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PoliGAF 2012 Community Thread |OT2| This thread title is now under military control

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Stinkles

Clothed, sober, cooperative
I fail to see how this election could even be close to being described as "boring"

Because at this point and it could change, the 'race' is basically pollsters and media companies driving up the ad rates. This is almost literally true. If I were someone like a Koch brother, or that fucking Zionist clown Romney hangs out with, I would save my money or use it to try and bribe Obama.

Also that idiot scientist the Koch brothers have been sponsoring for years came out and said global warming is real, but that the solution is natural gas fracking.
 

scorcho

testicles on a cold fall morning
I fail to see how this election could even be close to being described as "boring"

Isn't it, though? We're not even in the swimsuit stage and I'm tired of the rote, boilerplate political ads highlighting some combination of Obama's endless optimism and Romney's unrelenting Romneyness.

The debates will renew some interest, but only insofar as they produce gaffes. It's depressing how superficial these election cycles have increasingly become in this era of Huffington Post, 24-hour news cycles and fucking youtube comments.
 

Loudninja

Member
Romney Stands By Claim That He’ll Create 12 Million Jobs In 4 Years
“That’s what happens in a normal process – when you come out of a kind of recession we’ve had, you should see this kind of job creation,” he said on “State of the Union.” “We should be seeing 2-3-400,000 jobs per month to regain much of what’s been lost. That’s what normally happens after a recession. But under this president, we have not seen that kind of pattern.”

He claimed President Obama wants to give more money to government.
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entries/romney-stands-by-claim-that-hell-create-12
 
Romney Stands By Claim That He’ll Create 12 Million Jobs In 4 Years

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entries/romney-stands-by-claim-that-hell-create-12

Unless Obama can promise 12,000,001 jobs, Romney has my vote locked up.



I go out of my way to make sure I listen to right wing politicos on Sunday shows but I refuse to listen to Lindsay graham. . He could be talking about being pro gay marriage and implementing the Buffett tax tomorrow but his voice is too annoying. I can't do it.
You missed him calling Obama "stupid" and Reid a liar. It was rather enjoyable.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Also that idiot scientist the Koch brothers have been sponsoring for years came out and said global warming is real, but that the solution is natural gas fracking.

LOL

Wow. It's amazing to see all the crap these guys come up with.

"It's not real!"

"Wait, it's real--but man isn't doing it!"

"OK, we may be doing it, but the solution is fracking!"
 

Loudninja

Member
Oh man haha.

Romney Reaches Out To Jewish Voters, Plays Up Israel Visit In New Ad
“Who shares your values?” the narrator asks. “As President, Barack Obama has never visited Israel and refuses to recognize Jerusalem as its capital.”

“Mitt Romney will be a different kind of president—a strong leader who stands by our allies,” the narrator continues. “He knows America holds a deep and cherished relationship with Israel.”

The ad ends with Romney in Israel: “It’s a deeply moving experience to be in Jerusalem, the capital of Israel.”
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entries/romney-reaches-out-to-jewish-voters-plays-up

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V1YFdGQqJdE&feature=player_embedded
 

thatbox

Banned
Has he ever said how this would actually happen?

With Mitt Romney in the White House companies across the land will let out an enormous sigh of relief. The combined force of all of this expelled air will be enough to shake America out of its socialism-induced funk and unshackled job creators will finally be able to resume job creating. While progressives are trying to harness this collective exhale with elitist Scandinavian wind turbines, real Americans will be confident enough to start consuming corn and buying NFL jerseys, saving the economy and serving as a harsh rebuke of failed European welfare states like Germany.
 

CHEEZMO™

Obsidian fan

t6flR.gif
 

Or you have actual Israelis.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IIjl4hBVSc

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMUHtk0LnYE

I think most Jews don´t buy into the whole Obama hates Israel meme. Only the crazy evangelicals who were never voting for Obama. This is more to stroke some big egos so they give more money.
 

