College Football Week 9 - You've Got the Touch

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I like our chances against you with how hapless your offense seems to be. As long as JWJ stays healthy, I think we can manage enough yards on the ground to outscore you. Our offense can be terrible sometimes (just see NCState), but I think our receiver crew is a little better than yours, qb has more experience, and our running game is much better.

Do the numbers bear out your running game being "much better" than the Gatas? Just curious.
 
25. La Tech
24. Ok State
23. Texas
22. Arizona
21. West Virginia
20. Nebraska
19. Boise State
18. Texas Tech
17. USC
16. aTm
15. Mississippi State
14. Stanford
13. Clemson
12. Oklahoma
11. Oregon State
10. Louisville
9. Florida State
8. South Carolina
7. Florida
6. Georgia
5. LSU
4. Oregon
3. Notre Dame
2. Kansas State
1. Alabama
 
Do the numbers bear out your running game being "much better" than the Gatas? Just curious.


I think so but obviously UF has gone up against better defenses than we have. But UF's running game seems to mostly be Gillislee and Driskel. Even with losing Thompson, we have a triple threat between JWJ, Freeman and Pryor. With the occasional scramble by Manuel.

It will obviously be the cliche battle up front between lines, but I like our depth at back better than Florida's Gillislee.
 
Oregon's schedule is pretty back-loaded this year though. If they can stay undefeated and #2 in the polls, they'll probably still end up in the MNC game.
 
So there's a chance that Alabama, KSU, ND, and Oregon wins out, right? As it stands, #3 KSU's bounced

OMG DALLAS

I cut myself off because of what would be a hail mary victory, if not for Dez's blasted Knuckles.

I think I was trying to say, that Oregon could finish #2 in the polls, and somehow get skipped by KSU or ND?

I hope some of those other teams lose at least once, just to get out of the "too many undefeateds, so and so doesn't belong" argument.

I know full well, that, any loss by Alabama means we're out. LSU losing takes away that "lost to #1" and losing in Atlanta is losing too late. Lose to any of the other teams (A&M, Auburn, Cupcakes) would be even worse.

As it stands
Alabama has LSU, A&M and probably Georgia left to play
ND has USC
Oregon has USC, Stanford, Oregon State??? and either USC or UCLA
KSU has big name Big XII schools that aren't as good as their names used to be (Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas)

I know who has the easiest road left. They better start reserving plane tickets and hotel rooms.
 
25. La Tech
24. Ok State
23. Texas
22. Arizona
21. West Virginia
20. Nebraska
19. Boise State
18. Texas Tech
17. USC
16. aTm
15. Mississippi State
14. Stanford
13. Clemson
12. Oklahoma
11. Oregon State
10. Louisville
9. Florida State
8. South Carolina
7. Florida
6. Georgia
5. LSU
4. Oregon
3. Notre Dame
2. Kansas State
1. Alabama

I got the top 15 right, with just Florida State and Oregon State a bit out of order.

The computers really, really hate the ACC more than I thought. I thought will all of the teams falling that they'd make bigger jumps, particularly Florida State.
 
I got the top 15 right, with just Florida State/South Carolina and Ok/Oregon State/Clemson a bit out of order.

The computers really, really hate the ACC more than I thought. I thought will all of the teams falling that they'd make bigger jumps, particularly Florida State.


A two loss SC team being ahead of us is stupid. Georgia isn't THAT good of a win.
 
Never remember all the BCS rules. Do they drop the highest and lowest computer rankings?

