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Woj: NBA draft lottery reform could be voted in before start of this upcoming season

XiaNaphryz

LATIN, MATRIPEDICABUS, DO YOU SPEAK IT
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/20621318/reform-nba-draft-lottery-voted-17-18-season

12:52 PM PT
Adrian Wojnarowski
ESPN

The National Basketball Association is aggressively pursuing draft lottery reform that could be voted into legislation before the start of the 2017-18 season, league sources told ESPN.

Commissioner Adam Silver is a strong advocate to de-incentivize tanking by implementing lower odds on the NBA's worst teams to gain the top picks in the draft, league sources said.

The proposed measures would also increase the chances of better teams making a jump up into the draft lottery. The NBA's 14 non-playoff teams compromise the league's annual draft lottery system.

If passed, the lottery reform would be phased into use over time, and there's no indication that the 2018 NBA draft would fall under new legislation, league sources said.


The NBA's Competition Committee, comprised of several general managers and coaches, is expected to vote at a meeting next week on sending a formal recommendation to the board of governors for final passage, league sources said.

Presently, the NBA team with the worst record can drop no lower than No. 4 from No. 1, but the NBA's currently proposed legislation could allow that team to drop from first to fifth in the lottery, league sources said. This would include a domino effect through the lottery, where the second-worst record presently dropping no lower than fourth, could fall to sixth. Then, the No. 3 team could drop as far as seven, and on down, league sources said.

Currently, the teams with the three worst records have an ascending chance of winning the No. 1 pick, including (No. 3) 15.6 percent, (No. 2) 19.9 percent and (No. 1) 25 percent.

The NBA's proposal would flatten those odds, and give the three teams with the worst record the same percentage of earning the No. 1 overall pick, league sources said. Now, the worst record to the fifth-worst record has a gap of 25 percent to 8.8 percent, but new legislation would tighten that difference significantly, league sources said.

For example, the fifth-worst team would only have a few percentage points less than those teams with newly equal odds among the three worst teams, league sources said.


At the apex of the Philadelphia 76ers tanking saga, the NBA's board of governors voted down a somewhat more liberal proposal on lottery reform in 2014.

Another idea born out of the Competition Committee itself that could gather support, league sources said: No team can pick in the top three of the draft in consecutive years. For example, if Minnesota wins the No. 1 pick and drafts Karl-Anthony Towns, it can pick no higher than No. 4 in the next lottery. For now, that idea is outside of the league office's proposal but is expected to be considered in the upcoming committee meeting, sources said.

Many NBA executives believe those new measures will effectively impact the perception of the tanking issue, what with the incentivizing of teams to play healthy starters down the stretch of the season. Many teams believe that tanking is no longer an issue in the league, and that the fear of other teams mimicking the 76ers' process has been unwarranted.

There is some fear among small-market teams that lottery reform will make it even harder for them to obtain star-level players through the draft, especially because of a pervading belief that it has become increasingly hard to do so through free agency and trades.
Teams believe that the process of trading for star players has become more difficult, with agents and players warning that they'll leave come free agency and will never consider re-signing with those teams.
 

Brinbe

Member
I think this kinda sucks and doesn't solve tanking at all. Making it harder for bad teams to improve is the opposite of what you want.

First thing I disagree with Silver on.
 

megalowho

Member
I've always been interested in a combination of Mike Zarren's wheel proposal with some lottery/randomness added in to avoid prospects timing thier eligibility for desired destinations. It would make it a little harder for bad teams to climb the ladder, but I also sort of philosophically disagree with constantly rewarding failure and poor management as well.

Edit: Image of the revised proposal, since it's easier to get when visualized. Teams would rotate through the draft positions over the course of 5 or 10 years. The original proposal was for 30, a much longer term commitment with no randomness baked in.

0-1.jpg
 
NBA has a bad parity problem. Only 3 teams have a remote shot at winning every year and this would make it even worse.

Stop trying to be special with the draft system and just do it like MLB and NFL.
 

Lunaray

Member
NBA has a bad parity problem. Only 3 teams have a remote shot at winning every year and this would make it even worse.

Stop trying to be special with the draft system and just do it like MLB and NFL.

The parity problem has more to do with the nature of the sport than the draft. In basketball, superstars can singlehandedly bring their teams to the finals. They can't do that in the MLB or NFL.
 
the no consecutive top three draft picks has consequences but I really don't see the point in flattening the chances of the bottom three teams, at all. Moving the worst team from 20 wins to 23 wins because they don't have to tank quite so hard isn't going to make for a better product at all.
 

Sephzilla

Member
Here's a better idea; Get rid of the lottery all together.

As a bonus, how about we also trim down the number of teams that make the playoffs too?
 

megalowho

Member
NBA has a bad parity problem. Only 3 teams have a remote shot at winning every year and this would make it even worse.

