VendettaRed07
Member
...dems were never going to win house in 2018
We are 21 seats down.
...dems were never going to win house in 2018
Your evidence for the decline in Democrats being due to identity politics (and not the abandonment of the 50 state strategy) is where, exactly?
Never said it was. Pelosi's refusing to step aside for almost a decade leading house democrats has blocked another generation getting their shot at leading the party, which is sorely needed right now.
Ok, I'll be honest and tell you I don't exactly know what form a new Democratic leadership should take to counter Trump's GOP. What I do think is absolutely vital is for the space for a new Democratic party to work that out.
We all know what did not work though: tacking to the left with identity politics, as the (average age 76) Democratic party leadership in general has since 2008.
1. Pelosi's time is clearly up, regardless of your politics she has presided over the worst electorally performing Democratic party for a generation. Her (not overwhelming) re-election blocks a potential path for a new changemaker to come forward.
2. Keith Ellison would bring more of the same rhetoric that lead to Trump winning the most counties as a Republican since Ronald Reagan. Identity politics has utterly failed the Democrats in elections, and some are beginning to realise that politically, minorities perhaps do not unite strongly enough to overcome the core 'white vote'. See the swing to Trump among Hispanic men.
identity politics didn't lose us the election. inaccurate polling and hillary's arguably bad campaign lost the election. identity politics didn't lose us the house, a racist uprising that led to gerrymandering the districts, apathetic millennials, and a weak DNC that didn't energize said millenials lost us the house. identity politics didn't lose us the senate, the weak DNC did and apathy did.Never said it was. Pelosi's refusing to step aside for almost a decade leading house democrats has blocked another generation getting their shot at leading the party, which is sorely needed right now.
Ok, I'll be honest and tell you I don't exactly know what form a new Democratic leadership should take to counter Trump's GOP. What I do think is absolutely vital is for the space for a new Democratic party to work that out.
We all know what did not work though: tacking to the left with identity politics, as the (average age 76) Democratic party leadership in general has since 2008.
1. Pelosi's time is clearly up, regardless of your politics she has presided over the worst electorally performing Democratic party for a generation. Her (not overwhelming) re-election blocks a potential path for a new changemaker to come forward.
2. Keith Ellison would bring more of the same rhetoric that lead to Trump winning the most counties as a Republican since Ronald Reagan. Identity politics has utterly failed the Democrats in elections, and some are beginning to realise that politically, minorities perhaps do not unite strongly enough to overcome the core 'white vote'. See the swing to Trump among Hispanic men.
identity politics didn't lose the election. inaccurate polling and hillary's arguably bad campaign lost the election. identity politics didn't lose us the house, a racist uprising that led to gerrymandering the districts, apathetic millennials, and a weak DNC that didn't energize said millenials lost us the house. identity politics didn't lose us the senate, the weak DNC did and apathy did.
This is silly because Pelosi was leader in 2006 and 2008 when Democrats made big gains. Not only that, she was able to jam a lot of left-wing policies through her House that the Senate could not, even with a more "centrist" caucus.By choosing Nancy Pelosi, the party has changed absolutely nothing in the face of another catastrophic election result. The party has lost 1 in every 5 seats it held in the house after 2008, but virtually changed nothing about the team in charge.
Dude, that graph starts in '08, when democrats had the most power in generations. People were calling '08 the end of the republican party, because they were in a worse position than the DNC is today. That kind o lead is unsustanble, no matter who your leader is.
I don't understand the excitement about this guy. No one talked about him at all then a video went viral of him on ABC's "This Week" warning about Trump being the GoP nominee and everyone at the table laughing and all of a sudden he is the go to?
I feel like the Dems were like "omg he went viral we got no one quick put him in charge!"
I don't understand the excitement about this guy. No one talked about him at all then a video went viral of him on ABC's "This Week" warning about Trump being the GoP nominee and everyone at the table laughing and all of a sudden he is the go to?
I feel like the Dems were like "omg he went viral we got no one quick put him in charge!"
