Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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Rubio has to be embarrassed right now.

Not because he's losing to Trump.

Because he's number 3 in half of the states right now.

#3 in Vermont, #3 in Tennessee, #3 in Massachusetts, #3 in Texas...
 
The Bern will take Texas

Mark my words

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What I think is really obnoxious is when news outlets call elections based on exit polling right after polls close, when voting in other states is still on-going. It creates a narrative that can sway other voters or cause them to not even vote. "Oh candidate X won those states? Well I guess candidate Y has no chance."

That's where education comes in.
 
It looked good for Bernie for a while there in OK, but Hillary suddenly takes the lead, with 2% in.

Same in Mass, she's taken the lead. Still a long way to go though.
 
70-30 to Hillary texas
clinton camp will be very happy if that stays
cnn said 10% but guardian is far behind
 
At what point does Rubio throw in the towel?

Doesn't look like he's going to win any states tonight, and most states he's in 3rd.

It's pretty clear he's not going to win this, and even in a brokered convention, they won't pick someone who never won a single primary.
 
CNN has really good maps to go with numbers on their website

with anything less than like 15-20% of the vote in there are usually vast swaths of states that just have 0% reporting.

i know everyone wants to be excited about this and i'm really glad for that but y'all need to be realistic.
 
What I think is really obnoxious is when news outlets call elections based on exit polling right after polls close, when voting in other states is still on-going. It creates a narrative that can sway other voters or cause them to not even vote. "Oh candidate X won those states? Well I guess candidate Y has no chance."

I imagine the majority of people voting during the last hour are just getting off of work, so they probably aren't following polls super closely and it probably wouldn't change who they're voting for (if you marked it in your calendar to go vote for candidate X at the end of the day, and you're only 30 minutes away from it, you probably aren't going to spontaneously change your mind because of some early results from other states).

I mean, it probably happens a bit, but I'd wager that it's significantly less impactful than the effect that Iowa and general long-term momentum has.
 
At what point does Rubio throw in the towel?

Doesn't look like he's going to win any states tonight, and most states he's in 3rd.

It's pretty clear he's not going to win this, and even in a brokered convention, they won't pick someone who never won a single primary.

wait for the victory speech tonight
 
The reason for the optimism if he wins those states is that super tuesday is his most difficult hurdle with all of its southern states. things get a bit less tough for him later.

GAF's pro hillary consensus was a Hillary sweep outside of Vermont. It can still happen, but I am already seeing some damage control.
The goalpost shifting is really blatant. HillaryGAF sure are a condescending bunch.
 
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