boiled goose
good with gravy
538 had Hillary winning with 99% confidence and with a spread ranging from 25 to 18%. .
This is already a huge upset. Ohio, Illinois, Missouri now looking not so bad for Bernie
This is would be by far the biggest upset.
Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)
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538 had Hillary winning with 99% confidence and with a spread ranging from 25 to 18%. .
This is already a huge upset. Ohio, Illinois, Missouri now looking not so bad for Bernie
This is would be by far the biggest upset.
Ether_Snake
å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®å®
My dad thinks Trump can run third party after getting kicked out and win the presidency.
I kindof can imagine how it could possibly happen.
I kindof can imagine how it could possibly happen.
Greater than 99% actually.
Prodigal Son
Member
hhhnnnghh
So what the hell is going on? Lol. How could they have misread things so badly? Is Bernie expected to win Mi now, or still lose albeit closely?
Also Rowlan eating epic amounts of crow.
King B: Slay trick or you get eliminated
Would be a huge pick up for Bernie momentum wise now that the Southern firewall is coming down
I don't think it'll stop either. This is really great to watch and root for.
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
Bernie is barely holding on to get delegates in Mississippi: 15% threshold.
Well apparently Detroit is at 0%... Which is going Hillary.
But yeah, this is a situation where a close defeat would be a huge boost for his campaign.
Ya, I want Hillary to win as much as the next guy, but one can't deny the impact of this. I don't know how Sanders pulled off such a massive turnaround.
Yeah. This definitely beats some of the polling errors I have witnessed in the past. It would still be a pretty big polling error if he did not win.
Yes We Can!
eBay Huckster
Member
I'm gonna collectively punch Wayne County if their clerk's site doesn't update in the next 5 minutes
Wafflecakes
Member
Southern firewall held. Bernie needs to beat Hillary and badly in every state not in the south to win. He is not doing that, even if he narrowly wins Michigan.
#FeelinTheBern
Voysa Reezun
Banned
I'm not watching, so when you say "meat," are you talking about steaks or Trump's penis?
Either seems quite possible.
Prodigal Son
Member
I still can't believe Kasich has passed Rubio. Was this expected? Didn't pay attention to GOP polling.
Isn't the GOP investing all their points into Marco? What a shit-show.
Isn't the GOP investing all their points into Marco? What a shit-show.
Yup. We need this competition to keep Hillary on her toes for November. Bernie is serving that purpose, but soon he will need to drop out for the good of American citizens.
DragonSworne
Banned
If Bernie wins MI can we stop taking 538 so seriously?
airmangataosenai
Member
I really feel bad for Sanders supporters that really don't understand that it really doesn't matter at this stage if Sanders starts winning more races. If things remain flat through Super Tuesday, he could win every race that follows by double digits and still not beat her pledged delegate count. These low expectations for his performance only serves to extend their suffering.
Battersea Power Station
Member
Isn't it still true? This is a candidate that, on paper, shouldn't even be in this race. Even Chafey and O'Malley, if you looked at them 18 months ago, should've been doing better than Sanders. It's remarkable.
Sit back and enjoy.
Glorified G
Member
CNN didn't even bother to show Hillary's speech. lol.
Seriously, they need to fucking report already. Like nothing from there is reporting yet.
Or the steam train keeps going and Bernie really pulls ahead soon. It's ALL up hill for Bernie.
Bernie winning would be for the good of Americans, not him dropping out...
538 aggregates other people's polls. They take OTHER people's information and average them together. Those polls had Hillary winning big. 538 aggregated that and said "Yeah, everyone says Hillary will win big."
balladofwindfishes
Member
So Idaho should be coming soon?
eBay Huckster
Member
Resident_UA
Member
Wait... Hillary was talking at the same time and they ONLY showed fucking Trump's infomercial?!! CNN is such a joke! (and media in general)
Um... No? They've been basically spot on for this entire cycle.
It's been happening since the weekend. Rubio basically made the mistake of arguing with an idiot and being brought down to Trump's level with the hands thing. So, Kasich comes out as the establishment guy.
I wouldn't describe a relatively minor outlet seeking to be first to release a projection (which is speculation obviously) and thus get extra mentions and credibility if they are correct as "for the lols". I do think they believe she will win and the call will be accurate.
"Attention grab" was probably the wrong phrase on my part, sounds more malicious than I intended. It just hit me as a little overzealous to call it so early. But I also admit I don't have a list of the past 100 primaries and when they called what and such, if their reputation is beyond reproach perhaps they are just that confident and I'm way off base.
Looks like the race just tightened up.
Voysa Reezun
Banned
538 just synthesizes the polls. Blame the pollsters for missing badly if Sanders wins/gets within single-digit points.
Would be a yuge polling error. Especially for a primary.
Nope, 538 is still great at it's job. Considering how fucking weird this election cycle is, it's not surprising that they're getting it wrong sometimes.
Prodigal Son
Member
I can't personally that I thought he was the best debtor but he clearly came across as the most reasonable and most 'presidential.' I guess some people are noticing that perhaps.
RPGCrazied
Member
Shilling. All about ratings and money, who cares about America? Sad times.
Fragamemnon
Member
It wouldn't really matter. Jeb is done in politics.
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