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Rottenwatch: AVATAR (82%)

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bud said:
damn. titanic used to have the best 4th weekend with a gross of $28.7m.

I posted about this before, but if that $48 million number is right, Avatar's 4th weekend is going to break the previous 3rd weekend record. Just think about that for a moment. Think about what that means.

[/Molyneux]
 
Wow. Avatar made more than all the new releases combined. Not looking good for Eli next week. :(

gdt5016 said:
I just read this bit:

Avatar 22-Day Total:$393,815,000

The Dark Knight 22-Day Total: $423,088,829

hmm
Even better:

TDK 4th Saturday: $10.5m
Avatar 4th Saturday: $22m

Difference: 109%
 
GhaleonEB said:
Wow. Avatar made more than all the new releases combined. Not looking good for Eli next week. :(


Even better:

TDK 4th Saturday: $10.5m
Avatar 4th Saturday: $22m

Difference: 109%
The gap will be gone between them soon with Avatar pulling ahead. The sky is the limit for this film. Just has a wall in it's way on march 5th with Alice in wonderland.
 
Somnia said:
The gap will be gone between them soon with Avatar pulling ahead. The sky is the limit for this film. Just has a wall in it's way on march 5th with Alice in wonderland.
Yeah. I just realized it's got a 4-day holiday weekend again next week. Who knows what the heck it can do at this point. :lol

TDK is toast, gap with Titanic is closing fast. It needs $170m more, coming off a $50m weekend. The ship is sinking, again.
 
DanielPlainview said:
48.5 mil this weekend, 29 percent drop, not bad! Same top 3 for 3 wknds in a row. :lol Can Eli change it?

Fuck no, Eli wont change it. No amount of self-shilling from Mr Whitta will have any effect. Avatar is going to roll over Eli, and take the fifth weekend record at the same time.

So we're less than $30M from TDK now, eh? Not bad! Was just a week ago when it was over $40M between the two.
 
Solo said:
Fuck no, Eli wont change it. No amount of self-shilling from Mr Whitta will have any effect. Avatar is going to roll over Eli, and take the fifth weekend record at the same time.

So we're less than $30M from TDK now, eh? Not bad! Was just a week ago when it was over $40M between the two.

Eh, I think Eli might top it next week.

I don't know about it's legs, but it might take #1 next week.
 
Actually, you guys are wrong.

TDK, 24 days: $441,628,497
Avatar, 24 days: $429,040,000

Only $12.6M apart :D It'll pass TDK day-to-day this week.
 
gdt5016 said:
Eh, I think Eli might top it next week.

I don't know about it's legs, but it might take #1 next week.
Avatar is going to do 40m on the 3 days next weekend. Eli will do 25 tops. Heavy R rated film In january.
 
Somnia said:
Avatar is going to do 40m on the 3 days next weekend. Eli will do 25 tops. Heavy R rated film In january.
Eli can do upto 40 and Avatar will be slightly higher I think. Remember, its an extended 4 day (MLK) weekend.
 
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DanielPlainview said:
yeah, look at Denzel Washington BO-wise: http://boxofficemojo.com/people/chart/?id=denzelwashington.htm

All of his movies have made less than $23.4M, except the following:

America Gangster - $43,565,115
Inside Man - $28,954,945

1 of those had Ridley Scott and Russell Crowe behind it as well. The other was released late March and had zero competition. I just don't see Book of Eli doing better than those.
Yeah. Denzel's box office draw is over-rated, and it's an R-rated post apocalyptic action movie when there have been a few of them released lately.

I really want it to do well. I'm hoping that the audience expands since it will be a holiday weekend, and there's room for Avatar and Eli just like there was for the three big Christmas/New Year's movies.

But I have a feeling Eli is going to get Avatar'd.
 
koam said:
What's the next big movie after Eli?

Tooth Fairy coming out Jan 22nd should do reasonably well.
Feb 12th is Wolfman and Percy Jackson and the Olympians.

Not huge releases granted, but enough to potentially beat Avatar considering it's Avatars what 6th and 8th weekends.
 
adg1034 said:
How does that work? Avatar's $429 million figure is up through today. Which is 2010. I'm confused.
It's for movies released in 2009. Transformers 2 was the highest grossing film of the calendar year 2009, and Avatar is the highest grossing film released in 2009.
 
adg1034 said:
How does that work? Avatar's $429 million figure is up through today. Which is 2010. I'm confused.
Simple; all movies released in 2009. Its always been that way.

edit: beaten.

