Very strong doubts based on coincidence is not a very strongly scientific take.I also said that I have very strong doubts based on what happened in places like CA and AZ after the mask mandates went into place.
Because the fact that having mouth covered reduces amount of stuff that flies out of it is not obvoius.I still believe that masks are "security theater" more than anything else,
My local Subway sandwich shop was like this, being rushed along during lunch time people getting tight together, when the guy making my sandwich trying to pass it along to the next person telling me I can move down while 2 people was already 3 feet from me. I had to remind him to slow his ass down
So in the absence of data, we use common sense? Is that your strongly scientific take? I’m not saying it’s not a fact, but there is certainly a debate about how effective masks actually are. Why do you think they’re pushing for face shields now?Wearing masks in crowded places is not an "extreme" measure.
In fact, in a well known Asian countries, it's a norm for a person who feels sick, but is not staying home, to wear a mask.
Very strong doubts based on coincidence is not a very strongly scientific take.
Because the fact that having mouth covered reduces amount of stuff that flies out of it is not obvoius.
Wearing masks in crowded places is not an "extreme" measure.
In fact, in a well known Asian countries, it's a norm for a person who feels sick, but is not staying home, to wear a mask.
Very strong doubts based on coincidence is not a very strongly scientific take.
Because the fact that having mouth covered reduces amount of stuff that flies out of it is not obvoius.
Wearing masks in crowded places is not an "extreme" measure.
In fact, in a well known Asian countries, it's a norm for a person who feels sick, but is not staying home, to wear a mask.
Conclusions
Overall, this study suggests that wearing a face mask in public may be associated with other personal hygiene practices and health behaviors among Japanese adults. Rather than preventing influenza itself, face mask use might instead be a marker of additional, positive hygiene practices and other favorable health behaviors in the same individuals.
I mean you can eat at a restaurant and not eat like crap. You’re right that most people don’t, but they could and should. Portion size is another issue at most restaurants. I know it is in the US, at least.So the UK government is trying to encourage Brits to slim down in preparation for a second wave, but today it launched the unfortunately named Eat Out to Help Out scheme that gives people a 50% discount on food at participating restaurants every Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday for as many times as they like for the whole month of August.
The mind boggles.
When it is obvious, we use common sense. That parachute efficacy, ya know.So in the absence of data, we use common sense?
Why are "they"? "Some things could be even more effective" and "reducing the scale of contamination coming of one's mouth using mask" not helping are two different things, regardless. And I hope you won't mention WHO, the clowns.Why do you think they’re pushing for face shields now?
I think we are both entitled to own opinions.Either way, it’s pretty interesting when “people of science” like yourself make appeals to common sense. I always enjoy that.
Measuring it is far from trivial and outright unrealistic in our circumstances.I’m not sure how helpful it actually is...
We aren’t talking about people feeling sick to wear a mask are we. We are talking about 100% of people wearing masks 24/7 from the moment they leave the house to the moment they get home, and even in the home in some instances.
Water drops leave our mouth even when we just talk, no coughing is needed.I'll tell you what is not a strongly scientific take, showing pictures of people coughing in each others' faces and claiming this is what masks help with, like people coughing in peoples' faces is a huge problem and source of transmission.
So is this:How is it a coincidence lol, it's an observation of what has actually happened in the real world.
Your next citation doesn't challenge it working, but hints at there possibly ("might") being other explanations. (which is quite scientific)How well are those masks working when 4.5 million people in Japan are catching the flu in a 2 week period?
So is this:
These aren’t parachutes out of airplanes. You understand the evidence of the efficacy of parachutes isn’t remotely comparable, right? Because you keep referring to it like it’s some sort of relevant point. The efficacy of masks doesn’t have any data really supporting it. Especially the worthless cloth ones most people wear.When it is obvious, we use common sense. That parachute efficacy, ya know.
Why are "they"? "Some things could be even more effective" and "reducing the scale of contamination coming of one's mouth using mask" not helping are two different things, regardless. And I hope you won't mention WHO, the clowns.
I think we are both entitled to own opinions.
I can ridicule drawing strong conclusions from random correlation facts, you could laugh at masks "obviously" helping.
Measuring it is far from trivial and outright unrealistic in our circumstances.
We are talking about disease, which leaves large number of people without any kind of symptoms, that's why even people who do not feel sick should also wear it.
I agree that "wear always, when you are outside" is harsh, although I could see benefits from it.
Water drops leave our mouth even when we just talk, no coughing is needed.
Very early into pandemic, Japanese task force figured three C pattern: closed spaces, close contact, crowded spaces.
So is this:
Your next citation doesn't challenge it working, but hints at there possibly ("might") being other explanations. (which is quite scientific)
4.5 million is 3.5% of the population, a damn good figure for flu.
