Before my last day of work, I got a ride home from a coworker.JordanN one of my colleagues was tested because he was exposed to someone infected and he tested positive. his only symptom was headache.
Proving that locking people away from others works. They closed air travel in and out before a single death had occurred.
Now we need to bend it. Ideally it would look like a penis, but we're miles past that.Perhaps some good news?
The global curve is flattening.
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It's a contagious disease. Of course locking people away from each other 'works' to limit spread. Shooting everybody that tests positive and burning their corpse would also limit spread, if limiting spread is your only priority.
It is not my only priority. I also want to retain my rights. And more importantly, I do not believe 100% spread reduction is actually best case scenario. I would argue you want limited, controlled spread across a population. Deal with hot spots as they arise, sure, to prevent hospital overload, but otherwise allow people to proceed with life and social distancing.
New Zealand will open up at some point, and nobody will be immune. A similar state which has controlled spread will have some amount of immune populace and likely reduce the strain of wave 2.
And the reason your comparison to Colorado is hilarious is because of said point. Yes, NZ can close it airports and ports and close up. What the hell is Colorado going to do? Have State Troopers on every highway in with orders to shoot to kill? Ridiculous. If NZ didn't have lower numbers than any inland state it would be a sign of catastrophic failure on NZ's part... but Colorado having more deaths than NZ is not a sign of failure, but of common sense.
With the recently surfacing information
- 30 different mutations already
- No proof of immunity
- Possible reinfections
- Vaccine unlikely due to first point
- Medications not helping
I am trying to imagine what the endgame will look like. Previously people had this mental image of vaccines rolling out in 2021 and people beating the virus, society returning to normal.
That scenario seems unlikely now. So what will the future of humanity look like, if the above is indeed true?
It would seem that the virus will keep ravaging through society permanently. People keep getting ill time and again and some of the patients will die each round. The average age and lifespan of humans will drop significantly. People will strive to escape cities to reduce their chances for reinfections. Enormous hospitals will become a permanent feature of the society. We all will know that eventually we all are bound to get the 'bad one' and die.
Eventually society will be segregated by testing and gated communities will form -anyone entering the society will face a month long quarantine and testing. Impromptu travel will be a thing of the past.
Something like that?
CNN commenter from academia mentioned that it doesn't mutate in the "influenza" sense, whatever that means.- 30 different mutations already
- No proof of immunity
- Possible reinfections
- Vaccine unlikely due to first point
- Medications not helping
Yup, but it could take years, is indeed starting to look like we entered a new world !In that outcome: we'll get better at treating it over time, like how pronation and CPAP machines are being utilized instead of ventilators in some cases, and we'll find effective drug therapies. Vaccines targeting the worst strains, as with influenza, will take the edge off each season.
This shows what exactly? There's no label on the y-axis. I feel like I'm grading again...Perhaps some good news?
The global curve is flattening.
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Transitioning to a work-to-home as the standard lifestyle will help for future epidemics that will be worse.
the flu virus mutates every year because the chances of mutation grow together with how many people are infected, and millions and millions of people get the flu every year.It'll work much like the flu vaccine and be just about as effective unless we make a jump in technology. It'll need to be seasonal.
but how many were killed and eaten by spiders, crocodiles and koalas?just 4 cases in Australia in last 24 hours. u mad rest of world?
just 4 cases in Australia in last 24 hours. u mad rest of world?
u must be thinking of austriaDidn't you guys suffer an apocalyptic fire exacerbated by an inept leader?
A problem also lies with terminology used by the governments. They should have called it what it was, and then carried out a one and done..... Quarantine.It's a contagious disease. Of course locking people away from each other 'works' to limit spread. Shooting everybody that tests positive and burning their corpse would also limit spread, if limiting spread is your only priority.
It is not my only priority. I also want to retain my rights. And more importantly, I do not believe 100% spread reduction is actually best case scenario. I would argue you want limited, controlled spread across a population. Deal with hot spots as they arise, sure, to prevent hospital overload, but otherwise allow people to proceed with life and social distancing.
New Zealand will open up at some point, and nobody will be immune. A similar state which has controlled spread will have some amount of immune populace and likely reduce the strain of wave 2.
And the reason your comparison to Colorado is hilarious is because of said point. Yes, NZ can close it airports and ports and close up. What the hell is Colorado going to do? Have State Troopers on every highway in with orders to shoot to kill? Ridiculous. If NZ didn't have lower numbers than any inland state it would be a sign of catastrophic failure on NZ's part... but Colorado having more deaths than NZ is not a sign of failure, but of common sense.
