Will The Nintendo Switch 2 Be A Success?

Have we learned nothing? Predicting the success or failure of a Nintendo console pre-launch is a recipe for a hilarious thread to revisit in 5 years.
 
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I hope this isn't "new" 3DS or DSi. I say this because what I saw gives similar vibe. Especially the message at the saying certain games won't work…
 
The Switch has been the best selling console since its inception, by a wide margin. People are going to buy its successor in droves, and it'll probably be the talked about device now for the next few weeks/months until it releases later this year.

Like, the reveal trailer alone, the one that people apparently are stating was a misstep or, "disappointment"? It's already surpassed 12 million views on YouTube, and it's only been 12 hours or so. I'm not even the biggest Nintendo fan, but make no mistake, the Switch 2 will reign over this holiday season in every age group.
50 more millions vews on nintendo jarpan and us twitter sales explosion
 
Really hard to tell. The Switch struck gold by presenting a compelling unique selling point while also having a very distinct brand. The device itself is also easily recognisable and distinct from all similar devices.

This time around the Switch 2 is barely distinguishable from the Switch and if the games look largely the same to your average Joe, they have quite the hill to climb. Also depends on what percentage of the market are normies and parents buying for their kids, who will see little reason to upgrade.

But hey, I'm usually wrong about these things. I thought the Series consoles would be a huge success. 🫠
 
That's bullshit. Sony clearly calls it a "remote player for PS5". If folks somehow mistakenly buy the thing because they somehow think it is a "self contained handheld" then they can just return it.

Now.....explain the "scam".

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It's not what people wanted though, in reality they wanted a Vita 2 that could play original software and also be a remote PS5. Also the portal does not have an OLED screen. Funny how some suggest Nintendo are wrong for not going with OLED for the Switch 2, but seem to give Sony and the portal a pass on this one. ;)
 
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It's not what people wanted though, in reality they wanted a Vita 2 that could play original software and also be a remote PS5.

Eh....that doesn't make PlayStation Portal a "scam". And I don't know how you can say people didn't want this when it has sold extremely well. It was the best selling peripheral in the US in 2024.

Also the portal does not have an OLED screen. Funny how some suggest Nintendo are wrong for not going with OLED for the Switch 2, but seem to give Sony and the portal a pass on this one. ;)

And? I didn't say anything about OLED in either case. I was explaining why it was absurd to call PS Portal a "scam".
 
Eh....that doesn't make PlayStation Portal a "scam". And I don't know how you can say people didn't want this when it has sold extremely well. It was the best selling peripheral in the US in 2024.



And? I didn't say anything about OLED in either case. I was explaining why it was absurd to call PS Portal a "scam".
I never stated the portal was a scam, just that it was not what people wanted. And I never stated you did say anything about the OLED screens, just added it to my post.
 
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I never stated the portal was a scam, just what people wanted. And I never stated you did say anything about the OLED screens, just added it to my post.

"People" wanted it and bought it.

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Since neither Portal or Switch 2 have OLED then it is a moot point.
 
Have we learned nothing? Predicting the success or failure of a Nintendo console pre-launch is a recipe for a hilarious thread to revisit in 5 years.

I'd like to have the energy to search for the PSP vs DS threads, but you know, most people here probably were not even alive then.
 
I'd like to have the energy to search for the PSP vs DS threads, but you know, most people here probably were not even alive then.
Most the people here are in their 30s and 40s.

While the DS was massive, the PSP was pretty big too with over 80 million consoles sold.
 
It's still not what they really wanted, and whichever way you spin it, it's still very niche.

I'm not the one pretending I speak for what others "wanted". That's you. Pointing out how well it sold is not spin. It is a fact.
 
I don't recall any big push for a Vita 2 anywhere.
Well I suppose the Vita did do pretty low numbers. But there was speculation about the portal before it was revealed. AS many thought Sony were working on a new handheld device, not just a remote play device, which would always have a pretty limited appeal.

