Support NeoGAF

[Glix]

Happy to see Kirby up there, thought it would bomba.

Don't worry, it will bomba here. (USA)

 

[djplaeskool]

I believe it was a combination of the quality of the original games and the fact that they had exclusivity on the Japanese leagues/teams that made it garner more popularity than FIFA. It's also made by a Japanese company so that probably helps as well.

Japan winning the Asian Title and the Women's World Cup are probably good emotional boosts as well to the brand.
Edit: Not to forget that WE2012 is a much better product compared to the past couple of years' releases.

 

[GCX]

Next week will be really interesting. I'm curious to see how Mario will perform.

 

[7Th]

It'll be interesting to see what iM@S2 does it's second week, particularly given how late in the day they left the Ryuuguu Komachi content reveal.

I'm more interested in knowing the actual sales of the Limited Edition. Going by Comgnet points, it's 45~50% of the combined number... but that's a really rough estimate.

 

[Laguna]

Next week will be really interesting. I'm curious to see how Mario will perform.

Probably under 400k.

 

[Chris1964]

Don't worry, it will bomba here. (USA)

OK

 

[BishopLamont]

Yeah, because Square-Enix published the MW series in Japan.

I think the SE name alone will help sales.

The publisher doesn't really mean much when it comes to FPS games in Japan.

 

[BKK]

The publisher doesn't really mean much when it comes to FPS games in Japan.

Right, CoD4 sold well despite being published by Activision in Japan.

 

[Kandinsky]

Damn I expected more for Type-0, like a lot more :/

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

I don't see Square porting Type-0 to other platforms. I think most consumers in the West would just reject a PSP up-port to PS3.

 

[SatelliteOfLove]

I don't see Square porting Type-0 to other platforms. I think most consumers in the West would just reject a PSP up-port to PS3.

Vita. And after first-hand impressions, my future Vita to be specific.

 

[Magicpaint]

Damn I expected more for Type-0, like a lot more :/

Why? This is doing on par with S-E's PSP efforts? What about this makes people expect more?

 

[Chris1964]

 

[LOCK]

Don't worry, it will bomba here. (USA)

Kirby is a steady seller worldwide. As far as I know.

 

[BowieZ]

[/IMG]http://i.imgur.com/2yKcX.png[/IMG]

Explosion imminent.

 

[Kurosaki Ichigo]

Congratulations to saichi for winning the ranking by units and by points/percentages.

Results	By Units			By Points	
1	  8916	saichi			  5,37%	saichi
2	 67621	Road			 44,97%	FINALFANTASYDOG
3	 75645	Mpl90			 45,83%	Mpl90
4	102044	FINALFANTASYDOG		 51,79%	frankie_baby
5	104046	ULTROS!			 54,23%	Kurosaki Ichigo
6	112630	distantmantra		 60,59%	Road
7	122930	frankie_baby		 67,43%	GloomyHitsuji
8	128448	Kurosaki Ichigo		 74,72%	ULTROS!
9	178536	Chris1964		 84,93%	miladesn
10	190424	GloomyHitsuji		 86,64%	onken
11	196424	miladesn		 87,78%	Chris1964
12	211700	Kenka			 94,09%	Kenka
13	215424	Yeshua			110,62%	Yeshua
14	225424	Spiegel			115,50%	Spiegel
15	275424	onken			138,15%	distantmantra
16	279424	Orgen			163,93%	Orgen
17	325423	lunchwithyuzo		173,20%	lunchwithyuzo

10/24-10/30	Sales	Spieg	lunch	Yeshu	dista	Chris	frank	Orgen	milad	ULTRO	saich	onken	Kenka	Road	Kuro	FINAL	Gloom	Mpl90
PSP FF Type-0	472253	620000	666666	600000	483765	567890	389000	615000	612000	520000	468294	700000	623000	444444	577000	403432	625000	502163
WII Kirby RtDL	136811	180000	222222	200000	113387	210987	170000	231000	176000	110000	140628	180000	98000	144444	142000	162343	165000	174925
PS3 Idolmaster2	65512	100000	111111	90000	143206	56789	72000	108000	83000	95000	64372	70000	87654	33333	47000	57821	75000	57891
	
Difference	0	225424	325423	215424	112630	178536	122930	279424	196424	104046	8916	275424	211700	67621	128448	102044	190424	75645
	
