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The Atlantic: The Mystery of Why Japanese People Are Having So Few Babies

wandering

Banned
So Japan desperately needs a mid/late-1960s cultural revolution to shake up perceptions. If that's even possible.

That'd be great for Japanese society, but it wouldn't really solve the birthrate issue considering that most Western nations are in the same boat.
 

tuxfool

Banned
There are plenty of studies looking at these issues in western countries. Japan only gets singled out because it is the most extreme example, even if not by a lot.

Additionally, Japan seemingly is finding it difficult to tackle these issues, not even mitigation like attracting immigrants to live and stay in the country.
 

G.ZZZ

Member
Future generations would be fucked as shit if everyone's population continued to grow anyway.

Japan is 20 years ahead the west in that sense. We hid our heads under the sand with immigrants, but structural problems still are there (wages are shit) and on top of that you get social tensions which escalate right wing government and fascism (see the US).
 

Yamauchi

Banned
Herbivore men is the product of broader economic and societal forces, not anime. It's an economy where the lack of opportunity for young people has led them to shut themselves out from society in favor of escapism. The analogous phenomenon is the opioid epidemic in America, where people without jobs and opportunities in rural America have turned to jobs.





It's a problem in all developed countries. GAF just loves the idea of an emasculated Japan *cue flying airplane*
I think there are plenty of herbivore men in America as well. Being a software engineer and working with a lot of successful men in their 20s and 30s who fit this description, I don't think it is just an economic issue either.
 

Poppy

Member
i dont understand why people are so concerned about declining birth rates unless the country is literally going extinct
 

tuxfool

Banned
i dont understand why people are so concerned about declining birth rates unless the country is literally going extinct

That is precisely the issue. Not just extinct in terms of population, but also in economic terms. If you don't replenish the working population, when the current population decides to retire then they have nobody providing net income to the economy.
 
That is precisely the issue. Not just extinct in terms of population, but also in economic terms. If you don't replenish the working population, when the current population decides to retire then they have nobody providing net income to the economy.

All industrialized countries will, in the near future, have to figure out a way to provide for people who can't work simply because said work doesn't exist anymore due to automation. Western countries are trying to create a salve via immigration but that's not going to work as jobs disappear. The old economic system is on its way out.
 

smurfx

get some go again
That is precisely the issue. Not just extinct in terms of population, but also in economic terms. If you don't replenish the working population, when the current population decides to retire then they have nobody providing net income to the economy.
if automation takes over i imagine they would get much of that money from the companies that own all the machines. although you then run into a problem of not being able to sell goods to people because nobody has jobs to pay for those goods.
 

Servbot24

Banned
I certainly have no interest in having kids. I don't even know how I'm going to save up retirement funds for myself. Plus it's not like the world needs more people anyways.
 
I think there are plenty of herbivore men in America as well. Being a software engineer and working with a lot of successful men in their 20s and 30s who fit this description, I don't think it is just an economic issue either.

Neogaf is a herbivore sanctuary.

Where is my shield?
 

Korigama

Member
Herbivore men is the product of broader economic and societal forces, not anime. It's an economy where the lack of opportunity for young people has led them to shut themselves out from society in favor of escapism. The analogous phenomenon is the opioid epidemic in America, where people without jobs and opportunities in rural America have turned to jobs.
Oh indeed, it's definitely not anime. Disillusionment with economic prospects, and not wanting to slave away as participants in Japan's soul-crushing work culture, absolutely can't be ignored. When companies have you so busy that work IS your life, naturally it's that much less likely that anyone has either the time or energy to start a family, let alone care for one (as many have pointed out already).
 

A-V-B

Member
That'd be great for Japanese society, but it wouldn't really solve the birthrate issue considering that most Western nations are in the same boat.

I guess if they're all happening for the same reason, i.e. purely economic. But it seems to be a hybrid of issues. Economic problems are a commonality for sure, but they mix in with other flaws to create the situations now abroad.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
As someone with four of my own:

THEY ARE EXPENSIVE. People aren't stupid--they know this. Add this to a weak economy, and it's a problem.
 

Cimarron

Member
How about this? Modern married life is unattractive to a lot of men. Also being a non custodial father is nightmarish.
This is from a male U.S. native perspective. Not sure if many of my Japanese brothers share this view.
 
i dont understand why people are so concerned about declining birth rates unless the country is literally going extinct

You need to positive population grow to release the pressure on general inflation, manage state debt and bond and a lot bunch of critical economic stats.
 
Why do these articles always focus on Japan? I'd like to know why Europe and Canada have super low birthrates as well.

