2014 FIFA World Cup |OT5| Que Jara, Jara. Whatever Will Be, Will Be.

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AstroLad

Hail to the KING baby
I think Mexico historically has based most of its succes in confidence/lack of it.

Usually when we play as the underdogs we perform really well. I remember before the 98 world cup, the team played a series of matches afainst european sides in Europe, i think they even lost to some second division teams then, no one was expecting much from the team but they managed to tie Netherlands and Belgium after being 2-0 after half time with both teams.

So far Herrera has made a great work with the team, mostly taking pressure out of them after the abysmal qualification they had.

Another thing i love about Herrera is that he is a very attack minded manager, looks at his subs in the three matches we played, not a single denfensive sub, he never plays for a tie or with fear, i expect a very open game on sunday and if we manage to score first there will be a good chance we make it through.

Of course Netherlands is a better team on paper but i hape some hope still.
There is definitely something magical going on with CONCACAF this tournament. I'm a fan of the Dutch team but will definitely be cheering on my bros and hoping that magic carries through to USMNT and the Ticos.
 

SkylineRKR

Member
Of course they got a chance, every team left has a chance considering this is football. But as far as predictions and bets go I don't see a glaring reason to choose the US as it stands over Belgium.

US has decent payout and them losing isn't as likely as Algeria is going to do. I would bet on a draw after 90 mins tbh.
 
US has decent payout and them losing isn't as likely as Algeria is going to do. I would bet on a draw after 90 mins tbh.

Given how effective Algeria is when they decide to park the bus I think a draw for them is a safer bet. They drew Russia and were one late counter away from drawing Belgium. They could really frustrate Germany.

The US will come out with a much more attacking mentality than Algeria who I suspect will be in survival mode the entire match.
 

Portugeezer

Member
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andycapps

Member
I'm trying to think of one advantage the US has over Belgium. Their offense doesn't have that flow and passing some of the big teams have but is the US team known for slicing up defenses either?

On the flip side they got a guy in Hazard that can just make shit happen at any given moment.

Joking aside, if Altidore plays, it helps a great deal. The ideal attack for the US is Altidore being assisted by Dempsey with Bradley leading the counter. Bradley is damn good at that when he's on his game, haven't seen it much this WC, but also only had Altidore for 15 minutes. Dempsey is just not a true striker. He tends to disappear for much of the game, but he has his moments. I just don't like him being the guy we rely on, but I don't think Johannsson is ready to for the lead role yet, and apparently Klinssmann doesn't either.

Personally, I'd like to see the US play Yedlin a little more. and send him up there with Dempsey and have Bradley come forward more. Our whole offense will have to come forward a bit more than yesterday. Yedlin gives defenses fits with his speed.
 

ozfunghi

Member
For every poster here calling Belgium overrated or overhyped (and i wouldn't disagree, since A/ our manager sucks B/ it's a very young team), i must say i'm a bit surprised to see so many folk here putting Holland in their top 3. Their team has a lot less talent, player for player and i think the match against a burnt out Spain is throwing people off. They do have Robben/VanPersie who have reached an age of certain maturity, but other than that their team isn't anything to write home about. Not trying to downplay them, i'm rooting for them (until/unless they play Belgium). It's just an observation.
 

Micerider

Member
Their defense is good and they should be physically sound, but its mostly their offense being clueless and one dimensional. Its basically everything on Hazard.

Then you haven't watched their games carefully. Their attack has also excellent results when guys like Origi (physical with techinicity) and Mertens (speed and reactivity) are leading the games. Hazard is a better passer and has better tactical intelligence though.
 

ugoo18

Member
Considering that Nigeria vs Mexico has regularly ended in draws in their last few meetings, i think quite a few people here are rating the Nigerian team far too low. Especially the ones that have Algeria or Greece as being better.
 

Firemind

Member
For every poster here calling Belgium overrated or overhyped (and i wouldn't disagree, since A/ our manager sucks B/ it's a very young team), i must say i'm a bit surprised to see so many folk here putting Holland in their top 3. Their team has a lot less talent, player for player and i think the match against a burnt out Spain is throwing people off. They do have Robben/VanPersie who have reached an age of certain maturity, but other than that their team isn't anything to write home about. Not trying to downplay them, i'm rooting for them (until/unless they play Belgium). It's just an observation.