Difference (%)	0,00%	115,50%	173,20%	110,62%	138,15%	87,78%	51,79%	163,93%	84,93%	74,72%	5,37%	86,64%	94,09%	60,59%	54,23%	44,97%	67,43%	45,83%
	
PSP FF Type-0	0	147747	194413	127747	11512	95637	-83253	142747	139747	47747	-3959	227747	150747	-27809	104747	-68821	152747	29910
WII Kirby RtDL	0	43189	85411	63189	-23424	74176	33189	94189	39189	-26811	3817	43189	-38811	7633	5189	25532	28189	38114
PS3 Idolmaster2	0	34488	45599	24488	77694	-8723	6488	42488	17488	29488	-1140	4488	22142	-32179	-18512	-7691	9488	-7621

Past Predictions Results:
09/19-09/25 Predictions Results
09/05-09/11 Predictions Results
08/22-08/28 Predictions Results
Prediction League Results 2009-2010

 

[Chris1964]

Congratulations to saichi for winning the ranking by units and by points/percentages.

This must be a record looking how close he was.

 

[Kenka]

Fuck, why am I always among the very bad ones ?

(Chris, thanks to have updated the charts) :*

 

[AdventureRacing]

http://i.imgur.com/2yKcX.png[IMG][/QUOTE]

Looks like the 3DS sales are going to explode a few weeks before the DS did. We're going to see some amazing numbers between now and the end of the year.

I wonder if it can get somewhat close to what the best selling consoles has sold in the period between November and the end of the year.

 

[Kai]

Probably under 400k.

Given that the 3DS install base is at 2.2 million in Japan - I would think a max of 500k but more likely 300k is realistic.

Crazy if it did more though - if it got 600-800k it would be an awesome attach rate.

 

[Exterminieren]

Explosion imminent.

We are on the cusp of incredible sales-age threads.

 

[Beth Cyra]

Damn I expected more for Type-0, like a lot more :/

How could you? For weeks people have explained why this would be around what it would hit.

There has even been feelings that it wouldn't hit 1 Million given how rare that is on PSP.

This is pretty much in line with every reasonable guess for the game.

 

[Kurosaki Ichigo]

This must be a record looking how close he was.

It is indeed, although very close with 2010 5/24-5/30 week:

[U]2010 5/24-5/30[/U]
Results	By Units			By Points	
1	11865	MemoirsofMimi		9,35%	Orgen
[U]2011 10/24-10/30[/U]
Results	By Units			By Points	
1	 8916	saichi			5,37%	saichi

Pretty eerie how the week were both days 24 to 30, both were 3 titles predicted, month is double (5 to 10) and 3-games total on that 2010 week is like within 1000 units of FFType-0 debut.

 

[test_account]

Just wondering, how much do people mean with 'explode'?

 

[The_lascar]

Kirby is a steady seller worldwide. As far as I know.

Not in Europe.

 

[FoneBone]

Kirby is a steady seller worldwide. As far as I know.

Yep - the games may not have as high a profile as Mario, Zelda, or Pokemon, but they're consistently strong sellers. Not sure about Epic Yarn, but Super Star Ultra did over a million, I think.

 

[RaijinFY]

Type 0 has done better than expected by me though less than a lot of people seemed to think, 13-2 I've got a feeling will underperform too maybe only two thirds of 13's numbers

The lowest number allowed imo would be 1.5m. Under would be just terrible.

 

[C.T.]

Wait, what's that new Disgaea 4 game? I'm sure the game didn't come out in Japan just recently. Is it a Ultimate Marvel VS Capcom 3 thing going on with that game?

Might be the just the DLC like with Disgaea 3.

 

[gkryhewy]

Vita. And after first-hand impressions, my future Vita to be specific.

Why do you think it would sell better on Vita in the west?

 

[Bending_Unit_22]

Kirby never bombs in Japan. Japan loves Kirby, hence my love for Japan.

Same. Though I love Japan for many other reasons.

Don't worry, it will bomba here. (USA)

I have my copy pre-ordered. So that's +1.

 

[Chris1964]

Just wondering, how much do people mean with 'explode'?

 

[Kandinsky]

Why? This is doing on par with S-E's PSP efforts? What about this makes people expect more?

I dont know, maybe it was just wishful thinking on my part, I really wanted it to be huge, game looks and sounds amazing :/

 

[Mpl90]

So perfect for what he asked.

