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PoliGAF 2012 Community Thread |OT2| This thread title is now under military control

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GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
copy. paste.

Yes, it's a copy paste from a post I made a few weeks ago, but it bears repeating, because no one came up with a good response to it when I made it.

I am sick of conservatives, the people who pushed a private insurance mandate as the most effective way of achieving universeal coverage in the first place, saying it's unconstitutional simply because their "enemy" presided over such a policy being enacted.

For achieving universal coverage, a mandate without a public option is at the bottom of my list, but that doesn't make it unconstitutional. I want to know why the people who wanted it in the first place have now come to the conclusion that it is unconstitutional, given prior precedent and some logical reasoning.
 
What does that have to do with....durrr "copy. paste."?

Look at my primary assertions. 1) alteredbeast's argument was mischaracterized. (pointing that out immediately gets you marked "ENEMY, ENEMY, HE DOESN'T BELIEVE IN UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE!"

2) These arguments aren't really thought out, if you want to see the legal arguments against the constitutionality.. go to the opposite sites from which you're pulling the "it's constitutional" ones from.

So when I see posters who are actually trying to work through the hazards and challenges inherent to this sort of mandate and how it relates to its constitutionality, I'm going to stand up for them, even if I think their argument is wrong.

I will especially stand up for them when I see them being jumped on with a fervor by people who are just parroting other's arguments.
 

Chichikov

Member
There are two discussions threads here that are getting crossed.
AB didn't say anything about constitutionality, that was kosmo.
Now trace back the discussion and make sure you're arguing with the right person (some of you aren't).
 

GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
Look at my primary assertions. 1) alteredbeast's argument was mischaracterized. (pointing that out immediately gets you marked "ENEMY, ENEMY, HE DOESN'T BELIEVE IN UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE!"

2) These arguments aren't really thought out, if you want to see the legal arguments against the constitutionality.. go to the opposite sites from which you're pulling the "it's constitutional" ones from.

So when I see posters who are actually trying to work through the hazards and challenges inherent to this sort of mandate and how it relates to its constitutionality, I'm going to stand up for them, even if I think their argument is wrong.

I will especially stand up for them when I see them being jumped on with a fervor by people who are just parroting other's arguments.

When I ask someone why they think it's unconstitutional considering other facts, I'm not doing it to put them on the spot. I am doing it because I legitimately am open to the possibility that my understanding is wrong, and that it is, in fact, unconstitutional, and if I am mistaken, I want to be shown the flaws in my thinking/understanding. Which is also why I bring up past cases. I don't just go on my gut feeling. I look at the world around me to see if my thinking has anymerit, and if I am mistaken, I want it to be fully clarified to me.

I am not a lawyer. But that does not mean I don't want to understand the law. And if my understanding is flawed, I want it to be called out, not just ignored as the ramblings of an idiot.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
I actually think that should the bill remain, sans the mandate, and costs will obviously sky-rocket, it will force a true universal healthcare to the market much quicker than should the mandate be upheld. No matter what, costs are not going DOWN with the mandate in place. Anyone who thinks that healthcare is about to get cheaper if it is upheld is fooling themselves. What it might do is stagnate costs for a little bit until they again start climbing at a rate much higher than inflation again.
 
When I ask someone why they think it's unconstitutional considering other facts, I'm not doing it to put them on the spot. I am doing it because I legitimately am open to the possibility that my understanding is wrong, and that it is, in fact, unconstitutional, and if I am mistaken, I want to be shown the flaws in my thinking/understanding. Which is also why I bring up past cases. I don't just go on my gut feeling. I look at the world around me to see if my thinking has anymerit, and if I am mistaken, I want it to be fully clarified to me.

I am not a lawyer. But that does not mean I don't want to understand the law. And if my understanding is flawed, I want it to be called out, not just ignored as the ramblings of an idiot.

Fair enough.
 

Diablos

Member
:lol

obama's approval with indys in Ohio is 9/65. yet he's still winning by three (47-44) because of how much people dislike Romney.
Yup

Obama lead in Ohio down to 3

Barack Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney in Ohio, 47-44. But that's Obama's weakest showing in the state in PPP's polling since last October. He had led by 50-43 and 49-42 spreads in our two previous 2012 polls.

The big decline for Obama over the last couple months has been with white voters. He and Romney were basically tied with them earlier this year, but now Romney has opened up a 49-42 advantage with them. It's actually white Democrats with whom Obama's seen the biggest decline recently. In early May he had an 89-6 lead with them, but that's now declined to 78-16.