Stinkles

Clothed, sober, cooperative
What's really sad is that he isn't pandering to Jews, he's pandering to Christian fundamentalists who believe that Jesus is coming back and that Israel needs to exist so the rapture can happen, or some shit. The same Christians he's pandering to require ALL of those Jews, after this magic Jesus and trumpets shit goes down, to convert to Christianity on the spot to avoid you know, going to hell.

So literally, he's supporting a supernatural event that would destroy the Jewish state and replace it not with a Muslim one, but a Christian one. Mitt Romney, working for the destruction of the entire Jewish religion, via salvation, which in turn isn't even the chosen path of his own Mormon religion, although its in the same ballpark.

What a fucking mess. It makes Libertarians look like masters of logic.

At least Obama is directly pandering to US Jewry when he's doing this shit.
 
As a Jew, this deep pandering is quite sickening.

Mitt: "Look, I'm wearing a yarmulke! I eat kosher too! Loooove bagels! Vote for me jews!!"

I can't imagine there are a large amount of Jewish voters who will be swayed by these tactics. Of course, there are conservatives among the Jewish community but they were voting for Romney anyway.

I dunno, maybe its my NY upbringing but Israel did not play a huge role in the votes of my friends. This is especially true since Romney is trying to use the Jerusalem issue as a trump card- I don't know any Jewish folks who think that's a litmus test for support.

I think people forget that Rahm Emanuel was Obama's chief of staff. Clearly, Obama hates Jews. Guys like Rahm are much more in line with Jewish voters than guys like Cantor et al. I actually really miss Rahm on the campaign trail- I hope he provides some zingers for the press as he's real entertaining.
 
What's really sad is that he isn't pandering to Jews, he's pandering to Christian fundamentalists who believe that Jesus is coming back and that Israel needs to exist so the rapture can happen, or some shit. The same Christians he's pandering to require ALL of those Jews, after this magic Jesus and trumpets shit goes down, to convert to Christianity on the spot to avoid you know, going to hell.

So literally, he's supporting a supernatural event that would destroy the Jewish state and replace it not with a Muslim one, but a Christian one. Mitt Romney, working for the destruction of the entire Jewish religion, via salvation, which in turn isn't even the chosen path of his own Mormon religion, although its in the same ballpark.

What a fucking mess. It makes Libertarians look like masters of logic.

At least Obama is directly pandering to US Jewry when he's doing this shit.
And of course it is all Obama's fault for allowing the Egyptian people to vote in the Muslim Brotherhood because you mixing religion and politics is bad. (Unless Christians are doing it.)
 
Related to the WI Shootings in the Sikh Temple, if this is related to religion and some dimwit fuck Republicans for stoking fear in people about Sharia law and infiltration of US government by Muslim Brotherhood and shit.
 

Wilsongt

Member
Related to the WI Shootings in the Sikh Temple, if this is related to religion and some dimwit fuck Republicans for stoking fear in people about Sharia law and infiltration of US government by Muslim Brotherhood and shit.


I really, really, really, really, really, really, really hope that is not the case and it is just some random, or two, nutjobs and not something politically or religiously motivated...
 
People always say this, and then it always turns out to just be your bog-standard random psycho.

? Its nearly always the case. Its usually people with a few screws loose that read news similar to Fox and believe it and go on shooting sprees. Virtually everyone who did these shooting were Limbaugh and Fox News viewers.

In other words if it wasn't for the fear mongering these events wouldn't be anywhere near as likely to happen.

I really, really, really, really, really, really, really hope that is not the case and it is just some random, or two, nutjobs and not something politically or religiously motivated...

You're setting yourself up for disappointment.
 
Nobody likes Mitt pt. 74674735636

“One factor made the 2012 grind bearable and at times even fun for Obama: he began campaign preparations feeling neutral about Romney, but like the former governor’s GOP opponents in 2008 and 2012, he quickly developed a genuine disdain for the main. That scorn stoked Obama’s competitive fire, got his head in the game, which came as a relief to some Obama aides who had seen his interest flag when he didn’t feel motivated to crush the opposition. Obama, a person close to him told me, didn’t even feel this strongly about conservative, combative House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, the Hill Republican he disliked the most. At least Cantor stood for something, he’d say.

