Wkd Box Office 04•01-03•16 - BvS has 'worse legs than Barbara Gordon' -- Sibersk Esto

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Matt_ said:
When are we going to get an animated film that beats Shrek 2?
The film opened in 2004, had the second highest opening weekend ever, became the third (or fourth can't tell with Star Wars 1 re-release) highest domestic grosser and is still sitting at #11 at $441M, a comfortable $30M above Toy Story 3 and $40M above Frozen.

Anyone think Finding Dory might make it?
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Finding Dory might have a hard time, as Toy Story 3 was still riding the 2010 3D craze. 3D share for family films has really dropped off.

Shrek 2 was originally the third highest grossing film of all time. TPM was at $431M in its initial run. Furthermore, it was 4 years before we had another film top Shrek 2. Pretty crazy run.
 
kswiston said:
The film was 3 hours long before cuts, and is full of explosions and CGI. Some of you have no real sense of what that stuff costs as we get the "not seeing that money on screen" comment for every big budget film.
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I know why it was so expensive, but seriously, if you took the Doomsday CG out of context and told me it was from a film released in 2001, I'd probably believe you.
 
duckroll said:
The weekly boxoffice threads are vulture lairs now. Lol. Fucking BvS. Warner really can't catch a break.
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BvS's run a the box office is much like the film itself, a giant, weird mess. But it's fascinating to watch unfold. (Unlike the movie, zing.)

The BvS / Zootopia dichotomy playing out is my favorite box office story of the year, and we had Deadpool and The Witch already. It's just hilarious.
 
Dash_Riprock said:
To be a fly on the wall of WB's executive boardroom right now.
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fire_community.gif
 
kswiston said:
Finding Dory might have a hard time, as Toy Story 3 was still riding the 2010 3D craze. 3D share for family films has really dropped off.

Shrek 2 was originally the third highest grossing film of all time. TPM was at $431M in its initial run. Furthermore, it was 4 years before we had another film top Shrek 2. Pretty crazy run.
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Yeah I think Dory will comfortably cross $350 but it doesn't feel like the excitement is there for it like it was for Toy Story 3, and as you said 3D aint all that these days
 
Matt_ said:
Yeah I think Dory will comfortably cross $350 but it doesn't feel like the excitement is there for it like it was for Toy Story 3, and as you said 3D aint all that these days
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I dunno. A couple trailers featuring some good lines from Ed O'Neill's new octopus character, people might get amped. I think at this point people aren't expecting anything but a retread w/ Nemo, Dory, and Marlin doing the same schtick.

Once they see a completely new character adding a new element to the mix, excitement should rise. So long as they pulled it off well.
 
Resurrecting this chart from the beginning of the thread now that we have an idea where BvS is heading in its second weekend. Compare it to all your weak-legged favourites!


Code: 
Movie			2nd wkd drop			3rd wkd drop		4th wkd drop		Third Wkd New Film Competition
Deathly Hallows 2	72.0% (62% w/o midnights)	53.7%			43.4%			Cowboys & Aliens + Smurfs - $70M total
Spider-Man 3		61.5%				50.1%			50.6%			Shrek 3 - $120M
Man of Steel		64.6%				49.8%			45.0% (4th of Jul)	The Heat + White House Down - $60M total
X-Men Last Stand	66.9%				52.7%			51.4%			Cars - $60M
Amazing Spider-Man 2	61.2%				52.7%			53.4%			Godzilla - $93M
X-Men: DOFP		64.2%				53.4%			35.2%			FioS + Edge of Tomorrow - >$75M total
Fifty Shades of Grey	73.9%				52.6%			47.7%			Focus - $18M
XM Origins Wolverine	69.0%				44.3%			45.1%			Angels and Demons - $46M
Hulk (2003)		69.7%				56.3%			55.4%			Terminator 3 + Legally Blonde 2 - $66M total
Watchmen 		67.7%				61.8%			59.8%			3 wide openers totalling $55M	
Green Lantern 		66.1%				63.6%			52.0%			Horrible Bosses + Zookeeper - $48M	
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Batman v Superman 	68.4% est (62% w/o midnights)	57-60%						The Boss - $20-25M
 
I updated my chart above with significant third weekend competition for each film to make it more useful. Of the 11 other films on that list, only 50 Shades of Grey benefited from competition as light as BvS is getting in its third weekend.

