Will The Nintendo Switch 2 Be A Success?
- Thread starter Mozza
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Musashipan
Member
Posting to come back in the future
Mortisfacio
Member
It'll do fine. Children all over will want this. The only downside will be if their parents aren't willing to spend $80-90 to play the newer re-hashed version of games they've been buying for 30 years. It's worked for Nintendo so far, so I expect that to continue well enough.
Guardian Monkey
Member
The price jump had to be made sometime. Individuals are reacting now. But this will be the pricing (most likely baked in for the next 5,6,7 years). They wouldn't as easily make the price jump mid cycle.
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HeisenbergFX4
Member
The Switch is what 8 years old?
So yeah maybe not quite 10 and the only mid cycle upgrade we will get will be an OLED screen
Gamer79
Predicts the worst decade for Sony starting 2022
It will be a success but no where near the level of the Switch. Their prices have missed the Mass Appeal mark and the device isn't that innovative. Nintendo Geeks will buy it in droves but I question if the Casuals are willing to spend $90 on Games.
This. I think it'll end up somewhere in the 75-90 million units lifetime range.
Deerock71
Member
It seems as if some people view crow as a delicacy.
Gamer79
Predicts the worst decade for Sony starting 2022
From $60-$90 is one hell of a jump. I would be ok if they went to $70 but $90? Hell no
ShadyAcshuns
Member
GrandlyBodacious
Member
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od-chan
Member
Saying it will be "moderately successful" because it's a "safe iteration", do "fine" but "not as massively well as the switch" are LAME predictions! You're probably right, but it's lame. So I'll go with something I've hoped for since the Wii:
This will be Nintendo's downfall! $90 games? Shitty gimmicks no one is going to use? NO GAMES!? Also, the SteamDeck is coming, 2026 is going to be the year of the Linux Handheld. Nintendo will finally go the Sega Way, and by 2027 they'll discontinue the Switch2 and we'll get BotW2 and an OoT Remake in 4k/120fps for PC/PS6.
This will be Nintendo's downfall! $90 games? Shitty gimmicks no one is going to use? NO GAMES!? Also, the SteamDeck is coming, 2026 is going to be the year of the Linux Handheld. Nintendo will finally go the Sega Way, and by 2027 they'll discontinue the Switch2 and we'll get BotW2 and an OoT Remake in 4k/120fps for PC/PS6.
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Yes, but not as big as Switch 1. To many competitions coming up from PC handheld, steam device, and even Xbox is entering handheld industry and rumored Sony will be back on handheld industry soon. But Switch 2 will still be number one on handheld due to there Nintendo exclusives.
Guardian Monkey
Member
I'm not as high on the sw2 as the sw1 after watching the presentation today. Thought the first would do around I believe ~60-70 mil lifetime when is was after Jan 2017 conference on this site and I was being called insane for quoting such a high number. It blew even my predictions out of the water. Sw2 I'm saying 90m-100m lifetime. Would love to see Nintendo overperform from my expectations, I guess we will see.
Kabelly
Member
Those measels cases are starting to ramp up. Maybe we'll get your wish.
Guardian Monkey
Member
We already had the last Zelda at $70. We are now at that for base pricing for their AAA titles and $80 for physical it seems. Where is $90 coming from?
lachesis
Member
It will be, but I don't think it will be as successful as Switch 1. I think they'll be losing the market share dominance a bit (not by much) - if unless some runaway hit games are produced... and they are very capable of creating something like that and proven their ability to do so with their powerful IPs many times over.
MMaRsu
Gold Member
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Gamer79
Predicts the worst decade for Sony starting 2022
Nintendo Switch 2 Games Prices Up to $80 digital and $90 Physical
Nintendo just finished their Switch 2 direct and news is trickling out about games prices of up to $80 digital and $90 physical switch 2 game prices As
xboxera.com
Baemono
Member
How much do you think it would've sold without the pandemic ?
DenchDeckard
Moderated wildly
I think it will do well.
existensmaximum
Member
Before the price announcement for the system and the games I was certain. Now I'm not so sure... But probably, yeah.
Trunx81
Member
Wait, let me get my magic calculator … hm, interesting.
But seriously: Switch had a good run during the pandemic with Animal Crossing and the chip shortage for PS5. Just found a screenshot today from April 2020. 529€ on Amazon for a switch. The thirst was real, especially from parents who wanted to entertain their children in the lockdown.
