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[FreshCakes]

I'm just trying to save face with my top 5 domestic prediction in that one thread.

If the rumored runtime of 182 minutes for TF5 is true, I'm going to give it no chance of grossing more than Pirates.

You're not kidding. Bay really has to one up the previous movie in every way.

 

[Saucycarpdog]

You're not kidding. Bay really has to one up the previous movie in every way.

jesus christ. Is this new info? I feel like this deserves it's own thread.

 

[Sibersk Esto]

Does Bay really have Paramount over a barrel? Surely someone mentioned that Transformers 5 shouldn't be as long as Lawrence of Arabia.

 

[kswiston]

http://deadline.com/2017/05/wonder-...ng-worldwide-projection-gal-gadot-1202104439/

Pretty much the same numbers as LA Times reported. I haven't had the time to give Wonder Woman's overseas opening much thought, but $100M would be a solid result.

Now that I have had more time to sit down and read that article, I'd have to say that an opening weekend of $100M overseas would just be so-so. Deadline mentions that this weekend is 72% of the international market. However, the missing 28% (mainly Germany, France, Spain, other EU countries in those langauge groups, and Japan) aren't really 28% of the superhero market.

BvS' top territories were China, the UK, Mexico, Brazil, and Australia. All of which open this weekend.

France, Germany, and Japan were #6-8. Spain was #13 on that list. All 4 of those major territories combined were smaller than the gross from Mexico + Brazil, and accounted for about 13% of BvS' total.

So once you add in the smaller territories, you might be looking at 17-18% of BvS' gross missing from this week's openers.

So that in mind, $100M this weekend probably means something in the vicinity of Ant-Man overseas at best. If the domestic weekend doesn't pick up from $75M on the high end, Doctor Strange numbers will be difficult.

$500M or so wouldn't be a disaster or anything, but it would be one of the lower grossing comic films of recent years.


EDIT: Basically, I am hoping that this weekend overshoots expectations like Logan did earlier in the year.

 

[broncobuster]

On some level I'm waiting for Michael Bay to make a shot-for-shot remake of Love Exposure with robots. I feel he'll get there by Transformers 7.

 

[FreshCakes]

jesus christ. Is this new info? I feel like this deserves it's own thread.

Seems like it and you beat me to it!

 

[Schlorgan]

Can Justin Lin please take over that franchise when Bay is done?

Bring Chris Morgan and Jason Statham along too.

 

[BronsonLee]

Does Bay really have Paramount over a barrel? Surely someone mentioned that Transformers 5 shouldn't be as long as Lawrence of Arabia.

Think about the franchises Paramount has

Spoiler

The answer to your question is yes

 

[duckroll]

jesus christ. Is this new info? I feel like this deserves it's own thread.

Seems like it and you beat me to it!

Is it really so important to make a thread about something which isn't even accurately sourced?

 

[FTF]

Is it really so important to make a thread about something which isn't even accurately sourced?

Yeah no source yet but for some reason Google is going with that runtime when you just search the movie title.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

lol

I'm kind of hoping the actual runtime is a few minutes longer, so it's officially Michael Bay's longest film.

Spoiler

And to troll duckroll.

 

[Saucycarpdog]

Yeah no source yet but for some reason Google is going with that runtime when you just search the movie title.

Yeah. Of course I'm not sure who edits that stuff. Is it community edited?

 

[FreshCakes]

Google obviously knows something we don't.

 

[duckroll]

Well if I don't get at least 3 hours 2 minutes of Bayformers later this month. Someone's getting juniored.

 

[kswiston]

Any opening under $21.3M would make Captain Underpants the lowest CG Dreamworks opening ever

 

[Saucycarpdog]

Well if I don't get at least 3 hours 2 minutes of Bayformers later this month. Someone's getting juniored.

Find a Google employee on Neogaf and junior them.

 

[duckroll]

Find a Google employee on Neogaf and junior them.

Nah that's not how it works. No one else was rushing to make a thread based on random information like that. You chose to believe it was important enough to share.

 

[Saucycarpdog]

Nah that's not how it works. No one else was rushing to make a thread based on random information like that. You chose to believe it was important enough to share.

Fair enough. Now we play the waiting game I guess.

 

[Bronx-Man]

#ImWithSaucy

 

[BronsonLee]

Personally I think we should blame BGE for it since he brought it up
But I know he got the info from Bronx-Man who got it from kswiston so just get rid of them all

 

[duckroll]

Has anyone brought up the elephant in the room yet? Paramount no doubt wants to make big $$$ from IMAX 3D screenings. Aren't the non-digital IMAX screens still limited to 175 mins or something due to the physical reels?

Personally I think we should blame BGE for it since he brought it up
But I know he got the info from Bronx-Man who got it from kswiston so just get rid of them all

This is too convincing. I'll go ban them all now. Thanks for the tip, and remember, don't hide a commie!

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

You don't want to ban me. Every good community needs a villain!

 

[3N16MA]

Personally I think we should blame BGE for it since he brought it up
But I know he got the info from Bronx-Man who got it from kswiston so just get rid of them all

Missed an opportunity to take out, Bobby.

