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AusPoliGAF |OT| Boats? What Boats?

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Dead Man

Member
In my opinion:

In practical terms:
The mining tax was a big mistake. There is merit to the idea, but it did stop projects going ahead and it has cost jobs. All for basically no return.

In ethical terms:
Constantly promising a budget surplus that could not be delivered. The way the change of leaders was handled.

From a political standpoint:
Making the mistake of constantly telling the Australian public that "they knew best" or that the reason for decisions was a "matter for caucus". Even if you are not listening, you should always be seen to be listening.

Is that enough to throw them out? Probably not actually, but I doubt the Liberal party will do much different so I don't think it particularly matters. A decent loss will do the party good.

I agree the mining tax was a mistake, but for opposite reasons to you LOL. They should have had the balls too see it through, and at a higher level.

Making budget promises they didn't keep? EVERY government ever has done that. And basically their attitude. Fair enough, they are a bit shit that way. Seems to be pretty petty reasons to vote in someone who will be no different at budget promises, and is just as sanctimonious.

Just like Lionel Richie i will be dancing on the ceiling if this happens :)



I went to bed not long after my post, the only way they are accountable to their actions is to send them packing in the election.

I am more unhappy about the state of the budget than anything else.

What about the budget?
 

senahorse

Member
Making budget promises they didn't keep? EVERY government ever has done that. And basically their attitude. Fair enough, they are a bit shit that way. Seems to be pretty petty reasons to vote in someone who will be no different at budget promises, and is just as sanctimonious.

Hogwash, don't you know, change is always for the better.
 
Making budget promises they didn't keep? EVERY government ever has done that. And basically their attitude. Fair enough, they are a bit shit that way. Seems to be pretty petty reasons to vote in someone who will be no different at budget promises, and is just as sanctimonious.

I agree. It is more a comment about how people will call one party terrible or inhumane when by and large they will all commit the same transgressions. I think the level of promising was a bit over the top though. It wasn't just "we are going to do awesome, oops we screwed up" the government did make a constant big deal about it.

I agree the mining tax was a mistake, but for opposite reasons to you LOL. They should have had the balls too see it through, and at a higher level.

I'd be happy if they implemented it properly too. The problem was the uncertainty it created.

It isn't just a speculation thing either. My previous job was working on services to the mining industry. We had a lot of projects that were lined up suddenly got put on hold because companies wanted to see "what would happen". They are still on hold until after the election due because obviously something has to be changed with the tax as it is (in a fundamentally broken state).

They'll go ahead at some stage, but unfortunately for now that cost people jobs and at the time I had to be the one to let them go.

To me that is enough reason to vote a party out. I know people get very emotional about issues like same-sex marriage or asylum seekers, but everyone should have the right to their own priorities.
 
Liberals seriously fucked over the university, the TAFE, the hospitals and the Department of Housing here. All of which directly had repercussions on my employment and the employment of my family members, so I can understand voting against a party that damages your life in such a fashion.
 

Ventron

Member
@ Ventron, I'm still waiting for your response to see if you think my wife 'looks Aboriginal'.

Well, to be perfectly honest I wouldn't have guessed so. Having said that, I only raised it because I disagreed with Andrew Bolt being sued into oblivion over it and an example of regulation gone wrong. It is possible to disagree, even vehemently, with someone without wanting to censor them.
 

Dead Man

Member
I agree. It is more a comment about how people will call one party terrible or inhumane when by and large they will all commit the same transgressions. I think the level of promising was a bit over the top though. It wasn't just "we are going to do awesome, oops we screwed up" the government did make a constant big deal about it.



I'd be happy if they implemented it properly too. The problem was the uncertainty it created.

It isn't just a speculation thing either. My previous job was working on services to the mining industry. We had a lot of projects that were lined up suddenly got put on hold because companies wanted to see "what would happen". They are still on hold until after the election due because obviously something has to be changed with the tax as it is (in a fundamentally broken state).

They'll go ahead at some stage, but unfortunately for now that cost people jobs and at the time I had to be the one to let them go.

To me that is enough reason to vote a party out. I know people get very emotional about issues like same-sex marriage or asylum seekers, but everyone should have the right to their own priorities.