Stop trying to be special with the draft system and just do it like MLB and NFL.
They are completely different leagues in terms of number of players drafted each year, individual impact on a team/franchise, salary negotiation, and plenty of other smaller aspects. Being thoughtful about these things isn't a bad thing.
 
NBA has a bad parity problem. Only 3 teams have a remote shot at winning every year and this would make it even worse.

Stop trying to be special with the draft system and just do it like MLB and NFL.


Majority of the teams suck in every sport. Parity is just a buzz word.
 

mjp2417

Banned
NBA has a bad parity problem. Only 3 teams have a remote shot at winning every year and this would make it even worse.

Stop trying to be special with the draft system and just do it like MLB and NFL.

You can't do this in the NBA because of how important superstars and potential superstars are. If and when the next LeBron or even Anthony Davis tier prospect comes along the preceding season would be a complete clusterfuck. Every team except for the two or three that have a real shot at a title would be trying to lose every game. This is a measure designed to discourage tanking, not further incentivize it.
 

Sephzilla

Member
You can't do this in the NBA because of how important superstars and potential superstars are. If and when the next LeBron or even Anthony Davis tier prospect comes along the preceding season would be a complete clusterfuck. Every team except for the two or three that have a real shot at a title would be trying to lose every game.

This is exactly what happens now.

How would getting rid of the lottery help the tanking problem?

Teams that are on the fringe of being playoff teams might actually compete for a playoff spot with the hopes of making a run since they'd be out of the running for a top pick.
 

Bread

Banned
This is exactly what happens now.
Every team except the Warriors and Cavs is trying to lose every game? That's exactly what happens now?

Teams that are on the fringe of being playoff teams might actually compete for a playoff spot with the hopes of making a run since they'd be out of the running for a top pick.
I've never seen a fringe playoff team tank their way to the lottery to get a 1% chance at the top pick rather than trying for the playoffs.
 

Sephzilla

Member
It does not

So you're seriously arguing that if the NBA adopted a hard draft spot position based on record like the other majors ports, suddenly teams that would be the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th seed in the playoffs would suddenly start tanking games because they want the #1 overall spot?
 

Faddy

Banned
How would getting rid of the lottery help the tanking problem?

There would be zero incentive to tank.

The GM meta would become about creating assets by taking on bad contracts and moving expiring half decent players at the deadline like in baseball.
 

megalowho

Member
Teams that are on the fringe of being playoff teams might actually compete for a playoff spot with the hopes of making a run since they'd be out of the running for a top pick.
This isn't something that happens, not for teams on the fringe. The 10-14 spots in the lottery have a spread of 1.1% and 0.5% to win the lottery. They would not be affected by a flat draft.

Also, the players comptete. Tanking is on management purposefully fielding teams that don't measure up, or resting impact players down the stretch. Neither of which would be solved by removing the lottery system, it would actually exacerbate the problem.
 

Bread

Banned
There would be zero incentive to tank.

The GM meta would become about creating assets by taking on bad contracts and moving expiring half decent players at the deadline like in baseball.
how would there be zero incentive to tank when the team with the worst record is guaranteed the top pick????
 
So you're seriously arguing that if the NBA adopted a hard draft spot position based on record like the other majors ports, suddenly teams that would be the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th seed in the playoffs would suddenly start tanking games because they want the #1 overall spot?

You said that's what they're already doing. That's what he's disagreeing with.

You literally said all but the top handful of teams already try to lose every game.
 

Sandfox

Member
This is exactly what happens now.



Teams that are on the fringe of being playoff teams might actually compete for a playoff spot with the hopes of making a run since they'd be out of the running for a top pick.

In the NBA it's better to be bad than a fringe playoff team for the most part.
 

DeathoftheEndless

Crashing this plane... with no survivors!
This makes the lottery slightly better I guess. I don't like the lottery at all. Just make the order go record-wise and let teams tank if they want.
 
Majority of the teams suck in every sport. Parity is just a buzz word.

It's not. The MLB is a random enough sport that it's actually not common for the big spenders to win the World Series.

It wasn't long ago that the NHL had something like 8 different champion in 8 years.

NFL has a slight problem with the Patriots winning a bunch, but it will get more interesting to watch when Brady retires.
 

Sephzilla

Member
You said that's what they're already doing. That's what he's disagreeing with.

You literally said all but the top handful of teams already try to lose every game.

Read what he said again, he said (responding to another poster) that if they went to a hard draft order it would encourage more tanking for every team except the top three and that the lottery was to discourage tanking. This was before I responded to him at all.
 