Masks that ordinary people are asked to wear are mitigating the spread, not bringing stopping it altogether.
Are you saying we can't look at the infection rate and masks together? I mean, it is people like you who say there is a direct causal relationship between the two, now you post a dumb reddit-style correlation/causation graph? Makes no sense.
My parachute post was responding to "no solid evidence", to strass that what "solid evidence" means here.The efficacy of masks doesn’t have any data really supporting it.
So now we’re allowed to use correlation evidence? Weren’t you the person who just posted that stupid graph about technology spending and hangings?My parachute post was responding to "no solid evidence", to strass that what "solid evidence" means here.
As for "no evidence" for mask effectiveness:
1) Study of droplets leaving one's mouth when saying "stay healthy". (I hope there is nothing magical about these two words) Shows major reduction in number of droplets if basic mask is used. Tell me for whom this is even remotely surprising please.
2) Another study with similar conclusions, this time, tracing actual viruses.
Ok, so number of droplets is reduced (obviously) but does that help?
Study of data from US states (that was unable to assess compliance, i.e. % of the population actually wearing the masks) concludes:
"There is a significant decline in daily COVID-19 growth rate after mandating facial covers in public, with the effect increasing over time after signing the order. Specifically, the daily case rate declines by 0.9, 1.1, 1.4, 1.7, and 2.0 percentage-points within 1–5, 6–10, 11–15, and 16–20, and 21+ days after signing, respectively. "
I have not posted stuff that is not right and the thing you quoted me on has nothing to do with cross-country comparisons. It was about Swedish mortality rate probably being kinda normal after the year is over (of course depending on how the rest of the year goes).I am skeptical about cross-country comparisons as there are many parameters at play, French refuse to wear masks, why Germans mostly do wear them, it depends on who your neighbor is, what the initial strike was, etc. But you have posted a number of things which are not right.
I don't remember who it was, I think it was Jordan Peterson, who has mentioned life expectancy in Sweden down 3-4 years due to Covid-19 deaths.
Most of Swedish deaths are elderly people.
You are misinterpreting what I wrote, I was referring to all sources of death (I am pretty sure Sweden has more old people compared to Finland also). I am questioning why it matters that more people die from covid in Sweden compared to Finland for example when Sweden has less deaths per capita when you check all sources of death.Hm... That metric depends on other parameters (average age of the population, for instance).
Sweden's registered C19 deaths per 1Million is 568.
Finland's is 59.
I love you've found that it is appropriate to pick one, of 3 articles busting your stance.So now we’re allowed to use correlation evidence?
Dutch scientists did due diligence and pointed out there might be explanations other than masks effectivenessThey don’t believe in science.
You were just poked with it.There is no science that says mask wearing outside is helpful in any real way.
Sweden's average age: 41.2I am pretty sure Sweden has more old people compared to Finland also
I couldn't find the sources, but going with official statistic:I am questioning why it matters that more people die from covid in Sweden compared to Finland for example when Sweden has less deaths per capita when you check all sources of death.
So now we’re allowed to use correlation evidence? Weren’t you the person who just posted that stupid graph about technology spending and hangings?
My stance is what exactly? That the impact of masks is negligible and mandates have, in practice, been shown to have little impact. I’m not anti mask.I love you've found that it is appropriate to pick one, of 3 articles busting your stance.
Dutch scientists did due diligence and pointed out there might be explanations other than masks effectiveness
You were just poked with it.
This isn't a honest attempt to figure if masks are effective or not.
Arrivederci.
Sweden's average age: 41.2
Finland: 42.5
Italy: 45.5
I couldn't find the sources, but going with official statistic:
Sweden: 9.1 deaths per 1k annually (9.8 in Finnland). With population of about 10.2 million, it is 92k deaths.
Officially registered number of deaths from C19 is 5.7k.
Which about 9% increase, not exactly "normal", although not too bad either.
That is not enough to determine who has most old people, but I dont know if that was what you where trying to prove. But you also have to define who is old first if I guess.Sweden's average age: 41.2
Finland: 42.5
Italy: 45.5
“If you’re in multi-generational households, and there’s an outbreak in your rural area or in your city, you need to really consider wearing a mask at home,” said Birx.
Dr. Deborah Birx Says Americans May Have to Start Wearing Masks Inside Their Own Homes
Enforcement of mandatory mask order would require draconian police powers.summit.news
Yea I'd like to see them try to mandate this.
Sounds like she is just suggesting wearing a mask around an elderly family member if the area gets a lot of cases.
The Netherlands is going down the shitter again, thank you vacation , looks like Rotterdam is going into some kind of lockdown , maybe even Amsterdam a couple of weeks later. Mid week we will have a pers conf of our government!
good job protesters , vacation goers !
at least in my state it’s okay for now!