Yeah, each person can have their own priorities. In regards your mining tax uncertainty though, that was started by people opposed to it, like the Libs. Blaming a party for the opposition to their policies seems a bit silly. Unless you think Labor shouldn't have changed it, which would seem to be going against your opinion that the never listened to anyone.
 
Well, to be perfectly honest I wouldn't have guessed so. Having said that, I only raised it because I disagreed with Andrew Bolt being sued into oblivion over it and an example of regulation gone wrong. It is possible to disagree, even vehemently, with someone without wanting to censor them.
He didn't get sued into oblivion though. He got a slap on the bottom at worst. Pretty sure I still see his face all over the papers.
 
Media regulation is wrong and should be left to the Chinese. I know this because the newspapers showed me pictures of Labor people dressed up as Stalin and friends when they were talking about it.
 

Ventron

Member
He didn't get sued into oblivion though. He got a slap on the bottom at worst. Pretty sure I still see his face all over the papers.

OK, poor choice of words but he still ended up having to pull the column completely, and based on his legal advice he can't talk about any matter related to indigenous people anymore. Freedom of speech still applies to a "disgusting excuse for a human being".
 
A

A More Normal Bird

Unconfirmed Member
To me that is enough reason to vote a party out. I know people get very emotional about issues like same-sex marriage or asylum seekers, but everyone should have the right to their own priorities.

They do. Everyone else also has the right to question those priorities. Naming one experience as a justification to "vote a party out" seems to me to be more emotional than rational; it can basically amount to single issue voting without considering the consequences. By the way, not everyone opposes the Coalition because they are overly emotional about gay marriage and asylum seekers, especially when the ALP's policy on the latter is denounced by many on the left. Wanting halfway competent and equitable economic management/fiscal policy is also a big one.

OK, poor choice of words but he still ended up having to pull the column completely, and based on his legal advice he can't talk about any matter related to indigenous people anymore. Freedom of speech still applies to a "disgusting excuse for a human being".

I'm curious as to what you mean by this. Bolt has the same freedom of speech as anyone else in the country. Do you think there should be no regulation of media content? Someone like Alan Jones is allowed to continue broadcasting even after his numerous breaches of the law and broadcasting standards, not the least of which was inciting racial violence. Should it be legal to spread misinformation and harmful rhetoric simply because it's what some people want to hear?
 

Dead Man

Member
OK, poor choice of words but he still ended up having to pull the column completely, and based on his legal advice he can't talk about any matter related to indigenous people anymore. Freedom of speech still applies to a "disgusting excuse for a human being".

Not in Australia. We are not America.
 
Yeah, each person can have their own priorities. In regards your mining tax uncertainty though, that was started by people opposed to it, like the Libs. Blaming a party for the opposition to their policies seems a bit silly.

I think you need to give a bit more credit to the people running the mining operations and making these decisions. They are just looking at the potential bottom lines, not scare tactics or opposition propaganda.

If the government felt the need to change the policy due to perceived pressure, than that to me is a failing of the government. The opposition can bluster all they want, but ultimately they can't really do much about anything if the policy is communicated properly.

I'll concede the point that it weakens my argument about them not listening and making changes. But even then I think it had a lot more to do with the internal power struggles at the time rather than any true commitment to stopping a fear campaign.

They do. Everyone else also has the right to question those priorities. Naming one experience as a justification to "vote a party out" seems to me to be more emotional than rational; it can basically amount to single issue voting without considering the consequences.

Quite correct, but I was addressing the people who were asking to "name one mistake". I'm not saying that is a particularly great reason to vote, I'm just suggesting it is just as valid (or invalid) as people who feel strongly about another issue.
 
I think you need to give a bit more credit to the people running the mining operations and making these decisions. They are just looking at the potential bottom lines, not scare tactics or opposition propaganda.

If the government felt the need to change the policy due to perceived pressure, than that to me is a failing of the government. The opposition can bluster all they want, but ultimately they can't really do much about anything.

I'll concede the point that it weakens my argument about them not listening and making changes. But even then I think it had a lot more to do with the internal power struggles at the time rather than any true commitment to stopping a fear campaign.



Quite correct, but I was addressing the people who were asking to "name one mistake". I'm not saying that is a particularly great reason to vote, I'm just suggesting it is just as valid (or invalid) as people who feel strongly about another issue such that they disregard everything else.

