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AusGAF 6 - Ricki Lee is awful. Everything else about Australia is AMAZING [Free hugs]

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Dead Man

Member
ITS NOT LEGAL

there is a reason why the SEC is investigating this and Morgan Stanley is being hauled before the courts.

free markets yes, free markets mean every gets the same information.

Yeah, I know, I was taking the piss out of truly free markets. Probably wasn't clear.
 

Choc

Banned
i was reading an article by a institutional investor who said he has been on 1000s of tech IPOs and never has he seen the rating and value of the company change in the middle of the roadshow and only told to institutional investors

Basically they didn't update their prospectus with the new information that was given to institutional investors by Facebook executives.

if its not illegal why is the SEC, NASDAQ, Morgan Stanley and the justice department of Massechesuts getting into all this shit to investigate it?

if a company is live on the markets and an executive tells a shareholder that their Q2 is bad, and the investor acts on that = insider trading

i would say its highly doubtful its different during an IPO roadshow. Although HAD they told everyone and not just the institutional investors, it wouldn't have been a problem

institutional investors after the new news said its worth $32 a share. funnily enough thats what its stabilising at.

Someones gotta go for it, and it sounds like Morgan Stanley is those who should do it. By the way MS BOOSTED the retail shareprice of facebook after this information

wall street is a law unto itself.
 

Fredescu

Member
It has nothing to do with trading on inside information
What? That's exactly the problem. The fact that it may be technically legal because it hasn't begun trading yet is just a technicality, and if you agree that insider trading is wrong I can't see how you can possibly argue that isn't anything other than 100% shady.
 

Yagharek

Member
They disclose information to who they want, in most cases to large institutional investors.

In which case its not a free market, and thus its shady and insider trading by default. The principle to follow is simply whether or not a piece of vital information is equally available to all. If not, its dodgy.

I'm going to enjoy watching this debacle play out. It's be nice to see a few of the facebook clowns in prison.
 

Choc

Banned
http://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-bankers-earnings-forecasts-2012-5

First time in history analysts have cut forecasts in the middle of a tech IPO

and the reason they did it? Facebook told them to.

This is a huge problem, for one big reason:
Selective dissemination. Earnings forecasts are material information, especially when they are prepared by analysts who have had privileged access to company management. As lead underwriters on the IPO, these analysts would have had much better information about the company than anyone else. So the fact that these analysts suddenly all cut their earnings forecasts at the same time, during the roadshow, and then this information was not passed on to the broader public, is a huge problem


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-bankers-earnings-forecasts-2012-5#ixzz1vm2up9RI


Any investor considering an investment in Facebook would consider an estimate cut from the underwriters' analysts "material information."


In other words, during the marketing of the Facebook IPO, investors who did not hear about these underwriter estimate cuts were placed at a meaningful and unfair information disadvantage. They did not know what a lot of other investors knew, and they suffered for it.

Speaking as a former analyst, it seems highly unlikely to me that the vague language in the final IPO amendment would prompt all three underwriter analysts to immediately cut estimates without some sort of nod and wink from someone who knew how Facebook's second quarter was progressing. (To get this message from the language, you really have to read between the lines). But even if this is what happened, it is still unfair that news of the estimate cut wasn't disseminated quickly and clearly to everyone considering buying Facebook's IPO.
The bottom line is that, even if dissemination laws were followed to the letter (which frankly seems unlikely), the selective disclosure here was grossly unfair.

 

clint-eastwood-disgusted-gif.gif
 

Deeku

Member
It's unfair for the greater public, but I doubt anything illegal was done. I wouldn't really call it shady either.

Insider trading is irrelevant because ipo negotiations are private to begin with.
 
It's unfair for the greater public, but I doubt anything illegal was done. I wouldn't really call it shady either.

Insider trading is irrelevant because ipo negotiations are private to begin with.

So I can rope a firm into saying my company is worth $50 a share even though I and they know it is only worth $30 a share?
 

Yagharek

Member
It's unfair for the greater public, but I doubt anything illegal was done. I wouldn't really call it shady either.

Insider trading is irrelevant because ipo negotiations are private to begin with.

Come on. This is the company that is basically harvesting private data for widespread enabling of identity theft.
 

Choc

Banned
It's unfair for the greater public, but I doubt anything illegal was done. I wouldn't really call it shady either.

Insider trading is irrelevant because ipo negotiations are private to begin with.

yay for oxymorons

its the shadiest IPO in years. Analysts are going mental over it. Do a news search.
 

markot

Banned
Not really, if you are being told by x that its should be worth y, then x tells z that its worth b, then b is less than y, and more than x, but y still wants to buy it, which annoys a, then you have legal recourse against f.
 

Choc

Banned
if its not illegal it should be.

If its not illegal in Australia it should be.

and if you don't think so you are a 1% apologist deek.

its fucking disgraceful
 

Deeku

Member
Not really, if you are being told by x that its should be worth y, then x tells z that its worth b, then b is less than y, and more than x, but y still wants to buy it, which annoys a, then you have legal recourse against f.
I would say that's a bit far fetched, wouldn't you?