Seems false alarm , we be partying!And this is why I'd rather live in Sweden now than anywhere else in Europe.
People in Thailand and Indonesia are living life like normal now - in Bangkok people are clubbing with no masks. In Indonesia most people don't obey social distancing rules. The only ones scared locked in their homes are cowardly Western expats moaning and whining on FB about how the local people aren't responsible - without realizing the local people literally cannot survive months without working like these wealthy expats can.
Thiis virus is such a "Free World" or Western society centric one. Countries where the spoken language is a romance language for some odd reason affected so much....while non-wester
And they have only 3k cases and 58 deaths. Hasn't moved an inch in weeks.Seems false alarm , we be partying!
Dr. Deborah Birx Says Americans May Have to Start Wearing Masks Inside Their Own Homes
Enforcement of mandatory mask order would require draconian police powers.summit.news
Yea I'd like to see them try to mandate this.
An interesting graph mapping all UK deaths by age bracket.
You’re looking at 40,000 deaths for people over the age of 75 to 10,000 for everybody else if I did the estimate right in my head. So 80% of the deaths are people basically at or above life expectancy.An interesting graph mapping all UK deaths by age bracket.
The median (and average) age of death is indeed above the life expectancy almost everywhere, if not everywhere. Can't have a rational discussion though. Mass hysteria is the only allowable stance.You’re looking at 40,000 deaths for people over the age of 75 to 10,000 for everybody else if I did the estimate right in my head. So 80% of the deaths are people basically at or above life expectancy.
People don’t like to hear this, but you’d better consider how much of you’re willing to damage your society and the people in it for something like that.
It really is insanity on a mass scale. I’m not saying COVID is fake or we should let all our grandparents die. We should try to protect them as best we can. We should not, however, sacrifice our way of life or ruin the education of an entire generation of kids. There has to be a balance.The median (and average) age of death is indeed above the life expectancy almost everywhere, if not everywhere. Can't have a rational discussion though. Mass hysteria is the only allowable stance.
Absolutely true 100%. I’ve mentioned this a couple of times on that OTHER forum, and it’s tumbleweeds every time. People don’t want to hear that they might be at fault for their own demise.UK is a bit high under 75 and the graph would probably be a bit worse in the USA. I blame fatties. Mexico probably also not doing so well.
Unhealthy countries will get harder hit in the 45-75 group.
You’re probably right. It doesn’t change my premise though. The idea we’re going to set a generation of kids back in ways we can’t even really understand yet is insane. Bill DiBlasio just said indoor dining in New York City will not happen until June 2021. The whole state had averages about 10 deaths a day.UK is a bit high under 75 and the graph would probably be a bit worse in the USA. I blame fatties. Mexico probably also not doing so well.
Unhealthy countries will get harder hit in the 45-75 group.
In CT we've been hovering between 50 to 70 currently hospitalized (out of 3.5+ million people) for weeks now, averaging 2-3 deaths per day (80-90 is the all-cause daily average more or less if you divide annual statistics by 365). But now they plan to start actually prosecuting those who run afoul of mask/distancing guidelines even outdoors, and we can't open schools.You’re probably right. It doesn’t change my premise though. The idea we’re going to set a generation of kids back in ways we can’t even really understand yet is insane. Bill DiBlasio just said indoor dining in New York City will not happen until June 2021. The whole state had averages about 10 deaths a day.
In CT we've been hovering between 50 to 70 currently hospitalized (out of 3.5+ million people) for weeks now, averaging 2-3 deaths per day (80-90 is the all-cause daily average more or less if you divide annual statistics by 365). But now they plan to start actually prosecuting those who run afoul of mask/distancing guidelines even outdoors, and we can't open schools.
I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.
That’s how fast it went in New York, at such a rate a lock down is needed ..All I can say is if people don’t like this lockdown insanity, those of us in democracies need to vote these clowns out. Our media in the US keeps trying to rip the governors in places like Florida while kissing the ass of our New York governor. But you have more freedom in Florida today, just past their peak, than you do in New York today. And New York has 25,000 more dead people.
Not that fairy tale again. Deaths lag by 5-6 weeks.Infections, not deaths. Don’t forget infection counts are a product of the amount of testing being done - deaths are the most reliable metric, and indeed the only one that matter.
Why would he need to duck ? He is a world renowned scientist ? He discusses a lot with a Dutch scientist who did tests with corona viruses in the 90s. If governments listened, you guys wouldn’t be in a half year corona wave .I just wonder for how much longer Dr. Fauci can keep ducking..
Yup, dead’s follow rising infections , it’s a really simple pattern, we have seen it in the us, Italy , Spain everywhere basically.Not that fairy tale again. Deaths lag by 5-6 weeks.
Panic is never helpful. Neither is white-washing.