Definitely horse trading involved. Removing a Right leader and bringing in a Left one to soften a tax on industry makes negative sense ideologically.
 
I'm curious as to what you mean by this. Bolt has the same freedom of speech as anyone else in the country. Do you think there should be no regulation of media content? Someone like Alan Jones is allowed to continue broadcasting even after his numerous breaches of the law and broadcasting standards, not the least of which was inciting racial violence. Should it be legal to spread misinformation and harmful rhetoric simply because it's what some people want to hear?

Not Ventron. But I'd have to say yes it should be generally. As long as its clearly opinion and not presented as factual/news and there's no incitement to criminal activities.
 

Ventron

Member
I'm curious as to what you mean by this. Bolt has the same freedom of speech as anyone else in the country. Do you think there should be no regulation of media content? Someone like Alan Jones is allowed to continue broadcasting even after his numerous breaches of the law and broadcasting standards, not the least of which was inciting racial violence. Should it be legal to spread misinformation and harmful rhetoric simply because it's what some people want to hear?

If a statement is factually incorrect, it can be quickly destroyed with proper citations in a discussion. Surely Clive Palmer's statement this morning that Rupert Murdoch's ex-wife was a Chinese spy counts as harmful rhetoric? But it won't gain traction because there is nothing to back it up. There is no need to sue Clive Palmer and ban him from the airwaves. That's before we come to people like Bob Ellis.

It's natural for any person to seek out and stick with people that they agree with. In that case, it's not as if the media is saying anything they don't already strongly believe. If a person isn't going to listen to you when you present them with the opposing view, why on Earth would blocking their own side make any difference?
 

wonzo

Banned
crikey said:
Tony Abbott is set for a comfortable win in Saturday's election, but his lead has been clawed back by a late shift toward the minor parties, the final pre-election Essential Research poll shows.

The poll, conducted this week with a sample size of 1035, shows Labor on 35% -- steady compared to last week -- and the Coalition down a point to 43%. The Greens are steady on 10%, and "others" are now on 12%. Just two weeks ago, the minor parties' collective was on 8%.

The two-party preferred result is 52-48% to the Coalition.

essential-copyegztx.jpg


State breakdowns of the figures, which Crikey will reveal tomorrow, suggest minor parties are performing very strongly in Queensland, certainly well enough to secure a Senate quota with favourable preference deals, and to tip a number of marginal House of Representative seats via preference flows. On a national basis, the 2.1% swing to the Coalition suggested by the final poll would allow the Coalition to pick up eight seats, plus Lyne and New England, for a comfortable majority.

However, making seat predictions in Queensland will be much harder even with state breakdowns because of the strong support for minor parties like Clive Palmer's PUP and the unpredictable nature of their preference flows. On-the-ground reports suggest Palmer is drawing voters from both Labor and the Coalition and preferences might not break 60:40 to the conservatives as has been assumed (and which is the basis for Essential's allocation).
the rise of the qld nutters
 

Dead Man

Member
If a statement is factually incorrect, it can be quickly destroyed with proper citations in a discussion. Surely Clive Palmer's statement this morning that Rupert Murdoch's ex-wife was a Chinese spy counts as harmful rhetoric? But it won't gain traction because there is nothing to back it up. There is no need to sue Clive Palmer and ban him from the airwaves. That's before we come to people like Bob Ellis.

It's natural for any person to seek out and stick with people that they agree with. In that case, it's not as if the media is saying anything they don't already strongly believe. If a person isn't going to listen to you when you present them with the opposing view, why on Earth would blocking their own side make any difference?

That assumes a two way dialogue, and that corrections are as prominent as the lie. These things are far from true in print and radio media.
 

lexi

Banned
A sample size of just 1 thousand seems a bit small to me, not enough to gauge what the nation thinks.

Also this is too good to not share; Flamboyant Australian billionaire Clive Palmer on Thursday said he plans to sue Rupert Murdoch over unflattering allegations and claimed the media mogul's estranged wife is a Chinese spy.

I've learned the magic of sample sizes in the 50 vs 100ppp thread. From 100 votes to 1200 votes, the results stayed pretty much exactly the same.
 

Jintor

Member
If a statement is factually incorrect, it can be quickly destroyed with proper citations in a discussion.

