Yes I'd gladly watch a movie from the guy who ruined the last 4 Harry Potter movies... NOT.
Predict the Biggest Box Office Bomb of 2016
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Yes I'd gladly watch a movie from the guy who ruined the last 4 Harry Potter movies... NOT.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Was elaborating further.
If I had to put money on it I'd say...., Gods Of Egypt, Angry Birds and Tarzan, seriously everything about Tarzan gives off a weird vibe. Yates directing another film before this one was finished, WB launching another Margot Robbie franchise in Suicide Squad less than a month later..., all very weird.
But my current choice for flop of the summer is the new Ghostbusters film...., buy hear me out why. This is nothing to do with the "why are they all women?1?!?!?" argument at all. I have never really understood GB fans who claim that it's some grand, old school franchise that should be treated with sacred respect, why? It's two films only one of which is actually good.
Instead the new GB is my choice of flop because of the radio silence from the studio, this film comes out in July, where is the trailer? We've seen some photos released but beyond that it's strangely quiet. This is an expensive film that's supposed to launch a new franchise complete with a big merchandise roll out.
It could all be nothing and the film could be a huge hit but I wonder whether the studio are still trying to figure out how to sell this 'new' take on Ghostbusters.
Eh. It looks like Paramount made it cheaper than the first two films in a "we know this isn't going to be a global franchise" sort of way.
I'm sure that it will be fine.
Trolling is so deeply ingrained in this poster's being that he even trolls himself without even knowing.
It's funny...., in a terrifyingly tragic sort of way.
But my current choice for flop of the summer is the new Ghostbusters film...., buy hear me out why. This is nothing to do with the "why are they all women?1?!?!?" argument at all. I have never really understood GB fans who claim that it's some grand, old school franchise that should be treated with sacred respect, why? It's two films only one of which is actually good.
Instead the new GB is my choice of flop because of the radio silence from the studio, this film comes out in July, where is the trailer? We've seen some photos released but beyond that it's strangely quiet. This is an expensive film that's supposed to launch a new franchise complete with a big merchandise roll out.
It could all be nothing and the film could be a huge hit but I wonder whether the studio are still trying to figure out how to sell this 'new' take on Ghostbusters.
I got a really bad feeling about Star Trek Beyond.
Eh. It looks like Paramount made it cheaper than the first two films in a "we know this isn't going to be a global franchise" sort of way.
I'm sure that it will be fine.
Trolling is so deeply ingrained in this poster's being that he even trolls himself without even knowing.
It's funny...., in a terrifyingly tragic sort of way.
Gambit likely isn't releasing this year and there's no way Strange flops if Civil War pulls its weight and Deadpool's budget was so damn small it'd have to pull under $120 WW million to be considered a flop.
Thatonemoor
Member
Just like how Ant-man flopped right?
I think that $150-200m worldwide isn't a bad shout. While the marketing has been great and it's really connecting to it's target audience will anyone else care?
This is, at the end of the day, an R rated Ryan Reynolds vehicle and he has a filmography that is littered with bomb after bomb.
The last Wolverine film made just over $400m worldwide and that had a well known character and a major star in the lead. I'm struggling to think of a situation where Deadpool gets anywhere near $350m unless it breaks out in a major way.
I also feel like it's worth remembering that the Fox X-Men films have never really been considered 'AAA' franchises in the US. Hell, even DOFP 'only' made $233m in the US and The Wolverine only made $133m.
I have a feeling that ol' Cumberbatch could be the weak link in that project.
DeathoftheEndless
Crashing this plane... with no survivors!
Gods of Egypt, Legend of Tarzan
I assume Norm of the North is already a big bomb.
I'm surprised so many people have mentioned Warcraft. I think it will do well.
I assume Norm of the North is already a big bomb.
I'm surprised so many people have mentioned Warcraft. I think it will do well.
I'm still on the train that Gambit isn't out this year
Because it hasn't even started filming yet!
Doctor Strange will do well. But I think unlike Ant-man it may be hurt by the amount of competition.
By the time it releases, there would have been 6 other comic book movies this year?
(Deadpool, BvS, Civil War, X-Men, Ninja Turtles and Suicide Squad)
Paul Rudd is charming
Thatonemoor
Member
I don't think Paul Rudd was the one selling that movie.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Sony's marketing isn't the greatest, but I think maybe they're looking to blitz fast & hard much closer to release date.
Ghostbusters won't bomb.
andythinkpad
Member
I think it will come close to greenlight a sequel, so probably 150-200m world wide.
My theory is that Ryan Reynolds has bad BO karma. Even if the movie is good, something else such as bad weather or bad release window will happen and cause the movie to underperform. And then some other comic movie will bomb horrible at BO 1 year later and prompt the cancallation of the sequel.
SmartWaffles
Member
I don't know about US domestic box office but I can guarantee you Warcraft won't bomb in China, thus will not bomb globally. It is THE most hyped foreign movie of 2016 here and is higher than things like Star Wars.
Shuggananas
Banned
lol if paul rudd made ant-man a success then strange will do fine
Spikematic
Member
There is no way in hell Dr. Strange will bomb, you guys are crazy. And Warcraft is going to do big business overseas so it's safe. I think Tarzan and that atrocious looking white gods in Egypt movie are the safest bets for biggest bombs of the year. A bit more optimistic about Alice and Huntsman. I actually look forward to the latter because I found the first one surprisingly watchable due to the stunning artstyle and Charlize Theron's flawlessness. And the sequel adds Emily Blunt... oh my!
