I would probably go:
1. LeBron
2. Durant
3. CP3
4. Gasol
5. Westbrook
6. Dwight
7. Rose
8. Curry
9. Harden
With Bosh/George/Duncan/Davis/Wade/Parker/Dirk/Deron/LMA at 10 depending on their decline/progression due to age/injuries or what game I'm watching.
Josh Smith's "Fuck efficiency" campaign of the last couple years keeps me from loving his probable impact for next year
I don't think ESPN's top 20 has had that many horrible picks other than Irving being so high though. Some of the picks outside of that top 20 range on the other hand...