This logic doesn't really pan out irl. Bolt and his views gets a lot of traction despite being based on misrepresentations and factual inaccuracies because much of the popular discourse doesn't bother to fact-check statements. Theoretically at least, that is the job of the fourth estate. And over time this aggregates and you end up with this world where an incredibly overtly exaggerated asylum seeker policy has somehow become a disproportionately powerful public issue because it already is - and any attempt to disprove it via facts is dismissed because it's contrary to the prevailing political climate.

A lie can get around the world before the truth can get its boots on.
 

Fredescu

Member
Just voted. I got all the way to 109 on the senate sheet before realising I'd skipped a number. Upon review, that was number 13, so I couldn't just fudge it. Asked for another one. Glad I didn't have to ask for another one on actual polling day. The booth was fairly busy as it was.
 
Just voted. I got all the way to 109 on the senate sheet before realising I'd skipped a number. Upon review, that was number 13, so I couldn't just fudge it. Asked for another one. Glad I didn't have to ask for another one on actual polling day. The booth was fairly busy as it was.

The Devil at play folks, such an unlucky number...
 

legend166

Member
The first two more than the last. But more to the point, you almost never have any idea what research is worth until it's completed and placed in context with all the rest of the research in its field.

Or are you suggesting we just scrap all Arts research funding? Dead languages not so useful irl, after all.

No I don't think that. Although I guess the argument could be made, but that would be done on idealogical grounds (i.e. what exactly government exists for).

I'd prefer a basic common sense test as to whether it's for the greater public good, and whether it's a good use of tax payer dollars. Obviously the definition of that can vary from person to person, but I think those things are dumb, which is why I'm laughing at them.

Lamenting government waste doesn't necessarily have to follow a libertarian, small government mindset.
 

Rezbit

Member
Just gonna pipe in and say mining companies should be taxed to the shithouse and back again. It sucks that them digging shit out of the earth pretty much gives no benefit for anyone except the company itself and arguably those who work there, even though they happen to live in towns with a ridiculously inflated cost of living. Then when it eventually runs out, oh shit everyone's unemployed and the town is a dump again. Dunno how Labor fucked that up so bad. Shame the issue is pretty much gone now.
 

Fredescu

Member
Just a reminder that you can vote above the line and below the line, so if you fuck up your below the line vote somehow, they will still accept the above the line vote.
 

Jintor

Member
No I don't think that. Although I guess the argument could be made, but that would be done on idealogical grounds (i.e. what exactly government exists for).

I'd prefer a basic common sense test as to whether it's for the greater public good, and whether it's a good use of tax payer dollars. Obviously the definition of that can vary from person to person, but I think those things are dumb, which is why I'm laughing at them.

Lamenting government waste doesn't necessarily have to follow a libertarian, small government mindset.

That seems reasonable enough. I suppose I just err on the side of more money for research grants. I also think this coalition policy betrays a very... um, not sure how to describe it. Procedural? Formulistic? view of how research works.

Additionally 'common sense test' has always proven to be anything but, haha...
 

Fredescu

Member
What does this mean?

I mean I accidentally didn't put 13 in a box for anyone. Went straight from 12 to 14. I knew I was out when I got to the end, but I thought if it was a low enough number it wouldn't matter that what ever shitty party I was putting at 110 was going to be 80 or something. 13 is pretty high up though, so I didn't want to give them by 13th preference. So I started again.
 
A

A More Normal Bird

Unconfirmed Member
If a statement is factually incorrect, it can be quickly destroyed with proper citations in a discussion. Surely Clive Palmer's statement this morning that Rupert Murdoch's ex-wife was a Chinese spy counts as harmful rhetoric? But it won't gain traction because there is nothing to back it up. There is no need to sue Clive Palmer and ban him from the airwaves. That's before we come to people like Bob Ellis.

It's natural for any person to seek out and stick with people that they agree with. In that case, it's not as if the media is saying anything they don't already strongly believe. If a person isn't going to listen to you when you present them with the opposing view, why on Earth would blocking their own side make any difference?