Sebastiano
Member
Don't understand why many people think that Tarzan will be THE bomb of the year... Maybe it doesn't look as the movie of the year but it will certainly not be as bad as the CGI Tarzan from 2013 and many people watched the official trailer (15 millions views on YouTube for a movie trailer isn't bad, when we have Batman v Superman, one of the biggest movies of the year, at 21 millions), I think that it will do just enough.
The new Alice has more chances to bomb in my opinion, maybe the first one had good scores but many people didn't like it and I don't see many talking about the sequel but maybe I'm wrong. We will see.
The new Alice has more chances to bomb in my opinion, maybe the first one had good scores but many people didn't like it and I don't see many talking about the sequel but maybe I'm wrong. We will see.
To be fair, that BvS trailer did not go over well with the YouTube crowd. The Comic Con trailer is about to hit 60 million views. Suicide Squad has even more.
To those who picked Gods, collect your earnings.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=godsofegypt.htm
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=godsofegypt.htm
Bwahahahahaha
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Tarzan ain't out yet.
Only for those who betted on Tarzan will get their earnings soon. For now, it's Gods.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
That's not how betting works. You don't pay out before the game is over.
Gods is a bomb. It remains to be seen if it's the bomb.
Wait, is the bet that Tarzan will do worse than Gods? I don't know about that shit.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Gods is beating Tarzan by a good margin, $4.7M vs $0
PhoncipleBone
Banned
By that rationale, Batman v Superman, Civil War, and Rogue One are bombs as well.
I think it will come close to greenlight a sequel, so probably 150-200m world wide.
My theory is that Ryan Reynolds has bad BO karma. Even if the movie is good, something else such as bad weather or bad release window will happen and cause the movie to underperform. And then some other comic movie will bomb horrible at BO 1 year later and prompt the cancallation of the sequel.
lol
how clueless we were
SkyMasterson
Member
I feel like Pete's Dragon won't do well at all haha.
Same with another Disney movie, Alice. Just seems so unnecessary and random to make a sequel six years after the last one that wasn't even that well received.
and I just found out that Gods of Egypt had a $140 million budget. Wtf were Lionsgate thinking? When I first saw the trailer, I thought it was one of those mid teir "blockbuster-esque type movies.
Same with another Disney movie, Alice. Just seems so unnecessary and random to make a sequel six years after the last one that wasn't even that well received.
and I just found out that Gods of Egypt had a $140 million budget. Wtf were Lionsgate thinking? When I first saw the trailer, I thought it was one of those mid teir "blockbuster-esque type movies.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Gods cost 140. Tarzan cost 180.
Gods probably had more buzz in that it's fuckery actually became a news story in and of itself, which might have caused curiosity that wasn't there previously.
I don't even know that Tarzan will garner even that much attention.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
People might want to serve crow on Deadpool, but nobody saw that coming. Zero people.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
I will see Tarzan Bobby, I have a certain affinity towards da bomb-ombs.
twinturbo2
butthurt Heat fan
As soon as I heard the shitstorm over the casting decisions, I saw this coming.
Now that Deadpool cleaned up at the BO, is anyone thinking Suicide Squad might underperform compared to expectations?
More importantly, will Fox greenlight a Squirrel Girl movie now? Think about it, SG has memetic infamy on par with Deadpool, and it can be done with a PG-13 rating without compromising what people love about the character.
And they still have the rights to Doctor Doom, right?
They claimed that they only ended up risking $10 million through some insane tax loopholes they got shooting the thing in Australia.
Would be really surprised if that happen. Would be equally surprised if it made anywhere near as much as 'The Avengers' and it's ilk.
Thou shall eat crow, much crow.
Joel Was Right
Member
Don't see that much hype for BvS. Internet seems to be mixed on it.
PHOENIXZERO
Member
I don't think Warcraft is going to bomb, at worst it'll break even IMO. I'm sure there's millions of people in the US alone who just played WoW at some point in the last 12 years never mind 20+ years the series has been around and are willing to buy a ticket. Plus Blizzard is going to bribe people to go see it as part of the marketing campaign.
I'm probably not going to be one of them unless the word of mouth is actually good.
Now that Independence Day sequel that no one has been asking for with its 200M budget...
I'm probably not going to be one of them unless the word of mouth is actually good.
Now that Independence Day sequel that no one has been asking for with its 200M budget...
Gods of Egypt cost $140 million and will make $10-15 million on its opening weekend.
BvS cost $200 million to make and will do at anywhere from $50-150 million OW. I'm pretty sure by the time you include international receipts, it will be fine.
That doesn't make sense. It's already tracking for a big opening.
Yes it will.
We may have been completely wrong on Deadpool. But even then Deadpool was always a more popular character with way bigger potential for a good movie. Gambit is popular only by association, people like it when he's part of the team because of cartoons and comics they grew up with. Ain't nobody checking for Gambit on his own.
Might as well make a solo Morph movie.
PHOENIXZERO
Member
I find the predictions of Deadpool bombing kind of mind boggling to the point they had to be made tongue in cheek, it didn't have a big budget while it had a lot of buzz from the marketing before 2015 even ended. Never mind the overwhelmingly positive response to that test footage a couple years back. It was certain to turn a profit, just how much of one I doubt anyone seriously expected.
EDIT: Of course this would be a top of page post.
EDIT: Of course this would be a top of page post.
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