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Crap Another one. Hurricane Ivan (Deserves his own Thread)

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M

MIMIC

Banned
at2004.gif


As of now, it's basically on the same track as Charley.
 
D

doncale

Banned
Ivan devastates Grenada, causing 'incalculable damage' - Next stop, Jamaica




Ivan leaves at least 9 dead in Grenada
Hurricane strengthens as it heads for Jamaica
Wednesday, September 8, 2004 Posted: 5:26 PM EDT (2126 GMT)


Jean Conliffe, 65, watches the demolition of her house, damaged by Ivan in Barbados on Wednesday.
Click to expand...

story.woman.ap.jpg





ST. GEORGE'S, Grenada (AP) -- Hurricane Ivan made a direct hit on Grenada with ferocious winds, causing "incalculable damage" and killing at least nine people as it turned concrete homes into rubble and hurled hundreds of the island's trademark red zinc roofs through the air, officials said Wednesday.

The most powerful storm to hit the Caribbean in 14 years reportedly devastated Grenada's capital, St. George's, and damaged homes in Barbados, St. Lucia and St. Vincent. Thousands were without water, electricity and telephone service just days after Hurricane Frances rampaged through.

"We are terribly devastated here in Grenada," Prime Minister Keith Mitchell said in comments broadcast Wednesday by radio stations in Barbados. "It's beyond any imagination."

The prime minister, whose own home was destroyed, spoke from aboard the British naval patrol vessel HMS Richmond, apparently by satellite telephone.

Ivan strengthened even as it was over Grenada on Tuesday, becoming a Category 4 storm. It got even stronger as it headed across the Caribbean Sea, passing north of the Dutch Caribbean islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao. In Curacao, the government ordered the evacuation of about 300 residents of a neighborhood in Willemstad, the capital.

Mitchell said at least nine storm-related deaths had been reported and he feared the toll would rise.

"If you see the country today, it would be a surprise to anyone that we did not have more deaths than it appears at the moment," he said. "I don't think anyone expected the kind of damage that they saw."

Sporadic looting also was reported in St. George's, a British Royal Navy spokesman said on condition of anonymity, speaking from London. HMS Richmond and a British supply ship were providing disaster relief to the former colony, he said.

The storm was threatening to cross right over Jamaica by Friday morning or Saturday, and then Cuba, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, said.

"After Jamaica, it's probably going to hit somewhere in the U.S., unfortunately," said meteorologist Jennifer Pralgo of the Hurricane Center. "We're hoping it's not Florida again, but it's taking a fairly similar track to Charley at the moment."

Hurricane Charley killed 27 people in southwest Florida on August 13 and caused an estimated $6.8 billion in insured damage.

Ivan terrorized Grenada for about two hours, said Hugh Cobb of the Hurricane Center.

"They took a really bad beating," he said, adding this grim warning: "Whoever gets this, it's going to be bad."

Ivan's sustained winds were clocked at 120 mph as it raced through the Windward Islands. But it strengthened to 140 mph with gusts just over 160 mph.

Cobb said Ivan would be the first Category 4 storm to hit Caribbean islands since Hurricane Luis in 1995.

He said that if Ivan hit Jamaica, it could be more destructive than Hurricane Gilbert, which was only a Category 3 storm when it devastated the island in 1988.

Howling winds raged through the hilly streets of St. George's, Grenada's capital, trashing concrete homes, uprooting trees and utility poles, and knocking out telephone service and electricity. The islands were cut off and transmission was halted from the Grenada Broadcast Network.

ChevronTexaco said it evacuated nonessential staff from a natural gas well off Venezuela's Atlantic coast.

The Caribbean Disaster Emergency Response Agency based in Barbados said St. George's "suffered incalculable damage" and Grenada's emergency disaster office, at the 19th century Great House at Mount Wheldale, was destroyed. Grenada's airport also was damaged and an air charter company in Barbados said it was refused permission to fly in.

The Barbados agency said it was sending a relief team to Grenada.

St. George's main hospital also was damaged, the agency said, as were some shelters. "The population in public shelters is 1,000 and climbing," the agency said.

No news could be had from other islands in Grenada, which has about 100,000 residents and is best known for a 1983 U.S. invasion following a left-wing palace coup

There were unconfirmed reports that storm damage allowed prisoners to escape Grenada's crumbling and overcrowded 17th century prison, a zinc-roofed stone edifice on a hilltop. The prison has held former Deputy Prime Minister Bernard Coard and 16 others convicted of killings in the 1983 coup.

Two private boats near Grenada have sent out distress signals, according to the U.S. Coast Guard in San Juan, Puerto Rico. It had no details.

Cobb said Ivan's heaviest rains likely will sweep the southern peninsula of Haiti, where deforestation and shacks make any excessive downpours deadly. Heavy rains in May triggered floods that killed 1,700 people and left 1,600 missing and presumed dead in Haiti and neighboring Dominican Republic.

