Manfred walking back from his 100% "there will be baseball". Shocked. Ok. Not that shocked.
This was in the works for ages now. The owners don't want a season if a) the playoffs and the money associated with them are in jeopardy and b) if they can just break the union on the heels of the CBA expiring. The MLBPA saying "we're not countering, tell us when to report" is calling the owners' bluff. And the owners have nothing.
Also new rumors that there would be no season unless the MLBPA agreed to waive the right to any potential grievances. Game over. This is seemingly the last ploy the owners have in an attempt to say "We wanted a season! Blame the players!"
From here, unfortunately I don't see how it gets better. How exactly do you play the 2021 season with the CBA set to expire 12/31/21? Calling my next shot now-- owners consider claiming force majeure, voiding (or attempting to void) the last year of the CBA and then things go nuclear. Maybe arbitration delays it and we sneak in a 2021 season? That's a big if. But my expectations now are no 2020 season, a coin flip at best for 2021, and all hell breaking loose before 2022.
If things do go nuclear, I think there's a lot of teams that will be in serious trouble and you'll start to hear whispers of contraction and the like. Mind you, as bad as it looks "on paper", any of the contracted teams will still walk away with more than their current franchise value once their bought out. Why? Because the "surviving" teams will have fewer mouths to feed from their revenue deals (i.e. licensing, broadcasting etc etc).
Ironically, this is all about covid and not about covid at all at the same time. Covid was just the catalyst for years of mismanagement. Tony Clark sucks and should be replaced yesterday. Manfred should resign. Neither will actually happen.
Congratulations Gary Bettman, you're no longer the most incompetent commissioner in American sports.