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The UK votes to leave the European Union |OUT2| Mayday, Mayday, I've lost an ARM

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Remember guys: The EU was so undemocratic we had to leave.

CnHGNc-WcAAiq0P.jpg:large
 
Remember guys: The EU was so undemocratic we had to leave.

Pretty much.

Eh, my initial post was probably a bit of a snap reaction I think she will largely be in keeping with Cameron's agenda, although her stances on the snoopers charter are particulalry worrying. It will be interesting to see what she puts together
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Haha, does this poor guy have any friends?

The craziest thing is that they all think he's shit, but 3/5 would vote for him over other candidates. That sums up the state of the Labour Party.
 

Meadows

Banned
Len McLuskey - an awful politician - is failing his unions, his party and his country by doing this.

Probably to be a kingmaker and feel relevant for once.
 

CTLance

Member
The craziest thing is that they all think he's shit, but 3/5 would vote for him over other candidates. That sums up the state of the Labour Party.
That's it, no more EU immigration for any of you island crazies until we get y'all tested for mad cow disease. Or maybe it's something in the water.
 

Tyaren

Member
Now that Article 50 will probably invoked sooner than later, here's a good overview of what options the UK has with the EU...and what's obviously not an option:

CmwXJT8WcAA_LkB.jpg
 

BibiMaghoo

Member
Now that Article 50 will probably invoked sooner than later, here's a good overview of what options the UK has with the EU...and what's obviously not an option:

To be honest it looks like it will either be greatly delayed by the legal actions underway to prevent it, or put to parliament vote to annul said legal actions. Either way it won't be happening that soon.
 

Hazzuh

Member
Now that Article 50 will probably invoked sooner than later, here's a good overview of what options the UK has with the EU...and what's obviously not an option:

CmwXJT8WcAA_LkB.jpg

Why didn't the Remain campaign just plaster this on every billboard in the country...
 
Why didn't the Remain campaign just plaster this on every billboard in the country...

It wouldn't really work on the side of a bus though would it?
I don't think the Remain campaign(or in fact anyone) really thought the nitty-gritty of how a Brexit would actually work out. Everyone was too busy making shit up and hurling insults to actually think any of this through.
Everyone (including a lot of Leavers) where just way to confident that Remain would win.
 

SteveWD40

Member
Do we think May will wait till 2017 to trigger Article 50 or will it be done earlier?

She said next year and that was when she was relying on winning over Tory members, no way she does it sooner now. Plus, how vauge is "brexit means brexit"? You could backpedal out of that if needed.

I sense they are still talking about how to ease back from the brink.
 
Now that Article 50 will probably invoked sooner than later, here's a good overview of what options the UK has with the EU...and what's obviously not an option:

CmwXJT8WcAA_LkB.jpg

There were a few issues with that about its neutrality because of the ticks and crosses, so I put together a new version. I've added my sources, so people can fact check. Happy to get feedback on any changes.