Haiti posted a hurricane watch for its southwest peninsula Wednesday.

At 2 p.m. EDT, Ivan was centered about 105 miles northeast of Bonaire and was moving toward the west-northwest at nearly 16 mph. Hurricane-force winds extended up to 70 miles and tropical storm-force winds another 160 miles. The storm raised battering waves that the Hurricane Center warned could cause storm flooding of 3-5 feet and above normal tides with 5-7 inches of rain that could cause flash floods and mudslides.

Earlier Tuesday, Ivan damaged 221 homes in Barbados and left many residents without water and electricity, the Caribbean disaster agency said. It had reports of one death in Barbados, but could not confirm it was hurricane-related. Power was being restored Wednesday.

In neighboring St. Vincent and the Grenadines, more than 1,000 people were in shelters, 19 homes were destroyed by storm surges in coastal areas, and another 40 homes were damaged, the agency reported. It said the country remained without electricity Wednesday.

A half-dozen houses in St. Lucia and two schools in Tobago lost their roofs.

Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao were under a hurricane warning, a hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remained posted for Colombia's Guajira peninsula and Venezuela's northern coast, and a tropical storm watch covered the southwest coast of the Dominican Republic.

Ivan became the fourth major hurricane of the season Sunday, coming hard on the heels of Hurricane Frances, which killed two people in the Bahamas and 14 in Florida and Georgia.
Click to expand...
 
M

MASB

Member
I can't believe this. I thought for sure, the way it was headed through Grenada to Jamaica, Ivan would eventually hit Mexico or turn to the Gulf Coast states. But now projected for Florida and eventually, Georgia? I wonder how many people in Florida are thinking about leaving permanently. :p
 
H

Hitokage

Setec Astronomer
Storm names are like jersey numbers. Reused over and over until its a storm noteworthy enough for the name to be retired. Camille, Hugo, and Andrew will not be used again.
 
H

Hitman

Edmonton's milkshake attracts no boys.
Florida shoudl turn this disaster into profit and put up some Windmills to churnsome extra creamy butter. Hurricane butter they'll call it... Creamiest butter in all the states.
 
D

doncale

Banned
I became interested in Hurricanes when I watched Gilbert in 1988 on TWC. that was awesome. and scary. Gilbert produced the lowest pressure ever recorded in the western hem. of 888 mb. winds were ~175 sustained with gusts at or over 200 mph.
(in other words, it was a fucking monster)

and remember hurricane Opal in 1995? it went from a Cat 3 to a Cat 5 in a few hours, horrifying metorologiests. but thankfully it weakened back down to a Cat 3 before slamming into the gulf coast.



edit:

Now a Cat 5 with 160 mph winds.
Click to expand...


holy fuck.

i pity those in its path.
 
D

doncale

Banned
to confirm Ripclawe's post

http://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1094723131-HAPT34US.TXT.html.en

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST THU SEP 09 2004

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS IVAN STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY 5
HURRICANE OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND
CURACAO.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF COLOMBIA...FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN
COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI
FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD...INCLUDING PORT
AU PRINCE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA
LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO
PEDERNALES. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135
KM...NORTHEAST OF ARUBA IN THE DUTCH NETHERLAND ANTILLES. THIS IS
ALSO ABOUT 570 MILES... 915 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON
JAMAICA.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IVAN SHOULD REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH OF ARUBA AND BONAIRE DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND THEN CONTINUE ON ROUTE TOWARD THE AREA
NEAR JAMAICA.

RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 160 MPH...255
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES IVAN A RARE CATEGORY 5
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 925 MB...27.31 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE CENTER OF IVAN IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF IVAN.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 69.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 925 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.
Click to expand...
 
H

Hooker

Member
My parents live in Curaçao (next to Aruba, the red area in the first pic) and they've had a shitload of rain and thunderstorms. No damage to anything. Just power outages.


Me is glad :)
 
B

Brannon

Member
This weekend just isn't going to go well for Florida (understatement much?). And now I'm told that I'll probably be shipped down there along with a few hundred others for hurricane relief if Ivan hits. It's what I get for joking too much about disasters I guess :p

This is going to rock, suck and blow at the same time...
 
M

MIMIC

Banned
Jesus fucking Christ.

160 is just insane. It's not only a Category 5...it SURPASSES the minmimum needed to be a Cat 5.
 
P

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
so what is the real deal here guys. anyone know how probable it is that this will hit south florida? the local channels seem to be using their similar scare tactics.. i noticed that their cone of possibilities is shifted more towards florida, compared to the Weather Channel's cone.. my mom is completely freaking out.. and cant stand it when she freaks out like this..
 
T

TekunoRobby

Tag of Excellence
Anyone else from Miami, I see quite a few South Floridians.

Yeah, time for another go-round with picking everything up.

:(
 
M

marsomega

Member
Hitman said:
Florida shoudl turn this disaster into profit and put up some Windmills to churnsome extra creamy butter. Hurricane butter they'll call it... Creamiest butter in all the states.
Click to expand...

