Again, you have zero idea what you are talking about, activist investors don't buy up shares wanting the stock to plummet, they would lose their shirts.
They do that when they're shorting the stock (Ackman vs Herbalife a few years back was a very high profile example of this, he failed miserably).
3D investments want Kiryu to implement specific things (like selling off Taito and Gangan) so they can get the stock UP, which means they can sell it on for a good profit.
What these hitmen do is to buy stock of a company, to throw shit at it damaging its value artificially lowering its price to later them or somebody else (the one moving that puppet, who paid them to do so) come and buy later at a cheaper price. And then over time the stocks recover its normal value, or gets sold at a higher price than they bought if the damaged company gets acquired totally or partially.
Sometimes the ones moving the puppet, who often also are the other ones shortning stocks, also have or use hitmen media like Bloomberg to help them to spread shit and lower the value.
I know what I'm talking about because I worked in a company that suffered them both.
I doubt that Sony would be interested. If a sale will happen it is more likely to be some Chinese gaming company (lol at SE being a "national treasure") or someone from a different industry.
Let's see:
- Sony is expanding their first party games to have an important position in the main game genres they don't master. Getting Square Enix would make them market leaders of JRPG
- Sony is expanding in MP/GaaS getting at least a GaaS of each genre. They still don't have a MMORPG, and Square Enix has the one that outperformed World of Warcraft and became market leader, FF XIV
- Sony is adapting game IPs to movies, tv shows and in the near future will start releasing adaptations to anime and manga. Square Enix has several ones with a lot of potential here
- Sony is expanding in PC and mobile particularly to grow in Asia. Square Enix publishes in both and has potential to perform way better in both
- Sony is expanding Crunchyroll to include digital manga, and Square has manga content
- Being a large Japanese company with cultural icons, the goverment wouldn't like to sell SE to a foreign company like Chinese or Saudis. They would only allow to sell it to a Japanese company like Sony, regarding foreigners they'd only sell to their key UK/US hedge fund overlords (like the ones where this 'activist investor' did work).
- Sony has a top tier game studio management, plus internal engines, teams and tools who would make them more efficient and successful. On top of this being a key platform holder they have extra channels to better market them
- Sony is starting to sell their finances division, and after it they plan to go back to acquire stuff for their entertainment divisions
So there are many points, plus more that I may forget, that lead to think that a SE acquisition by Sony would help both sides creating multiple synergies.
But there are other things that may be a blocker for the acquisition:
- SE board of directors not wanting to sell
- Square having non-gaming business that as of today wouldn't be of their interest, like arcades/pachinkos/etc or book/magazine publishing
- Square having many small scale project that don't fit them well (current Taito stuf, which could be way more successful in handled correctly)
In case Sony would also acquire Kadokawa, they could merge both SE and Kadokawa book/magazine/manga publishing part maybe into a new Sony Books division and let the Kadokawa folks better manage that SE part too. Could also move the small SE gaming teams to Kadokawa, which would be Sony's 'small Japanese games' label since they'd move FromSoftware to PS Studios. And could sell their arcades/pachinko/pashislo stuff to some partner like Capcom.
So all SE parts would be benefited and would be in better hands, and going forward Square Enix would be focused on big games (mainly FF, DQ, KH, Chrono Trigger, Nier and from time to time reviving in a big way older IPs like Seiken Densetsu or Front Mission, etc).
Chinese or Saudis, even if allowed, they couldn't provide SE all these synergies to help them grow and get more value from them, and in their current form SE isn't a particularly profitable company that let's say would be appealing just to get profits.