That's funny, because I see CONCAGAF underrating the Dutch, because they see Mexico as a strong side even though they almost didn't qualify.
 

Jeff-DSA

Member
Considering that Nigeria vs Mexico has regularly ended in draws in their last few meetings, i think quite a few people here are rating the Nigerian team far too low. Especially the ones that have Algeria or Greece as being better.

Yeah, well, the US hasn't lost to Mexico in the last 5 matches but everybody is rating them higher than the US. Most people are keyed in on the RIGHT NOW, not in recent history.
 

andycapps

Member
That's funny, because I see CONCAGAF underrating the Dutch, because they see Mexico as a strong side even though they almost didn't qualify.

I'm not underrating the Dutch, but I personally am giving Mexico some credit because of how good they've looked in the WC so far. No doubt they looked like shit leading up to it. They barely made it.
 

alterno69

Banned
Considering that Nigeria vs Mexico has regularly ended in draws in their last few meetings, i think quite a few people here are rating the Nigerian team far too low. Especially the ones that have Algeria or Greece as being better.

That's funny, because I see CONCAGAF underrating the Dutch, because they see Mexico as a strong side even though they almost didn't qualify.

That's your mistake, Mexico is always shit in the qualifiers, ALWAYS, they've had a a lot of trouble in the last 3 out of 4 qualification stages. Remember Herrera has only managed the team since the matchs against New Zealand, it was a similar situation in 2002 and 2010 with Aguirre coming to the rescue after an abysmal display and being close to not qualifying.

The team was also a lot different a year ago, plus like i said, Mexico are masters at playing shit before world cups and then looking like a completely different team once in the tournament.

You shouldn't judge Mexico based on how poor they were a year ago at all.
 

ugoo18

Member
Yeah, well, the US hasn't lost to Mexico in the last 5 matches but everybody is rating them higher than the US. Most people are keyed in on the RIGHT NOW, not in recent history.

Even on the right now, their performance against Argentina was arguably more impressive than what Greece or Algeria have done so far.

Algeria's solitary win came against a Korean side that have been average at best. Greece have been even less impressive, they scraped through to the round of 16.


That's your mistake, Mexico is always shit in the qualifiers, ALWAYS, they've had a a lot of trouble in the last 3 out of 4 qualification stages. Remember Herrera has only managed the team since the matchs against New Zealand, it was a similar situation in 2002 and 2010 with Aguirre coming to the rescue after an abysmal display and being close to not qualifying.

The team was also a lot different a year ago, plus like i said, Mexico are masters at playing shit before world cups and then looking like a completely different team once in the tournament.

You shouldn't judge Mexico based on how poor they were a year ago at all.

If i remember correctly at least 1 if not both of their recent matches were when Herrera was the Mexican coach. Their most recent one definitely was if im not mistaken.

The major failing with the Nigerian team are set pieces, Argentina won the game against them on set pieces and if i remember correctly Messi's 1st goal was the only the 2nd time Argentina has scored from open play against Nigeria at a World Cup.
 

Niks

Member
Then you haven't watched their games carefully. Their attack has also excellent results when guys like Origi (physical with techinicity) and Mertens (speed and reactivity) are leading the games. Hazard is a better passer and has better tactical intelligence though.


2-1 against algeria
1-0 against russia
1-0 against korea
 

clemenx

Banned
I feel alone in this but I think Belgium is getting really underrated. Have a feeling they will put it together against USA.

People arebeing too hard about their group stage 9/9 is doing well always.

2-1 against algeria - Algeria parked the bus and they still managed to comeback
1-0 against russia - Capello team, enough said.
1-0 against korea - "B" team
 

meanspartan

Member
Considering that Nigeria vs Mexico has regularly ended in draws in their last few meetings, i think quite a few people here are rating the Nigerian team far too low. Especially the ones that have Algeria or Greece as being better.

