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[jmood88]

This is how we ended up getting John Bel Edwards as governor, so I'm hopeful that Foster can salvage some good out of this election.

 

[heavy liquid]

I just donated $25 and spread the word to my family and friends.

 

[Vinsanity.]

Republicans have 51 Senate seats
Democrats have 46, plus two independents who generally align with them...giving them 48

This race could at best make it 49D-51R

 

[Ray Wonder]

Pretty sure you've just done illegal activities, OP. You lied for political donations. I dunno what that is, technically.

People are donating under the pretense that if Foster Campbell wins the Dems will have the Senate.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate#Current_party_standings

Wikipedia says the Republicans have 54 senators, Democrats have 44, and 2 independents. So even if they caucus it's 54-46? :\

52-48, Dems flipped NH and IL Tuesday

 

[RumblingRosco]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate#Current_party_standings

Wikipedia says the Republicans have 54 senators, Democrats have 44, and 2 independents. So even if they caucus it's 54-46? :\

Edit: or is it just the current senate under Obama, and the 51-49 composition is for 2017 onwards?

I believe that's the current senate under Obama, but OP is still incorrect.

 

[smokeymicpot]

Still fall short.

 

[Ithil]

I think the OP thought the two independent senators that caucus with the democrats weren't being counted in the 48 number.

 

[RecRoulette]

If it's a run off isn't it in reach?

It's only a run off because the minimum requirement for a winner wasn't met (50%). Seems like the republicans got their votes split up the most, they should cruise to an easy win unless something insane happens.

Edit: This is the same race where David Duke got 3% of the vote.

 

[numble]

Joe Manchin might switch to the GOP anyway:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/e44b01...98f52158c/ss_democratic-sen.-joe-manchin.html

MSNBC now reports that Sen. Joe Manchin, a Democrat from the now reliably-red state of West Virginia, is not committing to remain as a Democrat in the event of a 50/50 tie in the chamber. Under such a scenario, formal control of the Senate would be decided by a tie-breaking vote from the vice president.

 

[Vinsanity.]

yeah, they are counted in the 48 democrats already.

If you have 51 of 100, you have a majority.

51 R
46 D
2 I (caucus with D)
1 seat left

Exactly.

 

[Yaphett Kotto]

Goddammit, Bronx.

 

[Chezzymann]

I feel bad for the people who just donated money to something that isn't true.

 

[Pai Pai Master]

sounds like there isn't a consensus on how this would flip? still worth supporting.

 

[TyphoonStruggle]

Misleading title.

This would only make it 47 D, 2 I, 51 R, which is not a majority.

 

[Metroidvania]

Not to downplay the potential ramifications if this ends up coming true (which I really, really, REALLY hope it does), but what are the actual odds of this happening in somewhere as deep into the South as Louisiana?

MSNBC now reports that Sen. Joe Manchin, a Democrat from the now reliably-red state of West Virginia, is not committing to remain as a Democrat in the event of a 50/50 tie in the chamber. Under such a scenario, formal control of the Senate would be decided by a tie-breaking vote from the vice president.

What the fuuuuuuuck.

edit: Wait, are we miscounting the dems (+Independents), here?

 

[BlazinSkatinAxel]

dems have 48 seats. this would make 49.

Bernie has a seat.

 

[Dishwalla]

What are the chances of this actually happening? The fact that it's a runoff election gives me hope.

 

[OrbitalBeard]

This thread title needs to be changed, because it is completely false.

Bernie has a seat.

Bernie's seat is a part of that Democrat figure.

 

[Jarmel]

Joe Manchin might switch to the GOP anyway:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/e44b01...98f52158c/ss_democratic-sen.-joe-manchin.html

oh god fucking damnit

 

[DUFFMCWALIN]

Donated $25. Might up it and make it weekly. Go Gaf Go.

 

[TheUntamedLegend]

Joe Manchin might switch to the GOP anyway:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/e44b01...98f52158c/ss_democratic-sen.-joe-manchin.html

Why does West Virginia even have Democrats anymore?

 

[ItIsOkBro]

Can somebody please sort out the goddamn math once and for all.

 

[jmood88]

Am I wrong or is it really unlikely Louisiana would vote in a Democratic party senator regardless of this mess? Always thought they were fairly solid red but being from the UK I've never looked too hard into it.

Louisiana had a democratic senator (Mary Landrieu) for forever until last year.

 

[Zoe]

If it's a run off isn't it in reach?

As it is right now, the Republican guy would have won if the other two in the top five hadn't split his vote.

And a Dem win would depend on voters actually showing up...

