What players are locked and who are on the bubble to get into the Capcom Cup. Seriously debating on going since its going to be in SF.
Momochi, Infiltration, Gamerbee, Daigo, Mago, Tokido, Xian and Kazunoko are already qualified. They're all inside the top 32 so not a problem for other people.
From the ones not qualified, Luffy, Poongko, Nemo, Tonpy, Bonchan, Nuckledu, Snake Eyez are most likely in
Then Justin, Dark Jiewa, Strider, Dieminion, Humanbomb, Xiao Hai, Problem X and Misse are pretty much in, cuz they're in the zone I personally think the cut will end, but i doubt neither of them don't get some more points in the tournaments left.
Then we have Itabashi with 114, Pr Rog 98, Ricki/Fuudo 82, StormKUBO/KojiKOG 68 and AiAi/Sako/MOV 64
This are the 32 qualified at the moment.
From those, I think Sako won't play any tournaments. I think he's not even attending TGS, so probably not focus on videogames right now. Then KojiKOG, StormKUBO, AiAi and MOV have few chances cuz they're almost not attending the CPT asian tournaments. MOV has a slight chance if he wins CPTA finals but... And we all know how stacked the Japaneses tournaments are going to be...
The other four will see. Pr Rog has work also, so...
If we now speak about who is probably gonna be a threat to overtake them. We have some people in a good spot.
K-Brad 52. Personally I don't think he's gonna make it, but he's near. There are 3 ranking events (Counting the one from Costa Rica) and 2 premier events (Counting Canada cup) left in his area. He has done well the last ranking events (Not enough to secure points). His biggest problem it's that top US players will attend the 2 ranking events. And the premiers will have the asians. So...
Ryan Hart 52. Next week there's the EGL ranking event in London. It's a big chance cuz there's also another ranking event in Norway (Where anyone from rest of europe or world should go if they're expecting to grab some points that week) and the Kuwait premier event (So no top asian player aka as Infiltration will go). The question mark it's where's Luffy going. His sponsor it's from the UK so... And also I pretty sure that the prize in EGL it's bigger than Norway... But I won't ensure that.
Smug 48. Same scenario as Kbrad, but he has more talent, so bigger chances. The problem it's that since he's playing PS4 I feel like Smug it's struggling a bit... Will see. Also I don't think he'll go to costa rica (canada cup probably yes).
Phenom 37. Same scenario as Ryan Hart. His biggest chance it's going to be next week at Norway. As I said before, the question it's how many Europeans and "world warrios" will attend. Not like he couldn't make top 2 in that situation, but definitely it's harder. Anyway, europeans still have Red Faction (He'll attend for sure)
Gackt 32. If he travels to the CPTA tournaments that are left and it's somehow near the level showed when he was flying along Xian, he has big chances to make it. Don't know how the vietnam event will turn in registration terms. But right now it looks like a huge oportunity for him.
you also have people like Infexious Shiro and Chuan, who have points and place well in the ranking events, but not enough to take an important amount of points. Not expecting that to change so they probably won't make it (Specially Chuan).
From the ones that are in danger to not make it in I think the biggest names are Valmaster and Pepeday.
Valmaster right now it's in a bad spot. He has not travel that much so he most likely has 2 chances if he does (EGL/Norway and Red Faction). If he travels next week, he's totally a threat to be top 2 at any of those tournaments. But will he take the trip?
Pepeday it's even in a worse spot. Just 5 points. Pretty bad despite the fact I think it's the only player that really can take big points at premier events. I hope r/kappa sends him to some ranking and premier events... Same goes to AiAi.
Then we can speak about Nishikin and Puguera due Topanga B are most likely out of the run too. They're missing the vietnamese one for sure and won't be able to go the europeans ones if that was their mind.
Reikketsu also, who has travel a lot lately. But it doesn't look like he can place top 2 at a ranking event, so...
I think that's pretty much it. I'll miss players like Santarou, Uryo (I heard his back to Sakura so...) o Haitani (If he played Makoto...) but they're pretty much out.
Will see if there's any surprise this 2 months left...