Sources:
REF SOURCE LINK
1 EU goods and services http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/accessing-markets/goods-and-services/
2 EU passporting directive https://www.eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/passporting-and-supervision-of-branches
3 Free movement http://ec.europa.eu/social/main.jsp?catId=457
4 EU Schengen agreement http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/home-affairs/what-we-do/policies/borders-and-visas/schengen/index_en.htm
5 EU import requirements http://exporthelp.europa.eu/thdapp/..._Requirements.html&docType=main&languageId=en
6 EU legislation http://europa.eu/eu-law/index_en.htm
7 ECJ http://europa.eu/about-eu/institutions-bodies/court-justice/index_en.htm
8 Contributing to the EU http://ec.europa.eu/budget/mff/resources/index_en.cfm
9 EU spending per country http://ec.europa.eu/budget/figures/interactive/index_en.cfm
10 EU http://europa.eu/about-eu/index_en.htm
11 EEA features http://www.efta.int/eea/eea-agreement/eea-basic-features
12 EFTA http://www.efta.int/about-efta/european-free-trade-association
13 Canada CETA http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/in-focus/ceta/index_en.htm
14 EU Customs Union http://ec.europa.eu/taxation_custom...ules_origin/customs_unions/article_414_en.htm
15 EU and WTO https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/countries_e/european_communities_e.htm
16 EEA/EFTA goods trade http://www.efta.int/media/publications/fact-sheets/EEA-factsheets/GoodsFactSheet.pdf
17 Swiss bilateral agreements https://www.eda.admin.ch/dea/en/home/bilaterale-abkommen/ueberblick.html
18 CETA tariff schedule http://www.international.gc.ca/trad...cc/ceta-aecg/text-texte/toc-tdm.aspx?lang=eng
19 Turkey Customs Union http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/countries-and-regions/countries/turkey/
20 WTO tariff schedule https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tariffs_e/tariff_data_e.htm
21 Passporting http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Pages/authorisations/passporting/default.aspx
22 Switzerland passporting https://www.the-fca.org.uk/firms/passporting
23 Article 112 EEA agreement http://www.efta.int/eea/policy-area...t/Main Text of the Agreement/EEAagreement.pdf
24 Swiss movement of people http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-14-100_en.htm
25 Schengen area http://www.schengenvisainfo.com/schengen-visa-countries-list/
26 EEA/EFTA policy areas http://www.efta.int/eea/policy-areas
27 Canada exporting to EU http://tradecommissioner.gc.ca/euro...cts-faits-sur-le-marche/0000256.aspx?lang=eng
28 EU import requirements http://exporthelp.europa.eu/thdapp/..._Requirements.html&docType=main&languageId=en
29 EFTA Court http://www.eftacourt.int/the-court/jurisdiction-organisation/introduction
30 EU programmes http://www.efta.int/eea/eu-programmes
31 EEA grants http://eeagrants.org/Who-we-are
32 Swiss EU funding cut http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/vote-backlash_eu-freezes-switzerland-out-of-research-funds/37974638
33 EFTA free trade map http://www.efta.int/free-trade/fta-map
34 Switzerland and EU relationship https://ius.unibas.ch/uploads/publics/7183/Kientzheim_2011.pdf
35 UK payments to EU http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/new...w-much-does-Britain-pay-to-the-EU-budget.html
36 Govt research paper on EU exit http://researchbriefings.parliament.uk/ResearchBriefing/Summary/RP13-42#fullreport
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
Now that Article 50 will probably invoked sooner than later, here's a good overview of what options the UK has with the EU...and what's obviously not an option:

CmwXJT8WcAA_LkB.jpg

Shouldn't have been this the core of the Torries leader elections instead of people?
 

Stuart444

Member
There were a few issues with that about its neutrality because of the ticks and crosses, so I put together a new version. I've added my sources, so people can fact check. Happy to get feedback on any changes.

Congrats! You just did more work than most of the campaign groups for either side.

Bonus points for including the sources.
 

Tyaren

Member
There were a few issues with that about its neutrality because of the ticks and crosses, so I put together a new version.

Awesome!:) Are you sure though about Norway having the financial passport? It neither uses Euro nor is it in the EU. That's a big grant, one that London will be eyeing. Though so far I heard that wouldn't be possible anymore.
 

Arksy

Member
Well researched, but I feel as though this is a bit of a false dilemma. You are definitely correct in showing the various types of deals that countries outside the EU have with the EU but it sort of implies that these are the only options available. There is nothing stopping us from having a mix of models, for example....a mostly tarrif free zone with restrictions on settlement rights as per the Maastricht treaty. The negotiations haven't even started yet, so it's difficult to tell just what deal that would even be proposed.
 