 

[Saucycarpdog]

You don't want to ban me. Every good community needs a villain!

That's what PopGAF is for.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

Has anyone brought up the elephant in the room yet? Paramount no doubt wants to make big $$$ from IMAX 3D screenings. Aren't the non-digital IMAX screens still limited to 175 mins or something due to the physical reels?

I think there's maybe 10 IMAX screens in the country that don't have a digital projector at this point.

Quick, someone make a thread titled "There are 10 IMAX screens that can't play Transformers: The Last Knight"

 

[Freeza Under The Shower]

#ImWithSaucy

#WouldHaveMadeTheThread

 

[BronsonLee]

This is too convincing. I'll go ban them all now. Thanks for the tip, and remember, don't hide a commie!

*hastily stuffs bribe money into pocket* no problem sir~

You don't want to ban me. Every good community needs a villain!

We can upgrade!

Missed an opportunity to take out, Bobby.

I already did that before, the sequel requires us to team up, I SAW FATE OF THE FURIOUS

 

[duckroll]

Missed an opportunity to take out, Bobby.

Please don't include him in silly off hand jokes like this. I don't want him to accidentally take it seriously and get offended!

 

[Bronx-Man]

No Mods, No Kings

 

[LordOfLore]

Looks like we might get a Sienkiewicz designed New Mutants poster.

 

[broncobuster]

Cross-posting from the review thread:


LA Times also reports the budget is indeed $150M.

Definitely feel rather conflicted this weekend. My heart is telling me this can explode thanks to the reviews, but I'm not seeing evidence of that on Fandango or MT presales yet.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/features/complex-gender-politics-wonder-woman-movie-1008259

also has the $150 million figure.

says Jenkins, bristling when asked about the heavy responsibility of directing Wonder Woman, the most expensive film ever shot by a person with two XX chromosomes (its $150 million budget surpasses Kathryn Bigelow's $100 million K-19: The Widowmaker)

 

[kswiston]

$150M is in the ballpark of Marvel (non-sequel) solos. Cheap for what we have gotten out of the DCEU so far.

 

[RBelong2Us]

I think the poor receptions of BVS and SS hinder WW regardless of reviews on top of marketing being ehh.


Might hold well in future weekends if audiences like it though.

 

[Affeinvasion]

The real question is with Wonder Woman looking like it might actually be a good movie, will fans of the previous DC movies hate it?

 

[Boke1879]

The real question is with Wonder Woman looking like it might actually be a good movie, will fans of the previous DC movies hate it?

Why would they? Reviews I think bump that number up a bit and with that WOM which seemingly is positive keeps it up through the weekday and into the next weekend.

And all this talk about marketing being Ehh? I've seen way too much WW adverts this past month honestly.

 

[kswiston]

Wonder Woman's Chinese opening seems to be heading for the $25-30M range.

 

[broncobuster]

The real question is with Wonder Woman looking like it might actually be a good movie, will fans of the previous DC movies hate it?

You'd be surprised how little crossover there is of people who liked BvS and Suicide Squad.

 

[brandonh83]

Oh my GOD

 

[Toa TAK]

Oh my GOD

It's just Micheal Bay challenging us.

 

[brandonh83]

It's just Micheal Bay challenging us.

Challenge not accepted!

*sigh* challenge accepted

 

[Prompto]

Challenge not accepted!

*sigh* challenge accepted

I have somehow through circumstances ended up seeing every Transformers movie opening night. I'm no longer fighting destiny. I have accepted my fate.

*purchases tickets*

 

[Lima]

3h of non stop Bay? Hmm I think I need an intermission with that.

 

[Timu]

Transformers 5 is even longer than Age of Extinction?!

Yes, in fact, did you know that each Transformers movie gets longer than the previous one?

3 hours!? Are they fucking insane!?

Yes, they are out of control.

 

[Lima]

I have somehow through circumstances ended up seeing every Transformers movie opening night. I'm no longer fighting destiny. I have accepted my fate.

*purchases tickets*

Don't even try to make up a bullshit excuse story. We love these movies.

You and me both brother.

 

[BronsonLee]

Wonder Woman's Chinese opening seems to be heading for the $25-30M range.

That seems pretty decent

 

[Boke1879]

I have somehow through circumstances ended up seeing every Transformers movie opening night. I'm no longer fighting destiny. I have accepted my fate.

*purchases tickets*

Dude it's ok if you like them. That's totally fine.

 

[Prompto]

Don't even try to make up a bullshit excuse story. We love these movies.

You and me both brother.

Dude it's ok if you like them. That's totally fine.

Age of Extiction killed any enjoyment I had for the series. But I do genuinely like the first movie and the last act of Dark of the Moon. That skydiving sequence was probably the last time I was impressed by 3D in a theater.

 

[GabeTheGrouch76]

You're not kidding. Bay really has to one up the previous movie in every way.

 

[Timu]

Challenge not accepted!

*sigh* challenge accepted

Let's hope the movie is decent, because if not like the sequels, then these 3 hours will be torture!!!

 

[Toa TAK]

You know full well the quality of the movie's story and characters.