Bread

Banned
This makes the lottery slightly better I guess. I don't like the lottery at all. Just make the order go record-wise and let teams tank if they want.
that'd be a quick way to lose a shit ton of fan support and money while making players unhappy

imagine watching your team tank the year but 4 other teams tanked a bit better and you're stuck with the 5th pick in a 2013 level draft class. the battle to the bottom would increase the gap between good and bad teams and make the league insufferable.
 

Bread

Banned
Read what he said again, he said (responding to another poster) that if they went to a hard draft order it would encourage more tanking for every team except the top three and that the lottery was to discourage tanking. This was before I responded to him at all.
"Every team except for the two or three that have a real shot at a title would be trying to lose every game."
"This is exactly what happens now."

?
 

jwhit28

Member
I like the idea of not letting a team repeat in the top 3 spots. It won't change much. Golden State hasn't had a pick in the top 3 since Mike Dunleavy in 2002. The Spurs haven't had a pick in the top 10 since Tim Duncan.

I never understand the "Parody is a problem" thing. Especially in basketball where the Lakers vs Celtics is celebrated so much.
 

mjp2417

Banned
So you're seriously arguing that if the NBA adopted a hard draft spot position based on record like the other majors ports, suddenly teams that would be the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th seed in the playoffs would suddenly start tanking games because they want the #1 overall spot?

Imagine if either Marvin Bagley or Michael Porter looks like a sure-fire generational superstar. What incentive would the Utah Jazz or Milwaukee Bucks of the world have to compete?
 

LionPride

Banned
A sport where there was a time period where ever final from 1980 to 1989 had the Celtics or Lakers

Michael Jordan or Hakeem won 8 titles from 1991-1998

Tim Duncan or Kobe/Shaq were involved in every title series from 1999-2005

And one of LeBron, Kobe, Tim, or Wade were involved with each series from 06-now

And y'all worry about parity because of the fucking lottery when this sport ain't had parity since the damn 70s
 

maruchan

Member
Here's a better idea; Get rid of the lottery all together.

As a bonus, how about we also trim down the number of teams that make the playoffs too?

Where will the nba get the revenue lost, from those games. or how will the nba compensate espn and tnt on their new mutili billion contract.

if espn and tnt had their way, they would change the playoffs, and make ncaa style tournament, and have every team in the league in the playoffs, imagine a under 500 team knocking out the warriors...
 

El Topo

Member
And y'all worry about parity because of the fucking lottery when this sport ain't had parity since the damn 70s

The question is whether parity is actually something one should strive towards. After all, you want good players, coaches and managers to be rewarded, not a randomization.
 

Bread

Banned
Imagine if either Marvin Bagley or Michael Porter looks like a sure-fire generational superstar. What incentive would the Utah Jazz or Milwaukee Bucks of the world have to compete?
The Bucks and Jazz are not wasting an extremely important year of Giannis and Gobert's careers/developement to tank bruh
 

LionPride

Banned
Imagine if either Marvin Bagley or Michael Porter looks like a sure-fire generational superstar. What incentive would the Utah Jazz or Milwaukee Bucks of the world have to compete?
.......what

Beyond pride, two teams that will either be on the cusp of the playoffs or make it, that each have a top 5 talent at their respective position, gonna waste it for someone they ain't know if he's gonna actually be something in the league?

The question is whether parity is actually something one should strive towards. After all, you want good players, coaches and managers to be rewarded, not a randomization.

Almost no sports have parity, and this ain't college football where regulation of teams and promotion should be a thing, but a sport with 30 teams that are built up through free agency or the draft and succeed for years based on that
 

mjp2417

Banned
The Bucks and Jazz are not wasting an extremely important year of Giannis and Gobert's careers/developement to tank bruh

They're both still kids under years of team control. You know how you keep a Giannis or a Gobert around once their free agency hits? Find another superstar to pair with them.
 
I'm in on getting rid of the draft all together. Those players are adults and have the right to choose who their employer should be if that employer wants them.
 

Lunaray

Member
A sport where there was a time period where ever final from 1980 to 1989 had the Celtics or Lakers

Michael Jordan or Hakeem won 8 titles from 1991-1998

Tim Duncan or Kobe/Shaq were involved in every title series from 1999-2005

And one of LeBron, Kobe, Tim, or Wade were involved with each series from 06-now

And y'all worry about parity because of the fucking lottery when this sport ain't had parity since the damn 70s

Not to mention that the 70s was arguably when the NBA had the lowest viewership. Parity isn't always automatically a good thing. Besides, I like the Cavs-Warriors rivalry. Neither franchises have been historically great, so this is their time to shine.
 

Bread

Banned
They're both still kids under years of team control. You know how you keep a Giannis or a Gobert around once their free agency hits? Find another superstar to pair with them.
You know how you make a Giannis or Gobert upset and leave? Bench them and tell them that the team is tanking.
 
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