First of all, Greece has only ever won two World Cup tournament matches in its history, one this year vs. Ivory Coast, and the other four years ago in their first ever win vs. Nigeria, so thanks for that.

Second of all, I am sick of the constant put-downs. Sure, Costa Rica will probably win if I am being honest, but let's not forget that Greece's defense has held better teams than Costa Rica scoreless.
 

ugoo18

Member
First of all, Greece has only ever won two World Cup tournament matches in its history, one this year vs. Ivory Coast, and the other four years ago in their first ever win vs. Nigeria, so thanks for that.

Second of all, I am sick of the constant put-downs. Sure, Costa Rica will probably win if I am being honest, but let's not forget that Greece's defense has held better teams than Costa Rica scoreless.

Greece won that game after a Nigerian player was sent off. The match was 1-0 in Nigeria's favor before that sending off and barring a sudden change in momentum was looking like Nigeria would score again.

The Ivory Coast match was a result of that incorrect penalty. Even though they had played better than Ivory Coast in the 2nd half of that game, had that penalty not been imo wrongly given Ivory Coast would have gone through.
 

Arjen

Member
Costa Rica Greece will be interesting. Costa Rica definitely looks like the better team right now. But you can never ever count out the Greek, solid defense and they have that fighting spirit.
 

ozfunghi

Member
Then you haven't watched their games carefully. Their attack has also excellent results when guys like Origi (physical with techinicity) and Mertens (speed and reactivity) are leading the games. Hazard is a better passer and has better tactical intelligence though.

Tactical intelligence, not so much though. Hazard is very good in possession, like the ball is glued to his shoe (like Dembele), a better dribbler, but he's less "direct" (than both Mertens and Mirallas) and he isn't the fastest of the bunch. He does have the ability to draw up to 4 players closer, and outplay them with a simple pass, freeing space for his teammates.

Tactical intelligence, that's where Debruyne comes in. When he's on his A game, it's difficult to beat us because we will score at least once or twice (and our defense/goalie aren't in the habit of conceding many goals). One of the main problems in the WC so far, is that Van Buyten is playing, instead of Vermaelen (injuries) and he is terrible at setting up the game from the back. Bringing us to the real problem, we don't have any good left and right backs, so there are two central defenders playing there. Otherwise, Vertonghen could just take Vermaelen's place in the centre.

The biggest strength is that we have guys on the bench that can make an impact. Be it Mertens, Mirallas, Origi or Fellaini. It's not luck that they won the past three matches in the last 15 minutes.
 

Caoz

Member
In the round of 16 nothing is certain, but we can't complain with getting Mexico. I was more afraid of Brazil as they have home advantage and will likely not leave during the round of 16 already. I also think Brazil could've score some 3 if that goalie didn't have the day of his life.

I do think we should have more faith in our squad by now. Our offense is solid and in top form, our defense is surprisingly good as well. If they keep doing their thing, we can send Mexico home with 2 or 3 goals. I hope we'll win as I'm almost 100% certain we'll bury our opponent after it.

How is Holland's physical condition? It's been said it will be a hot day, they are playing at noon and Mexico's physical condition is one of their stronger assets (see Croatia).
 
I'm trying to think of one advantage the US has over Belgium. Their offense doesn't have that flow and passing some of the big teams have but is the US team known for slicing up defenses either?

On the flip side they got a guy in Hazard that can just make shit happen at any given moment.

This tournament, Belgium has looked like a team that likes passing the ball around for with no goal in mind. It feels like a shittier version of Spain in 2010, who at least had an ethos and a wonderful striker in David Villa.

That being said, they could snap out of it like we all know they can and wreck shit. I still rate them far higher than my beloved USA, but definitely feel like they are beatable if US comes with its a-game. The US has looked great in moments, but without possession they have decided to lock-down instead of attacking GER/Ghana. Part of that comes from getting a 1-0 lead incredibly early. The moment Ghana tied it, they came out of their shell and started attacking again, getting another goal fairly quickly. GER they just wanted to not get slaughtered. It's hard to really tell the quality on the team.

