Wkd BO 03•25-27•16 - Batman vs Superman (or Grindr hookup gone sideways) bests Bunny

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Shit Bobby, you are thinking something like a 75% drop?!

I think it's possible. I don't know about probable. But I also know that large swaths of the viewing audience really do not give a fuck about this movie.

I said 350/800 was about as low as this thing could go before people at WB start getting fucking upset behind closed doors. That might be around where we are right now.
 
$17M today would be such a disaster I can't even imagine it. I think at worst case it'll do $19M.

'This will be the end of BvS's frontloading", says increasingly nervous man for the 7th time this week.

This really is the inverse of those Force Awakens threads, isn't it.

Weird question that isn't even at all pertinent but pops up in my head: When WB does eventually try starting over (again) with Superman... do they just say "fuck it" and bring back the Williams score?

It's a damn shame that Zimmer's full-blast hero theme is going to be consigned to its one in-film appearance as the end credits to Man of Steel.
 
My gut says even $48.5 may be on the high end. Anecdotal but the reserved seating screenings near me aren't showing much of a bump from yesterday.
 
I think there are many other films and franchises that do the same, which was my point a few pages back (twilight, for example?).

My biggest issue is when people use that line for films that review well - Avatar, Titanic, the MCU, etc.

There also plenty of films that reviewed well, made BO bank, and aren't very good at all but making that argument requires thought and, ya know, actual arguments rather than repeating some inane and empty rule like box office doesn't equal quality.
 
I agree, I love MCU but I do not want to see DC to go that route at all (in terms of tone). And I do not feel that is the way to success either. But BvS is clearly not the way to go and start your massive blockbuster franchise.



If there is such a big disconnect, why are people not going to the cinema for this film, then? Word of mouth isn't exactly doing BvS any favours thus far.

Sorry, I was joking and making fun of posts earlier in the release week.
 
"Saying critics dont matter cuz BvS made a bunch of money 1st weekend is like saying dentists don't matter cuz candy sales spike on Halloween"

That shit still has no nutritional value and rots out ya teeth fam. And next weekend you're fuckin sick of candy and cant wait to get rid of it
Chocolate, especially dark chocolate, isn't particularly bad for your teeth or for your body. It rots your teeth about as much as normal milk does.
 
Tone is and isn't a problem for Batman. For instance, I'm surprised there's been less controversy this time around about how much the film is merchandised to kids versus how not kid-friendly the film is, especially given I remember that being a Big Deal with Nolan's films.

Bear in mind - Warner NEEDS kids to go and see Justice League.
 
Superman smiles like three times in this movie.
He smiled around what, four? five times in Man of steel?

I shouldn't be able to count that kind of thing on one hand.
 
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Ooof. Forget $1B, $900M may not happen.

Edit: Actually, I think it's a lock to miss $900M unless a miracle happens today.
 
It's not all that inane and empty, though. Especially not for opening weekend. Especially not when you take into account the large preponderance of films that aren't big-budget summer tentpoles.

I find it empty in the context I'm describing though, which is people trying to tear down successful movies they happen to not like. That point is never brought up for successful movies that people DO happen to like. It also ignores the fact that some times, a strong BO performance is at least in part due to the high quality of a film.
 
We really need to put the definition for "bombing" in the OP for these threads

Yeah. Let's be honest here, even Batman & Robin didn't fit the definition of "bomb". It was a marginal success. Same for Amazing Spider-man 2. They made a profit. What they mostly were was a DISAPPOINTMENT. They didn't meet expectations, critically or commercially.

This was NEVER going to be a "bomb", but it will most certainly wind up underperforming compared to WB's predictions and expectations.
 
I find it empty in the context I'm describing though, which is people trying to tear down successful movies they happen to not like. That point is never brought up for successful movies that people DO happen to like. It also ignores the fact that some times, a strong BO performance is at least in part due to the high quality of a film.

True indeed.
 
We really need to put the definition for "bombing" in the OP for these threads

I mean the movie likely will make some money back but for what this is, it absolutely is bombing. Uwe Boll could have directed the movie and it would have opened to 500m its first weekend. The first live action movie featuring Batman and Superman was bulletproof its first weekend. And even then it came in drastically lower than expectations because bad word of mouth was already hitting it by Sunday.
 