Japan is the canary in the coal mine. While most western countries have destroyed the prospects of an entire generation economically, Japan is about ten years deeper in this mess than Europe and North America.
 
Aziz Ansari has a big part in his book Modern Romance about this after visiting Japan. It's wild.

Also, it's a great book, I completely recommend.
 

Cimarron

Member
It's not a magic bullet, but Japan's lack of tolerance for immigration is just plain idiotic by now.

Immigration is not going to solve this issue. If the current residents are having a hard time finding work how are more immigrants going to solve the problem? Great the population is not shrinking! Now we are drowning in poor people! /sarcasm
 

Keri

Member
The US is heading this way IMHO.

I think the U.S. is definitely already there (although maybe not as far along as Japan). There was that other recent article, which put the average Millenial yearly income at around ~$20,000, so we have our own generation of individuals who are struggling and avoiding having children.

This is anecdotal, but I'm 33 and just had my first child last year. Of my really close friends and family (which is an admittedly small group), I'm the only one with a child. I'm starting to feel bummed for my son, that it's looking like our whole family tree is going to end with him. I was hoping he would have cousins.
 

hipbabboom

Huh? What did I say? Did I screw up again? :(
The solution is to create an environment where a working female professional with children can thrive then provide free turkey baster-modified Sybians to all women who join the workforce and then have the single men be employed by the cottage industry boutique designer sperm capsules (for the turkey baster - kinda like laundry detergent pods) that will form. Everyone is employed, children are born and no need for relationship bullshit. BOOM! I solved Japan. Nailed it! Now send me my trillions of yen for saving the Mu civilization.
 

Nuu

Banned
What I find interesting with this os that Japan still has a poverty rate equal to or higher than the United States. Really shows that a "bootstraps" mentality and not having kids won't save society.
 
It's not a magic bullet, but Japan's lack of tolerance for immigration is just plain idiotic by now.

Some country has to figure out how to thrive with Zero or even negative population growth.

This idea that constant expansion is the only solution to every economic problem is destroying a world where space and resources are limited.
Nature - as in wildlife -is already squashed down with most biomass being purely for humans. It can't be the one to keep giving while every country needs to add 5% a year for ever.
 
It's not a magic bullet, but Japan's lack of tolerance for immigration is just plain idiotic by now.

Unrelated to Japan encouraging immigration at large, but speaking as someone who lives in a rural area of Japan, the older generation is totally open to immigration, but only the sexy kind. I have a lot of students here whose fathers are closing in on 70, but they have 30-40 year Filipina mothers. Since the demographic of where I live skews so old, even the hostess clubs are staffed entirely by middle aged Southeast Asian women who are married to or are in the process of trying to get married to very old Japanese dudes.

It's apparently the same all over: old men whose wives have left them or passed on, and whose original children have become adults, but they feel they are still virile enough and wealthy enough to support another family in their old age.
 

kirblar

Member
How about this? Modern married life is unattractive to a lot of men. Also being a non custodial father is nightmarish.
This is from a male U.S. native perspective. Not sure if many of my Japanese brothers share this view.
The current implementation of the EITC screws over single people hard, but its even worse on noncustodial parents.
 

Amakuni

Member
I'm failing to see the problem with a country actually lowering it's birth-rate. The rest of the world could take note

Completely agreed.

The birthrate being on the decline doesn't mean the Japanese are going extinct, it just means a more manageable population.

I live near Chicago and the most of the suburbs close by are grotesquely populated shit holes with unreasonably high rent (not SF or Vancouver high though).

I wish we put a cap how many children one person is legally allowed to sire, no family should have over 5+ kids, especially families that can't afford them without assistance.
 

Bronetta

Ask me about the moon landing or the temperature at which jet fuel burns. You may be surprised at what you learn.
Other countries could take a lesson or two and stop having so many babies.

Especially China and India with their billion plus populations, slow the fuck down.
 

Izuna

Banned
It's very much tied to the lack of relationships also.

But really, an AGING society is not a good thing. Life expectancy gets higher, but that means more elderly that are retired and need looking after. Who's going to do it?

Since the 3.11 earthquake didn't shake up their sex lives the only thing left that can fix Japan is a war.

i'm surprised that poster survived that garbage tbh
 

ponpo

( ≖‿≖)
What is with western news outlets having a fetish about publishing a story about Japanese birthrates once every quarter?

And mass immigration is definitely not what is needed.
signed, foreigner living in japan.
 

Sunster

Member
Other countries could take a lesson or two and stop having so many babies.

