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[archnemesis]

[360] 950k
[3DS] 1325k
[PS3] 550k
[PS4] 1280k
[PSV] 140k
[WIU] 325k
[XB1] 975k

 

[Aquamarine]

With the incredible popularity of the 2DS $99 Black Friday deal, Pokemon X + Y, the success of The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds, and more, I assume that Nintendo will have pushed the console slightly over 1 million.

3DS - 1,150,000 (113% YOY)

An initial channel check I performed (one distributor) showed a 4.233:1 3DS:Wii U ratio. Extrapolating from that would give us 272K. I believe that number is in line with the Wii U's monthly performance considering the Mario & Luigi bundle, Super Mario 3D World, and NOA's attempt at ramping up marketing.

Wii U - 276,000

For PS4's debut I predict numbers in line with Sony's PR given my estimates for Canadian sales (140K) and Latin American sales (30K).

PS4 - 1,233,000

Considering Microsoft's incredible command over their supply chain, I expect Black Friday week to follow up on the launch with a respectable amount of consoles sold. Let's say Microsoft's day-one split was 70:30 NAAL. I'm anticipating an additional 40% reserved for Black Friday.

Xbox One - 1,010,000

For 360 and PS3 I forecast the usual Black Friday bumps, taking into account their highly diminished presence with PS4 and Xbox One available.

PS3 - 501,000 (-34% YOY)

360 - 653,000 (-48% YOY)

And finally for Vita, I plan for more of the same, with a standard Black Friday increase.

PSV - 132,000


In proper counting order:

[360] 653K
[3DS] 1150K
[PS3] 501K
[PS4] 1233K
[PSV] 132K
[WIU] 276K
[XB1] 1010K

 

[Deleted member 125677]

my predictions are not that far off from Aquamarine's

I dun good

 

[prag16]

[360] 700k
[3DS] 1300k
[PS3] 500k
[PS4] 1220k
[PSV] 110k
[WIU] 350k
[XB1] 950k

 

[donny2112]

[360] 70k

Did you mean to predict 360 at 70K?

 

[bakman21]

[360] 740k
[3DS] 1360k
[PS3] 530k
[PS4] 1015k
[PSV] 140k
[WIU] 453k
[XB1] 757k

 

[Madao]

[360] 700k
[3DS] 1200k
[PS3] 800k
[PS4] 1200k
[PSV] 170k
[WIU] 300k
[XB1] 800k

 

[donny2112]

~51 hours left to predict for November's NPD.

 

[jvm]

[3DS] 1300K
[PS4] 1200K
[XB1] 850K
[360] 815K
[PS3] 518K
[WIU] 300K
[PSV] 135K

Edit: I wish you guys would sort your entries.

 

[LordOcidax]

[3DS] 1300K
[PS4] 1150K
[XB1] 850K
[360] 630K
[PS3] 430K
[WIIU] 500K
[PSV] 90K

 

[Goldmund]

[360] 810,000
[3DS] 1,410,000
[PS3] 405,000
[PS4] 1,225,000
[PSV] 120,000
[WIU] 300,000
[XB1] 830,000

 

[prag16]

Did you mean to predict 360 at 70K?

I did not. Thanks. Edited.

 

[sörine]

[360] 768k
[3DS] 1280k
[PS3] 512k
[PS4] 1028k
[PSV] 128k
[WIU] 256k
[XB1] 768K

 

[Lexxism]

[3DS] 1250k
[PS4] 1250k
[XB1] 950k
[360] 750k
[PS3] 600k
[WIU] 300k
[PSV] 140k

 

[Coxy]

[360] 475k
[3DS] 1025k
[PS3] 425k
[PS4] 1350k
[PSV] 78k
[WIU] 132k
[XB1] 850k

 

[prag16]

[360] 475k
[3DS] 777k
[PS3] 425k
[PS4] 1350k
[PSV] 48k
[WIU] 62k
[XB1] 900k

Uhhh... wat?

 

[allan-bh]

[360] 750k
[3DS] 1100k
[PS3] 450k
[PS4] 1210k
[PSV] 150k
[WIU] 280k
[XB1] 920k

 

[pitseleh]

[360] 800k
[3DS] 1300k
[PS3] 650k
[PS4] 970k
[PSV] 170k
[WIU] 300k
[XB1] 750k

 

[daegan]

[360] 700k
[3DS] 950k
[PS3] 700k
[PS4] 1350k
[PSV] 80k
[WIU] 210k
[XB1] 780k

 

[perfectchaos007]

[360] 400K
[3DS] 1000K
[PS3] 500K
[PS4] 950K
[PSV] 200K
[WIU] 250K
[XB1] 820K

 

[skedar897]

[360] 700K
[3DS] 1200K
[PS3] 525K
[PS4] 1150K
[PSV] 140K
[WIU] 475K
[XB1] 765K

 

[Aquamarine]

Now we play the waiting game.

Only 3 days, 16 hours, and 55 minutes remaining (approximately) until the MAJOR NPD release.

 

[NateDrake]

[360] 640K
[3DS] 1200K
[PS3] 500K
[PS4] 1200K
[PSV] 85K
[WIU] 300K
[XB1] 1100K

 

[Sakura]

I have a feeling my predictions are gonna be waaay off. But oh well. It's going to be an exciting NPD day.