Obama's approval rating in Ohio has dipped to 44/51, a net 7 point drop from the polls earlier this year when voters split evenly on him at 48/48. That Obama has a small advantage in the state anyway is a testament to Romney's weakness as a candidate. Only 35% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 54% with a negative one. With Obama's approval numbers where they are he would almost definitely be trailing if the GOP had a top notch candidate against him- but it really just doesn't.

The breakdown of the undecideds in this race speaks to a deeply unhappy electorate. Obama's approval rating with them is 9%, with 65% disapproving of him. But Romney barely fares better, with 9% rating him favorably and 61% holding a negative opinion of him.

Obama continues to have a tenuous lead in Ohio based largely on his support with three core constituencies: African Americans (93-6), young voters (54-36), and women (52-41).
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/

This election is going to be so so close. Meh. Once the GE really heats up Romney's approval might improve. He can't get much worse as is.

Obama is also losing ground in Virginia. This is going to be ugly
Source pls?

i still believe that the ACA will be upheld 5-4, or maybe even 6-3.
Ehhh...

7hTXc.jpg
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
*is sad that a thirst for knowledge and understanding needs to be pointed out as his motive for asking questions*
:(

Eh, nothing is sacred on an internet message board, and anyone who posts in the style that you did is going to look like you are out to be the one that is showing everyone else how dumb they are. We are all calloused and cynical. :)
 

GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
Eh, nothing is sacred on an internet message board, and anyone who posts in the style that you did is going to look like you are out to be the one that is showing everyone else how dumb they are. We are all calloused and cynical. :)

I ask questions eager to be proven wrong, but knowing that 99% of the time I will either:
A: Be ignored

Or

B: Have my question answered directly, but in a way that fails to address, refute, discredit, or acknowledge any of the points I made in support of my initial line of thinking. So basically another form of A.


So maybe that cynicism comes out in my posts :)
 
I'm not concerned, I am amused.


Bush was the guy that was going to insititute a draft, go to war with Iran and stack the court to overturn Roe v Wade in the run-up to 2004. I still recall it vividly.
What do you guys think would have happened if a draft had been instituted? Do you think people might care more about ending wars/not going to wars if their kids were the ones who had to fight? Just something I was thinking about.
 

ToxicAdam

Member
That's not what happened in Massachusetts. The penalty is only a little harsher there: $816.90 under PPACA and $1,260 under the MA reform for someone making $32,676 a year above the age of 27. So, too, are there no criminal actions against those who don't pay the fine in MA (as far as I know). I bet people were wondering how MA was going to implement its tax too.
.

It shouldn't be a surprise that the number is so high since the vast majority of Americans already get their healthcare through their employer and a large chunk of the others are over 65 or eligible for Medicaid.

Also, a note:

Massachusetts' health care law gives the Department of Revenue the authority to use its regular tax-collection powers to enforce the insurance mandate, says spokesman Robert Bliss. Through September 2009, the state had collected $12.9 million of the $16.4 million in penalties assessed in 2008.

Obamacare does not do this.


What do you guys think would have happened if a draft had been instituted? Do you think people might care more about ending wars/not going to wars if their kids were the ones who had to fight? Just something I was thinking about.


I don't think a draft is ever tenable in this country again. Unless there was a serious threat to the United States' border (which seems very unlikely).

Even a scenario where Iran attacks Israel won't be enough to cause a draft. The political consequences are too great.
 

Chichikov

Member
What do you guys think would have happened if a draft had been instituted? Do you think people might care more about ending wars/not going to wars if their kids were the ones who had to fight? Just something I was thinking about.
We would have never gone to Iraq and we would've already been out of Afghanistan.
 

GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
It should be a surprise that the number is so high since the vast majority of Americans already get their healthcare through their employer and a large chunk of the others are over 65 or eligible for Medicaid.

Also, a note:



Obamacare does not do this.

It should be a surprise if you have 0% unemployment and mandate health coverage for every employer.
 

ToxicAdam

Member
Don't worry, the IRS will just get another another few hundred million dollars to ramp up enforcement if and when it becomes expedient. Nothing like more bureaucracy to cover more bureaucracy.


As it stands now, the most they can do is withhold tax returns or harrass you (like a collection agency would). For people that are self-employed, that doesn't mean much as the majority of them pay taxes quarterly/bi-annually and never have a return.

But that does represent a small number of Americans.

You could also work your deductions to where you don't have a return either. But I don't know if the average person will go to that lengths to save a thousand dollars or so.
 

Chichikov

Member
As it stands now, the most they can do is withhold tax returns or harrass you (like a collection agency would). For people that are self-employed, that doesn't mean much as the majority of them pay taxes quarterly/bi-annually and never have a return.