“When he talked about Romney, aides picked up a level of anger he never had for Clinton or McCain, even after Sarah Palin was picked as his running mate. ‘There was a baseline of respect for John McCain. The president always thought he was an honorable man and a war hero,’ said a longtime Obama adviser. ‘That doesn’t hold true for Romney. He was no goddamned war hero.’” See the cover; pre-order the book $2.99 http://politi.co/PW4dfy
 
Obama, a person close to him told me, didn’t even feel this strongly about conservative, combative House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, the Hill Republican he disliked the most. At least Cantor stood for something, he’d say.

Exactly my feelings. And he has a chance of being President, unbelievable.

This is what the Romney campaign is thinking:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...606c-dda1-11e1-8e43-4a3c4375504a_story_1.html

His advisers long have said that if Romney can get to his convention with the race close to even, he will be well-positioned to pull ahead during the final two months of campaigning. They still believe that and say they are on track. That presumes that any erosion in his personal image can be turned around quickly before it begins to affect the polls nationally and in the swing states.

What might hurt Dems and Obama is the rate at which Obama campaign is burning through cash. And they are having difficulty raising cash at the same time. Dem donors have not responded, and that part sucks.

While, things look good for Obama right now. Nothing is set in stone, if October still shows Obama with such an EC lead, I will feel good.
 

sc0la

Unconfirmed Member
Whoa, citation needed.
I don't know about what he was saying, but there have been several past incidences of people targeting Sikh or their temples because they thought they were Muslim.I think that part at least is well established.

Beyond that motives are varied but the common strain on vandalism or violence against Sikh is that people mistake them for Muslims.
 
Exactly my feelings. And he has a chance of being President, unbelievable.

This is what the Romney campaign is thinking:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...606c-dda1-11e1-8e43-4a3c4375504a_story_1.html



What might hurt Dems and Obama is the rate at which Obama campaign is burning through cash. And they are having difficulty raising cash at the same time. Dem donors have not responded, and that part sucks.

While, things look good for Obama right now. Nothing is set in stone, if October still shows Obama with such an EC lead, I will feel good.

I've been saying that for months. Romney got pummeled for two months and is still within 2-5 points in most polls. He's well positioned to blow the race open after the conventions/VP selection. I don't believe cash will be an issue for Obama though.

Voters don't like Romney personally, the Bain stuff has hurt him, etc...yet he's still performing well. Something is wrong.
 

Baraka in the White House

2-Terms of Kombat
I find it strange that anyone would end up hating Romney more than Eric Fucking Cantor. Romney's just a moderate trying to stay afloat in the riptides of batshit insane that is his party. Cantor actually believes the shit he says.
 
Forgive my ignorance but what about the convention or announcing a VP pick makes for a guaranteed jump in the polls? Is it just because of the resulting increased media exposure? Or is it because it cements the candidate as THE candidate even further? I guess I just don't understand why that stuff is worth a few points in the polls, especially if the VP candidate is someone bland (Portman, Pawlenty) that won't really move the needle and can be counteracted by the opposing party convention shortly after.
 
CHEEZMO™;40652791 said:
Didn't ABB talk about the batshit right-wing pundits et al in his manifesto?

Yes, and there was some guy that shot up a Unitarian church a few years ago who had lots of Limbaugh, Hannity, etc. books. And there was that guy that the California Highway Patrol stopped who was going to attack the Tides Foundation because of crazy stuff from Glenn Beck. But it is certainly over-reach to call all of these attacks from right-wing nuts. Some are just nuts.

But that Report warning about right-wing extremism (that was bashed by Fox) was on target. There is a dangerous group of right-wing fringe-extremists in the country. Fortunately, there are government people watching. But the lone-gunman types are the ones really hard to stop.
 
I find it strange that anyone would end up hating Romney more than Eric Fucking Cantor. Romney's just a moderate trying to stay afloat in the riptides of batshit insane that is his party. Cantor actually believes the shit he says.