Although I suppose for an accessory it's done much better than one would expect.
 
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Many possible paths:

- It'll be the SNES to the Switch 1 NES.
- It'll be the 3DS to the Switch 1 DS.
- It'll be the PS2 to the Switch 1 PS1.

No matter what I don't see it doing a Wii U. It's mostly a matter of what degree of success the console meets.
 
I always love to retrospectively read GAF's prediction threads and see how many crows are being served, the thread of Nintendo disappearing or failing with the Switch 1 sales is so much fun!

So now that we have enough details about the price, specs, launch line up and upcoming games, how do you think the Switch 2 would fair? will it be Nintendo's last console? will it be a big success like the Switch 1?

To make it more specific and interesting write down how many units do you expect this to sell through its lifetime?

GAF tell me what you think!
 
It's too soon to tell, we need to wait for the games. This presentation was disappointing but things can change with quality games. Price is bullshit tho.

So wait and see.
 
Anybody that thinks it won't be a success is retarded.

Will it be Switch levels of success/ Probably not but my guess it at least 360/PS3 sales numbers.
 
Not really seeing a Breath of the Wild launch window level game to sell like the Switch 1 had, but it will likely still be a success.

I've seen some people shit on the graphics, but the gap between this and current consoles/pc really shows the diminished returns on fidelity this gen. It was so much worse for the Switch 1 trying to do PS4 games.
 
Not really seeing a Breath of the Wild launch window level game to sell like the Switch 1 had, but it will likely still be a success.

I've seen some people shit on the graphics, but the gap between this and current consoles/pc really shows the diminished returns on fidelity this gen. It was so much worse for the Switch 1 trying to do PS4 games.
Mario Kart?
 
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It's an extremely "safe" iteration on the original hardware. Mario Kart is going to be a system seller. Their biggest competition will be with themselves, the Switch 1 being $100-$200 cheaper and having mostly the same software library (at launch). That said, the hardware seems okay - 1080p/120fps screen that's much larger than the original, and can output 4K from the dock.

I think it'll sell okay, but I don't think it'll be nearly the success the Switch had unless there are outside factors (like another global pandemic) that give it a bump.
 
Not really seeing a Breath of the Wild launch window level game to sell like the Switch 1 had, but it will likely still be a success.

I've seen some people shit on the graphics, but the gap between this and current consoles/pc really shows the diminished returns on fidelity this gen. It was so much worse for the Switch 1 trying to do PS4 games.

Mario Kart will sell way more than any Zelda game.
 
Not with those game prices.

Most families, who are a core part of Nintendo's customers won't be dropping £75 a game in this economic climate.

I don't think it'll be a Wii U flop, but it won't come close to the current Switch.
 
I hope not.

I don't really understand how the average parent in my country is going to buy this especially if the kids already have the Switch. But i might be wrong since my country really love Nintendo.

But the family dimension is just gone with those ridiculous prices.
 
Not really seeing a Breath of the Wild launch window level game to sell like the Switch 1 had, but it will likely still be a success.

I've seen some people shit on the graphics, but the gap between this and current consoles/pc really shows the diminished returns on fidelity this gen. It was so much worse for the Switch 1 trying to do PS4 games.
Not trying to pile on, but MK 8 curb-stomped Zelda in sales on Switch.
 
It will be a success with Nintendo fans. Many of them would lick a turd in the middle of the street of you put a Nintendo logo on it.

But as for the mainstream, it will be a hard sell at that price, especially since it doesn't differ much from Switch 1 as far as usual Nintendo gimmick goes.

Also, a lot of young kids already have phones and tablets with ultra cheap games to play on so $450 will be a hard sell for many parents.
 
With the prices, now I'm sure it will be a slow burn.
The NS1 will continue to live alongside the NS2, and adoption/replacement will happen progressively and slowly over time.

This is the new Nintendo strategy, no outright immediate replacement, NS2 to NS3 will happen the same way.
 
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