This weekend starts one of the world's greatest sporting events: over the course of three weeks, 200 men and machines pit themselves against 3,471 km of French countryside, mountains and boulevards. It's a bigger goal to a cyclist than the Olympics, more prestigious than the World Championships, and it dwarfs any other cycling event for viewership (15 million spectators plus 4 million TV viewers per day). So for these three weeks, you have almost all of the world's greatest cyclists doing their goddamned utmost every day.
What's interesting about this year:
- With only one relatively short individual time trial on Stage 20 right after the crushing effort of L'Alpe d'Huez, this is a race that will be decided by who climbs the best and recovers most effectively after three weeks of hard efforts.
- Alberto Contador hasn't raced much since winning the hardest Giro d'Italia in memory, but he showed decent form in the Spanish national championships. He has already showed that he's not concerned about the appeal of his doping acquittal: Contador is simply going about his business, winning race after race in spite of vicious scrutiny and greatly heightened doping controls. There are so many people that would kill to bring this guy down with another doping "positive," but in spite of the risks involved, he still just smashed the competition at the Giro. He's so utterly dominant, the only question is whether he left all his energy in Italy and won't have it in the third week in France. He has won the Giro d'Italia and Vuelta a Espana before in the same season, but they're much farther apart on the calendar.
The intermediate sprint points have been cut from 3 to 1, with a lot more points on offer for the first man across the line. This will result in a new dynamic between sprinter's teams, who will chase the prestigious green points jersey, and the opportunists who just want to get ahead of the group, show off their sponsor and have their day in the sun, and maybe chase that elusive stage victory which would crown their otherwise unremarkable careers.
The UCI has implemented a new no needle policy in order to level the playing field and discourage doping. Critics say that the emphasis on the new "biological passport" has resulted in fewer tests being evaluated for the presence of EPO, but overall it appears to have made the testing procedures - if not the legal fallout - more efficient and effective. I'm seeing much less of the maniacal peaks and catastrophic collapses in form that suggest doping and blood manipulation, and race speeds have been slowing down.
Stages to watch:
Stage 1 (July 2, 191 km Passage du Gois La Barre-de-Monts - Mont des Alouettes Les Herbiers) opens the race on the road rather than with the traditional short prologue warm-up. It has an uphill finish, too. It's not going to bring out the overall contenders for the Tour de France, but look for an opportunist like Philippe Gilbert or Damiano Cunego to light up the finish of this race.
Stage 8 (July 12, 189 km Aigurande-Super Besse) is the first major mountain stage and the first one that will cause significant time gaps to open up. It comes after a rest day, which means that it's going to be a lottery. Some riders come out of the rest day flying, while others you might expect to do well will fall on their faces. The finish is at a ski resort.
Stage 12 (July 14, 209 km Cugnaux - Luz-Ardiden) is the beginning of the Pyrenees. The Tour last finished here in 2003, a stage in which Lance Armstrong tangled with a flag, fell on Iban Mayo, then got up and blew past Jan Ullrich. This year, the narrow climb of the Hourquette d'Ancizan is included for the first time, followed by the Tourmalet before the finish on Luz-Ardiden. It's also Bastille Day, so look for the French riders to attack.
Stage 14 (July 16, 168 km Saint-Gaudens-Plateau de Beille) will be the biggest test for Contador. His team isn't as strong as the Leopard Trek team of Andy Schleck, so it's likely that by the end of the five climbs here, he'll be isolated and vulnerable. That said, Contador was the last winner here in 2007, and he went on to win the race overall.
Stage 19 (July 22, 109 km Modane - Alpe-dHuez) - needs no introduction. Don't miss it. The climbing starts early in this short stage, with the early slopes of the Telegraphe coming at 26 km, followed immediately by the Galibier before a long descent which leads into the hairpins of L'Alpe d'Huez.
