combat fraudulent listings of Nintendo-related products, including Nintendo Switch 2, that violate each service provider's terms of use, including by having the service providers proactively remove listings and by establishing a collaborative system for information sharing.
I really hope they win. I despise this practice so much that I'd be perfectly fine with companies mandating Social Security numbers or equivalent identification for purchases.
 
America gets them all. Tariff fears were really trump blessing gamers with stock.
The proportion for NA is always higher because the market is larger. They're putting product where it needs to be according to demand and sales forecasts. It's not because of tariffs. The launch units were manufactured months ago and have essentially just been sitting in a warehouse waiting to be shipped to stores.
 
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Steamdeck and pc handhelds popularity is massively overblown.

It's one of the reasons switch 2 will have far more optimised games for it.

We had amphere estimate pc handhelds in total sold something like 6 million+ so far, if that is true nintendo will outsell all pc handhelds withing the first few months.
It's because they are loved by core hobby gamers and discussed on niche internet gaming sites. These guys are in total denial thinking everyone buys things because for the same reasons they do. And also feel the wider market is interested in graphics and frame rates. When in reality the masses just buy things they like and have fun with them. Most people do not know the Steam Deck and other handheld portable pc's even exist.
 
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i think Switch 2 will do fine in the first year or so, but I'm really questioning how it will perform in the long term especially if the tariffs do affect the price later on as rumored. I just don't see it approaching anywhere near the sales of Switch even if the price remains the same.
Any evidence or statistics for this?.... Or is this just your own personal prediction.
 
Mine has been dispatched but suspect Nintendo will put a hold on it until 5th June with Royal Mail (those fucks cannot deliver 1st class mail on time let alone Tracked 24 stuff so we'll see)

I wish it was DPD but alas, not to be.
You might have a chance of getting this a little earlier. The logistics of getting very Switch on launch day is not really feasible. Hopefully you get your sooner rather than after launch day. Only issue I can see with getting the console sooner is there will be a launch day patch for the system that will not be available until launch day. And of course the day one patches for games etc. Not sure you will be able to use the console until launch day.
 
You might have a chance of getting this a little earlier. The logistics of getting very Switch on launch day is not really feasible. Hopefully you get your sooner rather than after launch day. Only issue I can see with getting the console sooner is there will be a launch day patch for the system that will not be available until launch day. And of course the day one patches for games etc. Not sure you will be able to use the console until launch day.
Yeah maybe it hasnt moved from this though to be fair.

svznJJX.jpeg
 
i think Switch 2 will do fine in the first year or so, but I'm really questioning how it will perform in the long term especially if the tariffs do affect the price later on as rumored. I just don't see it approaching anywhere near the sales of Switch even if the price remains the same.
Depends more on the games, like every console ever

Even by the third year it was hit after hit with the original Switch. If Nintendo got the full production of great games, chances are that the console will do great

...maybe not as great the first one, but hey, doing great is a win win scenario
 
Any evidence or statistics for this?.... Or is this just your own personal prediction.
More like a prediction. I think at $449 to $499, it will sell adequately at least for the first year or two, but after that I'm not really sure honestly. Switch was accessible and popular mostly because of its reasonable price, exclusives and lack of competition in the portable market. Now it's as expensive as the competitors with $70-$80 games, less power and there are other similar portable platforms available that offer a very similar experience. Nintendo did mention something about tariffs potentially raising the price of the Switch 2 in the not so distant future as well, but we'll see what happens.




Nintendo will not take a lose for hardware most likely, but if they want to stay competitive if the tariffs do affect them, they may not have a choice if they want to sell units.
 
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it was probably also to have a big launch lineup of third party games.

it's not like they had to rush it out, the Switch 1 is still selling ok.

I think it's because Nintendo's been struggling with their first party games. If they had launched last year, would Mario Kart or Donkey Kong even of been ready?

If Nintendo thinks the console price is a real problem I think you will see the Lite model sooner rather than later.
 
I think it's because Nintendo's been struggling with their first party games. If they had launched last year, would Mario Kart or Donkey Kong even HAVE been ready?

If Nintendo thinks the console price is a real problem I think you will see the Lite model sooner rather than later.

Mario Kart was probably mostly polished up for half a year at least. I don't think that was an issue

Nintendo usually sits on games for months until they release them.
 
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It's because they are loved by core hobby gamers and discussed on niche internet gaming sites. These guys are in total denial thinking everyone buys things because for the same reasons they do. And also feel the wider market is interested in graphics and frame rates. When in reality the masses just buy things they like and have fun with them. Most people do not know the Steam Deck and other handheld portable pc's even exist.

The PC handheld tinkering experience..



The mainstream crowd :

Doc Rivers Reaction GIF
 
More like a prediction. I think at $449 to $499, it will sell adequately at least for the first year or two, but after that I'm not really sure honestly. Switch was accessible and popular mostly because of its reasonable price, exclusives and lack of competition in the portable market. Now it's as expensive as the competitors with $70-$80 games, less power and there are other similar portable platforms available that offer a very similar experience. Nintendo did mention something about tariffs potentially raising the price of the Switch 2 in the not so distant future as well, but we'll see what happens.




Nintendo will not take a lose for hardware most likely, but if they want to stay competitive if the tariffs do affect them, they may not have a choice if they want to sell units.
Other platforms doesn't mean shit. Price might though, but Nintendo can just lower that to increase sales - I'm thinking 3DS situation.
 
