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The South Carolina Primary & Nevada Caucuses |Feb 20, 23, 27| Continuing The Calm

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It's so funny people thinking that things will substantially change if their nominee is voted in, especially on the democratic side after the obstructionist Congress we saw with Obama. The president can do very little in the grand scheme of things so you sure as hell better make sure that when they get that odd chance to influence something that it's not in the opposing parties favor. Don't expect large sweeping change. Small wins.
 
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https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/701246270434889729

I never even thought about that. I guess it's true.
 
I'm voting for Bernie during Super Tuesday because I want to show my support for a farther left agenda for the Democrats, but I am coming to terms with Hillary as the nominee. I don't love her but will definitely vote for her in November.

I never really subscribed to the idea that Hillary would get loads of shit through while Bernie wouldn't, though. Both would have to compromise loads and I wouldn't be disappointed if we didn't get free college and medicare for all in the first four years if Bernie was elected. I just want someone that doesn't feel like there's some sort of cliff that they will fall off if they move a little farther to the left.

I thought this said father and it really colored the rest of the post in a different light....
 
Dude fuck you and fuck that, whatever happened to voting your conscience and beliefs, regardless of the level of elections?

This thinking is the reason we have our 2 party system and it continues to thrive on this garbage.
No the reason our two party system thrives is because of first past the pole voting
 
Now that his name is out there, he can campaign for progressive candidates. I think he can still do a lot to pull us left.

He can and he already has. At the beginning of his campaign that was his entire goal. He has accomplished more than he ever dreamed of doing I imagine. It's up to our generation to keep the train rolling down the tracks.
 
the american public tends to respond to economic downturns by voting in republicans. It's knee jerk, not rational.

look at voting in reagan after the carter years, or voting in republicans en masse in 2010 after the downturn of 08.

I think if a democrat pushed a big "anti-establishment" angle during a downward trend (especially if there was a republican in office when it started), then they might be more successful with the message than usual.

We'll probably get more an-caps because that's the type of country we live in.

Gross.
 
The supreme court has already ruled that gay marriage is legal. To override it, a constitutional amendment would be required that would need 75% senators and congresspeople to pass it, AND 75% of the states to approve. Just like changing the 2nd amendment, that isn't happening.

The next president is going to appoint 1+ supreme court justices, set our foreign policy terms, and be the nations cheerleader. Thats about it, with the current massive gridlock in Congress very little else can be done, no matter who wins.

Glad to hear that, but hearing Cruz talk sometimes just scares the shit out of me.
 
Not even that long. In the span of 8 years, economic inequality has become one of the biggest talking points in America, same-sex marriage became the law of the land, and support for transgender rights is constantly rising. America is moving leftwards far quicker than most people realize.

I don't think income inequality would be much of an issue if Sanders wasn't in the ring. The United States is becoming substantially more liberal, which is really good, but economic troubles that don't affect Wall Street are still being pushed to the wayside.

I'm admittedly scared of a Clinton presidency because I expect that she'd continue to ignore these problems and direct all the resources of the Democratic Party to fighting non-material inequalities.
 
The trend is more of them voting in the opposing party than specifically Republicans.

yes and no. republican messaging is simply better.

It was clear that unions had nothing to do with the downturn of the carter years, but republicans not only managed to get voted in, they managed to convince americans that the single most important thing responsible for maintaning the lifestyle of the middle class was responsible for economic malaise and got them to dismantle it.

Despite the downturn of 08 CLEARLY not being the fault of the president who wasn't even in office when it hit, the republican messaging machine convinced the country that conservative principles would save it and austerity is what we needed.

Democrats rely on policy and nuance to get their point across. This is a LOT less effective than fearmongering and finger pointing that is the hallmark of the conservative messaging machine when shit hits the fan. They're simply better at manipulation.

Huh? This is the first I've heard of primarying Obama. I'm calling bullshit on this one.

sanders spoke about the need to primary obama in 2012 but never did it. Hillary called him out on it during the last debate.
 
I'm voting for Bernie during Super Tuesday because I want to show my support for a farther left agenda for the Democrats, but I am coming to terms with Hillary as the nominee. I don't love her but will definitely vote for her in November.

I never really subscribed to the idea that Hillary would get loads of shit through while Bernie wouldn't, though. Both would have to compromise loads and I wouldn't be disappointed if we didn't get free college and medicare for all in the first four years if Bernie was elected. I just want someone that doesn't feel like there's some sort of cliff that they will fall off if they move a little farther to the left.

First point: No one said she'd get a load of shit through, just more than Bernie.
Second point: wouldn't happen in 8 years anyway.
 
Actually, this is the kind of shit that gets Trump elected.