 

[Road]

The lowest number allowed imo would be 1.5m. Under would be just terrible.

If XIII-2 repeated the same fall from X to X-2, it would sell 1.6m.

 

[airmangataosenai]

If XIII-2 repeated the same fall from X to X-2, it would sell 1.6m.

Given how poorly the last game was received? Unlikely.

That game sold absolutely ridiculous numbers the first week but fell harder than most games I can remember in recent years, added to the fact that XIII-2 isn't lighting up the preorder charts the same way it's predecessor did either. Versus will sell in line with XIII (It always performs well on the weekly preorder charts despite being an unknown distance away from release/vaporware), this won't.

 

[Erethian]

Given how poorly the last game was received? Unlikely.

That game sold absolutely ridiculous numbers the first week but fell harder than most games I can remember in recent years, added to the fact that XIII-2 isn't lighting up the preorder charts the same way it's predecessor did either. Versus will sell in line with XIII (It always performs well on the weekly preorder charts despite being an unknown distance away from release/vaporware), this won't.

Plenty of well-regarded PS3 games have a big drop-off after the first week, so I don't think that's really that indicative of whether FFXIII was well-received by consumers at large or not.

 

[airmangataosenai]

Plenty of well-regarded PS3 games have a big drop-off after the first week, so I don't think that's really that indicative of whether FFXIII was well-received by consumers at large or not.

But there's other stuff too though, namely how when it launched for 360 it didn't even chart in the top 30. Yeah it came out during the holidays and it was for 360 but even then it didn't end up being the best selling 360 game the week it launched, that says something right there.

 

[duckroll]

But there's other stuff too though, namely how when it launched for 360 it didn't even chart in the top 30. Yeah it came out during the holidays and it was for 360 but even then it didn't end up being the best selling 360 game the week it launched, that says something right there.

Not really? Why would anyone in Japan buy FFXIII on the 360 a year after it was released in Japan, with no extras whatsoever? Even for games released on multiplatform, especially more "Japanese" flavored games, the split is already so wide.

 

[saichi]

Congratulations to saichi for winning the ranking by units and by points/percentages.

my lucky first try!

 

[cvxfreak]

Not really? Why would anyone in Japan buy FFXIII on the 360 a year after it was released in Japan, with no extras whatsoever? Even for games released on multiplatform, especially more "Japanese" flavored games, the split is already so wide.

Maybe it was for those people who bought 360s for previous SE exclusives.

 

[Pocks]

I'm excited to see 3DS numbers after Mario..

When is MH releasing?

 

[Dash Kappei]

my lucky first try!

Damn, congrats.

 

[Truth101]

I'm excited to see 3DS numbers after Mario..

When is MH releasing?

December 10, 2011 (Japan)

While Mario Kart is releasing on the 1st.

 

[LOCK]

This response was so perfect. lol

Of a different note, more important than its launch will be Super Mario 3D Lands legs. It should do amazing this November as the staple game to buy with the system.

 

[Truth101]

This response was so perfect. lol

Of a different note, more important than its launch will be Super Mario 3D Lands legs. It should do amazing this November as the staple game to buy with the system.

Mario Kart and MH3G say hi.

Who knows maybe people will buy all 3 haha.

 

[Elixist]

my lucky first try!

Thats awesome you broke the record too grats.

 

[Mpl90]

From the 3D Land thread

When I went there, there were about 50 people on the queue and all I could see were blue boxes (ie, the Mario package). I can't say ALL of them were buying it, but most were, indeed.
I even saw a couple kids on a small bench nearby playing the game.

I would say the game will do fairly well, which isn't really new for a Mario title.

Then again, while the might might not sell on day 1 as much as a Monster Hunter, in the end it will probably sell a lot, and even more knowing this is probably the only MUST HAVE for 3DS yet.

But yeah, in my experience buying it on a big department store:

It seemed to be doing pretty well.

 

[frankie_baby]

BOMBA --- type 0 is down to 5800yen at amazon (though i dont know what the discount was before) perhaps s-e shipped a few too many?

 

[Rolf NB]

Maybe it was for those people who bought 360s for previous SE exclusives.

...and didn't own a PS3 yet....

Yeah, I'm sure they're legion

 

[Kenka]

We need MOAR musings and everybody agrees with me I am sure.