I mean the movie likely will make some money back but for what this is, it absolutely is bombing. Uwe Boll could have directed the movie and it would have opened to 500m its first weekend. The first live action movie featuring Batman and Superman was bulletproof its first weekend. And even then it came in drastically lower than expectations because bad word of mouth was already hitting it by Sunday.

Again, that's not a bomb. I'm sorry if you're not getting this.
 
My favourite thing about Batman v Superman is that it means students of Hollywood economics might end up writing essays about the impact of Sad Affleck memes.
 
I'm thinking it's possible we don't get much more than 17 today.

Yeah. I think what threw the early estimates yesterday was the fact that it was still spring break in a lot of the country, so matinee showings came in higher than they would otherwise. You have to take that into account when projecting the rest of the day/weekend. We're seeing what BvS does when it isn't propped up with spring break.

Which means the comps from next week to this week are going to be at least as brutal.
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Ooof. Forget $1B, $900M may not happen.

Edit: Actually, I think it's a lock to miss $900M unless a miracle happens today.

Okay, that's just a horror show. Friday's international was barely above Thursday - it dropped even harder outside the US as it did inside. And yeah, there's not a path to $900m now, not with that kind of figure leading into the weekend.
 
Pessimistic: $800m
Optimistic: $900m
Realistic: $850m
Fantastic(as in, the realm of pure fantasy): $1B

And let's be clear that's not the disaster Hollywood accounting would have you believe it is. No one would be in the movie business if making more than three times a movie's budget didn't mean a profit.
 
This was my first post in the thread:



To be clear: THIS SUCKS. I DO NOT LIKE THIS. I stuck up for Man of Steel for quite awhile. Not to DaveH levels, but still - I gave that film, and its director, and its stars, quite a bit of slack, and hoped that the positive aspects I saw getting smothered by bad storytelling would be allowed to shine in the follow-up with the removal of Goyer, the presence of Affleck/Terrio, and the pressure of launching a cinematic universe.

This is not what I wanted, and it sure as shit is not what WB wanted, either.

They're a studio that likes to let creatives do what they want. I love that. They got Magic Mike made, they got Mad Max made, they got Creed made. Midnight Special, Inherent Vice, Edge of Tomorrow... There's a reason filmmakers like working for that studio, and it's because the execs let them make their movies, more or less. I don't wanna see that changed.

But I'd also like for someone to maybe take a little closer look at the marriage between source material and creatives, and not hand over the reins to their Harry Potter replacement (which is what the DCU really is: It's not Marvel competition, it's trying to fill that Hogwarts sized hole they've got) to a guy whose biggest cinematic successes were three dark, mean, bloody R-Rated apocalypse fantasies.

I would like for them to give it to people that don't hate superman.
 
Again, that's not a bomb. I'm sorry if you're not getting this.

You put Wonder Woman, Batman, AND Superman all in one film and use it as a springboard to launch your Justice League series of movies and it does this poorly in its second week, that's a bit of a bomb by the metric of "some of the most iconic superheroes of all time in a huge budget film striving for Marvel bucks".

By WB expectation standards, this is a bomb.
 
My favourite thing about Batman v Superman is that it means students of Hollywood economics might end up writing essays about the impact of Sad Affleck memes.

Huh, haven't checked on that in awhile:

Batman v Superman Comic-Con Trailer: 65mil views
Batman v Superman Teaser: 27mil views
Batman v Superman Trailer 2: 26mil views
Sad Affleck: 20mil views
Batman v Superman Final Trailer: 18mil views
 
A movie can still be a MASSIVE boxoffice disappointment and not not be a bomb.

This movie, without question is one big embarrassing disaster of a situation for WB. But it is not a bomb.
 
I feel sorry for Affleck. He put everything into this and his performance was great.

Kind of like Jackman in Wolverine Origins actually.

I mean really, all this comes down to MOS being crap and trying to create a universe from that movie was always, always a bad idea.
 
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