Fair enough. I refuse to vote for Hillary Clinton. Period. I won't vote for a Republican but I'm not giving her my endorsement.

Is that greedy and selfish? It might just be, but it's not my responsibility to vote for someone who doesn't stand for my ideals just because it might help someone else out. Obama burned my trust in 08 but I fell in lockstep in 12. I'm not doing it again.

I don't think income inequality would be much of an issue if Sanders wasn't in the ring. The United States is becoming substantially more liberal, which is really good, but economic troubles that don't affect Wall Street are still being pushed to the wayside.

I'm admittedly scared of a Clinton presidency because I expect that she'd continue to ignore these problems and direct all the resources of the Democratic Party to fighting non-material inequalities.

That's exactly what's going to happen, except we'll also be going to Syria and putting in a no fly zone cuz terrorism.
 
Yeah sorry if I can't buy someone who stands for a whole lot of really bad shit magically shifts her opinions right around the time she wants to become president.

If this was any other Democrat, Elizabeth Warren, Nancy Pelosi, even Barney Frank, I'd be perfectly fucking ok with voting for them, even supporting some of them enthusiastically. But Hillary's slimy as fuck and I fucking refuse to just jump on her bandwagon because I have to. So please continue blasting every goddamn person who doesn't want to fall in lockstep with the Ready For Hillary campaign because this kind of shit is what's going to get Trump elected.

Yes, me saying the bitter Sanders crowd need to buck up and think of the greater good of your fellow man by voting Clinton instead of Trump will lead to Trump getting elected.

Surely it won't be people with your "I'm taking my ball and going home" attitude who are responsible.
 
Oh my god, please continue to show old footage about Clinton and what she used to believe in. Because apologizing, learning, and being redeemed is for chumps.

Did you know she also voted for the Iraq war? You should link to a video on that too.
You really think she just somehow conveniently always changes sides when her formal stances are now politically incorrect? You're obnoxious to Bernie supporters yet can't see how invested you are into defending Hillary.

He has a message. It's a good message. But he's running on things that are simply never going to happen in the next 4-8 years.
I think that's why I like his campaign. Even if he loses, his message won't vanish. I'm hoping it'll cause a chain reaction. If not, I'll do it myself haha.
 
The supreme court has already ruled that gay marriage is legal. To override it, a constitutional amendment would be required that would need 75% senators and congresspeople to pass it, AND 75% of the states to approve. Just like changing the 2nd amendment, that isn't happening.

Not really. All that needs to happen is Ginsburg or Breyer retires and is replaced by a justice that doesn't support gay marriage. They probably wouldn't make it illegal nationally but would give states discretion and many would ban it at the state level.
 
The more I read about kasich I wish that trump would just disappear.

Kasich seems like a much more moderate and reasonable kind of guy.

I wonder what people think of him here. He opposed a lot of military spending, reduced corporate tax loopholes, and seems generally to be bullish about waste without targeting necessary programs like education or infrastructure.

Wet blanket. Bowl of congee.
 
The more I read about kasich I wish that trump would just disappear.

Kasich seems like a much more moderate and reasonable kind of guy.

I wonder what people think of him here. He opposed a lot of military spending, reduced corporate tax loopholes, and seems generally to be bullish about waste without targeting necessary programs like education or infrastructure.
He's also anti-gay marriage, anti-abortion and anti-unions.
 
Im a big Bernie supporter, but if he loses you better fucking suck it up and vote for Hillary.
Pouting that you didnt get your way will lead to fuckery and possible setbacks that will take additional election cycles to correct. Politics is a game of tug of war, and you dont quit because you didnt get the rope all the way to your side on your first pull.

Dont be an idiot. That goes for anyone in here that wants to claim to be a progressive.
 
People keep saying Trump doesn't have a chance in the general, but when you look at all these massive record breaking numbers for republican primaries (700,000+ in SC) compared to the democratic vote numbers, is that a sign that in the general there could be a larger swing to the right than we're expecting? Or is it just due to there still (or was) 6 candidates in the race?
 
He's also anti-gay marriage, anti-abortion and anti-unions.

well yeah, he's a republican

People keep saying Trump doesn't have a chance, but when you look at all these massive record breaking numbers for republican primaries (700,000+ in SC), is that a sign that in the general there could be a larger swing to the right than we're expecting? Or is it just due to there still (or was) 6 candidates in the race?

if it were anyone else BUT trump (ok..or carson) we'd be calling them the definitive frontrunner and the race over.

But given that it IS trump, and he's gotten where he is by being completely fucking ridiculous, there a cognitive dissonance among republicans and republican leaning independents that their party CANT be racist and stupid enough to vote in Trump. it just CANT. clearly it has to be whoever just won 3rd or 5th as the "establishment" choice and voters will come to their senses any day now.

