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Wkd BO 03•25-27•16 - Batman vs Superman (or Grindr hookup gone sideways) bests Bunny

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Do you think WB could keep the same actors, but "reset" the DCU with a George Miller JL film that basically ignores all of the characterization/plot in the Snyder films?
 
This isn't really accurate. Sony didn't cancel the TASM universe plans because TASM2 made 700m. They cancellde the TASM universe plans because they managed to cut a deal with Marvel which they perceived would give more value to their Spider-man brand. That's a key difference. If the Marvel deal fell through, the TASM universe would have continued.

I don't think that is accurate. TASM2 underperforming gave Marvel an opportunity to jump in. If TASM2 made $1.4 billion, I do not think they would hand things over to Marvel.

The basis of their value calculations are Sony Spider movies on a downward trajectory (especially with the domestic box office, which is where they keep most of the revenue) and Marvel movies on an upward trajectory or steadily-high at worst.
 
Do you think WB could keep the same actors, but "reset" the DCU with a George Miller JL film that basically ignores all of the characterization/plot in the Snyder films?
With WB I have never have any clue what to expect, but I do know that I would really like this.

It probably can't happen because of contracts with Snyder, Terrio and others.
 
If the film doesn't crack $1 billion their stock is taking a hit regardless, investors (usually) aren't stupid.

And whats this I keep hearing about a WB buyout? I did a quick google search and the last rumors were from 2014. Are they still hurting that much?

Hollywood Reporter: It's a Game of Chicken as Jeff Bewkes Mulls Options

I don't know how reliable Wolff is, but he's speculated that the Big Six could become the Big Three (Disney, Fox-Warner, Universal) in a couple of years. Columbia is in poor health, Time Warner could be broken up and when Sumner Redstone dies Paramount may be strip-mined for its IPs or sold off to Chinese investors.

Edit: Sumner, not Summer, sorry.
 
I don't think that is accurate. TASM2 underperforming gave Marvel an opportunity to jump in. If TASM2 made $1.4 billion, I do not think they would hand things over to Marvel.

The basis of their value calculations are Sony Spider movies on a downward trajectory (especially with the domestic box office, which is where they keep most of the revenue) and Marvel movies on an upward trajectory or steadily-high at worst.

That has absolutely nothing to do with the point I was making. My point is, if the proposition of a Marvel partnership did not exist, they would not have cancelled their plans because continuing with them would still be a more profitable option than cancelled everything and having nothing. Of course decisions are made based on value propositions, but unless there is a better one available, studios are not going to cancel long term plans just because they didn't make as much as they expected.
 
Just as keikaku


Nolan wanted to sabotage DC all along after TDK trilogy

If i can't have Batman

Christopher-Nolan500.jpg


NO ONE CAN
 
Do you think WB could keep the same actors, but "reset" the DCU with a George Miller JL film that basically ignores all of the characterization/plot in the Snyder films?

Flash goes back to Smallville when Clark is a baby, tells Jonathan Kent to change his parenting style so that a younger, optimistic Clark heads to the Daily Planet after college and becomes Superman eight to ten years earlier.

Batman and Superman become contemporaries, Wonder Woman reveals herself earlier, and the other metahumans do the same. Lex Luthor is completely retconned.
 
I feel the Sony/Spidey situation is a little harder to use as comparison because Sony's "plan" wasn't much more than "A Sinister Six movie... and some other stuff."

Even before the Marvel opportunity re-arose (they'd declined once before, right?) they were casting around for ideas and spinoff possibilities pretty wildly. It's not much like what Warners has with their DC properties. They have a timeline locked in (such as it is) to the point where they ended up having to publish what it was after a stockholder meeting.

Warners has:

Suicide Squad (finished)
Wonder Woman (shooting)
Aquaman (pre-production)
Flash (pre-production)
Batman
Justice League 1 & 2 (about to shoot)

Those are all fairly solid. Anything past that is vague, but there are directions.

Sony had:

Sinister Six (scripted)
Spidey 3

And then they were like, I think we can do Venom again. Maybe a Spider-Gwen movie? Maybe Trouble (holy fuck, they were trying to get Trouble made)? Maybe a Richard Parker spy spinoff? Sony was more or less aimlessly firing into the dark. There was no real direction there. Which made it a lot easier to go back to the table with Marvel, because they had that: there was a direction. They were basically, after ASM2 underperformed, trying to find a way to reboot without actually rebooting (again), buying time with a spinoff or two.