The nature of the US attack (funneling through Fabian Johnson or Beasley) could result very easily in destructing counters by Belgium. If the US wants to win the game, they need Bradley to find his inner Bald Eagle and figure out how to pass in the attacking third. The most surprising thing from this tournament is how well our defense has held up under long bouts of pressure. Conceding only one goal to Germany was very surprising to me, as I thought our defense (with Fabian's winged flights, Beasley's converted winger, Besler unproven, Cameron has been serviceable though) was by far the weakest part of our team.
 

meanspartan

Member
Costa Rica Greece will be interesting. Costa Rica definitely looks like the better team right now. But you can never ever count out the Greek, solid defense and they have that fighting spirit.

Ya even as a Greek fan, I gotta predict a Costa Rica win. They just have been playing out of this world, while Greece had to grind it out to barely make it in to their first ever round of 16.

But the fun thing about being a Greece fan since 2004 when Rehhagel's defense/counterattack strategy revitalized a team who had never won a single major tournament match (and then won Euro 2004 LOL), is that no matter the odds, there is always that slim hope that their stubborn as fuck defense will be enough.
 

Brashnir

Member
Costa Rica Greece will be interesting. Costa Rica definitely looks like the better team right now. But you can never ever count out the Greek, solid defense and they have that fighting spirit.

Costa Rica came in with a tactical plan tailor-made to the opponents in their group. Italy, England, and Uruguay all want the ball and want to attack through the middle of the field. Costa Rica put three center backs and two stout midfielders in there and dared them to come.

Greece isn't going to play into that sort of game. Costa Rica will need something different, and the game is also in the south of the country, which gives up some of their weather acclimation advantage.

That said, they still have the talent to play a good game against the Greeks and have a reasonable chance come out ahead, but a lot of the factors that led to their early success aren't going to be in their favor this time.
 

Micerider

Member
2-1 against algeria
1-0 against russia
1-0 against korea

Sorry if I was unclear, my reply was to counter the claim that their attack was only Hazard, it's not they also have other excellent players at the front.

That said, reducing your analysis to "score" is missing a lot of what makes a good offence (yet I agree that Belgium was not "spectacular" in the first three games, but "efficient" at least)
 

Firemind

Member
That's your mistake, Mexico is always shit in the qualifiers, ALWAYS, they've had a a lot of trouble in the last 3 out of 4 qualification stages. Remember Herrera has only managed the team since the matchs against New Zealand, it was a similar situation in 2002 and 2010 with Aguirre coming to the rescue after an abysmal display and being close to not qualifying.

The team was also a lot different a year ago, plus like i said, Mexico are masters at playing shit before world cups and then looking like a completely different team once in the tournament.

You shouldn't judge Mexico based on how poor they were a year ago at all.

Then what should I base them on? History? Mexico has never reached the quarter final that wasn't on Mexican soil. Group stage? They weren't that impressive. Were lucky they could draw against Brazil and could make the goals against Croatia, because the Croatians had to win and therefore didn't have sound defensive lines.
 
This tournament, Belgium has looked like a team that likes passing the ball around for with no goal in mind. It feels like a shittier version of Spain in 2010, who at least had an ethos and a wonderful striker in David Villa.

That being said, they could snap out of it like we all know they can and wreck shit. I still rate them far higher than my beloved USA, but definitely feel like they are beatable if US comes with its a-game. The US has looked great in moments, but without possession they have decided to lock-down instead of attacking GER/Ghana. Part of that comes from getting a 1-0 lead incredibly early. The moment Ghana tied it, they came out of their shell and started attacking again, getting another goal fairly quickly. GER they just wanted to not get slaughtered. It's hard to really tell the quality on the team.

The nature of the US attack (funneling through Fabian Johnson or Beasley) could result very easily in destructing counters by Belgium. If the US wants to win the game, they need Bradley to find his inner Bald Eagle and figure out how to pass in the attacking third. The most surprising thing from this tournament is how well our defense has held up under long bouts of pressure. Conceding only one goal to Germany was very surprising to me, as I thought our defense (with Fabian's winged flights, Beasley's converted winger, Besler unproven, Cameron has been serviceable though) was by far the weakest part of our team.

