Schnozberry
Member
i hope you're right.
If Nintendo releases more than one piece of hardware, games have to be easily transferable. They can't support more than one platform at this point, at least not well.
i hope you're right.
What is telling you that the PS4 won't reach PS3 numbers?
Why hope? There is official confirmation.
I doubt Zelda Musou right. Because I highly doubt they are releasing a main line on this console
Looking at the first party output of Sony and Microsoft. Yes, it's not low.
It's stupid to think a company should be able to release big IP titles monthly.
Pokemon was the foul sorceryTheir 3DS forecast doesn't really seem realistic. They failed to reach 12M for the previous fiscal year, I don't know what type foul sorcery they intend to reach it this one. The system is down almost 50% YTD in Japan (more than 50% in the period falling in the new fiscal year) and has been down on average 20% Y/Y in NPD.
Pokemon was the foul sorcery
I'm struggling to envision a scenario where a new powerful console can turn things around.
I don't think mainstream gamers are 'loyal', but rather, they're locked into content ecosystems once they've chosen to make an initial investment.
Across the board software output reduction that is further geared toward a narrowing demographic (ie gaming going comic book). Development costs are going to be much higher in general so the output will be even more samey and safe than prior. Continually Lower software sales in every market. Nothing to ignite any demographic outside of this further narrowing 16-30 to makes. I see this as a shorter generational cycle (ie not 7-8 years) as well due to hardware not being as cutting edge as previous cycles.
This is my opinion as well. There's been zero supporting data of the core home console market being directly hurt by smart phones. **Once again, this gets into the semantic debate of whether you considered the Wii audience "core", or not. But, even if you do, that just means gen 7 experienced extraordinary and unprecedented growth, followed by an equal and opposite extraordinary contraction. But that's a separate subjective debate.** (correlation=/=causation) Just because Nintendo and MS both dropped the ball super hard with their home console launches, it doesn't mean that we must retrofit history with a narrative of console decline. Don't lie and say that neither the WiiU and XB1 launch period were filled with confusion (mainly WiiU), anger (mainly XB1), and apathy. They effed up. Hard. Sony stepped up and is sweeping in the lionshare of the dedicated console market, and Nintendo is struggling to find a new ocean.It's really not. NINTENDO'S marketshare has vanished into thin air, but this is not new. The Wii's audience completely fell off a cliff between 2010 and 2011.
Microsoft and Sony have been splitting what we all know of as the traditional market, and this market isnt shrinking, just shifting. Instead of a 50/50 worldwide split, MS is taking a hit while Sony is wildly popular in all territories. This is entirely predictable given that MS designed the xbone and it's tv functions with the US solely in mind. EU was an afterthought and JP still doesn't have a launch.
A crash is out of the question entirely, the industry is simply too diverse and robust. Smartphones have devastated the dedicated handheld market as have tablets, and there is a clear linear relationship between smartphone uptake and handheld decline.
But consoles? Totally immune. There is no observable decline here, and we've seen record breaking hardware AND software releases consistently from MS and Sony. Nintendo on the other hand saw an immediate hit from this back in 2010 or so and never really recovered. Their casual audience long since left for tablets, but there is not one single core gamer shelling out full cost for COD, Madden, Fifa, or TLOU that is going to be satisfied with candy crush.
Iwata should write "How to be terrible at your job and still keep it for years" and sell it for $100And finally make a profit huehuehuehue
Are there seriously still people that don't think a Nintendo developed Zelda will come out for the Wii U???
It's interesting that a whenever the prospect of Nintendo going third party comes up, we are told that the lineup of software will suffer, and only hit franchises will be produced. The examples of this loss are always the same. Bayonetta and w101.
If the loss of a few games like that is the only negative result, then I don't see it as a problem. The Mario's and Zelda's and what have you are what most people want from Nintendo anyway. And while they are not enough to support a first party platform with no third party support, they would be an excellent addition to any other platforms third party library.
What is telling you that the PS4 won't reach PS3 numbers?
Okay, let's make predictions now.
How long will Nintendo remain in the console business if they continue to post losses like this?
I love the wii u, I think it's a fantastic system! But is there some true confirmation that Zelda is coming that I missed? I don't keep up on gaming to much anymore and releases for the wii u are pretty slow right now.Are there seriously still people that don't think a Nintendo developed Zelda will come out for the Wii U???
Software output reduction - how are you determining that?
Output being samey and safe - that's subjective.
Continually lower software sales - again, how are you predicting that?
It's really not. NINTENDO'S marketshare has vanished into thin air, but this is not new. The Wii's audience completely fell off a cliff between 2010 and 2011.