I guess the question is whether Warner Brothers would respond to 350/800 in much the same way, calling into question their previously laid plans.
 
But those movies were really good. You need positive word of mouth to hit $1B.

I don't care how negative the word of mouth is, a movie with fucking Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman fighting should easily make a billion.

And I think it will, even with all this negativity. It just won't make $1.4 billion like it would have if people actually liked the film.
 
I feel the Sony/Spidey situation is a little harder to use as comparison because Sony's "plan" wasn't much more than "A Sinister Six movie... and some other stuff."

Even before the Marvel opportunity re-arose (they'd declined once before, right?) they were casting around for ideas and spinoff possibilities pretty wildly. It's not much like what Warners has with their DC properties. They have a timeline locked in (such as it is) to the point where they ended up having to publish what it was after a stockholder meeting.

Warners has:

Suicide Squad (finished)
Wonder Woman (shooting)
Aquaman (pre-production)
Flash (pre-production)
Batman
Justice League 1 & 2 (about to shoot)

Those are all fairly solid. Anything past that is vague, but there are directions.

Sony had:

Sinister Six (scripted)
Spidey 3

And then they were like, I think we can do Venom again. Maybe a Spider-Gwen movie? Maybe Trouble (holy fuck, they were trying to get Trouble made)? Maybe a Richard Parker spy spinoff? Sony was more or less aimlessly firing into the dark. There was no real direction there. Which made it a lot easier to go back to the table with Marvel, because they had that: there was a direction. They were basically, after ASM2 underperformed, trying to find a way to reboot without actually rebooting (again), buying time with a spinoff or two.

I guess the question is whether Warner Brothers would respond to 350/800 in much the same way, calling into question their previously laid plans.

Around the time I heard Sinister Six, Unspecified Female Spider-Man film likely about Black Cat with Felicity Jones, and Venom and Carnage films. Aunt May film was always some BS that caught on.

Animated Spidey feature is a smart move Sony kept with, but shockingly the Venom plans are still on?
 
That has absolutely nothing to do with the point I was making. My point is, if the proposition of a Marvel partnership did not exist, they would not have cancelled their plans because continuing with them would still be a more profitable option than cancelled everything and having nothing. Of course decisions are made based on value propositions, but unless there is a better one available, studios are not going to cancel long term plans just because they didn't make as much as they expected.

The poor performance of TASM2 is still a proximate cause for the cancellation. It would not have been cancelled if it performed in accordance with their expectations. The poor performance allowed the Marvel offer to succeed. I think the decision to cancel is intricately connected with the poor performance of TASM2.

I think from the leaked e-mails, we know that there was already a standing offer from Marvel, so it was easy to go back to Marvel when they saw the poor performance of TASM2.
 
Around the time I heard Sinister Six, Unspecified Female Spider-Man film likely about Black Cat with Felicity Jones, and Venom and Carnage films. Aunt May film was always some BS that caught on.

Animated Spidey feature is a smart move Sony kept with, but shockingly the Venom plans are still on?

That's right there were Black Cat ideas as well. Forgot about those.

The Venom shit is... I don't know what to think about that. Part of the reason they even entered into the Marvel deal is because Arad obviously wasn't handling his shit like he used to, and they went so far as to remove him from the Spidey films so Feige could get in there. It'd be weird if Rothman decided before Civil War even opened to basically dirty up those waters by letting Arad piss in the pool some more.

But then again: Rothman!
 
The poor performance of TASM2 is still a proximate cause for the cancellation. It would not have been cancelled if it performed in accordance with their expectations. The poor performance allowed the Marvel offer to succeed. I think the decision to cancel is intricately connected with the poor performance of TASM2.

I don't think you understand, the original point I was replying to was comparing TASM2's 700 million performance with (a misread) projection of 800 million for BvS. I was pointing out why the comparison has no real merit.
 
I don't care how negative the word of mouth is, a movie with fucking Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman fighting should easily make a billion.

And I think it will, even with all this negativity. It just won't make $1.4 billion like it would have if people actually liked the film.

It seems pretty unlikely that it'll "easily" make a billion, at least.
 
I seriously doubt JL gets the record. Only 18 months of marketing compared to BvS's three years, not too many big name stars, and coming off of the most scorned superhero flick since F4NT4STIC.

