MLB '12-'13 OffSeason OT: Magic is the New Market Inefficiency

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Now the U.S. enters what should be a wild final two days of Pool D. The U.S. still has a pretty clear path to the second round, but now it knows that even winning out could not be enough. Team USA will end up at best in a tie with at least Italy and possibly Mexico or Canada at 2-1. If the U.S. beats Italy and Canada and Canada beats Mexico tomorrow, the U.S. will advance. If the U.S. wins its final two games and Mexico beats Canada, then it comes down to the WBC’s modified run differential rules. Italy currently reigns supreme in the run rule differential, but if Canada finishes 1-2 or worse, it’s 10-run win over Canada will not be a factor in the tiebreaker. In case you're wondering, the second run differential tiebreaker involves looking at earned runs scored and earned runs allowed. The fourth tiebreaker is batting average. For the sake of everyone, one can hope that this is the last time that it ever needs to be mentioned.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog...-2-puts-u-s-in-must-win-situation/#more-19383
 
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