GuessWho said:
Shutter Island
Way too far, 10th week. Avatar will be toppled from #1 before that I think.
 
koam said:
wtf is tooth fairy? I've never even heard of the movie.

It's a kids movie starring the Rock. The track record there is pretty decent.

Should open in the 15-25 million dollar range. If it hits the upper end of that range and Avatar drops a bit more than it has been it could take it.

I think Wolfman is the likely contender since it will be 3 weeks later... Avatar numbers should be way down by then.
 
GhaleonEB said:
It's for movies released in 2009. Transformers 2 was the highest grossing film of the calendar year 2009, and Avatar is the highest grossing film released in 2009.

Ah. I took it at face value- amount earned in 2009 vs highest grosses of movies released in the year.
 
irfan said:
Eli can do upto 40 and Avatar will be slightly higher I think. Remember, its an extended 4 day (MLK) weekend.
Ya I was only speaking about the 3 days not the 4 days. Eli will do 32ish tops in 4 days IMO but we shall see.
 
koam said:
What's the next big movie after Eli?

P.S Eli a 25m is a low estimate

Jan 22nd - Fucking Tooth Fairy
Jan 29th - Edge of Darkness (will bring in Taken crowd w/ Mel Gibson and director of Casino Royale)
Feb 5th - From Paris With Love (Taken director and Travolta)
Feb 12th - Percy Jackson, Wolfman (will be a disaster)
Feb 19th - Shutter Island (FINALLY!)
Feb 26th - Cop Out/Crazies
March 5th - Alice In Wonderland will kick Avatar outta IMAX.
 
koam said:
The rock is the tooth fairy? Oh how low have we fallen :lol

He is a Hockey Player that is forced to be the tooth fairy for a weekend because he has led a poor life or something.
 
DanielPlainview said:
Jan 29th - Edge of Darkness (will bring in Taken crowd w/ Mel Gibson and director of Casino Royale)
Feb 5th - From Paris With Love (Taken director and Travolta)
Feb 12th - Percy Jackson, Wolfman (will be a disaster)
Feb 19th - Shutter Island (FINALLY!)
Feb 26th - Cop Out/Crazies
March 5th - Alice In Wonderland will kick Avatar outta IMAX.

Edge of Darkness and Paris with Love have bomb written all over them. So does Percy Jackson and Wolfman, but Avatar will be old by then so they may jump it.

Also, Jonathan Rhys Meyers.. proving being attractive and doing a weird smirk with your lips is all it takes to become famous.
 
koam said:
The rock is the tooth fairy? Oh how low have we fallen :lol
Trailers are utterly weird, but have kids laughing their asses off. The Rock does mostly kids movies these days, and most of them do very well.
 
Um, Variety's overseas weekend gross can't be right, can it?
Variety said:
The normally sluggish January box office came alive as 20th Century Fox's "Avatar" remained a powerhouse, grossing an estimated $48.5 million domestically and another $143 million overseas for a worldwide cume of $1.34 billion in only its fourth frame.
Wouldn't that be an increase from last weekend? I guess it would be consistent with the 3x multiplier we've been seeing during the week, but still... it doesn't really make sense to me.
 
Sharp said:
Um, Variety's overseas weekend gross can't be right, can it?

Wouldn't that be an increase from last weekend? I guess it would be consistent with the 3x multiplier we've been seeing during the week, but still... it doesn't really make sense to me.

Titanic had a good run.

It needs what 450 million of so from this point on? Throw in the US number and it will have nearly a 200 million dollar weekend.

wo we need a 2.5x multiplier over this weekend. Almost impossible to see that not happening.
 
$500 million left..it is definitely going to pass it. Awesome.

Let's say Avatar's box office run ends when Alice In Wonderland comes out. That's 8 more weeks. It just has to make an average of $62.5M WORLDWIDE each week (the ENTIRE WEEK). So ridiculously easy. :D


Good bye Titanic.
 
For the crow thread, can one of you 'shop experts make a picture of a Navi taking a dump on a Bayformer?

Also, maybe Navi versions of Kate and Leo on the bow of the Titanic?
 
StoOgE said:
Titanic had a good run.

It needs what 450 million of so from this point on? Throw in the US number and it will have nearly a 200 million dollar weekend.
Yeah, if this number is correct Titanic worldwide and overseas is completely toast and there should be no argument otherwise unless you want to start talking about "b-b-but tickets sold and 3D surcharge" in which case go masturbate to Gone With The Wind.
 
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