Alright, let it be clear that it's the only superhero flick since Fantastic Four besides Deadpool. So that's not too much of an insult :P
 
Blue aliens in a galaxy far far away grossed over $2.7B

Batman, Superman & Wonderwoman can't even muster $1B

Shameful
 
Do you think WB could keep the same actors, but "reset" the DCU with a George Miller JL film that basically ignores all of the characterization/plot in the Snyder films?

Flash film > make it a Crisis event > relegate current universe to another one and set new status quo/universe post Flash movie.

I would fucking love the shit out of that.
 
Eh....from a commercial standpoint, I don't see a compelling reason to go with Miller, WB probably made very little if any money on Fury Road and he went way over budget and over schedule on the shoot. Plus, he is not that young and the stress of directing a massive blockbuster may be too much

Problem is, with JL so close to shooting, is there anyone else they can go with? Snyder & Co are heavily involved with the rest of the DC slate as well and it doesn't look like there is someone to step up to the plate, from what I have been reading, it was Snyder who came to WB/DC with this whole plan when no one else was willing to
 
Flash film > make it a Crisis event > relegate current universe to another one and set new status quo/universe post Flash movie.

I would fucking love the shit out of that.

Just make this the horrible Flashpoint universe that the Flash undoes
 
At $900M I believe WB stays with their plan (maybe some shuffling of release dates). It would be disappointing but not large enough for them to blow everything up. If both Suicide Squad and Wonder Woman deliver, then they have positive franchises moving forward.

They still have solo Batman films which they can get Ben to direct.

Ge the damn Shazam film going. Everyone loves them some Rock.
 
At $900M I believe WB stays with their plan. It would be disappointing but not large enough for them to blow everything up. If both Suicide Squad and Wonder Woman deliver, then they have positive franchises moving forward.

They still have solo Batman films which they can get Ben to direct.

Ge the damn Shazam film going. Everyone loves them some Rock.

How could they possibly count on that?
 
Flash goes back to Smallville when Clark is a baby, tells Jonathan Kent to change his parenting style so that a younger, optimistic Clark heads to the Daily Planet after college and becomes Superman eight to ten years earlier.

Batman and Superman become contemporaries, Wonder Woman reveals herself earlier, and the other metahumans do the same. Lex Luthor is completely retconned.
Give this man a contract!
 
They could easily do a Days of Future Past style reboot of the series.

But it's too early for that.

Instead Snyder is going to make the Flash run back to avoid the super dystopian world seen in that knightmare sequence. I mean if you guys thought BvS looked dark and grim... I can't imagine what that alternate reality looks like.
 
Are they even going to keep Snyder on a shorter leash for Justice League? I ask that because that presumes basic competence on WB/DCE's part, when this is the company that gave creative oversight of the entire DCCU, with an incredibly aggressive release schedule to boot, to a filmmaker who had already proven that his vision for these characters was incredibly divisive.

I'm not sure they have any idea what they're doing, frankly:
 
Hollywood Reporter: It's a Game of Chicken as Jeff Bewkes Mulls Options

I don't know how reliable Wolff is, but he's speculated that the Big Six could become the Big Three (Disney, Fox-Warner, Universal) in a couple of years. Columbia is in poor health, Time Warner could be broken up and when Sumner Redstone dies Paramount may be strip-mined for its IPs or sold off to Chinese investors.

Edit: Sumner, not Summer, sorry.

Interesting read. We'll have to see how that all plays out.
 
I'm not sure they have any idea what they're doing, frankly:

They're doing what they've been doing for awhile now: Trusting in the artists.

Sometimes that trust is misplaced. Sometimes it pays amazing dividends.

But I definitely appreciate that they're a studio that gives their creatives the room to be creative in a way not a lot of studios will do.

It certainly appears to have bitten them in the ass quite severely in the past few years though. There's been victories to offset that, but of all the properties to miscalculate a pairing on, it seems Snyder + Superman/Batman might have been a hell of a miss.

But then again: considering 300 + Watchmen, it might not have seemed that much of a miss on paper, and that's before Nolan signed off on the guy.

Still though: They gave David Ayer a supervillain heist flick. They got Patty Jenkins to do Wonder Woman set in World War I. They're making interesting choices at the least, and it appears they're giving them the freedom to follow through. That's worth something.
 
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