 

[RumblingRosco]

Seriously, OP shouldn't be allowed to make threads for a while. Not only did he mislead with the title ("NYTimes:" implying there was a quote to follow), he is factually incorrect about what this election's outcome would mean, AND he's using these inaccuracies to encourage Gaffers to spend money.

That's gotta be the trifecta of things not to do when making a thread, right?

 

[teruterubozu]

This is Louisiana folks, Campbell doesn't have a shot in hell:

Campbell believes that humans are responsible for climate change, while Kennedy says the science isn’t clear.

 

[Servbot #42]

Here's a chance to actually make an actual tangible difference, let's see if people actually give a shit to vote. Personally i'm not too hopeful because i think Louisiana leans Republican, hopefully i'm proven wrong.

EDIT: I have been lied to

 

[Allard]

It won't stop them from getting a majority, but it can increase their negotiating power if they can just get 2 other republicans on board which definitely statistically easier than 3 for key votes. Also senate is a 6 year position, they won't be able to get this till 2022 race if they don't spring on it now, Dems get out and spread the word, vote in the run off, spread a message that hope is coming even in the darkest hour by making taking back the senate quicker a possibility. Its probably the best warning shot we have right not to republicans not to over step their boundaries.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

Joe Manchin might switch to the GOP anyway:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/e44b01...98f52158c/ss_democratic-sen.-joe-manchin.html

Oh great now here's this fuckery.

 

[Deadbeat]

Guys you got to let it go. The Republicans have it all.

 

[kmfdmpig]

Joe Manchin might switch to the GOP anyway:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/e44b01...98f52158c/ss_democratic-sen.-joe-manchin.html

I saw that a few days ago. It seems so odd that someone could switch parties in the last 9 years or so given how wide a divide there is.

 

[SodiumBenzoate]

This thread title needs to be changed, because it is completely false.



Bernie's seat is a part of that Democrat figure.

Yep.

 

[Jebusman]

OP you dun fucked up.

 

[Squalor]

Can somebody please sort out the goddamn math once and for all.

Seriously, there are three different Senate scenarios floating around in here.

Which one is the real one?

 

[m0dus]

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/louisiana-senate

In the state of Louisiana, there is still a run-off election for Senate happening on Dec. 9th. The candidates are John Kennedy of the Republican Party, and Foster Campbell of the Democrat Party. If Foster were to win this election, Democrats would have a 51-49 lead in the Senate. I cannot describe how big it would be to destroy the chance of Republicans holding a unified Congress under President Trump.

If you'd like to donate to Foster, you can do so here. Anyone Louisiana Gaffers here, please get out and vote on Dec. 9th.

So...bs?

 

[Ray Wonder]

So...bs?

Donated $100

Donated. We gotta win this won. First step to stopping Trump

Holy fuck

Donating now

Donating right now.

I just donated $25 and spread the word to my family and friends.

Donated $25. Might up it and make it weekly. Go Gaf Go.

Bright side is you can probably sue OP

 

[linkandzelda]

If it's a run off isn't it in reach?

No, it is Louisiana. In the original election R got 61.4, D 36.2.

 

[Zeeman]

Dems need to stop giving up on the South. You guys want a 50 state strategy? This is the sort of race you need to start with. Even if he doesn't win, the more people you can convince to mark D on the ballot, the more likely it is they'll do it next time too.

 

[RumblingRosco]

Bright side is you can probably sue OP

I'll donate to their GoFundMe page to raise funds for their lawsuit.

 

[OrbitalBeard]

Seriously, there are three different Senate scenarios floating around in here.

Which one is the real one?

Democrats WILL NOT control the Senate, REGARDLESS of the results of this runoff election.

The OP's thread title is utter bullshit.

 

[Epsilon-delta]

So...bs?

Yes, bs.

Fast edit but you already donated.

 

[Bronx-Man]

m0dus, just edit the title please.

Dems need to stop giving up on the South. You guys want a 50 state strategy? This is the sort of race you need to start with. Even if he doesn't win, the more people you can convince to mark D on the ballot, the more likely it is they'll do it next time too.

Nah dude, give up. Shit's hopeless.

 

[Protein]

Donated $100

 

[G.ZZZ]

Why isn't this bigger than it is? Is there something i'm missing?

 

[Ray Wonder]

Donated $100

fuck

 

[Squalor]

Bronx-Man needs to lose his Member status. Fuck, man.

Why isn't this bigger than it is? Is there something i'm missing?

O.P. lied to us.

 

[gamma]

Why isn't this bigger than it is? Is there something i'm missing?

Yeah, every other post in this thread.

 

[Slime]

yeah, they are counted in the 48 democrats already.

If you have 51 of 100, you have a majority.

51 R
46 D
2 I (caucus with D)
1 seat left

Doh

 

[danm999]

Jesus what a misleading OP.