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[Tregard]

Is this your first UK election?

Remember the hot air balloon idea?

 

[CarlisleDavid1979]

This looks so silly and doesn't really do anything that a simple chart couldn't do. lol

Polygon got us covered for the next GE

 

[JonathanEx]

But do they have David Dimbleby complaining about audio quality and a fly in the studio??

Thought not

Don't worry, there's ad breaks for me to jump around.

 

[SuperHans]

Just back from the pub. Half pissed. Whats the outlook? Mad labour rainbow coalition?

 

[kmag]

SF reaffirming their position on not taking seats in Westminster - even to vote against the Conservatives.

Expected, I guess.

If they got rid of the pledge of loyalty to the Queen.

 

[Y2Kev]

they could if the tories fall short

The scots and labor and the liberals should unite and cancel Brexit

 

[Moozo]

If you're on this page just hover over those lines for the figures.

Hover over the dots on the lines.

I'm on iPad

 

[whyamihere]

@britainelects
Labour source confident about gaining:

Battersea (from Con)
Coatbridge (from SNP)
Rutherglen (from SNP)

Wonder what that means for Labour when you get north of the wall?

 

[PowderedToast]

I love her. she's fucking boss

 

[Plum]

Emily Thornberry overdosing on smug

 

[avaya]

I think Kensington can flip with a similar swing to Swindon?

Kensington can. The actual demo split in Kensington isn't as skewed as in Chelsea.

 

[Stead Fast]

"Whatever he decides to do with the Queen." lol
Comrade Corbyn will execute the Queen

Trump metaphorically beheading the national status of America, so Corbyn responds by literally beheading the national status of the UK.

 

[giant_frying_pan]

BBC to get into AR

BBC have been doing this stuff for at least a decade now! (and the Swingometer before that!)

 

[Beefy]

Labour source confident about gaining:

Battersea (from Con)
Coatbridge (from SNP)
Rutherglen (from SNP)
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872954811788013572

 

[Rktk]

BBC have been doing this stuff for at least a decade now! (and the Swingometer before that!)

I should have said AR Gaming! Watch out this E3

 

[tomtom94]

SF reaffirming their position on not taking seats in Westminster - even to vote against the Conservatives.

Expected, I guess.

Do we know how many seats they expect to have and what this means for the majority needed?

 

[weekev]

Calling it now, if Labour take Kensington and Chelsea, Tories won't get above 300.

 

[*Splinter]

Could Ken Clarke win the Portillo award in Portillo's seat?

Edit: whoops, wrong seat

 

[Izuna]

RBKC voting Lab would be a fucking megaton. My actual home.

Bur it would never happen.

 

[JonnyDBrit]

I'm on iPad

Then unfortunately you can't I suppose. Shame, it's actually a rather fascinating model.

 

[whyamihere]

Battersea 2015:

Tory: 52.4%
Labour: 36.8%
LibDem: 4.4%
Green: 3.3%
UKIP: 3.1%

Would be a HUGE swing towards Labour.

 

[liquidtmd]

Just back from the pub. Half pissed. Whats the outlook? Mad labour rainbow coalition?

Was Thornberry with you?

 

[Baleoce]

Call me naive but.. if Tories fall short of an outright majority, and if every party sticks to their word and tells Tories to sod off, Labour should get the first real shot at a coalition? (Also, from the exit polls, not that they're to be trusted as gospel, that seems like quite a large defection from SNP to presumably Labour, I guess it was to be expected).

 

[Goodlife]

Doesn't the Swindon vote pretty much completely kill the thought of a Tory landslide? Or were there local issues going on?

 

[Stead Fast]

Calling it now, if Labour take Kensington and Chelsea, Tories won't get above 300.

Drunk already?

 

[jelly]

This looks so silly and doesn't really do anything that a simple chart couldn't do. lol

Vine lives for his holodeck. As stupid as it is, he gets right into it.

 

[ElectronicOldMen]

Someone photoshop Jeremy Vine into this:

 

[Acorn]

Always thought ken Clarke was alright really. Shame he is a Tory.

Isn't his seat I was wrong.

He's in Rushcliffe Nottinghamshire. Could've sworn he was Kensington.

Good though, I like him alot.

 

[Thornton Reed]

I've just found a bottle of red. Let's do this

 

[mo60]

Could Ken Clarke win the Portillo award in Portillo's seat?

Victoria Browick will probably win the portillo award tonight. Lol.

 

[avaya]

Battersea 2015:

Tory: 52.4%
Labour: 36.8%
LibDem: 4.4%
Green: 3.3%
UKIP: 3.1%

Would be a HUGE swing towards Labour.

Battersea is a huge Remain area. They were going to get rekt.

 

[Deleted member 231381]

Do we know how many seats they expect to have and what this means for the majority needed?

4 or 5. If 4, amount needed for majority is 323. If 5, then amount needed for majority is... 323. So no real difference.

Their possible 5 is against an Alliance candidate, who are a Lib Dem sister party and would not go into coalition with anyone. So really, pretty inconsequential.

 

[KORNdoggy]

Im no fan but i don't get why she should get the boot by her party if she doesnt get majority

Because she promised to easily gain seats and she has potentially lost some. Her campaign sucked basically. Who the fuck wants a failure as the face of your party? Lol

 

[KingSnake]

Labour source confident about gaining:


Coatbridge (from SNP)
Rutherglen (from SNP)
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872954811788013572

These two would mean quite a big swing from YouGov. I wonder if some of the former Tory voting intentions voted tactically anti indyref2.

 

[Auraela]

Jane ellison could lose her seat too at battersea

From bbc

 

[BossDarkseid]

Are we gonna need an OT2 Soon?

 

[Thornton Reed]

Ken you're alright mate

 

[Y2Kev]

I've learned that personality matters!

 

[kirblar]

The issue so far is that the tories aren't making overall gains right now.

That's not an "issue", it's a good thing!

I was just pointing out that if that trend is happening in the UK, it's not unique to them- the realignment is happening here too. Clinton aggressively targeted those types of upper/upper-middle-class "Romney Republican" areas in the '16 election and they remain Dem's top pickup opportunities in '18.

 

[Stead Fast]

I've just found a bottle of red. Let's do this

Bonus points if it's Milliband vintage.

 

[Empty]

newcastle north 55% - yougov 54%

 

[Fergie]

Are we gonna need an OT2 Soon?

Definitely.

 

[weekev]

Drunk already?

I mean that was a pretty huge if. Losing Chelsea would be disastrous and an indication that Tories have lost a bunch of middle class votes which would result in that wee shocker.

 

[jelly]

The scots and labor and the liberals should unite and cancel Brexit

Don't make me dream. Labour will stick to it.

 

[Pyroclastic]

fuck ken clarke being bough by the the tobacco lobby and other stuff but he's like a benchmark for a tory I don't want to throw up at the sit eof. would love him to finally get an unlikely cameo spell as leader

Spoiler

of the opposition

 

[TiredofWinning]

Rudd's done

 

[Jezbollah]

Newcastle upon Tyne North:
Lab: 55.4% (+9.3)
Con: 33.9% (+10.5)
LDem: 5.2% (-4.5)
UKIP: 3.7% (-12.9)
Grn: 1.1% (-2.3)

 

[twobear]

'Gains' in Chelsea and Kensington doesn't necessarily mean they've gained the seats, no? Just that Labour increased their vote share over 2015.

 

[GazzaScotland]

No Overall Majority now odds on favourite with some bookies.

 

[offshore]

Eww, wtf have ITV got Andy Coulson on for?