GregLombardi
Member
Expeditions have long been confirmed to be in Oath, since the announcement of BFZ I believe. They're a different set of 20 Expeditions though so they're not reprinting the same ones. The amount of play that, for instance, the Fetches see is orders of magnitude greater than the Duals and as such the floor for special printings of foils like that is still pretty high. The likelihood of a reprint in the next 3-4 years is basically nil.
Didn't know it was confirmed that expeditions are getting reprinted...so are they just different art? Keep in mind though, some of the play that fetches see is directly related to the Duals themselves. Both are very powerful effects, they are extremely powerful when put together especially.
Growth of original Duals = (Partial) Growth of Magic + Inflation + Growth of Commander + Growth of Legacy + Growth of Vintage. I agree the last 2 are very small, but 1 and 3 should make you stop and think.Commander is realistically the only real driver for growth here as the other two formats aren't growing anywhere near the speed of Commander or, say, Modern. Since EDH is a singleton format it doesn't drive prices nearly as quickly so growth will be modest at best. Now, if I were getting out of Duals I would probably keep one of each so that I could play with them in EDH in the future but there's realistically no reason to hold onto more than that if you're either A) Not using them in multiple EDH decks and value not switching cards between decks more than the value those cards represent or B) Regularly playing Legacy/Vintage/Casual with the cards.
I agree here. It is highly unlikely. Still, Wizards may have a few things to say about Legacy without reprinting the dual lands. Things that change the format significantly.There's literally no possibility of this happening. One of the primary reasons for the creation of Modern and Wizards promotion of the format over Legacy/Vintage is the Reserved List. Now, if Wizards were to "merge" Duals into Modern as you're saying they would have to reprint them into the format, basically nixing the Reserved List as we know it and infuriating a lot of Stores and Collectors at the same time. So either Duals somehow find their way into Modern via a reprint and thus their price is, at least for a time, reduced because of the massively increased supply or they stay as is and see very modest growth annually until either Legacy/Vintage peter out (unlikely) or the concerns over Reserved List card authenticity degrade confidence such that it sparks a price correction of some sort.
I think the first statement here is highly difficult to prove. I was able to spot a counterfeit lotus on Ebay without even zooming in on the picture. There are also tons of other methods used to verify counterfeits. It is a problem, but I think to start your argument with "they are being reprinted" makes a whole host of assumptions that are a little bit difficult to swallow. My argument is that original duals are a safer "hold" than expeditions...Wizards can do whatever they want with expeditions, and likely will. Printing more of different art (assuming they aren't different cards), actually decreases the value of expeditions in some way since, although they are more unique, you can basically have your pick of the litter and don't need all of them.The thing is, they are being reprinted. It's just by Chinese counterfeiters in smaller batches instead of by WOTC. The only way trading out of a card can go wrong is if you end up wanting to trade back into the card in the future and the card is now considerably more valuable compared to the net value (in whatever combination of financial, sentimental, or functional) you got from the original trade. That's it. Obviously if you have authentic Alpha Duals, Power Nine, or something along those lines I'd be a bit more hesitant about trading out but with cards printed after ABU, like Revised Duals and FoW, the financial burden created by getting back in at a later date isn't so considerable that I'd value that over actually getting to play Magic. Ideally I'd be trading into cards like Modern staples that I was reasonably sure would retain most of their value over time if I decided to swap back into the Legacy cards.