As I've been saying for weeks, the infection numbers the government and media are spouting is totally bogus, and in reality, many many more people have been infected with this thing than claimed. When you apply this to the death rate (which is being inflated), the actual mortality rate of COVID 19 is right in line with... yes, the flu. How long until people acknowledge reality on this?
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Los Angeles study suggests virus much more widespread
A new study estimates that 320,000 adults in Los Angeles County may have been infected with coronavirusabcnews.go.com
You're basically saying "the numbers are false, so lets use those false numbers to come up with a false statistic and end up with "itsjustaflubro"".
it is exacly like the flu
I really thought we were past this stage, but I guess not.
Actually, the study in the article is closer to reality in how health researchers estimate the flu infection rate on an annual basis - because, as with COVID, most people who get sick do not get tested.
It takes a little bit of mathematical training and some common sense to figure out the number of infected people are much higher than what they have said. And if that's the case, it stands to reason the mortality rate is much lower. But the media has gotten a lot of mileage out of trumpeting those rates and making it seem like we're all going to die from this.
And did you seriously post an anecdotal Facebook meme post in response? Come on man. Kids get really sick and die from the flu every year - it is rare (as it has been with COVID), and it is tragic, but it does happen.
You're the only one in this boat. The spread is already severely affected by lockdown measures. You're seeing mostly what you want to see.As I've been saying for weeks, the infection numbers the government and media are spouting is totally bogus, and in reality, many many more people have been infected with this thing than claimed. When you apply this to the death rate (which is being inflated), the actual mortality rate of COVID 19 is right in line with... yes, the flu. How long until people acknowledge reality on this?
![]()
Los Angeles study suggests virus much more widespread
A new study estimates that 320,000 adults in Los Angeles County may have been infected with coronavirusabcnews.go.com
You cant pick and chose what is real.
You cant say the confirmed cases are not real, but the deaths are. You are supposing that the infected numbers are much much larger, but the death rate is real and all deaths are tested, they are not.
I do agree that a big slice of people have had this probably last winter season, but saying this, I can guarantee a lot of people have died without being tested and so they just "died" of many other reasons.
I've been saying this for months now, the virus mortality =/= moratility rate, you can determine the virus mortality by studying its components and how it interacts with the human body, but you cannot determine the mortality rate, the variables are much much bigger, including different immunitary systems, access to health systems, higiene and so on, so at this point its pretty much irrelevant to know the mortality of the virus or the mortality rate.
What we can look at its the facts that we have, even if they are not completely true.
The confirmed case number is obviously real, but it is being used out of context, in a dangerous way (for society).
The death rate is most likely far closer to the real number, because with a death you have a body. Unless COVID was on our shores in October or November, which has been speculated, but most researchers say it was more likely here in mid January or so.
With the recently surfacing information
- 30 different mutations already
- No proof of immunity
- Possible reinfections
- Vaccine unlikely due to first point
- Medications not helping
With this virus, you don't want any spread. One person getting it is going to be able to spread to a lot of people and with how mutagenic it is, its just a matter of time until it progresses to a lethal at all ages stage.
With regards to lockdowns; no matter if we open now or when its correct to do so...we either way must get used to the new paradigm of wearing PPE outside at all times until a vaccine is discovered within a year or two.
I want HQ to work but now the NIH just said not to use Zpack and HCQ. I do think there is a reason why some people have a good reaction to this and I don't think it works on everyone. But I am losing faith in HCQ. There is a phase 3 trial going on now and we still have to hear word from New York but I am leaning towards bust on this one. We will see. But it will be sad if this doesn't work to see media shills and TDS heads celebrating the future deaths of thousands just to prove Trump wrong.
u must be thinking of austria
As I've been saying for weeks, the infection numbers the government and media are spouting is totally bogus, and in reality, many many more people have been infected with this thing than claimed. When you apply this to the death rate (which is being inflated), the actual mortality rate of COVID 19 is right in line with... yes, the flu. How long until people acknowledge reality on this?
![]()
Los Angeles study suggests virus much more widespread
A new study estimates that 320,000 adults in Los Angeles County may have been infected with coronavirusabcnews.go.com
This epidemic has only convinced me that not one single country actually values their healthcare workers nor adequately prepares for epidemics.
It may look like measles.The only way to keep society functioning will be much more stringent mandated medicals as well as databases of who has been vaccinated and who hasn't; with a requirement of having the vaccine to be able to work.
Transitioning to a work-to-home as the standard lifestyle will help for future epidemics that will be worse.
Pump the breaks here amigo.This epidemic has only convinced me that not one single country actually values their healthcare workers nor adequately prepares for epidemics.