Will a top team really pass up on a Fernando or Vettel just to save a few bucks? Empirical evidence indicates quite the opposite, really.
Top teams have only employed top drivers, except McLaren with Lewis, Heikki and Magnussen. But they seem to have stop that practice now that they are trying to reboot their operations.
The market is getting smaller, that's the problem.
Several teams need pay drivers to even be able to continue. So where do the young talents (without the big sponsors) go? To the fewer big teams as well. And what everything points to, is the big teams to mix one experienced driver with a young talented one, just to make sure. And its cheaper to boot.
MER, and to a lesser extent FER, have been the exemption from the rule. But you really have to roll the following slowly in your mouth: Even ALO got asked to bring a sponsor. Do you taste bile yet?
MCL aiming to have BUT and ALO does not point in a different direction either. BUT is simply the wish from HON, and he wont be there long.
Whom do you expect to go there afterwards? I say a young talent, non-threatening to ALO.
Whom do you expect to go to FER, if ALO is gone and they retain RAI? I´d put money on a young talent too, preferably of Italian descent.