But that does represent a small number of Americans.
This whole thing is stupid, we act like there's some major difference between the two, when in reality, it was just some stupid ass maneuvering so Obama can say "no new taxes".
We spend so much time arguing something that really doesn't matter all that much.
But that's what you get when you let lawyers run your country.
 

Kosmo

Banned
This doesn't make any sense. You're saying the method is okay as long as it's a product you approve of?

No, as long as it's constitutional. Nobody has argued that Congress could not have done this through a straight tax, but they choose to do it through a "penalty" for political reasons. Practically, there is no difference. Constitutionally, there is.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
No, as long as it's constitutional. Nobody has argued that Congress could not have done this through a straight tax, but they choose to do it through a "penalty" for political reasons. Practically, there is no difference. Constitutionally, there is.

The way the solicitor general had to argue it in front of the Supreme Court was cracking me up. Even he couldn't get it right.

I guess it is a real shame that taxes are looked at so negatively by 90% of Americans...unless "someone else" is going to have their taxes raised.
 
No, as long as it's constitutional. Nobody has argued that Congress could not have done this through a straight tax, but they choose to do it through a "penalty" for political reasons. Practically, there is no difference. Constitutionally, there is.
What's the difference between the penalty and the tax?
 
Congress has the power to tax, they do not (presumably, we'll find out Thursday) have the power to charge you a penalty if you do not buy a certain product.
The government takes a certain amount of your money through taxes.

The government will take a certain amount of money through this penalty.

What's the difference? It's a tax by another name!
 

Kosmo

Banned
The government takes a certain amount of your money through taxes.

The government will take a certain amount of money through this penalty.

What's the difference? It's a tax by another name!

As I said, practically, there is no difference. Constitutionally and politically, there is. The President himself argued time and and again it was not a tax, I assume to keep his pledge of no taxes on those making under $250K. You should be arguing with him, not me.
 
It shouldn't be a surprise that the number is so high since the vast majority of Americans already get their healthcare through their employer and a large chunk of the others are over 65 or eligible for Medicaid.
I dunno what you're talking about here, but I misinterpreted your post. I thought you were talking about people paying the penalty because it's not enough, not because there isn't sufficient enforcement mechanisms.
As I said, practically, there is no difference. Constitutionally and politically, there is. The President himself argued time and and again it was not a tax, I assume to keep his pledge of no taxes on those making under $250K. You should be arguing with him, not me.
So the Supreme Court is going to rule something unconstitutional because it wasn't given the right name? Oh, that's just great. That makes a lot of sense.
 

GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
It's kind of their job.

No it isn't. Their job is to look past the wording and examine the implications and practical effects of legislation.

The Equal Protections clause of the 14th amendment wouldn't amount to shit if the courts could only look at the letter of the law and not the spirit or effects of the law.
 

Diablos

Member
I still laugh at diablos' "DOOOOOOOOM" every few pages. The map speaks for itself: this isn't going to be close like he thinks.
I ain't even panicking, son

PA voter ID law is bullshit and if you lived here you'd be raging with me. Corbett is easily the worst PA Gov of my lifetime.
 
Also, just because someone gets vetted doesn't mean they're a serious candidate. Everyone knew McDonnell would get some looks. the problem is his far right record on women issues

Portman bros...
 

Diablos

Member
It's going to be closer than McCain and I think there will still be a lot of uncertainty right up until the last week. But, I think he's still a lock.
How can Barry be a lock if there's going to be "uncertainty right up until the last week"?

And yeah, I think Portman is shaping up to be the most likely bet. He's from a critical swing state, and is probably the safest most whitest looking and talking candidate of them all. Mittens can't go wrong by picking him.
 

Kosmo

Banned
How can Barry be a lock if there's going to be "uncertainty right up until the last week"?

And yeah, I think Portman is shaping up to be the most likely bet. He's from a critical swing state, and is probably the safest most whitest looking and talking candidate of them all. Mittens can't go wrong by picking him.

Vet a woman - pandering to women.
Vet Rubio - pandering to Latinos
Vet a white guy - Romney only like white people

You guys crack me up.
 

Diablos

Member
Vet a woman - pandering to women.
Vet Rubio - pandering to Latinos
Vet a white guy - Romney only like white people

You guys crack me up.
Romney is a lost cause with women.
Rubio from what I have read would do very little with Latinos overall because they're onto his bullshit, but I dunno, maybe he'd be a good pick (doubtful).

So, might as well play it safe. Whites are the only thing he has going for him, so he needs to double down on that.
 

Chichikov

Member
Really, single payer is the best solution but this is a step in the right direction even if it's into a puddle.
I think Obamacare is an improvement over the current situation, but I don't see how it's a step toward a single payer solution.
If we had the public option there I would agree, but we don't.
 
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