Code:
RK	TEAM	AVG	PVS	 RK	PTS	%	RK	 PTS	 %	AVG	A&H	RB	CM	KM	JS	PW	 %
1	Alabama	.9759	1	1	2868	.9976	1	1475	1.0000	3	3	1	2	3	7	3	.930
2	Kansas State	.9400	3	3	2656	.9238	3	1366	.9261	1	1	3	3	2	1	1	.970
3	Notre Dame	.9147	5	4	2553	.8880	4	1307	.8861	1	2	2	1	1	2	2	.970
4	Oregon	.9136	4	2	2725	.9478	2	1391	.9431	5	4	4	5	5	8	5	.850
5	LSU	.8163	6	5	2382	.8285	5	1225	.8305	6	8	5	8	6	4	6	.790
6	Georgia	.7753	10	6	2205	.7670	6	1149	.7790	7	6	6	7	7	6	7	.780
7	Florida	.7604	2	8	2061	.7169	8	1024	.6942	4	5	7	4	4	3	4	.870
8	South Carolina	.5968	13	11	1588	.5523	11	838	.5681	9	9	8	11	10	9	9	.670
9	Florida State	.5743	12	7	2193	.7628	7	1121	.7600	21	18	22	12	25	0	19	.200
10	Louisville	.5661	16	10	1714	.5962	10	888	.6020	13	11	17	10	15	24	11	.500
11	Oregon State	.5559	7	13	1449	.5040	13	684	.4637	8	7	11	6	8	11	8	.700
12	Oklahoma	.5454	8	12	1473	.5123	12	758	.5139	10	15	9	20	9	5	10	.610
13	Clemson	.5095	18	9	1917	.6668	9	976	.6617	21	17	19	18	0	0	21	.200
14	Stanford	.4863	17	14	1307	.4546	15	626	.4244	11	10	13	9	11	12	13	.580
15	Mississippi State	.3913	11	15	1231	.4282	18	569	.3858	16	14	18	14	21	21	15	.360
16	Texas A&M	.3593	20	18	996	.3464	16	592	.4014	18	20	0	17	16	15	18	.330
17	USC	.3509	9	16	1200	.4174	17	583	.3953	19	23	16	0	19	18	20	.240
18	Texas Tech	.3242	14	19	604	.2101	20	284	.1925	12	12	10	13	13	10	12	.570
19	Boise State	.3123	21	17	1142	.3972	14	634	.4298	23	22	12	21	0	0	24	.110
20	Nebraska	.2568	NR	21	542	.1885	21	283	.1919	15	16	23	16	14	19	14	.390
21	West Virginia	.2512	19	20	554	.1927	19	326	.2210	17	21	14	24	18	13	17	.340
22	Arizona	.1692	NR	NR	81	.0282	NR	14	.0095	14	13	15	15	12	14	16	.470
23	Texas	.1640	23	22	392	.1363	22	200	.1356	20	19	20	25	20	16	23	.220
24	Oklahoma State	.0893	NR	25	245	.0852	24	166	.1125	25	0	21	0	23	22	0	.070
25	Louisiana Tech	.0784	NR	24	304	.1057	23	191	.1295	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
 
Never remember all the BCS rules. Do they drop the highest and lowest computer rankings?

Code:
RK	TEAM	AVG	PVS	 RK	PTS	%	RK	 PTS	 %	AVG	A&H	RB	CM	KM	JS	PW	 %
1	Alabama	.9759	1	1	2868	.9976	1	1475	1.0000	3	3	1	2	3	7	3	.930
2	Kansas State	.9400	3	3	2656	.9238	3	1366	.9261	1	1	3	3	2	1	1	.970
3	Notre Dame	.9147	5	4	2553	.8880	4	1307	.8861	1	2	2	1	1	2	2	.970
4	Oregon	.9136	4	2	2725	.9478	2	1391	.9431	5	4	4	5	5	8	5	.850
5	LSU	.8163	6	5	2382	.8285	5	1225	.8305	6	8	5	8	6	4	6	.790
6	Georgia	.7753	10	6	2205	.7670	6	1149	.7790	7	6	6	7	7	6	7	.780
7	Florida	.7604	2	8	2061	.7169	8	1024	.6942	4	5	7	4	4	3	4	.870
8	South Carolina	.5968	13	11	1588	.5523	11	838	.5681	9	9	8	11	10	9	9	.670
9	Florida State	.5743	12	7	2193	.7628	7	1121	.7600	21	18	22	12	25	0	19	.200
10	Louisville	.5661	16	10	1714	.5962	10	888	.6020	13	11	17	10	15	24	11	.500
11	Oregon State	.5559	7	13	1449	.5040	13	684	.4637	8	7	11	6	8	11	8	.700
12	Oklahoma	.5454	8	12	1473	.5123	12	758	.5139	10	15	9	20	9	5	10	.610
13	Clemson	.5095	18	9	1917	.6668	9	976	.6617	21	17	19	18	0	0	21	.200
14	Stanford	.4863	17	14	1307	.4546	15	626	.4244	11	10	13	9	11	12	13	.580
15	Mississippi State	.3913	11	15	1231	.4282	18	569	.3858	16	14	18	14	21	21	15	.360
16	Texas A&M	.3593	20	18	996	.3464	16	592	.4014	18	20	0	17	16	15	18	.330
17	USC	.3509	9	16	1200	.4174	17	583	.3953	19	23	16	0	19	18	20	.240
18	Texas Tech	.3242	14	19	604	.2101	20	284	.1925	12	12	10	13	13	10	12	.570
19	Boise State	.3123	21	17	1142	.3972	14	634	.4298	23	22	12	21	0	0	24	.110
20	Nebraska	.2568	NR	21	542	.1885	21	283	.1919	15	16	23	16	14	19	14	.390
21	West Virginia	.2512	19	20	554	.1927	19	326	.2210	17	21	14	24	18	13	17	.340
22	Arizona	.1692	NR	NR	81	.0282	NR	14	.0095	14	13	15	15	12	14	16	.470
23	Texas	.1640	23	22	392	.1363	22	200	.1356	20	19	20	25	20	16	23	.220
24	Oklahoma State	.0893	NR	25	245	.0852	24	166	.1125	25	0	21	0	23	22	0	.070
25	Louisiana Tech	.0784	NR	24	304	.1057	23	191	.1295	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
Yes.
 