Come on. This is the company that is basically harvesting private data for widespread enabling of identity theft.
I heard something really interesting the other day. Google tracks what you do, whereas Facebook tracks what you say you like to do or something like that. What is more valuable??
 

Choc

Banned
if you have analysts telling people 1 thing and big companies another

its not that far fucking fetched. How can they sleep at night.
 

Choc

Banned
I would say that's a bit far fetched, wouldn't you?


I heard something really interesting the other day. Google tracks what you do, whereas Facebook tracks what you say you like to do or something like that. What is more valuable??

i'd value that as a marketer more
 

Shaneus

Member
Rlan: If I'm bored enough Sat. I might come over and visit. Maybe a mini MelbGAF meet is in order? Other Melburns, what say you?

Reptile: What's been the consensus on American Nightmare? I will hunt down the OT but going by screens in the PC Screenie thread, it looks pretty slick.
Edit: Fuck, you already posted it. What's the length on it like?
 
Reptile: What's been the consensus on American Nightmare? I will hunt down the OT but going by screens in the PC Screenie thread, it looks pretty slick.
Edit: Fuck, you already posted it. What's the length on it like?
Played about 3 hours today, I would expect it to be around the 5 hour mark if you breeze through it, I missed a lot of stuff. The OT would be the best place to find that information! Or a review on MetaCritic.

If you like looking at Excel spreadsheets all day long it might be up your alley.
Also the win scenario is to cut 10% of your marketing budget while increasing your ticket sales 40%.

EDIT (vvv): If you like Europa Univeralsias III and other Paradox brain smelters you will like FM2012 probably maybe.
 
So Bris-gaf +2/3, 2nd or 3rd of July looking good for the meet up?
Depends on what everyone wants to do, but if people were looking at going to the mana bar I would recommend monday the 2nd since tuesday is trivia night (and thus packed). Mana bar is kinda tiny though.


its not that far fucking fetched. How can they sleep at night.

I thought it was a play on markot's avatar...

anyway guys, calm down. Look at this adorable cat ^^
tumblr_m4a2urw4MJ1ro2d43.gif
 

Deeku

Member
I thought it was a play on markot's avatar...
IT WAS!! <3

I'm not really defending facebook, I just don't agree with everyone saying it's all their fault they lost money, it's fraud, it's wrong etc. I mean, the SEC isn't even accusing anyone of any wrongdoing. They're looking into it, which could lead to maybe revised ipo rules of some sort, or probably not.

I'm more inclined to thinking that the nasdaq problems are much more important. Like, people couldn't cancel orders, or bought more than they wanted. Now that is messed up.
 

Jintor

Member
The whole stock market is a fucking crapshoot. Prices based on herds of idiots trying to blindly value stock they have no idea about. It's like gambling with more numbers that may or may not mean anything.
 
So Bris-gaf +2/3, 2nd or 3rd of July looking good for the meet up?
Depends on what everyone wants to do, but if people were looking at going to the mana bar I would recommend monday the 2nd since tuesday is trivia night (and thus packed). Mana bar is kinda tiny though.




I thought it was a play on markot's avatar...

anyway guys, calm down. Look at this adorable cat ^^
tumblr_m4a2urw4MJ1ro2d43.gif
Monday night is better for me. Besides, I suck at trivia. I do OK until someone asks the inevitable sports
game
question and I'm completely stuck.
 
if you have analysts telling people 1 thing and big companies another

its not that far fucking fetched. How can they sleep at night.

On something like this

72c27fac6e7bf661fd5e1bcc248dc37d.jpg


The whole stock market is a fucking crapshoot. Prices based on herds of idiots trying to blindly value stock they have no idea about. It's like gambling with more numbers that may or may not mean anything.

My thought's exactly.
 

Danoss

Member
Don't want to cause anymore bickering but

TuNZd.jpg

That's not one of our referees...

The funny thing is that earlier in the game, this happened.

gJ5Am.gif


Hayne knocked the ball from Thaiday's hand and it was ruled a knock-on and NSW ball. That's a loose carry/poor ball security, no different from what happened with Inglis. If your arm or the ball gets bumped and you lose it, suck it up because that's a knock-on. Hold onto it better next time.
 
Alright, no interest was expressed yesterday and thats fine. I'm going to be trading in my 360 next week given that I dont really have time for, room for, or interest in it any longer.

Deadly Premonition is Shaneus' dibs.
Halo Reach collectors edition up for grabs.
CoD MW3 is up for grabs.
Left 4 Dead 2 (UK uncensored edn) is too.

I have a copy of Deus Ex HR for 360 as well which is minus a case and will probably go into the AusGAF pool of games to share around.

All games have until June 6 to be claimed or else they get traded in too, except for Deus Ex.

Hmm dibs on Halo Reach? How much are you expecting for it?
 

Gazunta

Member
Grats to you and everyone on the team Rlan. I'm looking forward to playing as soon as I finish this damn comic!

God damn comics
 

Choc

Banned
ok

QUEENSLAND FUCK YOU, YOU ONLY WON BECAUSE OF JOKE REFEREEING

NSW, FUCK YOU FOR TAKING STUPID DECISIONS


done.

no more
 
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