More like a prediction. I think at $449 to $499, it will sell adequately at least for the first year or two, but after that I'm not really sure honestly. Switch was accessible and popular mostly because of its reasonable price, exclusives and lack of competition in the portable market. Now it's as expensive as the competitors with $70-$80 games, less power and there are other similar portable platforms available that offer a very similar experience. Nintendo did mention something about tariffs potentially raising the price of the Switch 2 in the not so distant future as well, but we'll see what happens.




Nintendo will not take a lose for hardware most likely, but if they want to stay competitive if the tariffs do affect them, they may not have a choice if they want to sell units.
How many do you predict Nintendo will sell?
 
No way they can make that many for launch.
Launch day? If Japan is getting 1.2 million, USA alone is probably close to double that. Add in Europe and the rest of the world you get to 4 million very easily. Reports were manufacturing started around September of last year, they have been literally stockpiling for almost 9 months.

This thing could very easily sell 10 million in 2-3 months. 5 million in a month is quite possible. Nintendo is used to producing 15-20 million consoles per year. Switch 2 is coming out swinging. This is not Wii U, they are not launching with another Mario 2D game and Nintendoland. They are launching with the first new Mario Kart game in over a decade, and the last one sold 60+ million copies.

DK Bonanza a month after that, first 3D DK game in almost 20 years. Then there is Prime 4, 17 fucking years since the last one. They are aping their fan base, they want the same reaction to Switch 2 as Switch 1. Gather the core, and let the rest follow.
 
Launch day? If Japan is getting 1.2 million, USA alone is probably close to double that. Add in Europe and the rest of the world you get to 4 million very easily. Reports were manufacturing started around September of last year, they have been literally stockpiling for almost 9 months.

This thing could very easily sell 10 million in 2-3 months. 5 million in a month is quite possible. Nintendo is used to producing 15-20 million consoles per year. Switch 2 is coming out swinging. This is not Wii U, they are not launching with another Mario 2D game and Nintendoland. They are launching with the first new Mario Kart game in over a decade, and the last one sold 60+ million copies.

DK Bonanza a month after that, first 3D DK game in almost 20 years. Then there is Prime 4, 17 fucking years since the last one. They are aping their fan base, they want the same reaction to Switch 2 as Switch 1. Gather the core, and let the rest follow.

They have the triggers/traps set for every taste of gamer.

A little hardware sales boost on every tentpole game.
 
How many do you predict Nintendo will sell?
They will probably sell out the first year especially because it's new, hyped hardware with serious brand recognition, so maybe around 15 million in the first year? Second year? Maybe 8 to 10 million perhaps. Lifetime? Depends on if Nintendo are competitive with pricing and don't screw things up too much with their decision making I feel.

Seems like Sony is getting aggressive with PS5 pricing, but I wonder for how long? I doubt Switch 2 will come remotely close to the Switch sales which I think is around 150 million currently unless a noticeable price drop happens, but I could be wrong. Generously speaking, for lifetime sales I think a little less than half the original Switch numbers is pragmatic with the current price and state of the economy.
 
Launch day? If Japan is getting 1.2 million, USA alone is probably close to double that. Add in Europe and the rest of the world you get to 4 million very easily. Reports were manufacturing started around September of last year, they have been literally stockpiling for almost 9 months.

This thing could very easily sell 10 million in 2-3 months. 5 million in a month is quite possible. Nintendo is used to producing 15-20 million consoles per year. Switch 2 is coming out swinging. This is not Wii U, they are not launching with another Mario 2D game and Nintendoland. They are launching with the first new Mario Kart game in over a decade, and the last one sold 60+ million copies.

DK Bonanza a month after that, first 3D DK game in almost 20 years. Then there is Prime 4, 17 fucking years since the last one. They are aping their fan base, they want the same reaction to Switch 2 as Switch 1. Gather the core, and let the rest follow.

That's just so hard to believe. I get it....9 months is a good amount of time, but isn't that normal for most new console launches?

They will probably sell out the first year especially because it's new, hyped hardware with serious brand recognition, so maybe around 15 million in the first year? Second year? Maybe 8 to 10 million perhaps. Lifetime? Depends on if Nintendo are competitive with pricing and don't screw things up too much with their decision making I feel.

Seems like Sony is getting aggressive with PS5 pricing, but I wonder for how long? I doubt Switch 2 will come remotely close to the Switch sales which I think is around 150 million currently unless a noticeable price drop happens, but I could be wrong. Generously speaking, for lifetime sales I think a little less than half the original Switch numbers is pragmatic with the current price and state of the economy.

The Switch 2 should be able to do 100 million EASY! If these launch numbers are true.
 
They will probably sell out the first year especially because it's new, hyped hardware with serious brand recognition, so maybe around 15 million in the first year? Second year? Maybe 8 to 10 million perhaps. Lifetime? Depends on if Nintendo are competitive with pricing and don't screw things up too much with their decision making I feel.

Seems like Sony is getting aggressive with PS5 pricing, but I wonder for how long? I doubt Switch 2 will come remotely close to the Switch sales which I think is around 150 million currently unless a noticeable price drop happens, but I could be wrong. Generously speaking, for lifetime sales I think a little less than half the original Switch numbers is pragmatic with the current price and state of the economy.
Well even on the Wii U, 3DS generation thet still managed to shift around 90 million consoles. So I would guess north of 100 million at least.
 
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