LOL, you jerk!

TekunoRobby said:
Anyone else from Miami, I see quite a few South Floridians.

Yeah, time for another go-round with picking everything up.

:(
Click to expand...

Yes, Miami here too.

MassiveAttack said:
090258W5.gif


145MPH winds reported as of 11PM.
Click to expand...

Dammit.

doncale said:
to confirm Ripclawe's post

http://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1094723131-HAPT34US.TXT.html.en
Click to expand...

Dammit Dammit Dammit. D8

DJ Brannon said:
This weekend just isn't going to go well for Florida (understatement much?). And now I'm told that I'll probably be shipped down there along with a few hundred others for hurricane relief if Ivan hits. It's what I get for joking too much about disasters I guess :p

This is going to rock, suck and blow at the same time...
Click to expand...
Save me...... I got punch and pie.
 
T

TekunoRobby

Tag of Excellence
I live 5 miles east of The Falls shopping center, in Pinecrest.

I've been playing Burnout 3 and Pikmin 2 and both games have tons of death. I'm not the smarty man.
 
S

SteveMeister

Hang out with Steve.
It's all a GOP plot!! The Bush administration has got the secret Weather Control Bureau firing hurricane after hurricane at Florida so that the President can go down there with billions in aid looking like a hero, so that all Floridians will vote for their savior. No more hanging chad this year! :D

Seriously though, this is really crazy. I have relatives and friends there, as well as a timeshare in Key West. Here's hoping for the best.
 
D

doncale

Banned
r1684092107.jpg



Cat. 5 Ivan Prompts Evacuations In Florida Keys
15 Killed As Storm Strikes Caribbean

UPDATED: 11:17 AM EDT September 9, 2004

MIAMI -- Authorities in Florida aren't taking any chances with powerful Hurricane Ivan on the horizon.


The storm is packing winds of 160 mph. That makes it a Category 5 storm -- the strongest on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Although some fluctuations in strength are likely, Ivan could still intensify a little more Thursday morning.

They're ordering the evacuations of all tourists and mobile homes from the Florida Keys as the Category 5 storm looms about 1,000 miles southeast of Miami. It's not expected to reach Florida until Sunday or Monday. It's the third evacuation order in Florida this hurricane season, the other two being for Hurricanes Charley and Frances.

"Extremely dangerous." That's how the National Hurricane Center described Ivan.

Ivan is swirling about 450 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, and could make landfall there Friday. The island has already posted a hurricane watch -- and officials have closed schools and ordered fishermen to head for dry land.

The storm is being blamed for 15 deaths, most of them in Grenada. Ivan destroyed concrete homes there and damaged a prison, letting criminals loose. The United Nations, the United States and others are sending disaster teams to the island.

It's too soon to tell where it may head after hitting Cuba, but forecasters said it's on the same path as Hurricane Charley, which hit Florida last month.

Both Ivan and Hurricane Frances formed as tropical storms near Cape Verde off the African coast, an area known as a breeding ground for storms that become big hurricanes.

Forecasters said, "Whoever gets this, it's going to be bad."

A hurricane warning is in effect for Jamaica. A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect for the entire southwest peninsula of Haiti, from the border of the Dominican Republic westward, including Port Au Prince. A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning are in effect for the Barahona Peninsula, from Barahona to Perdenales. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the southwestern coast of the Dominican Republic from Palenque westward to Barahona.

A hurricane watchis also in effect for central and eastern Cuba, from the province of Matanzas eastward.

At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of Hurricane Ivan was located near latitude 14.5 north, longitude 71.4 west or about 430 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Ivan is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph. On this track, the hurricane will be nearing Jamaica on Friday.

Ivan is an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds near 160 mph, with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, can be expected near the center of Ivan in the hurricane warning area. Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches, possibly causing life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, can be expected in Ivan's path.
 
C

Culex

Banned
This is one monster storm, that's for sure. It's packing 160 mph winds and may strengthen further. Pretty impressive looking from satellite, too.

20.jpg
 
H

Halo

Member
Port Charlotte looks like its gonna get owned AGAIN! I live in ft myers/cape coral area. U cant prepare for cat 5. u have to run!
 
P

Pimpwerx

Member
TekunoRobby said:
Anyone else from Miami, I see quite a few South Floridians.

Yeah, time for another go-round with picking everything up.

:(
Click to expand...
Hehe, you ready for another mad rush to Home Depot the day before the storm hits? :lol

I think we're fine. This thing'll weaken over Cuba and Jamaica. I'm not too worried right now, especially since it's going for the West Coast or Texas. I'd bet on it hitting Texas or the panhandle, but at least it looks like we're in the clear here in Miami. It wrecked Grenada apparently. 90% of homes damaged. Heard on NPR a prison was destroyed and prisoners escaped. And that there were reports of looters armed with machettes running aroung town. If it means I get another 5-day weekend, I'm down. ;) PEACE.
 
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