Bad news- their party IS that racist and stupid, and Trump isn't going away.
 
Not really. All that needs to happen is Ginsburg or Breyer retires and is replaced by a justice that doesn't support gay marriage. They probably wouldn't make it illegal nationally but would give states discretion and many would ban it at the state level.

Who to trust?

I'm in no hurry to get married, hell I don't have a boyfriend, but still.
 
Dude fuck you and fuck that, whatever happened to voting your conscience and beliefs, regardless of the level of elections?

This thinking is the reason we have our 2 party system and it continues to thrive on this garbage.

Whatever happened to voting every year and maybe getting involved with local politics?

Voting for belief is quite frankly stupid. You vote for results. Politics are a long run game. A single election doesn't determine if you win or lose.
 
Well as a Canadian I can't do much, but I do wish AmericanGAF the very best. I don't want to say Bernie is the right choice, but he is.

Joking aside, I do really wonder what people see in Clinton. The more and more I think about it, she really is a Carcetti/Underwood figure. She isn't a republican, sure, but her constant flip-flopping and her support of the status-qou that devalues lower and middle class schmucks like me and the majority of the West is absolutely disturbing from a progressive in this day and age.
I'm a canadian to and I don't think Bernie was ever the right choice because of how he has potrayed himself, I really like a bunch of his policies but the more I see and read of bernie the less I think he would be the right nomination at this point.
 
Bernie Sanders called for a primary against Obama in 2012. It's been mentioned in like two debates.

So Bernie Sanders counts as some? I guess he does technically, but I don't believe this was a popular sentiment.

Edit: this makes me wish I was paying more attention to the Democratic side of the primaries. I was always ok with the fact that I'd vote for Sanders or Clinton. This just makes me mad at Sanders.
 
Bernie Sanders called for a primary against Obama in 2012. It's been mentioned in like two debates.

Yup. I remember this was a thing in 2012. I remember it among places like CNN and MSNBC though. They were talking about potentially the Democratic party potentially running a candidate against Obama because they were unhappy with him.
 
Yes, me saying the bitter Sanders crowd need to buck up and think of the greater good of your fellow man by voting Clinton instead of Trump will lead to Trump getting elected.

Surely it won't be people with your "I'm taking my ball and going home" attitude who are responsible.

Again, I wouldn't worry too much about the "Bernie Or Nobody" crowd. It's only February.
 
Fair enough. I refuse to vote for Hillary Clinton. Period. I won't vote for a Republican but I'm not giving her my endorsement.

Is that greedy and selfish? It might just be, but it's not my responsibility to vote for someone who doesn't stand for my ideals just because it might help someone else out. Obama burned my trust in 08 but I fell in lockstep in 12. I'm not doing it again.

Do what you got to do. But when Dodd Frank gets repealed, banks start leveraging up again, and we get another mini-depression you may get hit with the fallout.
 
The bernie supporters signing the never-vote-hillary pledge remind me of children that hold their breath until they get ice cream. It makes no sense and is purely a threat.
 
You really think she just somehow conveniently always changes sides when her formal stances are now politically incorrect? You're obnoxious to Bernie supporters yet can't see how invested you are into defending Hillary.


I think that's why I like his campaign. Even if he loses, his message won't vanish. I'm hoping it'll cause a chain reaction. If not, I'll do it myself haha.

I can see how she can change her mind because anyone can change their mind. I used to be a right wing, God-fearing, homophobe, for fuck's sake!

Introspection, study, and opening myself up to ideas that weren't written down in an ancient book led to me changing my mind. And I'm not running for any public office.

It can absolutely happen.
 
People keep saying Trump doesn't have a chance in the general, but when you look at all these massive record breaking numbers for republican primaries (700,000+ in SC) compared to the democratic vote numbers, is that a sign that in the general there could be a larger swing to the right than we're expecting? Or is it just due to there still (or was) 6 candidates in the race?

Trump can win, and that's frightening. And, unfortunately, many of the reasons why Sanders polls so well against Clinton also apply to Trump. Being an "outsider" and seeming genuine really matter to many voters, especially those without much experience participating in politics.

In a Trump-Clinton matchup, we can't assume that Clinton wins.

The bernie supporters signing the never-vote-hillary pledge remind me of children that hold their breath until they get ice cream. It makes no sense and is purely a threat.

Tens of thousands of Sanders supporters will stay home if Clinton is the nominee, but I doubt many of those people would vote regardless.
 
So who picks up Jeb's votes? I'm assuming Rubio gets a 5% bump now.

Jeb was polling about 3% nationally, so I assume Rubio gets a 1% bump or close to 33% of Jeb's supporters, with the rest distributed amongst the field. He may go up between 1 - 2 % nationally.
 
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