Microsoft and Sony have been splitting what we all know of as the traditional market, and this market isnt shrinking, just shifting. Instead of a 50/50 worldwide split, MS is taking a hit while Sony is wildly popular in all territories. This is entirely predictable given that MS designed the xbone and it's tv functions with the US solely in mind. EU was an afterthought and JP still doesn't have a launch.
A crash is out of the question entirely, the industry is simply too diverse and robust. Smartphones have devastated the dedicated handheld market as have tablets, and there is a clear linear relationship between smartphone uptake and handheld decline.
But consoles? Totally immune. There is no observable declining here, and we've seen record breaking hardware AND software releases consistently from MS and Sony. Nintendo on the other hand saw an immediate hit from this back in 2010 or so and never really recovered. Their casual audience long since left for tablets, but there is not one single core gamer shelling out full cost for COD, Madden, Fifa, or TLOU that is going to be satisfied with candy crush.
Are there seriously still people that don't think a Nintendo developed Zelda will come out for the Wii U???
I'm struggling to envision a scenario where a new powerful console can turn things around.
I love the wii u, I think it's a fantastic system! But is there some true confirmation that Zelda is coming that I missed? I don't keep up on gaming to much anymore and releases for the wii u are pretty slow right now.
Aonuma has confirmed it multiple times over the past couple years.I love the wii u, I think it's a fantastic system! But is there some true confirmation that Zelda is coming that I missed? I don't keep up on gaming to much anymore and releases for the wii u are pretty slow right now.
There is and will be no hybrid thing.
The number of Nintendo fans going full-on Iraqi Information Minister in here is amazing. There is an almost Fox News level of dedication to talking points.
How bad do sales have to be before some of them acknowledge that Nintendo's current strategy simply is not working?
No there isn't. Where's your source? If I recall they just said their next iterations would use similar technologies and frameworks. There was nothing stated about a hybrid console.Why hope? There is official confirmation.
Thats still the sorcery right nowThey had mainline Pokemon last year though and didn't reach those numbers.
Actually no, it's worse than that. He forecast a 100B JPY operating profit and returned a 46.4B JPY operating loss. The 23.2B loss was the net.
That 12m 3DS forecast doesn't look too bad now knowing Smash 3DS is in summer and Omega Ruby/Alpha Sapphire is in November.
I'm struggling to envision a scenario where a new powerful console can turn things around.
Awesome thanks!Aonuma has confirmed it multiple times over the past couple years.
Thats still the sorcery right now
Across the board software output reduction that is further geared toward a narrowing demographic (ie gaming going comic book). Development costs are going to be much higher in general so the output will be even more samey and safe than prior. Continually Lower software sales in every market. Nothing to ignite any demographic outside of this further narrowing 16-30 to makes. I see this as a shorter generational cycle (ie not 7-8 years) as well due to hardware not being as cutting edge as previous cycles.
Actually no, it's worse than that. He forecast a 100B JPY operating profit and returned a 46.4B JPY operating loss. The 23.2B loss was the net.
I think the contraction is mainly due to WiiU,3DS and Vita being unable to reach anywhere close to their predecessors during this point of their lifecycle.The true effects of rising budgets are yet to be felt IMO.And the Wii u has a nearly 6 attach rate. It's still a dead console. Look the console market isn't crashing like it did in the 80s, but if you don't see a massive contraction happening - across the board - you simply have your head in the sand. Software output and sales paint a picture that should tell you that the very successful ps4 may not even reach the ps3's number. The xbone won't even come close, and the Wii u will struggle to best the dreamcast at this point. All while software is much more expensive to produce and there is much less of it available to sell to an increasingly narrowing demographic. People need to wake up to reality and put away Baghdad bob.
Sure they remake pokemon from scratch but don't use the assets they already have for Majoras Mask remake for 3DS![]()
No there isn't. Where's your source? If I recall they just said their next iterations would use similar technologies and frameworks. There was nothing stated about a hybrid console.
Again I ask.
Can someone fill me in on Yamauichis third party rule? And if so is it still there?
Bye Satoru Iwata from Nintendo.
Y'never knowI can't imagine it being terribly effective from a system selling point-of-view. Anyone mad for Pokemon would've presumably bought a 3DS six months ago when the last two games came out.
Still, y'never know.
It's pretty unlikely that he does know now
2010:
1,252,321 mio Yen
2014:
795,215 mio Yen
In just 4 years that happened.
Shame, since their software is so good. Oh well.
When's that Investor meeting?
I can't imagine it being terribly effective from a system selling point-of-view. Anyone mad for Pokemon would've presumably bought a 3DS six months ago when the last two games came out.
Still, y'never know.
I'm struggling to envision a scenario where a new powerful console can turn things around.