I respect honesty and passion more than someone who will say anything to get what he wants. Granted Cantor certainly does say some things he clearly doesn't believe, but his actual policy agenda is pretty clear. Romney has been on opposite sides of the spectrum for multiple major issues, to the point where it's logical to wonder whether he actually believes anything outside of giving corporations and the rich tax breaks. At one point or another he has disavowed Reagan, refused to sign the Contract For America, refused to label himself pro-life, signed gun control laws, raised taxes, supported some basic gay rights, etc.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I've been saying that for months. Romney got pummeled for two months and is still within 2-5 points in most polls. He's well positioned to blow the race open after the conventions/VP selection. I don't believe cash will be an issue for Obama though.

Voters don't like Romney personally, the Bain stuff has hurt him, etc...yet he's still performing well. Something is wrong.

I have a feeling the debates are going to go poorly for Romney. Going to be fun when he's actually going to have to explain how he plans on adding these jobs.
 
Forgive my ignorance but what about the convention or announcing a VP pick makes for a guaranteed jump in the polls? Is it just because of the resulting increased media exposure? Or is it because it cements the candidate as THE candidate even further? I guess I just don't understand why that stuff is worth a few points in the polls, especially if the VP candidate is someone bland (Portman, Pawlenty) that won't really move the needle and can be counteracted by the opposing party convention shortly after.

Meh. People are not so bright. Hey look . . . shiny new thing with balloons and bunting. Wheeee! Two weeks later the bump is gone.
 

kehs

Banned
I've been saying that for months. Romney got pummeled for two months and is still within 2-5 points in most polls. He's well positioned to blow the race open after the conventions/VP selection. I don't believe cash will be an issue for Obama though.

Voters don't like Romney personally, the Bain stuff has hurt him, etc...yet he's still performing well. Something is wrong.
Oh well then, the lunacy has craziness to back it up!
 

ezekial45

Banned
I respect honesty and passion more than someone who will say anything to get what he wants. Granted Cantor certainly does say some things he clearly doesn't believe, but his actual policy agenda is pretty clear. Romney has been on opposite sides of the spectrum for multiple major issues, to the point where it's logical to wonder whether he actually believes anything outside of giving corporations and the rich tax breaks. At one point or another he has disavowed Reagan, refused to sign the Contract For America, refused to label himself pro-life, signed gun control laws, raised taxes, supported some basic gay rights, etc.

I'm convinced he's just driven by his own ego. The guy just wants to be President, that's it. He'll obey the corporations and step on the middle to lower classes to do it -- which is why the uber-wealthy are throwing money at him.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
What's really sad is that he isn't pandering to Jews, he's pandering to Christian fundamentalists who believe that Jesus is coming back and that Israel needs to exist so the rapture can happen, or some shit. The same Christians he's pandering to require ALL of those Jews, after this magic Jesus and trumpets shit goes down, to convert to Christianity on the spot to avoid you know, going to hell.

So literally, he's supporting a supernatural event that would destroy the Jewish state and replace it not with a Muslim one, but a Christian one. Mitt Romney, working for the destruction of the entire Jewish religion, via salvation, which in turn isn't even the chosen path of his own Mormon religion, although its in the same ballpark.

What a fucking mess. It makes Libertarians look like masters of logic.

At least Obama is directly pandering to US Jewry when he's doing this shit.

So why not just make ads that actually directly target those Christian fundamentalists? And for the bolded part, there are plenty of Jews who participate in fundraising for those fundamentalist organizations. They know what they believe in, so why do they support them?
 
I have a feeling the debates are going to go poorly for Romney. Going to be fun when he's actually going to have to explain how he plans on adding these jobs.

Romney is not a bad debater. I don't think anyone would deny that Newt Gingrich is a very effective debater, yet Romney managed to soundly defeat him when he needed to. Obviously Obama is a good debater as well, the problem will be that he has no economic record to run on - outside of "hey things could have been worse." Romney won't have trouble scoring points against that type of argument, especially if UE is still above 8% (guaranteed).

Romney will suffer on nearly every other issue during debates, but it's the economy that matters. And just as Obama effortlessly defeated McCain by tying him to Bush's economic record, Romney will do the same with Obama's economic record.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Romney is not a bad debater. I don't think anyone would deny that Newt Gingrich is a very effective debater, yet Romney managed to soundly defeat him when he needed to. Obviously Obama is a good debater as well, the problem will be that he has no economic record to run on - outside of "hey things could have been worse." Romney won't have trouble scoring points against that type of argument, especially if UE is still above 8% (guaranteed).