LMAOFirst Pelosi, now Keith '9/11 was a Reichstag Fire' Ellison. DNC are so fucked if they choose this man. I mean 2016 UK Labour FUCKED.
I don't understand the excitement about this guy. No one talked about him at all then a video went viral of him on ABC's "This Week" warning about Trump being the GoP nominee and everyone at the table laughing and all of a sudden he is the go to?
I feel like the Dems were like "omg he went viral we got no one quick put him in charge!"
I think it's pretty clear the DNC's election failures post-08 had everything to do with part-time chairs and ditching the 50-state strategy, and almost nothing to do with "identity politics", unless you have evidence to the contrary?
Like Clinton, he went around and got support, locking it down, before ever announcing his candidacy.I don't understand the excitement about this guy. No one talked about him at all then a video went viral of him on ABC's "This Week" warning about Trump being the GoP nominee and everyone at the table laughing and all of a sudden he is the go to?
I feel like the Dems were like "omg he went viral we got no one quick put him in charge!"
I don't understand the excitement about this guy. No one talked about him at all then a video went viral of him on ABC's "This Week" warning about Trump being the GoP nominee and everyone at the table laughing and all of a sudden he is the go to?
I feel like the Dems were like "omg he went viral we got no one quick put him in charge!"
I don't understand the excitement about this guy. No one talked about him at all then a video went viral of him on ABC's "This Week" warning about Trump being the GoP nominee and everyone at the table laughing and all of a sudden he is the go to?
I feel like the Dems were like "omg he went viral we got no one quick put him in charge!"
He/she can't prove that. Can certainly try and link them. All American politics is identity politics, trust me when these guys talk, you know who they're talking to.
This is silly because Pelosi was leader in 2006 and 2008 when Democrats made big gains. Not only that, she was able to jam a lot of left-wing policies through her House that the Senate could not, even with a more "centrist" caucus.
actually, centrists on here and lib pundits in general were boosting the lobbyist and arguing against Ellison purely on the prospect of being part time chair. it was just a cover because they oppose him on idealogical grounds for being too left, or swallowed the torrent of islamaphobic propaganda being hurled aroundI don't know what or when that video was posted. But I know he had a lot of buzz because both Bernie, and Schumer endorsed him, and he seems to be well like by dems from both the center and the left. Plus he seems really progressive which is why he's been getting a lot of buzz recently.
There are issues with the DNC that need to be looked at but the idea that having a full-time chair will magically fix the tendency of Democratic voting groups to only show up when huper-motivated is pretty nuts.
There we go. That's literally 400+/447 so at least their is a consensus that the new boss has to get things done without being sidetracked.
I've liked him for a long time. He's unabashedly progressive, the first Muslim elected to Congress and, sure, it doesn't hurt that he displayed some impressive foresight by taking Trump seriously from the start. His ascension is a sign that the democrats understand where the party is heading and embracing it rather than fighting against it, which I feel they largely did during the election cycle.
actually, centrists on here and lib pundits in general were boosting the lobbyist and arguing against Ellison purely on the prospect of being part time chair. it was just a cover because they oppose him on idealogical grounds for being too left, or swallowed the torrent of islamaphobic propaganda being hurled around
schumer is a total snake and read the tea leaves and just latched on to secure his position
As a Minnesotan, I would hate to see him go...but it would be for the good of the country.
actually, centrists on here and lib pundits in general were boosting the lobbyist and arguing against Ellison purely on the prospect of being part time chair. it was just a cover because they oppose him on idealogical grounds for being too left, or swallowed the torrent of islamaphobic propaganda being hurled around
schumer is a total snake and read the tea leaves and just latched on to secure his position
Bull. We need a full time chair. Obama ignored the DNC and used it as a political handout, like an ambassadorship. (He put his real focus into OFA, but that hasn't worked out for the party at large.) That has to end, and part of that ending is putting a full time head in charge. The ideology doesn't matter for this position- the key is finding and funding candidates nationwide that can win in their districts.actually, centrists on here and lib pundits in general were boosting the lobbyist and arguing against Ellison purely on the prospect of being part time chair. it was just a cover because they oppose him on idealogical grounds for being too left, or swallowed the torrent of islamaphobic propaganda being hurled around
schumer is a total snake and read the tea leaves and just latched on to secure his position
actually, centrists on here and lib pundits in general were boosting the lobbyist and arguing against Ellison purely on the prospect of being part time chair. it was just a cover because they oppose him on idealogical grounds for being too left, or swallowed the torrent of islamaphobic propaganda being hurled around
schumer is a total snake and read the tea leaves and just latched on to secure his position
What do you mean 'those guys'? You know nothing about me.