Especially China and India with their billion plus populations, slow the fuck down.

education and availability of contraception for women is what would do that. places where women dont have access to education have the highest birthrates.
 

bigjig

Member
What is with western news outlets having a fetish about publishing a story about Japanese birthrates once every quarter?

And mass immigration is definitely not what is needed.
signed, foreigner living in japan.

Co-signed, another foreigner living in Japan
 

Madness

Member
It's not a magic bullet, but Japan's lack of tolerance for immigration is just plain idiotic by now.

I am amazed at how many people in the west ie. US and Europe are interested in the sex lives of Japanese people. You have non stop stories on news, media about how Japanese people are not having sex, here are some random Japanese we interviewed, stories like this. And then you have folks like you who don't live there, are not Japanese, but decry low birthrates or champion mass immigration for some reason. I mean why? Almost every post industrialized nation in the world has low birthrates. In the west it is stabilized by immigration, but you make it seem idiotic why? Do you see Japan having a far right resurgence like you see in Europe or the US now? Do you see a Japanese underclass of immigrants like you have in other countries in the west whether it is legal or illegal immigrants.

It is for Japan and the Japanese people to decide what they'll ultimately do, but I am honestly just amazed at how many white guys from the US or UK or EU have solutions on how to solve Japan's problems for them.
 

El Sloth

Banned
It was someone on twitter who said this, but really Japan was just ahead of the curve. Sort of like how our cell phone tech was 10 years behind theirs.

From last year: Why American women are having fewer babies than ever [Washington Post]

The U.S. fertility rate has plummeted to the lowest point on record, according to new federal data. The first quarter of 2016 brought 59.8 babies for every 1,000 women, ages 15 to 44. That's nearly half the rate at the peak of the baby boom in the late 1950s.

The numbers show an unmistakable trend: Women in the U.S. who choose to reproduce keep delaying motherhood. Each generation has waited a little longer than the last. Four decades ago, an American woman typically delivered her first baby at age 21. By 2000, she was 24.9. Today, she is 26.3.

---
Forty percent of U.S. women ages 40 to 55 say they have fewer children than they'd like, according to a 2014 Pew Research Center survey.

”We have to see the declining fertility as being economic," said Nan Astone, senior fellow at the Urban Institute. ”The coincidence of decline and recession is hard to ignore."

Between 2007 and 2012, for example, right before and just after the last recession, birthrates among 20-something women fell by 15 percent, according to a 2015 UI Report.

Young women, it turns out, are behind much of America's plummeting fertility rate. From 2015 to 2016, the fertility rate among teens shrank from 75.2 babies per thousand women to 72.5. The rate for women in their 20s decreased from 100.3 to 98.4.

From last month: Americans keep having fewer babies as U.S. birthrates hit some record lows [L.A. Times]

For the second year in a row, the number of babies delivered in the U.S. fell in 2016, according to a new report from the National Center for Health Statistics. For some groups of women, the birth rate reached record lows.

The provisional figures released Friday include 99.96% of all births in the United States last year. Here's what they show:

Overall births

The total number of babies born in the U.S. last year was 3,941,109. That's 37,388 fewer babies than were born in the U.S. in 2015, which represents a 1% decline.

The number of births tends to rise as the population rises, so statisticians like to make historical comparisons by calculating the general fertility rate. This is the number of births per 1,000 women considered to be of childbearing age (between 15 and 44).

In 2016, the U.S. general fertility rate hit a record low of 62.0 births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44. In 2015, the general fertility rate was 62.5.

Another useful statistic is the total fertility rate. This is an estimate of the total number of babies that 1,000 women would have over their lifetimes, based on the actual birth rates for women in different age groups.

In 2016, the total fertility rate for American women was 1,818 births per 1,000 women. That's the lowest it has been since 1984.

In order for a generation to exactly replace itself, the total fertility rate needs to be 2,100 births per 1,000 women. The U.S. has been missing that mark since 1971 (though the country's population has grown due to immigration).
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Lower birthrates is a normal and needed adjustment since there will be a lesser need for labor in the future, and an optimal labor-needs to population count will increase the amount of resources available to fund a quality guaranteed supply of goods and services to the population.

Countries with large population counts and which are politically divided will be unable to adapt without facing major social and economic crisis.

Japan is still highly over populated. They should facilitate immigration for English teachers, since it's going to be vital to move forward with IT and AI, beyond that there isn't much of a need for immigration. They need English-speaking people in some sectors. Those two are the main sectors they need to focus on along with robotics and engineering, but English is really needed to keep a lead on the former.

Every year, this imbalance's impacts are going to grow to be more significant, in any country. Japan's problem isn't a birthrate one, it's an overpopulation one and a linguistic one.
 
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