Romney will suffer on nearly every other issue during debates, but it's the economy that matters. And just as Obama effortlessly defeated McCain by tying him to Bush's economic record, Romney will do the same with Obama's economic record.

That's the thing, though--how does Romney convince people he can turn the economy around? No corporate tax? I can't imagine independent voters are stupid enough to believe that.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
A week or so ago I looked at Nate Silver's forecast status and saw a notable tick of improvement for Obama, and wondered here whether it was a blip or a more sustained movement.

It appears to be the latter.

wherethingsare.png


Obama got a bump in July that has remained, and it looks like Romney's position is deteriorating further over the past week against him. I'm expecting Romney to announced the veep pick the week or so after the Olympics are over, but it won't alter his fundamental position. Dude is in deep trouble.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
? Its nearly always the case. Its usually people with a few screws loose that read news similar to Fox and believe it and go on shooting sprees. Virtually everyone who did these shooting were Limbaugh and Fox News viewers.

In other words if it wasn't for the fear mongering these events wouldn't be anywhere near as likely to happen.



You're setting yourself up for disappointment.


WTF? You are most assuredly wrong about this. Back that shit up with facts and citations or retract it. Even if this does turn out to be a religious right paranoid watcher of Fox News, that would be one hell of an outlier.
 

Romney is so making the mistake of believing Jewish voters voting by 1 issue alone - Israel.

But Jewish voters tend to be too left wing in most issues to have Israel override that so long as Obama's stance on Israel is unchanged from past presidents, relatively.

The Jews see through it.


edit: And also, the only place this could work is Florida. Don't matter how many Jews he gets, won't be enough in NY or Cali to switch those states. Leaves only Florida. But old and retired Jews don't like Republicans because of privatizing social security stuff. Can't win this round, Mittens.
 

ezekial45

Banned
A week or so ago I looked at Nate Silver's forecast status and saw a notable tick of improvement for Obama, and wondered here whether it was a blip or a more sustained movement.

It appears to be the latter.

wherethingsare.png


Obama got a bump in July that has remained, and it looks like Romney's position is deteriorating further over the past week against him. I'm expecting Romney to announced the veep pick the week or so after the Olympics are over, but it won't alter his fundamental position. Dude is in deep trouble.

How was Nate Silver's forecasting during the 2010 elections? I remember him being pretty damn accurate back in 2008.

These stats look pretty great. I wonder what it would take over the next few months for these numbers to flip?
 

KingGondo

Banned
That's the thing, though--how does Romney convince people he can turn the economy around? No corporate tax? I can't imagine independent voters are stupid enough to believe that.
Only Mitt has the keys to the White House roof where the Job Signal is.

Job Creators, Assemble!
 
A week or so ago I looked at Nate Silver's forecast status and saw a notable tick of improvement for Obama, and wondered here whether it was a blip or a more sustained movement.

It appears to be the latter.

wherethingsare.png


Obama got a bump in July that has remained, and it looks like Romney's position is deteriorating further over the past week against him. I'm expecting Romney to announced the veep pick the week or so after the Olympics are over, but it won't alter his fundamental position. Dude is in deep trouble.

One thing to keep in mind though is that pollsters will at some point apply the LV model instead of RV, which Nate expects will help Republicans by 1-1.5%.

I also maintain that polls so far out in advance, might show us how the recent months have gone but are not a good outcome Predictor. After the conventions, real race starts.
 
Is this adjusted for inflation?

I would like an answer to this. Because if it isn't that would be insane.

Whoa, citation needed.

WTF? You are most assuredly wrong about this. Back that shit up with facts and citations or retract it. Even if this does turn out to be a religious right paranoid watcher of Fox News, that would be one hell of an outlier.

Are you people really going to argue with me that most people who attack Muslims because they fear they will start taking over their country isn't going to lean far right wing?
 
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