Magic Carpet
Gold Member
Just don't break anymore Zelda weapons. I hate that.
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Nintendo breaks 8 year streak, could be getting ready for a Switch 2 announcment
- Thread starter Gamer79
- Start date
AngelMuffin
Member
I mean, it’s been out for 7 years now. Most people who wanted one have one & if they’re not aware of a new Switch on the horizon, they likely don’t care.
GinSama
Member
Really ?!? Fuck i though you couldn't lol
Robb
Gold Member
I mean, while sales are slowing for sure it’s still estimated to sell 13M units by March 2025.
And they did 2.10M in Q1 (April-June). I don’t think Q2 will be vastly different, so I think it’s safe to say they’re banking on the holiday sales to be at least in the 6M range in Q3.
Sojiro
Member
Yeah, SNES, N64, GameCube, and Switch were the Nintendo consoles without BC to their previous gen. All of their handhelds have had it too, so I would be really surprised if the Switch 2 doesn't have it, unless we see some radical change in physical media which I highly doubt will happen.
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Dacvak
No one shall be brought before our LORD David Bowie without the true and secret knowledge of the Photoshop. For in that time, so shall He appear.
Holiday Bundles Annouced Instead
RetroGamingUK
Member
Looking at the Circana threads Switch sales seem to have fallen off a cliff so I think now’s the time.
Just think, we could be seeing the next big 3D Mario in a couple of weeks!
Just think, we could be seeing the next big 3D Mario in a couple of weeks!
Robb
Gold Member
AngelMuffin
Member
Yeah. I get it, I just think if you’ve waited 7 years to buy a Switch you’re probably not in the market for a Switch 2. I mean, it’s the biggest open secret in gaming at the moment,
Woopah
Member
Generally the only time Nintendo doesn't do BC is if there's a drastic format change. Which shouldn't be the case for Switch to Switch 2.
Well we have the direct shipments from Nintendo. How steep would a decline have to be to count a "fallen off a cliff"?
Tams
Member
Nope, they only said this financial year, which ends at the end of March in Japan. The last quarter won't start until January.
Which lines up pretty well. They'll want to sell Switches over Christmas and New Year (in Asia, all that money from relatives), also to reduce some of the stock.
That would the. Allow for anything from an April/May launch to an October/November one. They've done both in the past.
Saturn Dragon
Neo Member
Nintendo X-Switch with gamepass.
GoldenEye98
posts news as their odd job
This line of thinking gets trotted out a lot but at this point in the life cycle it just makes no sense to me.
If think if you are Nintendo who hasn't always had the best success with follow up consoles...why da fuk would you sacrifice potential sales of your new consoles for your old one? You want all momentum and build up going into your new console...even 6 months out.
Robb
Gold Member
I don’t necessarily disagree. The main irk for me is that Nintendo themselves are estimating to sell a surprisingly high amount of units, 13.5M, by March 2025, which means they also expect to sell a lot during this holidays (Q3). I think this might be the latest data we have:
Had they estimated, like, 9M I think things would be a lot more certain. But they’re going to need pretty great holiday sales to reach 13.5M.
But then again they could also reveal the Switch 2 and then do heavy price cuts of the current Switch alongside bundles in time for the holidays.
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GoldenEye98
posts news as their odd job
I don’t necessarily disagree. The main irk for me is that Nintendo themselves are estimating to sell a surprisingly high amount of units, 13.5M, by March 2025, which means they also expect to sell a lot during this holidays (Q3). I think this might be the latest data we have:
Had they estimated, like, 9M I think things would be a lot more certain. But they’re going to need pretty great holiday sales to reach 13.5M.
But then again they could also reveal the Switch 2 and then do heavy price cuts of the current Switch alongside bundles in time for the holidays.
Aren't Switch sales kinda dwindling? Lets face it...it's not exactly like Nintendo has killer sales around the Holidays anyway.
This whole strategy seems kinda bizarre to me. They are going to try to eek out some last sales of their old platform immediately before they announce and launch there next platform? Still don't understand why it isn't launching in the fall anyway...
This feels like a very unconfident strategy. Instead of gung ho it's half foot in half foot out.
BlackTron
Member
Nintendo's fiscal year ends March 31...which is why that graph is labeled with two years in each row. I think Q3 in this chart refers to holiday sales. Holiday has always been their biggest period.
I agree with everybody saying Nintendo does not want to castrate this holiday by going out of their way to tell everybody to wait for Switch 2 stuff instead.
VolticArchangel
Member
Rumours galore and the internet loses their minds on the announcement of the Switch 2 being imminent:
GAF about implode and the site crashes:
But, lore accurate Nintendo has other plans:
GAF about implode and the site crashes:
But, lore accurate Nintendo has other plans:
Holiday Bundles Annouced Instead
BlackTron
Member
This sounds like the most elegant solution but I'm not sure how badly they feel the need to discount it to sell it. Indeed, if they felt a need to cut the price to sell as many as they hope, they might not want to make it look any less attractive with the Switch 2 announcement. It almost sounds like Wii U posturing to do this.
Switch 1 just isn't flogging enough for it to seem that likely to me. It feels like any price cut would be either very small or more likely come in the form of intangible goods (two digital games instead of one).
FoxMcChief
Gold Member
I’m on Day 1 so long as it plays physical Switch games regardless if they’re boosted. But I am holding off on playing a few games in hopes of them looking better on a switch 2. I hope it launches with an OLED screen. I’m still rocking a launch switch.
Crayon
Member
I don't think there is any way it launches with oled. If only because it's nintendo and they want something in their pocket to make you buy it again in a couple years.
FoxMcChief
Gold Member
I’m still holding out hope the switch 2 is VR. You can switch between VR and handheld mode. If anyone can bring VR to more houses, it’s Nintendo. But it has to be an option, not forced.
diffusionx
Gold Member
I think they are going to announce it six months before it comes out. So this would imply a launch in April, which makes sense.
FoxMcChief
Gold Member
I think Spring 2025 release is the most likely scenario.
Buggy Loop
Gold Member
I think the typhoon fucked up their plans. The vietnam factory got hit hard no?
But yes I want the announcement already.
But yes I want the announcement already.
RoadHazard
Gold Member
Absolutely zero chance.
Gamer79
Predicts the worst decade for Sony starting 2022
Yes I was referring to that.
NotMyProblemAnymoreCunt
Biggest Trails Stan
Watch it's a Switch Lite OLED Announcement
Deerock71
Member
I was thinking price cut, but this, too.Holiday Bundles Annouced Instead
EverydayBeast
ChatGPT 0.1
Hardware isn’t a problem for Nintendo, that’s because they know people will still spend $350 for the oled switch.
Gamer_By_Proxy
Member
I’m gonna wait. Unless a new punch out is a launch title.
Robb
Gold Member
It’s definitely slowing down, which is expected. But the curve is looking pretty steady, so I’m not sure about dwindling. But we’ll have to see what they managed for Q2.
The holidays (Q3 in the table) is by far their biggest quarter every year.
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Gamerfan81
Member
They did say they will show the successor within this fiscal year, which I believed ends around March 2025. More than likely a reveal around that time and then a release date around fall of 2025, just in time for the Holidays.
Emedan
Member
Hmm, agreed, why make consumers buy a switch 1 instead of a switch 2 for 100 dollars more?
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