We'll never know what Ash could have been without the injuries, and Garrett Gilbert could have gone anywhere he wanted so that caught everybody by surprise. Don't know enough about what happened to Connor Wood or Connor Brewer to have much of an opinion but they both also had enough offers to go basically anywhere they wanted to go so they could have burned a lot of schools.
Case McCoy I think was the real recruiting miss of the group as there was likely a bit of the old boy network going on there, though he did have some other good offers (Auburn, Arizona, Texas A&M) and Texas took him in the same class as Wood.
Swoopes had a fantastic offer list and somehow made it to the Elite 11 finals, so there was definitely some potential there, but as I've mentioned before that 1-9 record as a high school senior is a huge red flag at the level of play he was facing. The best athlete on the field (as he was marketed as) should have been worth a .500 record almost all by himself in 2A football (or was it 1A?).
Overall, outside of Swoopes and maybe McCoy, their recruiting hasn't been full of a lot of reaches or big gambles over the last 4 or 5 years IMO. From an outsider's perspective it just seems like they got hit by a flurry of worst-case-scenarios in a row.
McCoy was very likely never supposed to play. He was a legacy pick up, and no one was recruiting Case as a starter I don't think.
Swoopes was a miss. He was recruited under Harsin, and taken over Barrett (edit, got the wrong OSU QB) against Harsin's wishes (which is why Harsin left). Mack loved his size, and saw him as a project player that would slot in behind Conor Wood/Gibert and would either become great or not, and would never see the field.
We basically got hit with a bevy of issues:
1) Gilbert flopped hard.
2) Ash beat out Connor Wood, so Wood transferred.
3) Ash become a one man concussion machine
4) Herp Derp started way too many games.
5) Swoopes was a total and complete miss. Strong and company have made him look a lot better than he did in limited play last year, which says more about how big of a miss he was.
6) Ash continued to be a one man concussion machine.
The most overlooked problem at Texas is our Offensive Line is absolutely the worst it has been since the 90s. Maybe the worst in my life and Mack Brown decided to convert to a Bama style power game after Colt got hurt in the title game. He then brought Harsin in to run said Power Offense for exactly no reason that can be understood by humans.
So we had a team without an offensive line, a coach being hired to coach an offensive style totally outside of his comfort zone and not a QB in sight.
No talent was developed on either side of the ball to compound issues, which has left us just devastated.
Texas needs the following to happen:
1) Get an Oline - Wickline is here, so I like our chances.
2) Get a QB - Heard is redshirting, we are bringing in some 4 star kid and I think another 3 star. And our offensive coordinator for all his boring offensive issues seems to develop QBs well enough.
3) Get a run game - see number 1.
4) continue to play good defense. Strong turned a horribly developed but talent rich defense into a good squad, so I think as he gets his guys in place that will keep improving.
I think we can put all 4 together by 2016 at the latest and be back into the top 10.