Purdue should be on the safe side of the fence. Not sure if they're a lock yet, but they needed this win.
Illinois/Indiana on Thursday is going to be a true elimination game. The winner will probably need to win on Friday as well to secure a bid.
Ahh, looks like Purdue came back to win. They're probably in. Giving hope to slow starters for years to come.
Illinois will probably be in if they win their first game of the BT tournament. They don't play Indiana. They're tied for 7th at 9-9 and the first tiebreaker is head to head and Indiana won the lone game. Indiana is 7th. Illinois is 8th and plays Michigan. Indiana(7) plays Minnesota(10) should Minnesota win tomorrow at home vs. Penn State. Assuming a Nebraska loss vs. Maryland. Indiana would play Northwestern if Minnesota loses as well. If Minnesota loses and Nebraska pulls off the upset over Maryland...then Nebraska is 2-1 vs Minn/NW and they would get the 10th seed as NW is 1-1 vs MN/Nebraska and Minnesota is 1-2 vs Nebraska/NW.
In recap...Indiana can play Minn, NW or Nebraska...most likely Minnesota though because all they have to do is beat Penn State. If Minnesota falters that opens up the door for Nebraska but they're likely to lose which would open the door for NW.
All the other seeds are set in stone. As talked about
here. Ohio State was at the back of the tie for 3rd and with everyone winning today(Sparty, Hawky, Boily)...Ohio State is 6th.
The Big Ten tournament will most likely look like this
1. Wisconsin vs 8. Illinois/9. Michigan
2. Maryland vs 7. Indiana/10. Minnesota
3. Michigan State
4. Iowa/Purdue
5. Purdue/Iowa vs 12. Nebraska/13. Penn St.
6. Ohio State vs. 11. Northwestern/14. Rutgers
Purdue did beat Iowa in their lone matchup but since they're tied that's not the end all be all since they have the same record as seen
here... and in multiple team ties head to head is never factored besides the group conglomerate...it's not used as a subset tiebreaker...but rather the team who then beat the best team in the league and down(Iowa beat Maryland...neither Purdue or Iowa beat Wisconsin)...so Iowa gets the 4th seed even though they lost to Purdue...
-----------------------------
B. Multiple team tie:
1. Results of head-to-head competition during the regular-season.
a. When comparing records against the tied teams, the team with the higher winning percentage shall prevail, even if the number of games played against the team or group are unequal (i.e., 2-0 is better than 3-1, but 2-0 is not better than 1-0).
b. After the top team among the tied teams is determined, the second team is ranked by its record among the original tied teams, not the head-to-head record vs. the remaining team(s).
2. If the remaining teams are still tied, then each tied team's record shall be compared to the team occupying the highest position in the final regular-season standings, continuing down through the standings until one team gains an advantage.
a. When arriving at another pair of tied teams while comparing records, use each team's record against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to their own tie-breaking procedures), rather than the performance against the individual tied teams.
b. When comparing records against a single team or group of teams, the higher winning percentage shall prevail, even if the number of games played against the team or group are unequal (i.e., 2-0 is better than 3-1, but 2-0 is not better than 1-0).
-------------------------
It looks like Iowa needs Ohio State to beat Wisconsin otherwise their 4-way tie for 3rd(both at 2-2) then becomes a 3 way tie where Iowa has no victories vs. Purdue/Mich. St.
This is also explained
here
Iowa should be cheering for Ohio State. Purdue should be cheering for Wisconsin. Nebraska should be cheering for Penn St. Northwestern should be cheering for Penn State and Maryland.
Got it? good.