-Plasma Reus-

Service guarantees member status
Well researched, but I feel as though this is a bit of a false dilemma. You are definitely correct in showing the various types of deals that countries outside the EU have with the EU but it sort of implies that these are the only options available. There is nothing stopping us from having a mix of models, for example....a mostly tarrif free zone with restrictions on settlement rights as per the Maastricht treaty. The negotiations haven't even started yet, so it's difficult to tell just what deal that would even be proposed.
Are 27 members unanimously going to agree to the UK getting any deal better than they have?
Especially after how this referendum was perceived by the majority of the EU.
 

pigeon

Banned
Awesome!:) Are you sure though about Norway having the financial passport? It neither uses Euro nor is it in the EU. That's a big grant, one that London will be eyeing. Though so far I heard that wouldn't be possible anymore.

Per his sources, EEA countries are eligible for financial passporting.

Here is an FT article that also mentions that passporting would be preservable in a Norway model.

https://next.ft.com/content/eb8dbe8c-3d0c-11e6-9f2c-36b487ebd80a

Of course, the Norway model also means you're subject to all the same restrictions and responsibilities to the EU you were subject to before, just with no vote and no subsidies. That's why it is considered both the best possible Brexit option and a strict downgrade from the status quo.

In this new infograph he suggests that the UK would have to join Schengen to be part of the EEA, which is pretty plausible, in which case it's actually MORE freedom of movement than the UK currently allows.
 

hodgy100

Member
Well researched, but I feel as though this is a bit of a false dilemma. You are definitely correct in showing the various types of deals that countries outside the EU have with the EU but it sort of implies that these are the only options available. There is nothing stopping us from having a mix of models, for example....a mostly tarrif free zone with restrictions on settlement rights as per the Maastricht treaty. The negotiations haven't even started yet, so it's difficult to tell just what deal that would even be proposed.

It shows examples of how negotiations went with other countries for them to get access to the free market. It's fair to use existing data on past experiences to predict what may happen in the future.
 
Awesome!:) Are you sure though about Norway having the financial passport? It neither uses Euro nor is it in the EU. That's a big grant, one that London will be eyeing. Though so far I heard that wouldn't be possible anymore.

Thanks for the feedback. Let me double check that one.

Edit: Yes. Looks like Norway (through EEA) has the financial passport.

https://www.the-fca.org.uk/firms/passporting

Edit 2: As pigeon said. :)
 

Tyaren

Member
Thanks for the feedback. Let me double check that one.

You are probably right. Another forumer said so too and in a Financial Times report I also just read about EEA members being eligible to obtain the financial passport.

Now, the big question is, is the financial passport for the City important enough to anger all Brexiters that demand the end of free migration, the end of contributing to the EU budget and the end of EU regulation...? Without those three things no EEA/Norway deal though.
 
Well researched, but I feel as though this is a bit of a false dilemma. You are definitely correct in showing the various types of deals that countries outside the EU have with the EU but it sort of implies that these are the only options available. There is nothing stopping us from having a mix of models, for example....a mostly tarrif free zone with restrictions on settlement rights as per the Maastricht treaty. The negotiations haven't even started yet, so it's difficult to tell just what deal that would even be proposed.

Exactly my thoughts when looking at it, glad I'm not the only one! Surely the fact that there are already four different models (even more if you include other countries that have EU FTAs) only goes to show that there is room to manoeuvre?

Pick your poison.

No thanks, we'll have a new poison.

Wait...
 
Well researched, but I feel as though this is a bit of a false dilemma. You are definitely correct in showing the various types of deals that countries outside the EU have with the EU but it sort of implies that these are the only options available. There is nothing stopping us from having a mix of models, for example....a mostly tarrif free zone with restrictions on settlement rights as per the Maastricht treaty. The negotiations haven't even started yet, so it's difficult to tell just what deal that would even be proposed.

Oh yes, absolutely. That is a very fair comment. From putting this together, it felt like only a combination of these would be palatable to the UK (for example, mostly Canada with some Swiss).

I'll add a footnote to that effect.
 
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