Baemono
Member
The Switch had a good run every year, the pandemic boosted a bit but not more than probably max 10 million units sold (and I am being generous). You're mixing AC's huge success during the pandemic with the Switch's hardware sales.
It had 3-4 years around 15-20 million units sold, with 2020 reaching 28 million units, but even without the pandemic (like let's say 20 million in 2020 rather than 28 million), it would've sold a huge amount
Shaki12345
Gold Member
In the beginning, NO. Nintendo needs to listen to feedback concerning game prices. They must be stupid thinking they can inflate their game prices while salaries don't increase.
Also;
- inflated prices. People's salaries haven't inflated. Wake up Nintendo.
- no analogue triggers so no serious racing games. Are they retarded?
- no option to remove borders on the side of NSO games. Who makes these decisions?
- A chat functionality that takes away almost 50% of your screen? Who makes these decisions?
- where are the damn first party games? Like WTF.
- this thing will be out of date much quicker than S1. 3rd party games are already struggling. This will be dead within 6 years.
- a fucking camera? What is this? 2003?
- No themes?
- The new Zelda audio snippets should be ingame instead of on your damn phone.
- That interactive Switch 2 Tutorial app should be free like Wii Sports. WTF are they thinking.
Also;
- inflated prices. People's salaries haven't inflated. Wake up Nintendo.
- no analogue triggers so no serious racing games. Are they retarded?
- no option to remove borders on the side of NSO games. Who makes these decisions?
- A chat functionality that takes away almost 50% of your screen? Who makes these decisions?
- where are the damn first party games? Like WTF.
- this thing will be out of date much quicker than S1. 3rd party games are already struggling. This will be dead within 6 years.
- a fucking camera? What is this? 2003?
- No themes?
- The new Zelda audio snippets should be ingame instead of on your damn phone.
- That interactive Switch 2 Tutorial app should be free like Wii Sports. WTF are they thinking.
not like they sold 70mn MK8s at $60. Often was on sale. Was also bundled during at least a few xmas seasons.
Also,...even at $60...it would be doubtful they could sell 70mn again. Past history shows that, quite often, the next version of whatever doesn't sell as many copies.
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Trunx81
Member
Don't get me wrong, I love my Switch. Most played console I ever owned. But I beg the question if it would have lost steam if a PS5 would have been more available (and with better games, but that also correlates to the availability)
Baemono
Member
Well in comparison, there was no covid boost for PS4 or Xbox One, so I doubt it. Different target demographic at the end (and I bought a PS4 Pro during the pandemic while playing with my Switch)
Baemono
Member
The starting pack is a bundle, so it will definitly help sales
Nintendo Switch 2 Games Prices Up to $80 digital and $90 Physical
Nintendo just finished their Switch 2 direct and news is trickling out about games prices of up to $80 digital and $90 physical switch 2 game prices As
this is really only Mario Kart though and almost certainly them just trying to push the console bundles.
DK is $70 and it's from their premier internal team (at least seemingly). There's nothing to suggest the standard game price is anything more than $70 at this point.
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Robb
Gold Member
Sure, but Mario Kart is just one example of many. Switch first party software sales have been bonkers. 50M Animal Crossing, 35M Smash Bros., 30M Zelda, 30M Mario Odyssey etc. etc.
With these prices I can't see them getting anywhere close to that.
I expect a situation similar to the DS ->3DS.
It will sell well but nowhere as successful as the original, the system doesn't bring particular innovations and now handheld PCs are direct competition.
Prices are too high for mass market, you won't see parents buying a 80-90€ game for their kids when they can play something free on a cheap smartphone.
There won't be, hopefully, another pandemic artificially boosting sales and prolonging the lifecycle for two years.
So for all these reasons there are very low chances to replicate the Switch success but clearly it won't be a flop.
It will sell well but nowhere as successful as the original, the system doesn't bring particular innovations and now handheld PCs are direct competition.
Prices are too high for mass market, you won't see parents buying a 80-90€ game for their kids when they can play something free on a cheap smartphone.
There won't be, hopefully, another pandemic artificially boosting sales and prolonging the lifecycle for two years.
So for all these reasons there are very low chances to replicate the Switch success but clearly it won't be a flop.
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same story...I don't think price has much to do with whether or not they get close those sales. And it's not like all those games were sold at full price either.
There's a lot of inelastic demand for the big NIntendo games. And inflation is real as are the rising costs of game development due to bigger more elaborate games with higher production values.
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XXL
Banned
The OG Switch first presentation was pretty bad, if I remember correctly.
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