Stage 20 (July 23, 41 km Grenoble Time Trial) comes on the last day before the "parade" stage into Paris. If there are still people close together, this will be the deciding day. That said, typically time trials late in Grand Tours are about recovery, so the strongest in the mountains tend to be the strongest in these time trials.
Andy Schleck: The Tour starts at Luz Ardiden
What's interesting about this year:
- With only one relatively short individual time trial on Stage 20 right after the crushing effort of L'Alpe d'Huez, this is a race that will be decided by who climbs the best and recovers most effectively after three weeks of hard efforts.
- Alberto Contador hasn't raced much since winning the hardest Giro d'Italia in memory, but he showed decent form in the Spanish national championships. He has already showed that he's not concerned about the appeal of his doping acquittal: Contador is simply going about his business, winning race after race in spite of vicious scrutiny and greatly heightened doping controls. There are so many people that would kill to bring this guy down with another doping "positive," but in spite of the risks involved, he still just smashed the competition at the Giro. He's so utterly dominant, the only question is whether he left all his energy in Italy and won't have it in the third week in France. He has won the Giro d'Italia and Vuelta a Espana before in the same season, but they're much farther apart on the calendar.
The intermediate sprint points have been cut from 3 to 1, with a lot more points on offer for the first man across the line. This will result in a new dynamic between sprinter's teams, who will chase the prestigious green points jersey, and the opportunists who just want to get ahead of the group, show off their sponsor and have their day in the sun, and maybe chase that elusive stage victory which would crown their otherwise unremarkable careers.
The UCI has implemented a new no needle policy in order to level the playing field and discourage doping. Critics say that the emphasis on the new "biological passport" has resulted in fewer tests being evaluated for the presence of EPO, but overall it appears to have made the testing procedures - if not the legal fallout - more efficient and effective. I'm seeing much less of the maniacal peaks and catastrophic collapses in form that suggest doping and blood manipulation, and race speeds have been slowing down.
Stages to watch:
Stage 1 (July 2, 191 km Passage du Gois La Barre-de-Monts - Mont des Alouettes Les Herbiers) opens the race on the road rather than with the traditional short prologue warm-up. It has an uphill finish, too. It's not going to bring out the overall contenders for the Tour de France, but look for an opportunist like Philippe Gilbert or Damiano Cunego to light up the finish of this race.
Stage 8 (July 12, 189 km Aigurande-Super Besse) is the first major mountain stage and the first one that will cause significant time gaps to open up. It comes after a rest day, which means that it's going to be a lottery. Some riders come out of the rest day flying, while others you might expect to do well will fall on their faces. The finish is at a ski resort.
Stage 12 (July 14, 209 km Cugnaux - Luz-Ardiden) is the beginning of the Pyrenees. The Tour last finished here in 2003, a stage in which Lance Armstrong tangled with a flag, fell on Iban Mayo, then got up and blew past Jan Ullrich. This year, the narrow climb of the Hourquette d'Ancizan is included for the first time, followed by the Tourmalet before the finish on Luz-Ardiden. It's also Bastille Day, so look for the French riders to attack.
Stage 14 (July 16, 168 km Saint-Gaudens-Plateau de Beille) will be the biggest test for Contador. His team isn't as strong as the Leopard Trek team of Andy Schleck, so it's likely that by the end of the five climbs here, he'll be isolated and vulnerable. That said, Contador was the last winner here in 2007, and he went on to win the race overall.
Stage 19 (July 22, 109 km Modane - Alpe-dHuez) - needs no introduction. Don't miss it. The climbing starts early in this short stage, with the early slopes of the Telegraphe coming at 26 km, followed immediately by the Galibier before a long descent which leads into the hairpins of L'Alpe d'Huez.
Stage 20 (July 23, 41 km Grenoble Time Trial) comes on the last day before the "parade" stage into Paris. If there are still people close together, this will be the deciding day. That said, typically time trials late in Grand Tours are about recovery, so the strongest in the mountains tend to be the strongest in these time trials.
Andy Schleck: The Tour starts at Luz Ardiden