 

[1st Course]

[360] 650k
[3DS] 800k
[PS3] 500k
[PS4] 1200K
[PSV] 120k
[WIU] 220k
[XB1] 1000k

 

[Krilekk]

[360] 450K
[3DS] 1100K
[PS3] 250K
[PS4] 950K
[PSV] 75K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 1300K

 

[Psycho_Mantis]

[360] 450K
[3DS] 1100K
[PS3] 250K
[PS4] 950K
[PSV] 75K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 1300K

Wut

 

[Tratorn]

[360] 630K
[3DS] 1200K
[PS3] 460K
[PS4] 1100K
[PSV] 110K
[WIU] 310K
[XB1] 900K

 

[unknownstranger]

[360] 600k
[3DS] 900k
[PS3] 400k
[PS4] 1300k
[PSV] 180k
[WIU] 100k
[XB1] 800k

 

[shinra-bansho]

[PSV] 40K
[WIU] 30K

[PSV] 55K
[WIU] 80K

[360] 50,000
[3DS] 350,000
[PS3] 40,000
[PSV] 60,000
[WIU] 35,000

[360] 190,000
[PS3] 165,000
[PSV] 34,000
[WIU] 52,000

[PSV] 48k
[WIU] 62k

[PS4] 950K
[PSV] 75K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 1300K

[PSV] 180k
[WIU] 100k

Err... are some of these mistakes?

 

[dolemite]

Err... are some of these mistakes?

We'll find out on Thursday.

 

[Madouu]

We'll find out on Thursday.

No need to wait until Thursday, those predictions are completely wrong.

 

[fredrancour]

Err... are some of these mistakes?

Hope-ium is a hell of a drug.

 

[michaelius]

Anything below 100k is probably someone forgetting this data includes black friday.

Now we play the waiting game.

Only 3 days, 16 hours, and 55 minutes remaining (approximately) until the MAJOR NPD release.

And we might get even less data than in previous months

 

[C4Lukins]

I am not going to do this in proper format, but I will just make some random guesses for fun.

PS4 1.15 million
Xbox One 950k
360 1.25 million
PS3 780K
Vita 250 K
Wii U 425k
2DS/3ds 1.4 million

 

[Shaddy]

[PS4] 1250k
[XB1] 910k
[3DS] 1100k
[360] 900k
[PS3] 420k
[WIU] 180k
[PSV] 170k

 

[shinra-bansho]

Anything below 100k is probably someone forgetting this data includes black friday.

Eh.. if you're talking about PSV, 100K is like a 3.5x increase from Oct.

Were there good deals for it, or anything like the bundles from last year?

But some of those Wii U predictions are down from October. :S

 

[michaelius]

Eh.. if you're talking about PSV, 100K is like a 3.5x increase from Oct.

Were there good deals for it, or anything like the bundles from last year?

But some of those Wii U predictions are down from October. :S

There was PS4 launch which should have boosted Playstation remote play device

 

[SwiftDeath]

Eh.. if you're talking about PSV, 100K is like a 3.5x increase from Oct.

Were there good deals for it, or anything like the bundles from last year?

But some of those Wii U predictions are down from October. :S

Didn't Amazon have a good deal on the Walking dead bundle?

Maybe 175 USD or so?

 

[Deleted member 125677]

There was PS4 launch which should have boosted Playstation remote play device

dat $200 accessory on top of a $400-500 investment depending on games/ps-eye etc. ?

Nah, I don't see a lot of people going all in at once, maybe at some point along the way though

 

[dolemite]

Didn't Amazon have a good deal on the Walking dead bundle?

Maybe 175 USD or so?

Yes, yes it did. And it sold quite well

Spoiler

on Amazon

 

[jakncoke]

Anyone got a list of say top 5 worst novembers for numbers ?

 

[Elios83]

[360] 750k
[3DS] 1000k
[PS3] 550k
[PS4] 1250k
[PSV] 170k
[WIU] 325k
[XB1] 850k

 

[GulAtiCa]

[360] 650k
[3DS] 1500k
[PS3] 450k
[PS4] 1250k
[PSV] 150k
[WIU] 350k
[XB1] 750k

 

[donny2112]

Anyone got a list of say top 5 worst novembers for numbers ?

GameBoy last year is #1. Sold nothing. What a failure!

Got to put some kind of limiter on that. Worst November in first 5 years or something.

 

[Aquamarine]

Pachter's predictions:

[360] 700K
[3DS] 1000K
[PS3] 550K
[PS4] 1250K
[PSV] 100K
[WIU] 150K
[XB1] 750K

 

[BlackJace]

Apparently Pachter is predicting Wii U being 65% down, so....that would put it around 157,500.

Reaaaaally don't want to be that number, because holy shit.

EDIT: Beaten by Aquamarine, gotdamn.

 

[jvm]

Revised XB1 down.

 

[ViewtifulJC]

I still remember Jan Patcher Wii U numbers. 120k!

boy was he off huh

150k would just be...

 

[Gbpackers31]

I've never done this, but why not. It'll be fun.

[360] 690K
[3DS] 1285K
[PS3] 490K
[PS4] 1210K
[PSV] 146K
[WIU] 242K
[XB1] 910K