ALRIGHTY THEN:
Update: I feel safer about 11037, more confident about my town read on WAMD, still unsure about starsketch, and feel pretty safe in saying that BlackBuzzard is town.
Going through BlackBuzzard's posts... there isn't much that sways me one way or another. The most I can say is that he was decently adamant about voting for Style day 1, but that could just as well be scum planting one of their own on a vote they know wouldn't happen that day (although I doubt it as he voted much earlier, Sorian himself said that he doubted that scum would bus so early on)
The main thing going for him?
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/search.php?searchid=23241959&pp=50&page=4
Posts
260,
294,
328,
330,
343, and
908
Still nothing from Rynam or BlackBuzzard. Can we get some more pressure on these guys?
We need to converge our votes a bit here. They're too split and we're not putting pressure on anyone. Maybe newbies are too afraid to lynch.
Here's the reality: we're going to lynch someone and it's likely going to be town. We might get lucky and catch scum, but the odds are not on our side.
I would rather lynch inactive town than risk killing a townie who's actually contributing. For that reason I'm leaving my vote on BlackBuzzard until he responds with something of worth.
You're exactly right. Day 1 is the best time to hit in actives. And we do get information by means of voting patterns. But really, I don't want to lynch an inactive...I want the inactive to come forward with some actual thought and meaningful content. If by the end of the day they still refuse to come forward, then I am in full support of a lynch.
BlackBuzzard has done so in a very minimal way so far (StarSketch suspicions). At least that's something. But I want more.
So to the inactive...We're not looking for role claims. We're looking for reads and input on what's going on. Who do you suspect? Who do you trust? How do you want the day to pan out? As an inactive townie, you're not offering any value. As an inactive scum, you're trying to go unnoticed so people won't have any evidence in support of a lynch. Both cases are grounds for a lynch in my eyes, especially day 1 when we have no other targets to go after.
Notice how, whenever TheExodu5 brings up inactives, the name that always seems to come around is BlackBuzzard's
I feel pretty damn confident in saying that TheExodu5 was setting BlackBuzzard up as a possible lynch target for day 1. By bringing attention to one specific set of inactives, he can try and avoid the others getting targeted.
As for post 908, well, that's his reads list
BlackBuzzard - kind of seems to go with the flow. Might be newbie play and a lack of confidence. Might be scummy. The main thing that makes me lean scum is that he only really seems to post when prodded. Slight scum.
Vanguard - I don't feel the RNG was all that scummy and I believe he was inactive due to outside factors. The fact that he latched onto my exmachina vote without any reasoning of his own was a bit weird. But really I consider it a gut read and I don't think we give enough credence to gut reads. Slight town.
WAMD - really hasn't said much. A lot quieter than in past games from recollection. Seems to be be active and posting about minor things, but avoids giving any strong opinions. Slight scum.
StarSketch - has contributed one single post of substance that I can find: 758. Hasn't really offered any reads. Combined with the possible pre game soft claim, I'd lean slight scum.
Style - I still don't have a read on Style. His early shenanigans seemed like newbie play. He's now done an about face which had resulted in him becoming nothing more than a jester at times. Gave away his role way too early....a newbie play but doesn't imply either scum or town. In the end, it doesn't really matter. He either doesn't make it through the night or likely gets lynched in the coming days if he doesn't protect anyone.
Zipped - as I reach the end of my reads list, I can't even be arsed to find Zipped's posts. I'll guess he's non commited like the others who were replaced. Null.
This probably would be an agreed upon list of the relatively inactive or low word count players day 1. Watch how TheExodu5 describes each of them. Zipped is a null, Style is a null, but BlackBuzzard, WAMD, and starsketch are all slight scum. Now, for the other two, I don't think TheExodu5 posted as much about them, but it's clear that if the scum team looks at this list of players and decides there's a decent argument to be made for all of their lynches based on inactivity, they might as well try and go for the inactive players they know are town
Also, he gave me more reason to suspect plop. Compare the following 3 town reads:
Natiko - I feel his reads are original and insightful, though we don't necessarily come to the same conclusions. I would like to see a full or updated reads list from him. Town.
PK - opinionated. Tries to make the game interesting. But picks some strange battles. Plays very much like Neutral Gorlak did in HPGAF. Neutral.
Plop - very insightful and inquisitive. A strong player. I'd put him in my top town list.
Ty4on - I don't like looking too much into the meta, but I do think Rynam was a regular townie. Ty4on's been a huge contributor and isn't afraid to give opinions that differ from the hivemind. Town.
Yeah, it's not as strong as my earlier evidence, but it definitely doesn't help plop when confirmed scum are calling him their strongest town read so adamantly