USA should be careful attacking because the counter-attack is Belgium's strong point, that's how we wrecked Serbia and won away at Croatia.
 

Dilly

Banned
I don't really see it happening, but if a semi-final Belgium-Netherlands happens I will overload with hype.

Wouldn't even care who wins that, even though it'll probably be The Netherlands.
 

John Dunbar

correct about everything
2-1 against algeria
1-0 against russia
1-0 against korea

that's a pretty narrow way of looking at it. germany beat usa 1-0, but it was still a vastly superior performance. spain won their last 4 matches in 2010 1-0, and were still dominant.
 
USA should be careful attacking because the counter-attack is Belgium's strong point, that's how we wrecked Serbia and won away at Croatia.

my great fear.

Luckily we've had 2 defensive midfielders instead of the diamond with 2 up front. It adds defensive solidarity to protect against counters. Still, if Altidore come back I'd expect the diamond with jones Bradley Beckerman Zusi/Bedoya to return.
 

LNBL

Member
Some statistics of the Dutch squad during this World cup.

33 of the 41 shots ended between the goal posts, of which they scored 10 goals. This makes them the most effective side of this World Cup. With a shot precision of 80.5 % they lead the table.

The Dutch squad only used 89 attacks to score 10 goals (Due to their Counter football), while countries like Belgium and Argentina needed 150 attacks to get to 4 and 6 goals.

Defensive stats are also ok for the Dutch side, goalie Jasper Cillessen only made 6 saves in 3 matches and that puts him on the second place behind Julio Cesar (5 saves).
 
that's a pretty narrow way of looking at it. germany beat usa 1-0, but it was still a vastly superior performance. spain won their last 4 matches in 2010 1-0, and were still dominant.

Against Algeria we were the dominant team but that's because they decided to park the bus. Against Russia and South Korea the game was in balance most of the time.
 

andycapps

Member
my great fear.

Luckily we've had 2 defensive midfielders instead of the diamond with 2 up front. It adds defensive solidarity to protect against counters. Still, if Altidore come back I'd expect the diamond with jones Bradley Beckerman Zusi/Bedoya to return.

Klinsmann said today he's hopeful that Altidore will be back and it's looking good. He didn't say if he'd start, I'd doubt they'd try to keep him in for a whole game if so. Seems risky to rush his recovery.
 

John Dunbar

correct about everything
Against Algeria we were the dominant team but that's because they decided to park the bus. Against Russia and South Korea the game was in balance most of the time.

i wasn't actually arguing belgium was dominant. just that a match being low scoring does not mean a team did not have full control of it so posting nothing but scorelines is pointless.
 

Oersted

Member
Yeah, what got me surprised is how stable Netherlands defense looked. Them being strong on the attack, with Robben in his prime, expected, but the defense was the surprising factor. Netherlands, Germany and Greece are the best in that regard.
 

SkylineRKR

Member
Oh yeah I watched Belgium. But it was boring me to tears. Everything went through the middle against Algeria while they stood behind the ball with all players. It was obvious the playing field needed to be wider and more attacks from the wings. I was screaming for a Dembele -> Mertens switch after some 20 minutes. Which the coach finally did but he took the other guy off I think.

Their goal ratio speaks for itself. 4 goals against relatively weak sides isn't good. Algeria scored more. Belgium offense need to be sorted if they want to decide games before overtime. Opposition becomes harder from here on.

How is Holland's physical condition? It's been said it will be a hot day, they are playing at noon and Mexico's physical condition is one of their stronger assets (see Croatia).

Best of the tournament so far imo. Australia fitness was rated highly but they looked fatiqued after 70 minutes, yet Holland continued on and could score a few more during injury time. Chile, same story. Holland was far stronger in the final 20 minutes, still resulting in a lightning quick rush by Robben who played the whole game. Spain were also empty during the second half.

The thing that surprises me the most isn't their results, but rather their fitness. Especially considering our dreadful Euro 2012 campaign on which they were physically the weakest side.
 
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