Davis - "South Carolina in good position to make a case for an at large bid."

Really? 5th in the SEC is "good position"?

Loss 1: Currently #5
Loss 2: Currently #7

After last night's performance I don't think a loss at Florida really should merit that kind of respect, but that's probably why.
 
Good, cause :jnc Sagarin

He also torpedoed Oregon with an 8... But, seriously, you're 99.99% unanimous #1 in the polls... The computers could think you were 6th overall and you'd still be #1 in the BCS...


Loss 1: Currently #5
Loss 2: Currently #7

After last night's performance I don't think a loss at Florida really should merit that kind of respect, but that's probably why.


Uhhh.. Would it be too much to ask for a couple of quality wins when you're sitting there with 2 losses? Or is just losing to really good teams enough? (calling Arky 2011)
 
Uhhh.. Would it be too much to ask for a couple of quality wins when you're sitting there with 2 losses? Or is just losing to really good teams enough? (calling Arky 2011)

Well SC beat GA(#5) 35-7 so there's that.
We're also playing Clemson (#13) at the end of the season, so there's a chance of another 'quality' win
Probably as tough a schedule as anyone else in the top 10 can claim
 
Well SC beat GA(#5) 35-7 so there's that.
We're also playing Clemson (#13) at the end of the season, so there's a chance of another 'quality' win
Probably as tough a schedule as anyone else in the top 10 can claim


Except Florida, KState, Notre Dame, LSU and Bama.

Strength of Schedule doesn't mean anything if you lose half of your difficult games.
 
You will all be very excited to learn that I have produced the very first Unskewed BCS numbers!

My methodology here is to tweak the Derp Poll and SID Poll numbers to account for oversampling of overraters (the computer polls are infallible, so I've left those untouched). Through extensive statistical modeling and going through reams of past data, I've determined the over-/under-ratings to be as follows:
SEC: 10% overrated
Big 12: 15% overrated
ND: 25% overrated
ACC and CUSA 2.0: rated accurately
Pac-12: 10% underrated
B1G: 15% underrated
Future CUSA 2.0 teams: 25% underrated

Without further ado, the unskewed, correct BCS numbers:
Code:
RK	TEAM		TOTAL	DERP	SID
1	Oregon		0.9767	1.0426	1.0374
2	Alabama		0.9093	0.8978	0.9000
3	Kansas State	0.8475	0.7852	0.7872
4	Notre Dame	0.7669	0.6660	0.6646
5	LSU		0.7610	0.7457	0.7475
6	Georgia		0.7238	0.6903	0.7011
7	Florida		0.7133	0.6452	0.6248
8	Oregon State	0.5882	0.5544	0.5101
9	Florida State	0.5743	0.7628	0.7600
10	Louisville	0.5661	0.5962	0.6020
11	South Carolina	0.5595	0.4971	0.5113
12	Stanford	0.5156	0.5001	0.4668
13	Clemson		0.5095	0.6668	0.6617
14	Oklahoma	0.4941	0.4355	0.4368
15	Boise State	0.3813	0.4965	0.53725
16	USC		0.3780	0.4591	0.4348
17	Misspipisssi St	0.3642	0.3854	0.3472
18	Texas A&M	0.3343	0.3118	0.3613
19	Texas Tech	0.3041	0.1786	0.1636
20	Nebraska	0.2758	0.2168	0.2207
21	West Virginia	0.2305	0.1638	0.1879
22	Arizona		0.1705	0.0310	0.0105
23	Texas		0.1504	0.1159	0.1153
24	Louisiana Tech	0.0980	0.1321	0.1619
25	Oklahoma State	0.0793	0.0724	0.0956

The first thing that leaps to notice, of course, is that Notre Dame is still too high in the rankings. Unfortunately, the teams just below them are all SEC teams, which are also overrated, so there wasn't much room to fall there.

You'll also notice that Stanford is ahead of Oklahoma, which seems more common-sensical according to the Threeballz Test (TM).

The other obvious change is that Louisiana Tech is slightly higher.

Anyway, I hope this helps you see what the effete and girlish lamestream media doesn't want you to see. You're welcome!
 
Official update from the University: http://www.gamecocksonline.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/102812aac.html

University of South Carolina junior running back Marcus Lattimore suffered a significant impact to the front of his right knee during the Tennessee game on Saturday. The ensuing hyperextension of the knee resulted in injury to several ligaments. There were no fractures or additional injuries, according to team physician Dr. Jeffrey Guy. Lattimore's surgically repaired left knee was uninjured during the play.

Lattimore is resting comfortably and will continue to be evaluated over the course of the week. Marcus has already begun the process of prehabilitation prior to surgery and to his eventual return to football.

The fact that there's even a chance for Lattimore to play football again after yesterday is amazing. Now to wait and see how the surgery goes.
 
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