darkpaladinmfc
Member
Based on this graph.Botolf said:
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Valve's fake, rigged, waste of time Progress Quest troll Portal 2 ARG
- Thread starter V_Ben
- Start date
OmegaDragon
Member
On the last page people were suggesting that the progress increases with a fixed rate, ie the amount of time spent idling in games/the number of CPUs does not increase the main progress bar.
Looking at that graph, it does not look like the progress rate is fixed. It becomes a bit steeper and a bit less steep in time. It's really hard to tell how much effect the number of CPUs has on the progress rate.
Looking at that graph, it does not look like the progress rate is fixed. It becomes a bit steeper and a bit less steep in time. It's really hard to tell how much effect the number of CPUs has on the progress rate.
MehsterChief
Member
Yeah I think, we'll manage to finish Cogs, Bit.Trip Beat and Toki Tori today. If by then, nothing has happened to speed up the process, I won't care anymore.
However, I still believe in Valve. They have some aces up their sleeves, which we'll see today. The 375,466 potato theory sounds quite good. Or maybe I'm just desperate by now...
However, I still believe in Valve. They have some aces up their sleeves, which we'll see today. The 375,466 potato theory sounds quite good. Or maybe I'm just desperate by now...
Datwheezy said:
Based on progress I've been tracking for more than 1 hr, it'll take longer to finish than 90 minutes. It's moving at an average of 1% per 10 minutes atm.
Now if we do hit that number of potatoes that somebody quoted earlier and it does actually have an effect, then we'll see.
If this is right, we should hit 90% by noon EST.
Tendo said:
Presumably. The SPUF thread a Valve employee created to say they're going to remove potatoes from the profiles of cheaters specifically mentioned the website, nothing more.
I'm assuming that as long as you unlock the potatoes in-game, you'll be fine.
Few things to keep in mind:darkpaladinmfc said:
- Completion % doesn't decrease (it's cumulative). It doesn't matter how much the player count drops, completion won't decline at any given point. If everyone stopped playing all potato pack games, the most that would happen would be the completion bar leveling out. Check RUSH's completion bar for a local example.
- Player count and completion are shooting up in the smaller "focus" games before dropping off altogether, correlating with the coordinated massive pushes ending with local completion. Peaks in player counts consistently result in peaks in local completion (consult the RUSH, AAAA, TWEoTW, and 123 Kick It overlays for the clearest examples), and also seem to result in global completion picking up speed (note the hills rising up slightly). Cogs is experiencing that very same peak as we speak.
- Outside of these focus games, player count tends to be fairly even.
- Potato count is increasing globally, even as CPU count drops. More potatoes generally means faster completion. So even if you lose more and more neutral/bored players, it's plausible to suggest you'll more than make up the difference as the ARG groups and invested players raise their potato counts and continue playing. To consider too is the potential boost obtained by completing games, there were hints as to such earlier on.
- It's group strategy to switch off of a focus game near completion (generally around 85-95%), so CPU count begins to steadily decline before a game ultimately reaches 100%. Again, you can see this in the graph.
- While CPU count is 1:1 in all games, the contribution of each CPU is not, and the potato multiplier of each CPU is not. Further, player attention is not even (it's concentrated on focus games), so drawing conclusions from the average global CPU count as you are can be misleading.
- Not all games are weighted evenly for completion progress, so an equal number of players on all games will complete them at different rates. Smaller games are completed faster, and peaking player counts result in a more drastic and short completion climb for them.
Summary: Forgoing the overlays and comparing global player count to global completion alone is worse than useless, because you're blind to crucial factors and attributes of the system.
Datwheezy said:
Actually, now that I've looked at the source of the 375,466 number it's looking to be more likely. Here's the theory:
On April 13th, one of the ARG sites at this link had a series of numbers that haven't been solved yet, "88375466". Now, a user on irc has indicated that X in ASCII is 88 and that the 375466 refers to the potato counter. It's too much of a coincidence but I wonder how much of an effect it'll have and how many potatoes we will lose when Valve removes the potatoes people received using a 3rd party application to add them to their steam account.
JaseC said:Oh. Now I feel stupid.
Here's a present if you missed out on the fun:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fnSSv49UxA
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Bisonian said:
She's the goddess with a plan at the end of the world.
ThoseDeafMutes
Member
I just looked up TWEOTW since the name sounded cool, and I must say that the game looks like a complete Katamari ripoff. Is that accurate, or is there more to it than there seems to be?
Alright. Based on this: http://valvearg.com/wiki/LLLLongJumper_YouTube_Videos#Transcription
The most recent hope is that once the potato count hits 375,466 it will speed up a lot.
The most recent hope is that once the potato count hits 375,466 it will speed up a lot.
Ivan A Nguyen
Member
I have the PS3 copy on order from Amazon, but when I got home last night, I did my part and played Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaah! I'm rooting for ya'll and tonight I plan on getting in some Super Meat Boy.
I have a few of these indi games on my backlog, and it was fun having an excuse to play them again. I can't wait for something like a summer treasure hunt.
I have a few of these indi games on my backlog, and it was fun having an excuse to play them again. I can't wait for something like a summer treasure hunt.
rasberryjam
Member
So what are the chances of us getting this tonight at the current rate?
Shao Kahn Brewing a Stew
Banned
rasberryjam said:
AHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHA!
(Zero).
Ok here's what I got after tracking the potato count for 1 hr:
Going by the 1k milestones, if we keep up this pace we should hit 375466 by 12PM EST give or take a few mins. That is if we don't lose potatoes after Valve removes the ones that were collected using a website and assuming the pace doesn't drop considerably.
Going by the 1k milestones, if we keep up this pace we should hit 375466 by 12PM EST give or take a few mins. That is if we don't lose potatoes after Valve removes the ones that were collected using a website and assuming the pace doesn't drop considerably.
Wonder who this guy is?
http://steamcommunity.com/id/wc4/
Image touched up: http://i.imgur.com/OjUaM.jpg
(To speed things up: The Watcher mentioned Irish and Cynic in one of his last transmissions, the banner above gameplay stats and the profile text match the ones that all the infected players from the game had. Unfound part of the ARG, new part of the ARG, or trolling user? You be the judge.)
http://steamcommunity.com/id/wc4/
Image touched up: http://i.imgur.com/OjUaM.jpg
(To speed things up: The Watcher mentioned Irish and Cynic in one of his last transmissions, the banner above gameplay stats and the profile text match the ones that all the infected players from the game had. Unfound part of the ARG, new part of the ARG, or trolling user? You be the judge.)
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