Let's neither over estimate nor under estimate testing times. If experience is anything to go by then testing times become more and more relevant as testing proceeds up until the end. However the ultimate pace is the least meaningful factor as teams, I suppose more mature teams, tend to drive towards a target time which is enough to push the car through its paces while still affording the driver the luxury of not being on the edge - call it 7/10ths perhaps. What is meaningful is the long run analysis per team per tyre. Again not in terms of ultimate pace but rather in terms of the consistency and drop off over the course of the stint.
Last year Mercedes seldom set the fastest times but there was some expert analysis of the times of each car over their long stints and Mercedes showed by far the most consistency. And that with over 20 race distances of testing. It was quite scary actually. Williams showed similar consistency and true to that their year started of well enough but floundered as development stalled - let's not discount the affect terrible strategic decisions had on their results. Redbull had issues so it was harder to gauge their true performance and ferrari was, well, ferrari.
I'm hoping we get similar analysis complete with laptime diagrams this time around as well
Last year Mercedes seldom set the fastest times but there was some expert analysis of the times of each car over their long stints and Mercedes showed by far the most consistency. And that with over 20 race distances of testing. It was quite scary actually. Williams showed similar consistency and true to that their year started of well enough but floundered as development stalled - let's not discount the affect terrible strategic decisions had on their results. Redbull had issues so it was harder to gauge their true performance and ferrari was, well, ferrari.
I'm hoping we get similar analysis complete with laptime diagrams this time around as well