Democrats have talked about changing demographics and 'the emerging Democratic majority' since the beginning of this century. All of the rhetoric from Obama's elections have been about how the new, multicultural america has made a Democratic consensus irreversible.
Whether or not this was true (as I've said in an earlier post re Hispanic males, theres plenty of evidence it's not), ethno-nationalism is extremely volatile and works both ways. Republican appeals to whites have met limited success before. It took the perception that the Democratic party no longer needed them for working class white people to vote for Trump in historic numbers.
The GOP is now the White Party. The Democrats need to adapt to deal with this, they can't play the same tune louder and expect more people to sing along.
I don't think the two points are as separate as you're implying. The whole point of the party chair is to implement strategies and push candidates that bolster turnout. If Ellison can commit to that as his one and only job, that's obviously more attention he can pay to state and national Dem turnout, as opposed to splitting his time between that and his own district.
The biggest difference? Where the white votes were.Trump got 58% of the white vote in the 2016 election. Romney got 59% of the white vote in the 2012 election.
Trump got 58% of the white vote in the 2016 election. Romney got 59% of the white vote in the 2012 election.
And I think you're massively over estimating the influence a party chair has in election outcomes. By all accounts Dean did a great job in the mid-2000's but the Democrats didn't start winning elections until after Bush became massively unpopular. The GOP started winning because Obama is massively unpopular with a group of voters who turn out in high numbers and are over-represented in key areas. If the economy thrives the next few years, 2018 is going to be bad for the Dems no matter who the chair is.
What do you mean 'those guys'? You know nothing about me.
Democrats have talked about changing demographics and 'the emerging Democratic majority' since the beginning of this century. All of the rhetoric from Obama's elections have been about how the new, multicultural america has made a Democratic consensus irreversible.
Whether or not this was true (as I've said in an earlier post re Hispanic males, theres plenty of evidence it's not), ethno-nationalism is extremely volatile and works both ways. Republican appeals to whites have met limited success before. It took the perception that the Democratic party no longer needed them for working class white people to vote for Trump in historic numbers.
The GOP is now the White Party. The Democrats need to adapt to deal with this, they can't play the same tune louder and expect more people to sing along.
Explain two terms of Obama then.Trump won with 100k votes across 3 states and is losing the pop vote by over 2m, but somehow minorities don't matter anymore. Dems piss off minorities and they will never win another election. Take that to the bank. Demographics still are changing. White voters dropped from 72%-70% of the electorate this election. But go ahead and ignore that.
Clinton won 7 out of the 14 GOP controlled house districts in California. Dems didn't pickup any of those seats. That's an enormous failure. (https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/806358203764248577)
The DNC's job is to make sure Dems have proper campaigns in each and every one of those districts and, when a wave/electoral shift/etc. comes, capitalize on it.
Please don't use the exit polls as definitive proof of anything. Everyone who has looked at them from Nate Silver on down has said that they do not match up with the actual county level results.
Trump got 58% of the white vote in the 2016 election. Romney got 59% of the white vote in the 2012 election.
If Ultratruman wants to use more definitive numbers to defend c claims of white voters voting for Trump in "historic numbers" or Republican appeals to white voters "having met with limited success before", he can feel free.
Cool graph 4u:
Oooorr there are a disproportionate number of California Republicans who didn't like Trump and were willing to ticket split. The DCCC (not the DNC) spent millions on these races but it didn't work out. Just saying Clinton won, the House candidate didn't so the DNC sucks lol is so, so lazy.