Factually incorrect statements can be disproven, correct. However, even with the threat of legal actions and fines by regulatory bodies, factually incorrect statements and assertions are still prevalent in the media. The same goes for (what I meant by) harmful rhetoric; defamation, vilification, discrimination etc... As you said, people will generally lean towards the media they agree with more, which is why media regulation pretty much has to be all carrot and no stick. I don't see why freedom of speech is innately good and censorship innately bad if the rules and guidelines by which content is judged are well designed, open and transparent. It's not about blocking any particular view - Bolt wasn't imprisoned or barred from broadcasting as a result of any of his offences - it's about trying to discern where subjective opinion ends and misinformation begins, as well as (the admittedly more grey area) the limits of which opinions can be expressed in the public domain.

This logic doesn't really pan out irl. Bolt and his views gets a lot of traction despite being based on misrepresentations and factual inaccuracies because much of the popular discourse doesn't bother to fact-check statements. Theoretically at least, that is the job of the fourth estate. And over time this aggregates and you end up with this world where an incredibly overtly exaggerated asylum seeker policy has somehow become a disproportionately powerful public issue because it already is - and any attempt to disprove it via facts is dismissed because it's contrary to the prevailing political climate.

A lie can get around the world before the truth can get its boots on.

That assumes a two way dialogue, and that corrections are as prominent as the lie. These things are far from true in print and radio media.
Also these.
 

Dead Man

Member
Michael Pascoe seems unimpressed at best:
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/bus...oses-campaign-with-a-joke-20130905-2t7ab.html
Remember all the times shadow treasurer Joe Hockey furrowed his brow, shook his jowls and growled that Australia had a budget crisis? Turns out he was only joking.

Either that or his “costings” disclosure is a joke. Or both.

After all the huffing and puffing, Hockeynomics is only proposing a $6 billion improvement in the budget’s cash bottom line over four years. In light of the past four years of hyperbolic fiscal posturing, this is genuinely astounding.
Advertisement

Even if you take year three and four budget projections seriously (and you really can’t, as everyone should now know), that works out to be an average improvement of $1.5 billion a year on a $400 billion budget – all of 0.375 per cent. It’s not even a rounding error. A half-decent Queensland storm can blow that away in half an hour.

By way of comparison, Tony Abbott is blowing $1.8 billion on reviving the novated lease/FBT tax lurk enjoyed by a minority of new car buyers, let alone an even smaller minority of voters. Consider the massive percentage increase in the Coalition’s budget improvement goal that could be obtained by implementing just this one tax policy based on principle and equity instead of subsidising a few salary packaging firms. Hey Joe, do the math.

Pretty damning for anyone thinking the Libs will usher in some new age of economic management.
 
Don't we strictly speaking not have freedom of speech enshrined in law?

I mean I accidentally didn't put 13 in a box for anyone. Went straight from 12 to 14. I knew I was out when I got to the end, but I thought if it was a low enough number it wouldn't matter that what ever shitty party I was putting at 110 was going to be 80 or something. 13 is pretty high up though, so I didn't want to give them by 13th preference. So I started again.

I might be being oblivious but I still don't follow.
Doesn't this mean if you leave out 13, your 14th preference becomes your 13th and then things move linearly again from there?

"The instructions say you must fill in every square, but the savings provision of the act require that only 90% of the squares be filled in, and will allow a maximum of three sequencing errors. A sequencing error is any doubling up of numbers and any break in the number sequence."

What I'm having trouble understanding is why would the party marked 110 get the 13th spot that you missed?
 

Fredescu

Member
What I'm having trouble understanding is why would the party marked 110 get the 13th spot that you missed?

Not the party marked 110, the party not marked because I had run out of numbers. Had I have known that they allowed a few sequencing errors I would have just left it blank.
 

r1chard

Member
Pretty damning for anyone thinking the Libs will usher in some new age of economic management.
Anyone who currently says that clearly isn't about to start actually thinking about the concept any time soon, given that they clearly haven't until now.
 

Jintor

Member
We have at most an implied freedom of political communication power that has been read into the Constitution by the courts. Even that is not as powerful as you'd think - see Monis v The Queen and AG(SA) v Corporation of Adelaide for two rulings from this year alone that have set the limits on it. (Narrowly, in the case of Monis, if i recall correctly). Notably, it's a negative power, not a positive one; it just means that parliament can't legislate to take it away unless it's necessary on balance with other considerations.
 
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