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Monitoring the situation in Iran

Iran's policy regarding the strait (that they will sink any unapproved civilian vessel) amounts to a declaration of war against most of the world. They seem to have correctly assessed that most of the world will choose to continue to hide behind America's skirts rather than do anything about it.
 
Iran's policy regarding the strait (that they will sink any unapproved civilian vessel) amounts to a declaration of war against most of the world. They seem to have correctly assessed that most of the world will choose to continue to hide behind America's skirts rather than do anything about it.
It really comes off as straight up terrorism to attack civilian vessels that pose no threat to their country. It'd be a different story if they were military vessels from another nation, not ships owned by international corporations.
 
It really comes off as straight up terrorism to attack civilian vessels that pose no threat to their country. It'd be a different story if they were military vessels from another nation, not ships owned by international corporations.
Iran can just claim they were narco terrorist boats. You can blow up dozens of these and it's perfectly legal.
 
There's worse wars you could have, Iran war didn't happen by accident and let's be clear, Iran's intentions towards Israel, Washington complaining about Iran's priorities (nuclear arms), now the other stuff is whatever, shots at Iran's neighbors, war junkies appreciate the aircraft carriers, of course the tactics (not to be celebrated but respected) Trump still has a better chance at coming out of this a winner than Bush with Iraq or Obama with Afghan.

Remember that Iran was actively undermining post-invasion Iraq from the get go.

The awareness of the extent of Iranian, specifically Quds Force, involvement grew significantly later, leading to a shift in U.S. strategy to "kill or capture" Iranian operatives by 2007.

In 2004 the U.S. didn't so much "not know" as it failed to prioritize the threat. Intelligence was heavily focused on finding WMDs and fighting the Sunni insurgency. That left reports of Iranian meddling as a secondary concern. The lack of human intelligence on the ground meant the US struggled to track the flow of fighters across the border, while many policymakers still viewed Iranian-backed Shiite groups as tactical allies against the Sunnis.

Why did the US think the Shiite groups were allies? Well because they were being oppressed by the Sunni Ba'athists during Saddam's regime. The Sunnis were the backbone of his power and assumed they were loyal to the old regime. Part of the de-ba'athification of Iraq. So the Iraqi Shiites were "naturally" the faction the US wanted to work with politically as well. US policymakers overestimated the desire of Iraqi Shiites to align with the US and misunderstood that their primary goal was to prevent a return of Sunni domination, not to foster American democracy. This led to a massive strategic blind spot where the U.S. essentially "sleepwalked" into a power vacuum that Tehran was much better prepared to fill.

In this war the human intelligence on the ground is clearly much better than it was in 2003.

Youre not even trying.

I accept your surrender.
 
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Iran's policy regarding the strait (that they will sink any unapproved civilian vessel) amounts to a declaration of war against most of the world. They seem to have correctly assessed that most of the world will choose to continue to hide behind America's skirts rather than do anything about it.
To be fair to most of the world, it's clear who has actually military capability and who doesn't these days. I doubt any of the Gulf states are happy they can't export their oil and I doubt the of the oil importing nations in Asia are happy they can't import the oil they need. But there's nobody who can do anything about it right now besides the US and Israel
 
Iran's policy regarding the strait (that they will sink any unapproved civilian vessel) amounts to a declaration of war against most of the world. They seem to have correctly assessed that most of the world will choose to continue to hide behind America's skirts rather than do anything about it.
At this point USA should take over the strait and Kharg island. Bomb whatever is there and then send special forces.
 
Khamenei singled out the US attack on a school, saying it "holds a special status in this reckoning"

He says Iran is "fully prepared for unity and warm, cordial mutual relations with all its neighbors"

All of that while lobbying drones in civilian, Infrastructure and economic areas on his "neighbors" and cluster ammunition on Israel.
 
I'm ignorant when it comes to shipping logistics, so forgive this question, but for the moment wouldn't it be cheaper to go around africa instead of sitting dead in the water for weeks/months on end? Yeah I know the trip is thousands of miles longer, and will take tons more time... but isnt that still better than not moving at all and risking your billion dollar ships getting sunk?
 
I'm ignorant when it comes to shipping logistics, so forgive this question, but for the moment wouldn't it be cheaper to go around africa instead of sitting dead in the water for weeks/months on end? Yeah I know the trip is thousands of miles longer, and will take tons more time... but isnt that still better than not moving at all and risking your billion dollar ships getting sunk?
There is no other route to the ports in the Persian Gulf (where a lot of oil goes to). Some oil can be re-routed by pipeline to the other side of Saudi Arabia to be picked up there instead, but not all of it.
 
All of that while lobbying drones in civilian, Infrastructure and economic areas on his "neighbors" and cluster ammunition on Israel.
Its all posturing and bullshit. What else to expect from a murderous Theocracy.

End of the day, this is about the regime survival and control of that strait. Both of which are points of contention right now.
 
I'm ignorant when it comes to shipping logistics, so forgive this question, but for the moment wouldn't it be cheaper to go around africa instead of sitting dead in the water for weeks/months on end? Yeah I know the trip is thousands of miles longer, and will take tons more time... but isnt that still better than not moving at all and risking your billion dollar ships getting sunk?
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This might also help for context
 
JinWoo KimWorld's Highest IQ Record | IQ 289 but uses AI to write every single tweet he posts. Each tweet is a mini essay, all those bullet lists, the exact same writing style that's used by thousands of fake X accounts.

Regarless of Ai use as english clearly isnt his first language, I dont see any issues if what he said. No lies detected at all.

This is a very cheap alternative to countering those cheap Iranian drones. It changes the narrative that countries are spending millions to counter the cheap drones is slowly fading away once these anti drones because widely available.



 
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