BvS will end up dropping harder than 9 of those 11 films. It has the honor of edging out Watchmen and Green Lantern I guess.

Sibersk Esto said:
McCarthy needs to drop Ben Falcone, dude been using her as a meal ticket and just dragging her down.
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They've been married for 10 years.
 
kswiston said:
I updated my chart above with significant third weekend competition for each film to make it more useful. Of the 11 other films on that list, only 50 Shades of Grey benefited from competition as light as BvS is getting in its third weekend.

BvS will end up dropping harder than 9 of those 11 films. It has the honor of edging out Watchmen and Green Lantern I guess.
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Is $850 million even possible now?
 
Dash_Riprock said:
Is $850 million even possible now?
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I think still very possible...
... But the fact we've gone from "1 billion locked" to "1 billion maybe" to "could hit $950 million" to "probably will reach at least $900 million" to "is $850 even possible now?" has been vastly interesting to watch unfold.
 
Batman v Superman made it to $729M WW as of Thursday. This weekend is looking like a global drop of around 60%, so say $55M WW for the weekend (Sat/Sun make up a bigger chunk of the weekend box office overseas than they do here).

That would give the film a little less than $785M as of Sunday. Earning another $65M after that is definitely possible, but the film does needs to stop dropping 60%.
 
I think the first thing I said in the first B.O. thread after the weekend results came in was something like $350 domestic and $800 worldwide, right?
 
Spork4000 said:
So Batman V Superman definitely won't hit a billion, huh?
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Not a hope of it happening, which is laughable really when you consider it's the first pairing of two, well.. three, of the most iconic superhero's of all time on the big screen. WB really fucked up.
 
DeathyBoy said:
Depends how long they keep it in cinemas/DC release.
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I doubt people are coming back for a 3 hour cut when one of the biggest complaints against the film was that it was too long and boring.

Spork4000 said:
Whelo, sucks for WB, are the rumors of needing 800 million to turn a profit true, or where they basically made up?
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It was $925 million, actually.

And we'll probably never know. Hollywood Accounting and all that.
 
DeathyBoy said:
I don't think that was the biggest complaint, the editing was. Because they cut a 3hr film to shreds.
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TDKR was over 4 hours long in its first cut. That's pretty normal. That's why a good storyteller is needed in the editing room, to be able to cut out as much as half the movie and still come up with a solid, cohesive product. Really, making significant cuts often helps the story, as you're cutting away distractions, under-developed subplots, etc. BvS would benefit from being a shorter movie, not longer, IMO.
 
Bobby Roberts said:
I think the first thing I said in the first B.O. thread after the weekend results came in was something like $350 domestic and $800 worldwide, right?
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http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=199354512&postcount=10

350mil domestic, 800mil worldwide is just barely meeting expectations.

Having a Batman v Superman movie essentially just run in place isn't what Warners was hoping for. They're not gonna lose their shirt on this, obviously, but the amount of noise and fury this film is spinning off while more or less just standing in the same spot Man of Steel stood? That's not good. It's not a failure. It's not disaster. But it's not really a victory, either.

Also, look at those Cloverfield holds! That's good stuff.
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DeathyBoy said:
I'll see you in the crow thread good sir
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You really think $1B is likely at this point? First weekend was around $425M. The full week after that was around $260M. The full week after that (ending tomorrow) will be around $100M.

50% drops (which havent happened yet) gives it less than $90M in the next 3 full weeks. That would give it under $875M coming off a $13M week worldwide. Jungle Book and Civil War's overseas launch happens in that time frame so I doubt drops get much better than 50%.
 
How many screens would theaters be willing to give a DC for a film that's original release collapsed like a amateur chef's souffle, especially during the height of the summer blockbuster season?
 
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